Charlotte
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#142
Expected Predictive Rating+6.7#87
Pace59.0#360
Improvement+1.5#47

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#155
First Shot+1.4#129
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#215
Layup/Dunks+4.3#51
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows+1.5#110
Improvement-3.2#363

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#149
First Shot+3.0#95
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#313
Layups/Dunks-4.1#307
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#96
Freethrows+4.3#19
Improvement+4.6#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.5% 2.6% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.8 12.9
.500 or above 58.6% 60.8% 31.7%
.500 or above in Conference 41.4% 42.7% 26.1%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.2% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 8.4% 7.9% 14.7%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round2.4% 2.5% 0.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: LIU Brooklyn (Home) - 92.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 52 - 8
Quad 35 - 57 - 13
Quad 48 - 116 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 281   Presbyterian W 88-79 84%     1 - 0 -0.1 +20.1 -19.0
  Nov 09, 2024 45   @ Utah St. L 74-103 14%     1 - 1 -15.9 +5.6 -21.7
  Nov 13, 2024 197   Richmond W 65-48 72%     2 - 1 +12.2 -2.0 +15.7
  Nov 19, 2024 222   Gardner-Webb W 60-54 76%     3 - 1 +0.0 -10.0 +10.5
  Nov 23, 2024 337   LIU Brooklyn W 76-61 92%    
  Nov 27, 2024 188   East Tennessee St. W 70-64 70%    
  Dec 10, 2024 130   @ Davidson L 63-67 37%    
  Dec 14, 2024 223   @ Georgia St. W 67-66 55%    
  Dec 17, 2024 353   West Georgia W 76-58 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 174   @ Hawaii L 64-65 47%    
  Dec 31, 2024 146   Tulane W 70-67 63%    
  Jan 04, 2025 171   @ Rice L 64-65 46%    
  Jan 08, 2025 75   Florida Atlantic L 70-73 39%    
  Jan 11, 2025 147   @ Tulsa L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 14, 2025 94   @ Wichita St. L 63-70 26%    
  Jan 19, 2025 33   Memphis L 67-75 25%    
  Jan 22, 2025 121   South Florida W 66-65 55%    
  Jan 29, 2025 113   @ Temple L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 103   @ UAB L 65-71 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 94   Wichita St. L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 171   Rice W 67-62 66%    
  Feb 10, 2025 75   @ Florida Atlantic L 67-76 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 145   East Carolina W 65-62 61%    
  Feb 19, 2025 113   Temple W 67-66 52%    
  Feb 26, 2025 146   @ Tulane L 67-70 41%    
  Mar 02, 2025 145   @ East Carolina L 62-65 41%    
  Mar 06, 2025 83   @ North Texas L 55-64 23%    
  Mar 09, 2025 278   Texas San Antonio W 75-65 81%    
Projected Record 15 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 4.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.0 3rd
4th 0.3 2.1 3.4 1.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 4.2 1.9 0.2 0.0 8.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 4.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.0 4.0 0.7 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.2 5.0 1.4 0.0 10.0 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 5.3 2.2 0.1 10.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.8 3.2 0.3 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 10.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.4 2.5 0.6 0.0 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.7 13th
Total 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.8 6.4 9.1 11.0 13.1 12.6 11.8 10.1 7.8 5.3 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.3% 0.3    0.2 0.1
15-3 69.4% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 36.3% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.5% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 67.6% 27.0% 40.5% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 55.6%
16-2 0.3% 35.0% 17.5% 17.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 21.2%
15-3 0.8% 28.7% 20.1% 8.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 10.8%
14-4 1.8% 15.7% 14.2% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5 1.8%
13-5 3.5% 10.0% 9.8% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.1 0.2%
12-6 5.3% 7.2% 7.2% 0.0% 12.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 4.9 0.1%
11-7 7.8% 5.5% 5.5% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.4
10-8 10.1% 2.1% 2.1% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 9.9
9-9 11.8% 1.6% 1.6% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7
8-10 12.6% 1.0% 1.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.5
7-11 13.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 6.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.3 0.0 0.0 6.3
3-15 3.8% 3.8
2-16 1.9% 1.9
1-17 0.6% 0.6
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.5% 2.3% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.5 0.2%