Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.3#90
Expected Predictive Rating+3.2#117
Pace70.7#120
Improvement+2.2#77

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#117
First Shot+2.5#106
After Offensive Rebound-0.2#202
Layup/Dunks+1.5#132
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#73
Freethrows+1.2#104
Improvement+2.0#72

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#75
First Shot+4.0#62
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#183
Layups/Dunks-0.4#185
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#29
Freethrows-0.4#217
Improvement+0.2#171
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.3% 13.3% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.5 11.9
.500 or above 97.4% 99.2% 95.4%
.500 or above in Conference 91.1% 96.0% 85.6%
Conference Champion 10.6% 15.3% 5.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round11.3% 13.3% 9.0%
Second Round2.3% 2.9% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 53.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 6
Quad 38 - 511 - 11
Quad 49 - 220 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 292   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -3.2 -10.2 +6.8
  Nov 08, 2024 230   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 88%     1 - 1 -12.6 -4.5 -8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 44   Villanova W 83-76 41%     2 - 1 +15.6 +4.8 +10.3
  Nov 15, 2024 267   @ Penn W 86-69 82%     3 - 1 +13.8 +16.2 -1.3
  Nov 21, 2024 16   Texas Tech W 78-77 17%     4 - 1 +17.5 +11.5 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 38   Texas L 58-67 29%     4 - 2 +3.0 -7.4 +10.2
  Nov 26, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 83-54 98%     5 - 2 +9.2 +7.0 +3.1
  Dec 03, 2024 127   Princeton L 69-77 74%     5 - 3 -8.5 -6.0 -2.4
  Dec 07, 2024 191   La Salle W 82-68 77%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +12.7 +10.0 +2.8
  Dec 10, 2024 126   College of Charleston L 75-78 74%     6 - 4 -3.4 -2.6 -0.5
  Dec 18, 2024 236   American W 84-57 89%     7 - 4 +20.0 +10.6 +10.4
  Dec 21, 2024 137   Virginia Tech W 82-62 67%     8 - 4 +21.7 +13.6 +9.1
  Dec 28, 2024 323   Delaware St. W 76-58 95%     9 - 4 +5.9 -5.6 +10.8
  Dec 31, 2024 170   Massachusetts W 81-72 81%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +5.8 +4.8 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2025 102   @ Saint Louis L 57-73 48%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -9.3 -10.0 -0.3
  Jan 08, 2025 116   @ Duquesne L 81-85 OT 53%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +1.6 +7.1 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 136   Loyola Chicago W 93-57 76%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +35.0 +18.4 +16.0
  Jan 17, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-78 43%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -1.0 -0.1 -0.8
  Jan 21, 2025 120   @ Davidson W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 24, 2025 76   @ Dayton L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 29, 2025 116   Duquesne W 71-65 73%    
  Feb 01, 2025 136   @ Loyola Chicago W 74-72 56%    
  Feb 07, 2025 102   Saint Louis W 77-72 69%    
  Feb 12, 2025 191   La Salle W 80-70 84%    
  Feb 15, 2025 86   @ George Mason L 65-68 38%    
  Feb 19, 2025 119   @ George Washington W 75-74 52%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   Richmond W 74-63 86%    
  Feb 26, 2025 96   St. Bonaventure W 71-67 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 220   @ Fordham W 78-71 73%    
  Mar 05, 2025 109   Rhode Island W 78-72 70%    
  Mar 08, 2025 191   @ La Salle W 78-73 66%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.6 3.1 4.1 2.3 0.6 10.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 5.9 8.4 3.3 0.7 0.0 19.0 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.8 8.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 17.4 3rd
4th 0.0 2.2 8.3 3.2 0.3 13.9 4th
5th 0.3 5.1 4.4 0.4 10.1 5th
6th 1.9 5.4 1.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.2 3.8 2.5 0.2 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.4 0.4 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 2.1 1.3 0.0 3.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 1.7 0.2 2.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.9 0.6 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 15th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.3 5.6 10.8 15.8 19.4 19.0 14.8 7.7 3.0 0.6 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 98.3% 0.6    0.5 0.0
15-3 76.1% 2.3    1.5 0.7 0.1
14-4 53.2% 4.1    1.9 1.8 0.4 0.0
13-5 21.1% 3.1    0.6 1.3 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 2.9% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.6% 10.6 4.6 4.0 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.6% 39.0% 32.2% 6.8% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 10.0%
15-3 3.0% 29.3% 26.6% 2.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 2.1 3.7%
14-4 7.7% 20.2% 19.9% 0.3% 11.4 0.0 0.9 0.7 6.2 0.3%
13-5 14.8% 16.9% 16.9% 11.6 1.0 1.4 0.1 12.3
12-6 19.0% 14.0% 14.0% 11.8 0.6 2.0 0.1 16.3
11-7 19.4% 10.0% 10.0% 12.0 0.2 1.6 0.2 17.5
10-8 15.8% 5.6% 5.6% 12.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.9
9-9 10.8% 4.7% 4.7% 12.3 0.4 0.1 10.3
8-10 5.6% 2.1% 2.1% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.5
7-11 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 14.0 0.0 2.3
6-12 0.6% 1.6% 1.6% 14.0 0.0 0.6
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 11.3% 11.2% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.4 6.8 0.7 0.1 88.7 0.2%