Stony Brook
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.1#307
Expected Predictive Rating-8.2#304
Pace67.9#214
Improvement+2.1#55

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#280
First Shot-3.9#295
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#167
Layup/Dunks-1.9#254
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#222
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#213
Freethrows+0.0#178
Improvement+0.5#137

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#312
First Shot-3.2#287
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#275
Layups/Dunks-6.8#358
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#24
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#252
Freethrows+2.9#26
Improvement+1.6#69
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 1.6% 3.0% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 15.5% 19.3% 12.9%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 25.8% 21.5% 28.7%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.3%
First Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maine (Home) - 40.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 92 - 13
Quad 47 - 99 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 18   @ Marquette L 62-102 2%     0 - 1 -21.9 -2.3 -19.8
  Nov 07, 2024 225   @ Central Michigan W 73-72 23%     1 - 1 +0.7 +3.9 -3.2
  Nov 11, 2024 87   @ George Mason L 56-94 6%     1 - 2 -28.6 -9.3 -19.6
  Nov 20, 2024 100   Yale L 64-86 16%     1 - 3 -19.7 -9.5 -10.0
  Nov 23, 2024 177   @ Columbia L 63-82 17%     1 - 4 -16.9 -9.0 -8.5
  Nov 27, 2024 156   @ Brown L 54-77 15%     1 - 5 -20.0 -14.0 -7.5
  Dec 01, 2024 181   Norfolk St. L 66-77 35%     1 - 6 -15.0 -4.0 -12.0
  Dec 07, 2024 271   Air Force L 61-69 41%     1 - 7 -13.8 -14.1 +0.2
  Dec 14, 2024 300   @ Rider W 72-55 36%     2 - 7 +12.6 +10.3 +5.4
  Dec 17, 2024 233   Marist L 66-68 45%     2 - 8 -8.7 +5.0 -14.2
  Dec 21, 2024 212   Maine L 67-70 41%    
  Dec 29, 2024 236   @ Albany L 72-79 25%    
  Jan 02, 2025 272   @ Monmouth L 70-75 31%    
  Jan 04, 2025 222   William & Mary L 79-81 43%    
  Jan 09, 2025 146   Drexel L 65-71 30%    
  Jan 11, 2025 160   Northeastern L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 16, 2025 219   @ Delaware L 72-81 22%    
  Jan 18, 2025 213   @ Towson L 60-69 21%    
  Jan 23, 2025 295   Campbell W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 25, 2025 321   N.C. A&T W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 30, 2025 121   @ College of Charleston L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-79 13%    
  Feb 06, 2025 213   Towson L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 151   @ Hofstra L 61-72 15%    
  Feb 13, 2025 272   Monmouth W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 160   @ Northeastern L 66-77 16%    
  Feb 20, 2025 266   @ Hampton L 66-71 31%    
  Feb 22, 2025 321   @ N.C. A&T L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 151   Hofstra L 64-69 32%    
  Mar 01, 2025 179   Elon L 69-73 36%    
Projected Record 9 - 21 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.5 0.1 0.0 3.8 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 3.7 1.7 0.1 6.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.4 0.3 0.0 8.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.9 1.1 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.3 6.3 2.6 0.1 12.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 3.1 6.7 3.7 0.4 14.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.4 6.4 4.2 0.8 0.0 15.7 13th
14th 0.4 2.0 4.6 5.4 3.2 0.7 0.0 16.3 14th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.3 9.3 13.2 15.5 15.5 13.2 10.1 7.2 4.2 2.4 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 88.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 46.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 27.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 6.3% 6.3% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.5% 5.5% 5.5% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.1% 3.9% 3.9% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.4% 3.3% 3.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.3
10-8 4.2% 1.4% 1.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.1
9-9 7.2% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 7.1
8-10 10.1% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 10.0
7-11 13.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 13.1
6-12 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
5-13 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.5
4-14 13.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.2
3-15 9.3% 9.3
2-16 5.3% 5.3
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%