George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#143
Expected Predictive Rating+1.0#178
Pace73.7#71
Improvement-1.3#314

Offense
Total Offense+2.5#108
First Shot+0.4#162
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#73
Layup/Dunks+5.2#39
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#257
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#311
Freethrows+1.6#109
Improvement-0.2#209

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#218
First Shot-0.7#199
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#230
Layups/Dunks-2.9#266
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#178
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#167
Freethrows+1.3#110
Improvement-1.0#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.3% 3.7% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.0 11.6 12.3
.500 or above 70.0% 85.2% 65.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.2% 51.2% 36.6%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 10.8% 6.7% 12.1%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round2.2% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Neutral) - 24.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 22 - 52 - 6
Quad 35 - 57 - 11
Quad 410 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 76-59 95%     1 - 0 -0.4 +2.3 -1.4
  Nov 08, 2024 310   Hampton W 82-54 88%     2 - 0 +16.6 +1.3 +14.3
  Nov 12, 2024 272   N.C. A&T W 85-80 82%     3 - 0 -3.7 +1.5 -5.6
  Nov 18, 2024 360   NJIT W 84-64 95%     4 - 0 +2.4 +7.5 -4.3
  Nov 22, 2024 66   Kansas St. L 72-79 25%    
  Nov 29, 2024 347   VMI W 89-72 94%    
  Dec 04, 2024 265   @ American W 74-71 62%    
  Dec 07, 2024 305   @ Old Dominion W 82-76 71%    
  Dec 13, 2024 303   Army W 76-64 85%    
  Dec 18, 2024 237   Lafayette W 76-68 76%    
  Dec 31, 2024 197   @ Richmond L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 04, 2025 64   Dayton L 73-77 35%    
  Jan 08, 2025 117   @ Rhode Island L 78-83 32%    
  Jan 15, 2025 207   Duquesne W 76-70 72%    
  Jan 18, 2025 96   @ George Mason L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 22, 2025 129   @ Massachusetts L 76-80 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 101   Saint Louis L 80-81 47%    
  Jan 29, 2025 197   Richmond W 76-70 70%    
  Feb 01, 2025 120   @ La Salle L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 05, 2025 96   George Mason L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 09, 2025 114   @ St. Bonaventure L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 12, 2025 50   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 130   @ Davidson L 72-76 37%    
  Feb 19, 2025 100   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 129   Massachusetts W 79-77 57%    
  Feb 26, 2025 105   @ Loyola Chicago L 73-79 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 120   La Salle W 76-75 54%    
  Mar 05, 2025 161   @ Fordham L 75-77 44%    
Projected Record 16 - 12 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 2.6 1.6 0.3 0.0 5.5 4th
5th 0.4 2.8 2.5 0.5 0.0 6.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.0 3.5 0.9 0.0 6.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.2 2.0 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.4 3.4 3.5 0.4 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.6 1.3 0.0 8.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.4 2.6 0.1 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.6 3.6 3.9 0.6 0.0 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.4 1.4 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.9 3.0 2.1 0.4 0.0 7.8 14th
15th 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.1 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 15th
Total 0.2 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.7 9.3 11.6 12.4 12.4 11.5 9.7 7.5 5.0 3.3 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 97.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 93.6% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
15-3 76.7% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 43.3% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 13.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 52.4% 28.6% 23.8% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 33.3%
16-2 0.4% 32.6% 19.1% 13.5% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 16.7%
15-3 0.8% 21.5% 18.1% 3.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 4.1%
14-4 1.8% 13.5% 13.2% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6 0.3%
13-5 3.3% 11.6% 11.5% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 2.9 0.1%
12-6 5.0% 7.0% 7.0% 12.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 4.7
11-7 7.5% 4.4% 4.4% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 7.2
10-8 9.7% 2.5% 2.5% 12.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.5
9-9 11.5% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.4
8-10 12.4% 0.8% 0.8% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 12.3
7-11 12.4% 0.5% 0.5% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3
6-12 11.6% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
5-13 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3
4-14 6.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 6.7
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 2.2% 2.2
1-17 0.8% 0.8
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.3% 2.2% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.7 0.1%