Oklahoma
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#51
Expected Predictive Rating+0.3#183
Pace68.4#209
Improvement-0.2#201

Offense
Total Offense+4.1#66
First Shot+3.3#83
After Offensive Rebound+0.9#122
Layup/Dunks+7.1#17
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#324
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#135
Freethrows-2.2#293
Improvement+0.1#165

Defense
Total Defense+5.2#45
First Shot+1.7#124
After Offensive Rebounds+3.5#25
Layups/Dunks-3.2#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#137
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#112
Freethrows+2.0#82
Improvement-0.3#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.7% 2.7% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 7.0% 7.1% 0.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 28.4% 28.6% 9.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 27.5% 27.7% 9.7%
Average Seed 8.0 8.0 9.0
.500 or above 71.0% 71.3% 37.2%
.500 or above in Conference 32.9% 33.0% 15.6%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 12.7% 26.1%
First Four3.4% 3.4% 1.1%
First Round26.7% 26.9% 8.8%
Second Round15.1% 15.2% 4.8%
Sweet Sixteen5.4% 5.4% 1.4%
Elite Eight2.3% 2.3% 0.3%
Final Four0.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Championship Game0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 99.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 72 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 10
Quad 24 - 37 - 13
Quad 32 - 110 - 13
Quad 47 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 355   Lindenwood W 93-60 98%     1 - 0 +16.0 +7.3 +7.2
  Nov 11, 2024 316   Northwestern St. W 73-57 96%     2 - 0 +4.5 -3.6 +8.6
  Nov 16, 2024 326   Stetson W 85-64 97%     3 - 0 +8.8 +5.2 +3.6
  Nov 21, 2024 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 82-57 99%    
  Nov 27, 2024 77   Providence W 67-65 57%    
  Dec 03, 2024 106   Georgia Tech W 80-72 77%    
  Dec 07, 2024 350   Alcorn St. W 81-56 99%    
  Dec 14, 2024 86   Oklahoma St. W 75-72 60%    
  Dec 18, 2024 24   Michigan L 70-74 35%    
  Dec 22, 2024 340   Central Arkansas W 84-60 98%    
  Dec 29, 2024 348   Prairie View W 87-62 99%    
  Jan 04, 2025 9   @ Alabama L 73-84 17%    
  Jan 08, 2025 23   Texas A&M L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 55   @ Georgia L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 15, 2025 31   Texas L 71-72 48%    
  Jan 18, 2025 72   South Carolina W 73-68 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 27   @ Arkansas L 70-77 27%    
  Jan 28, 2025 23   @ Texas A&M L 66-73 26%    
  Feb 01, 2025 82   Vanderbilt W 77-72 68%    
  Feb 04, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 68-81 13%    
  Feb 08, 2025 8   Tennessee L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 12, 2025 61   @ Missouri L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 48   LSU W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 18, 2025 21   @ Florida L 74-82 26%    
  Feb 22, 2025 29   Mississippi St. L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 26, 2025 10   Kentucky L 75-80 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 47   @ Mississippi L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 05, 2025 61   Missouri W 74-70 62%    
  Mar 08, 2025 31   @ Texas L 68-74 29%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 2.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.2 1.6 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 1.0 3.0 1.2 0.1 5.4 6th
7th 0.4 3.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 5.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 2.3 3.7 0.8 0.0 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 4.4 2.1 0.1 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.6 0.5 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.1 2.2 4.6 1.4 0.0 8.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.3 4.5 2.7 0.3 8.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.8 0.7 0.0 9.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.1 1.3 0.1 9.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.6 3.4 1.6 0.1 8.5 15th
16th 0.3 1.2 2.4 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.4 16th
Total 0.3 1.3 3.2 5.7 8.2 11.1 12.4 12.7 12.3 10.6 8.1 6.0 4.0 2.2 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
16-2 91.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 65.8% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 34.1% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.9% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.5% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 3.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.2% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 4.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 2.2% 99.1% 8.7% 90.4% 5.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
12-6 4.0% 97.1% 5.6% 91.5% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 96.9%
11-7 6.0% 89.1% 3.0% 86.2% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.7 88.8%
10-8 8.1% 74.7% 1.7% 73.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.1 74.3%
9-9 10.6% 50.7% 0.9% 49.8% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.3 1.6 1.2 0.1 5.2 50.2%
8-10 12.3% 22.8% 0.5% 22.3% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 0.1 9.5 22.4%
7-11 12.7% 5.6% 0.2% 5.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 12.0 5.4%
6-12 12.4% 0.9% 0.1% 0.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.3 0.8%
5-13 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 11.1 0.0%
4-14 8.2% 8.2
3-15 5.7% 5.7
2-16 3.2% 3.2
1-17 1.3% 1.3
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 28.4% 1.2% 27.2% 8.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.4 3.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 3.7 0.3 71.6 27.5%