Georgia St.
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.1#223
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#229
Pace70.1#158
Improvement-0.2#192

Offense
Total Offense-1.6#214
First Shot-1.8#230
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#170
Layup/Dunks+0.3#173
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.5#306
Freethrows-0.6#213
Improvement-0.7#289

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#224
First Shot+5.5#41
After Offensive Rebounds-7.0#363
Layups/Dunks-2.6#261
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#11
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#190
Freethrows+5.0#9
Improvement+0.5#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 4.8% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 37.9% 45.6% 21.1%
.500 or above in Conference 54.6% 59.7% 43.4%
Conference Champion 4.8% 5.9% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 5.2% 4.1% 7.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round4.0% 4.7% 2.4%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Home) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 20 - 5
Quad 33 - 73 - 11
Quad 411 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 246   Ball St. W 71-66 66%     1 - 0 -2.3 -3.6 +1.5
  Nov 08, 2024 29   @ Mississippi St. L 66-101 5%     1 - 1 -19.0 -3.1 -13.7
  Nov 13, 2024 184   @ Jacksonville St. L 67-72 32%     1 - 2 -3.2 -6.9 +3.9
  Nov 22, 2024 267   NC Central W 74-69 69%    
  Nov 26, 2024 231   Austin Peay W 70-69 51%    
  Nov 27, 2024 147   Tulsa L 75-79 36%    
  Nov 29, 2024 10   @ Kentucky L 68-91 2%    
  Dec 06, 2024 160   Kennesaw St. L 81-82 50%    
  Dec 14, 2024 142   Charlotte L 66-67 45%    
  Dec 17, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 63-89 1%    
  Dec 21, 2024 124   Troy L 71-74 40%    
  Dec 28, 2024 254   Mercer W 75-70 65%    
  Jan 02, 2025 196   South Alabama W 72-70 56%    
  Jan 04, 2025 244   Louisiana W 75-71 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 214   Georgia Southern W 82-80 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 296   Coastal Carolina W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 15, 2025 166   @ Texas St. L 66-72 31%    
  Jan 18, 2025 112   @ Arkansas St. L 67-77 19%    
  Jan 23, 2025 195   Marshall W 76-75 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 128   James Madison L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 30, 2025 195   @ Marshall L 73-78 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 200   @ Appalachian St. L 67-71 36%    
  Feb 05, 2025 324   Louisiana Monroe W 75-66 78%    
  Feb 13, 2025 305   Old Dominion W 79-71 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 200   Appalachian St. W 70-68 56%    
  Feb 20, 2025 128   @ James Madison L 71-79 23%    
  Feb 22, 2025 305   @ Old Dominion W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 26, 2025 296   @ Coastal Carolina W 69-68 53%    
  Feb 28, 2025 214   @ Georgia Southern L 79-83 38%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.6 1.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.7 3.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 7.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 4.0 2.4 0.4 0.0 8.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.0 3.2 0.6 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.3 4.4 0.9 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.8 1.8 0.1 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 4.6 2.7 0.3 0.0 8.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.8 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.6 3.9 1.1 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.7 0.1 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.6 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.1 4.0 6.2 8.7 11.0 12.2 12.4 12.1 10.2 7.9 5.6 3.5 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 75.8% 1.3    0.8 0.5 0.1
14-4 42.4% 1.5    0.6 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.7% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.8% 4.8 2.4 1.6 0.6 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 39.5% 39.5% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.8% 27.1% 27.1% 12.9 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6
15-3 1.8% 22.3% 22.3% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.4
14-4 3.5% 17.7% 17.7% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.9
13-5 5.6% 12.6% 12.6% 14.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 4.9
12-6 7.9% 8.9% 8.9% 14.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 7.2
11-7 10.2% 5.3% 5.3% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.7
10-8 12.1% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.7
9-9 12.4% 1.5% 1.5% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.2
8-10 12.2% 0.9% 0.9% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.1
7-11 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
5-13 6.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.2
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.3 1.1 0.5 96.0 0.0%