IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.6	#263
Expected Predictive Rating	-6.9	#283

Pace	72.7	#80
Improvement	-1.2	#263

Offense
Total Offense	-3.3	#268

First Shot	-3.0	#264
After Offensive Rebound	-0.3	#205

Layup/Dunks	-2.3	#272
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.6	#49
3 Pt Jumpshots	-4.3	#311
Freethrows	+1.0	#116

Improvement	-1.3	#287

Defense
Total Defense	-2.2	#243

First Shot	-1.8	#232
After Offensive Rebounds	-0.4	#224

Layups/Dunks	-2.2	#259
2 Pt Jumpshots	-0.1	#214
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.3	#205
Freethrows	+0.8	#134

Improvement	+0.1	#173

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.1%	1.8%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.3	15.2	15.5

.500 or above	11.7%	21.1%	7.3%
.500 or above in Conference	34.2%	51.2%	26.1%
Conference Champion	0.9%	2.2%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	9.1%	3.7%	11.7%

First Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
First Round	1.0%	1.6%	0.7%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Troy (Home) - 32.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 5
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 12
Quad 4	10 - 7	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	288	Ball St.	W	71-66	66%	1 - 0			-4.8	-5.1	+0.5
Nov 08, 2024	28	@ Mississippi St.	L	66-101	3%	1 - 1			-18.7	-4.4	-12.0
Nov 13, 2024	167	@ Jacksonville St.	L	67-72	22%	1 - 2			-2.6	-9.4	+7.0
Nov 22, 2024	276	NC Central	W	93-79	64%	2 - 2			+4.8	+21.1	-15.3
Nov 26, 2024	273	Austin Peay	L	50-62	52%	2 - 3			-18.1	-16.4	-3.2
Nov 27, 2024	252	Tulsa	W	74-71	48%	3 - 3			-2.0	-1.1	-0.9
Nov 29, 2024	9	@ Kentucky	L	76-105	2%	3 - 4			-8.7	+1.8	-7.2
Dec 06, 2024	162	Kennesaw St.	L	77-81	41%	3 - 5			-7.3	-2.4	-4.6
Dec 14, 2024	193	Charlotte	L	63-77	46%	3 - 6			-18.4	-14.7	-3.4
Dec 17, 2024	1	@ Auburn	L	59-100	1%	3 - 7			-15.2	-8.4	-4.4
Dec 21, 2024	125	Troy	L	71-76	32%
Dec 28, 2024	239	Mercer	W	76-74	56%
Jan 02, 2025	202	South Alabama	L	70-71	48%
Jan 04, 2025	291	Louisiana	W	77-73	66%
Jan 08, 2025	234	Georgia Southern	W	78-77	55%
Jan 11, 2025	268	Coastal Carolina	W	71-68	61%
Jan 15, 2025	139	@ Texas St.	L	67-77	18%
Jan 18, 2025	109	@ Arkansas St.	L	69-81	13%
Jan 23, 2025	190	Marshall	L	76-77	46%
Jan 25, 2025	115	James Madison	L	71-77	30%
Jan 30, 2025	190	@ Marshall	L	73-80	26%
Feb 01, 2025	173	@ Appalachian St.	L	65-73	24%
Feb 05, 2025	329	Louisiana Monroe	W	75-68	75%
Feb 13, 2025	315	Old Dominion	W	79-73	72%
Feb 15, 2025	173	Appalachian St.	L	68-70	44%
Feb 20, 2025	115	@ James Madison	L	68-80	14%
Feb 22, 2025	315	@ Old Dominion	W	76-75	51%
Feb 26, 2025	268	@ Coastal Carolina	L	68-71	40%
Feb 28, 2025	234	@ Georgia Southern	L	75-80	34%
Projected Record						11 - 18	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.0			0.9	1st
2nd												0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.9	2nd
3rd											0.1	1.0	1.4	0.5	0.1						3.1	3rd
4th										0.0	1.2	2.4	1.1	0.1	0.0						4.8	4th
5th									0.0	0.9	3.3	1.8	0.2	0.0							6.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.5	3.3	3.5	0.5	0.0								7.9	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.8	5.0	1.3	0.1									9.4	7th
8th						0.0	0.1	1.7	5.6	2.7	0.2										10.3	8th
9th						0.0	0.9	5.2	4.4	0.5	0.0										10.9	9th
10th					0.0	0.6	3.9	5.5	1.2	0.0											11.4	10th
11th				0.0	0.4	3.0	5.5	2.1	0.1												11.1	11th
12th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.5	2.4	0.3	0.0												9.7	12th
13th		0.0	0.4	1.8	3.1	2.1	0.3	0.0													7.8	13th
14th	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.6	1.0	0.2	0.0														4.5	14th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.6	3.8	6.8	10.4	13.0	15.1	14.7	12.5	9.6	5.9	3.4	1.7	0.7	0.3	0.0	0.0				Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	80.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	77.1%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	43.9%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
13-5	16.0%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.9%	0.9		0.4	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
16-2	0.0%		15.0%	15.0%		13.0														0.0				0.0
15-3	0.3%		9.2%	9.2%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3
14-4	0.7%		8.1%	8.1%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.7
13-5	1.7%		8.1%	8.1%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	1.6
12-6	3.4%		5.3%	5.3%		15.0															0.0	0.1	0.0	3.2
11-7	5.9%		3.4%	3.4%		15.4															0.0	0.1	0.1	5.7
10-8	9.6%		1.7%	1.7%		15.5																0.1	0.1	9.4
9-9	12.5%		1.1%	1.1%		15.9																0.0	0.1	12.3
8-10	14.7%		0.8%	0.8%		16.0																	0.1	14.6
7-11	15.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	15.0
6-12	13.0%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
5-13	10.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
4-14	6.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	6.8
3-15	3.8%																							3.8
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.4%																							0.4
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		1.1%	1.1%	0.0%	15.3														0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	98.9		0.0%