UCLA
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#20
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#29
Pace65.2#270
Improvement+0.8#134

Offense
Total Offense+4.4#65
First Shot+3.0#93
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#101
Layup/Dunks+1.1#139
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#39
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#233
Freethrows+0.6#135
Improvement+1.4#85

Defense
Total Defense+10.5#4
First Shot+5.4#36
After Offensive Rebounds+5.1#2
Layups/Dunks+3.8#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#187
Freethrows+1.2#98
Improvement-0.6#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
#1 Seed 3.5% 6.3% 2.2%
Top 2 Seed 11.3% 18.7% 7.8%
Top 4 Seed 35.9% 49.6% 29.4%
Top 6 Seed 61.2% 74.7% 54.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 92.2% 96.7% 90.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 91.2% 96.2% 88.9%
Average Seed 5.4 4.7 5.8
.500 or above 98.6% 99.7% 98.1%
.500 or above in Conference 91.4% 93.9% 90.2%
Conference Champion 22.0% 26.8% 19.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Four2.4% 1.4% 2.9%
First Round91.0% 96.1% 88.6%
Second Round67.6% 76.5% 63.4%
Sweet Sixteen34.3% 42.1% 30.6%
Elite Eight15.1% 19.7% 12.9%
Final Four6.4% 8.7% 5.3%
Championship Game2.5% 3.5% 2.0%
National Champion0.9% 1.4% 0.7%

Next Game: Gonzaga (Neutral) - 32.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 8
Quad 25 - 213 - 10
Quad 32 - 015 - 10
Quad 47 - 022 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 303   Rider W 85-50 98%     1 - 0 +24.2 +13.8 +13.4
  Nov 08, 2024 64   New Mexico L 64-72 74%     1 - 1 +0.3 -10.0 +10.8
  Nov 11, 2024 257   Boston University W 71-40 97%     2 - 1 +22.8 -8.3 +29.9
  Nov 15, 2024 246   Lehigh W 85-45 97%     3 - 1 +32.2 +13.4 +21.8
  Nov 20, 2024 250   Idaho St. W 84-70 97%     4 - 1 +6.1 +19.7 -11.9
  Nov 22, 2024 278   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-47 98%     5 - 1 +23.6 +8.2 +17.4
  Nov 26, 2024 228   Southern Utah W 88-43 97%     6 - 1 +38.4 +10.0 +27.6
  Dec 03, 2024 95   Washington W 69-58 88%     7 - 1 1 - 0 +13.4 +4.6 +9.7
  Dec 08, 2024 23   @ Oregon W 73-71 40%     8 - 1 2 - 0 +19.5 +11.9 +7.7
  Dec 14, 2024 11   Arizona W 57-54 45%     9 - 1 +19.1 -2.6 +22.0
  Dec 17, 2024 340   Prairie View W 111-75 99%     10 - 1 +21.7 +20.3 -1.2
  Dec 21, 2024 22   North Carolina L 74-76 51%     10 - 2 +12.6 +5.1 +7.6
  Dec 28, 2024 4   Gonzaga L 70-75 32%    
  Jan 04, 2025 40   @ Nebraska W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 07, 2025 19   Michigan W 70-67 62%    
  Jan 10, 2025 13   @ Maryland L 67-71 35%    
  Jan 13, 2025 63   @ Rutgers W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 17, 2025 43   Iowa W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 21, 2025 34   Wisconsin W 72-66 69%    
  Jan 24, 2025 95   @ Washington W 71-64 73%    
  Jan 27, 2025 71   @ USC W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 30, 2025 23   Oregon W 69-66 62%    
  Feb 04, 2025 14   Michigan St. W 68-66 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 32   Penn St. W 73-68 68%    
  Feb 11, 2025 21   @ Illinois L 69-72 40%    
  Feb 14, 2025 51   @ Indiana W 70-69 55%    
  Feb 18, 2025 111   Minnesota W 69-54 91%    
  Feb 23, 2025 29   Ohio St. W 70-65 67%    
  Feb 28, 2025 27   @ Purdue L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 03, 2025 55   @ Northwestern W 64-62 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 71   USC W 73-63 82%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 6.6 5.1 2.6 0.8 0.1 22.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 5.4 5.6 2.4 0.5 0.0 15.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.2 5.4 1.6 0.2 11.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 5.4 2.0 0.2 0.0 10.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.2 2.9 0.3 0.0 8.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 1.6 0.1 5.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 2.8 0.3 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 0.9 0.0 4.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 1.8 0.2 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.5 0.6 0.0 2.4 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.5 4.5 7.3 10.6 13.0 15.0 14.8 12.3 9.2 5.6 2.6 0.8 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.8    0.8 0.0
18-2 98.9% 2.6    2.4 0.1 0.0
17-3 91.1% 5.1    4.2 0.8 0.0
16-4 71.2% 6.6    3.9 2.3 0.4 0.0 0.0
15-5 40.2% 5.0    1.6 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-6 11.4% 1.7    0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 22.0% 22.0 13.2 5.8 2.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 42.6% 57.4% 1.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.8% 100.0% 32.9% 67.1% 1.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 2.6% 100.0% 29.3% 70.7% 1.9 0.9 1.2 0.4 0.1 100.0%
17-3 5.6% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 2.3 1.1 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 9.2% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 3.0 0.7 2.4 3.2 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 12.3% 100.0% 17.6% 82.4% 3.9 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.9 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-6 14.8% 99.9% 14.1% 85.8% 4.8 0.0 0.4 2.0 3.6 4.2 2.9 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 15.0% 99.7% 8.8% 90.9% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.6 4.1 3.2 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 13.0% 98.4% 5.0% 93.4% 6.9 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 2.7 3.6 2.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.2 98.3%
11-9 10.6% 95.1% 3.8% 91.4% 7.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.3 2.8 2.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.5 94.9%
10-10 7.3% 83.7% 2.4% 81.3% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 1.5 1.5 0.8 0.0 1.2 83.3%
9-11 4.5% 51.9% 1.3% 50.6% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.0 0.1 2.2 51.2%
8-12 2.5% 16.4% 0.4% 16.0% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 2.1 16.0%
7-13 1.1% 2.6% 0.6% 2.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1 2.0%
6-14 0.4% 0.4
5-15 0.1% 0.1
4-16 0.0% 0.0
3-17 0.0% 0.0
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 92.2% 11.2% 81.0% 5.4 3.5 7.8 11.7 12.9 13.2 12.1 11.2 8.4 5.5 3.5 2.2 0.1 0.0 7.8 91.2%