Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.1#99
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#136
Pace71.2#118
Improvement+1.1#72

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#109
First Shot+2.4#100
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#176
Layup/Dunks+2.3#100
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#188
Freethrows+1.8#87
Improvement+2.1#8

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#99
First Shot+1.1#143
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#77
Layups/Dunks-3.3#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#132
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#197
Freethrows+3.8#28
Improvement-1.0#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.9% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 16.0% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.4% 4.2% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.1 10.5 11.3
.500 or above 85.5% 95.8% 83.4%
.500 or above in Conference 71.9% 82.7% 69.6%
Conference Champion 10.5% 15.8% 9.3%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.9% 2.8%
First Four0.7% 1.7% 0.5%
First Round8.9% 15.3% 7.6%
Second Round2.7% 5.4% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas Tech (Neutral) - 17.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 11 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 38 - 411 - 10
Quad 48 - 219 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 309   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -4.4 -10.5 +6.0
  Nov 08, 2024 254   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 88%     1 - 1 -13.8 -6.8 -7.1
  Nov 12, 2024 69   Villanova W 83-76 50%     2 - 1 +12.0 +6.0 +5.6
  Nov 15, 2024 267   @ Penn W 86-69 77%     3 - 1 +14.5 +14.8 +0.9
  Nov 21, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 68-78 18%    
  Nov 26, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 82-55 99%    
  Dec 03, 2024 109   Princeton W 75-71 65%    
  Dec 10, 2024 112   College of Charleston W 79-75 65%    
  Dec 18, 2024 260   American W 76-63 89%    
  Dec 21, 2024 118   Virginia Tech W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 28, 2024 346   Delaware St. W 82-61 97%    
  Dec 31, 2024 128   Massachusetts W 77-71 69%    
  Jan 03, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 08, 2025 211   @ Duquesne W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 11, 2025 104   Loyola Chicago W 75-71 63%    
  Jan 17, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 71-72 46%    
  Jan 21, 2025 131   @ Davidson W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 24, 2025 60   @ Dayton L 67-74 27%    
  Jan 29, 2025 211   Duquesne W 76-65 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 104   @ Loyola Chicago L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 07, 2025 100   Saint Louis W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 12, 2025 121   La Salle W 75-70 67%    
  Feb 15, 2025 92   @ George Mason L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 143   @ George Washington W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 201   Richmond W 75-65 81%    
  Feb 26, 2025 115   St. Bonaventure W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 162   @ Fordham W 74-72 58%    
  Mar 05, 2025 113   Rhode Island W 81-77 65%    
  Mar 08, 2025 121   @ La Salle L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.9 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 10.5 1st
2nd 0.2 2.1 4.3 3.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 4.6 3.2 0.6 0.1 10.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.7 4.3 1.1 0.1 9.5 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.6 1.5 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.7 3.6 0.5 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 1.3 3.7 1.1 0.0 6.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.7 1.9 0.1 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.3 0.5 4.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.0 0.1 3.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.2 5.0 7.4 9.7 11.6 12.7 12.6 11.6 9.7 6.6 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 98.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
16-2 91.4% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
15-3 74.3% 3.0    1.9 0.9 0.2 0.0
14-4 44.5% 2.9    1.1 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 14.2% 1.4    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.3    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.5% 10.5 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 90.9% 45.5% 45.5% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 83.3%
17-1 0.9% 71.8% 40.7% 31.1% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 52.5%
16-2 2.0% 49.4% 30.5% 19.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.1 1.0 27.3%
15-3 4.1% 32.5% 24.4% 8.1% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.8 10.8%
14-4 6.6% 22.9% 20.8% 2.2% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.6 0.0 5.1 2.7%
13-5 9.7% 15.9% 15.3% 0.6% 11.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 8.1 0.7%
12-6 11.6% 11.5% 11.4% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.2 0.1%
11-7 12.6% 6.7% 6.7% 12.1 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.7
10-8 12.7% 4.1% 4.1% 12.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 12.2
9-9 11.6% 2.2% 2.2% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.4
8-10 9.7% 1.1% 1.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6
7-11 7.4% 0.6% 0.6% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3
6-12 5.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 5.0
5-13 3.2% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 3.2
4-14 1.7% 1.7
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.2% 8.0% 1.3% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 3.1 3.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.8 1.4%