William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.0#222
Expected Predictive Rating-5.6#262
Pace76.1#30
Improvement-0.6#222

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#103
First Shot+1.5#132
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#121
Layup/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#337
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#37
Freethrows+1.0#120
Improvement+2.6#27

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#341
First Shot-5.7#343
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#192
Layups/Dunks+0.4#154
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#231
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#327
Freethrows-1.5#284
Improvement-3.3#351
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 7.7% 3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.7 13.9 14.8
.500 or above 27.0% 53.9% 24.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.3% 66.8% 49.0%
Conference Champion 3.9% 7.9% 3.6%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.7% 5.8%
First Four0.5% 0.0% 0.6%
First Round3.9% 7.7% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Away) - 7.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 84 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 203   @ Radford L 77-89 35%     0 - 1 -11.0 +3.2 -14.2
  Nov 12, 2024 198   Norfolk St. W 84-73 56%     1 - 1 +6.3 +5.6 +0.4
  Nov 15, 2024 182   @ Winthrop L 85-86 32%     1 - 2 +0.8 +3.5 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2024 262   NC Central L 76-78 59%     1 - 3 -7.4 -2.1 -5.2
  Nov 17, 2024 233   Georgia Southern W 102-87 53%     2 - 3 +11.3 +15.1 -5.7
  Nov 22, 2024 81   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 11%     2 - 4 -13.0 -11.1 -0.2
  Nov 24, 2024 190   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 33%     2 - 5 -1.4 +11.3 -12.9
  Dec 02, 2024 312   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 60%     2 - 6 -10.6 +2.3 -12.6
  Dec 18, 2024 213   Richmond W 93-87 60%     3 - 6 +0.5 +22.5 -21.7
  Dec 22, 2024 58   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-84 7%    
  Dec 29, 2024 304   Navy W 85-77 77%    
  Jan 02, 2025 154   @ Hofstra L 71-77 28%    
  Jan 04, 2025 309   @ Stony Brook W 81-79 57%    
  Jan 09, 2025 176   Elon W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 11, 2025 319   N.C. A&T W 92-83 80%    
  Jan 16, 2025 269   @ Hampton L 76-77 49%    
  Jan 20, 2025 135   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-84 24%    
  Jan 23, 2025 269   Hampton W 80-74 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 273   Monmouth W 83-77 70%    
  Jan 30, 2025 301   @ Campbell W 78-77 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 121   College of Charleston L 82-85 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 151   @ Drexel L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 208   @ Delaware L 84-88 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 154   Hofstra L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 15, 2025 151   Drexel L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 20, 2025 135   UNC Wilmington L 80-81 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 176   @ Elon L 76-81 33%    
  Feb 27, 2025 212   @ Towson L 70-74 38%    
  Mar 01, 2025 161   Northeastern W 80-79 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.9 3.0 1.0 0.1 6.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.5 0.1 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.3 2.7 0.4 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.2 0.7 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.1 2.1 5.3 1.8 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.3 3.3 0.2 10.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 4.4 0.6 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.9 4.5 1.4 0.0 9.1 10th
11th 0.3 1.6 3.7 1.9 0.1 7.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.1 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 4.2 6.8 9.9 12.1 13.7 13.5 12.5 9.4 7.1 4.1 2.2 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 97.3% 0.4    0.3 0.0
15-3 78.7% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.7% 1.3    0.6 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.0% 1.0    0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 46.3% 46.3% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.4% 21.7% 21.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 22.6% 22.6% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.8
14-4 2.2% 18.2% 18.2% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.8
13-5 4.1% 14.6% 14.6% 14.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 3.5
12-6 7.1% 11.3% 11.3% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 6.3
11-7 9.4% 6.8% 6.8% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.7
10-8 12.5% 4.4% 4.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.9
9-9 13.5% 2.6% 2.6% 15.6 0.1 0.2 13.2
8-10 13.7% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.6
7-11 12.1% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.0
6-12 9.9% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.8
5-13 6.8% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.8
4-14 4.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 4.2
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.7 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.6 1.0 95.9 0.0%