William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.3#189
Expected Predictive Rating-0.4#180
Pace75.0#37
Improvement+3.0#52

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#106
First Shot+2.6#104
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#175
Layup/Dunks+0.4#160
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#326
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#28
Freethrows-1.1#256
Improvement+0.9#120

Defense
Total Defense-4.0#290
First Shot-3.4#281
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#245
Layups/Dunks-0.7#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#285
Freethrows-0.3#202
Improvement+2.1#73
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.9% 12.4% 7.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.3 14.5
.500 or above 72.9% 88.3% 66.7%
.500 or above in Conference 93.8% 98.8% 91.8%
Conference Champion 20.0% 34.1% 14.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round8.8% 12.4% 7.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Away) - 28.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 204   @ Radford L 77-89 43%     0 - 1 -11.4 +3.2 -14.6
  Nov 12, 2024 182   Norfolk St. W 84-73 59%     1 - 1 +7.4 +6.1 +0.9
  Nov 15, 2024 197   @ Winthrop L 85-86 41%     1 - 2 +0.1 +1.5 -1.3
  Nov 16, 2024 306   NC Central L 76-78 74%     1 - 3 -10.0 -3.6 -6.3
  Nov 17, 2024 272   Georgia Southern W 102-87 69%     2 - 3 +8.7 +13.2 -6.4
  Nov 22, 2024 93   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 17%     2 - 4 -14.2 -12.6 +0.0
  Nov 24, 2024 123   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 26%     2 - 5 +2.3 +12.8 -10.6
  Dec 02, 2024 283   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 62%     2 - 6 -9.3 +3.5 -12.6
  Dec 18, 2024 209   Richmond W 93-87 65%     3 - 6 +0.8 +24.5 -23.4
  Dec 22, 2024 49   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-90 9%     3 - 7 -6.5 +1.6 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2024 291   Navy W 82-76 80%     4 - 7 -4.2 +0.9 -5.3
  Jan 02, 2025 174   @ Hofstra W 74-56 37%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +20.3 +11.1 +10.1
  Jan 04, 2025 320   @ Stony Brook W 83-76 69%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +0.5 +11.7 -10.7
  Jan 09, 2025 158   Elon W 78-65 54%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +10.6 +13.8 -1.5
  Jan 11, 2025 323   N.C. A&T W 81-78 84%     8 - 7 4 - 0 -9.1 -4.1 -5.2
  Jan 16, 2025 256   @ Hampton W 67-64 55%     9 - 7 5 - 0 +0.4 -0.7 +1.3
  Jan 20, 2025 141   @ UNC Wilmington L 75-81 29%    
  Jan 23, 2025 256   Hampton W 79-72 75%    
  Jan 25, 2025 267   Monmouth W 81-74 76%    
  Jan 30, 2025 252   @ Campbell W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 01, 2025 127   College of Charleston L 84-85 48%    
  Feb 06, 2025 193   @ Drexel L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 08, 2025 196   @ Delaware L 85-87 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 174   Hofstra W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 193   Drexel W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 20, 2025 141   UNC Wilmington L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 158   @ Elon L 75-79 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 176   @ Towson L 70-73 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 200   Northeastern W 80-77 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 4.5 7.2 4.6 2.2 0.6 0.1 20.0 1st
2nd 0.4 5.1 7.8 2.9 0.4 0.0 16.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.0 7.8 3.2 0.2 0.0 14.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 6.9 4.2 0.3 12.8 4th
5th 0.2 4.3 5.6 0.6 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 5.8 1.5 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.3 3.6 2.7 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 3.2 0.5 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.2 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.6 4.2 9.2 14.6 17.5 18.5 15.8 10.3 5.1 2.2 0.6 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.6    0.6
16-2 99.5% 2.2    2.1 0.1
15-3 91.5% 4.6    3.5 1.0 0.1
14-4 69.5% 7.2    3.6 2.9 0.6 0.0
13-5 28.7% 4.5    0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.0
12-6 4.3% 0.8    0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 20.0% 20.0 10.8 6.0 2.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-1 0.6% 26.3% 26.3% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
16-2 2.2% 21.2% 21.2% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.7
15-3 5.1% 16.8% 16.8% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 4.2
14-4 10.3% 17.5% 17.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 8.5
13-5 15.8% 13.3% 13.3% 14.4 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 13.7
12-6 18.5% 9.2% 9.2% 14.8 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.2 16.8
11-7 17.5% 6.6% 6.6% 15.0 0.2 0.8 0.2 16.3
10-8 14.6% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.3 0.1 14.2
9-9 9.2% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.1 0.1 9.0
8-10 4.2% 1.2% 1.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.1
7-11 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
6-12 0.4% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.0 0.4
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.9% 8.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.7 3.6 0.6 91.1 0.0%