Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.3#126
Expected Predictive Rating-2.9#213
Pace65.7#266
Improvement+0.2#167

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#153
First Shot-2.7#252
After Offensive Rebound+3.2#29
Layup/Dunks-3.3#296
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#218
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#112
Freethrows-0.8#228
Improvement+1.4#76

Defense
Total Defense+1.8#118
First Shot-0.7#191
After Offensive Rebounds+2.5#27
Layups/Dunks+1.1#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#296
Freethrows-0.6#233
Improvement-1.2#276
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.2 11.1 11.6
.500 or above 7.8% 14.0% 4.1%
.500 or above in Conference 9.6% 12.7% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 20.7% 28.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Neutral) - 38.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 41 - 7
Quad 23 - 93 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 326   Delaware St. W 83-60 91%     1 - 0 +10.6 +3.4 +6.9
  Nov 08, 2024 338   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 93%     2 - 0 +4.8 +10.5 -6.3
  Nov 11, 2024 187   Winthrop W 58-52 74%     3 - 0 +1.7 -10.7 +13.1
  Nov 15, 2024 30   Penn St. L 64-86 17%     3 - 1 -9.4 -5.5 -2.9
  Nov 20, 2024 205   Jacksonville L 64-74 76%     3 - 2 -15.0 -7.8 -7.4
  Nov 25, 2024 21   Michigan L 63-75 13%     3 - 3 +2.2 -3.1 +5.4
  Nov 27, 2024 69   South Carolina L 60-70 28%     3 - 4 -1.7 -2.4 -0.4
  Dec 04, 2024 50   Vanderbilt L 64-80 31%     3 - 5 -8.7 -4.0 -5.5
  Dec 07, 2024 33   Pittsburgh L 59-64 25%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +4.4 -5.0 +9.0
  Dec 12, 2024 321   N.C. A&T W 95-67 90%     4 - 6 +16.0 +7.7 +5.9
  Dec 15, 2024 302   Navy W 80-72 88%     5 - 6 -2.7 +13.0 -14.4
  Dec 21, 2024 96   Saint Joseph's L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 57-79 2%    
  Jan 04, 2025 93   Miami (FL) L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 08, 2025 94   @ Stanford L 68-75 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 118   @ California L 72-75 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 78   North Carolina St. L 67-69 43%    
  Jan 18, 2025 86   Wake Forest L 66-67 46%    
  Jan 22, 2025 111   @ Georgia Tech L 69-73 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 35   Clemson L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 29, 2025 63   @ Florida St. L 68-77 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 90   @ Virginia L 56-63 26%    
  Feb 05, 2025 49   SMU L 71-76 32%    
  Feb 08, 2025 83   @ Notre Dame L 64-71 25%    
  Feb 15, 2025 90   Virginia L 59-60 47%    
  Feb 18, 2025 152   @ Boston College L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 93   @ Miami (FL) L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 25, 2025 51   Louisville L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 01, 2025 95   Syracuse L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 22   North Carolina L 72-81 22%    
  Mar 08, 2025 35   @ Clemson L 61-74 12%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 5th
6th 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 2.7 8th
9th 0.2 1.6 1.5 0.2 0.0 3.4 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.5 2.8 1.7 0.1 5.1 11th
12th 0.1 2.2 3.7 0.6 0.0 6.6 12th
13th 0.0 1.1 4.5 2.2 0.1 7.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 4.0 4.1 0.5 9.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.7 1.7 0.1 11.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.4 3.0 6.3 3.4 0.3 0.0 13.5 16th
17th 0.1 0.8 3.6 6.1 4.1 0.8 0.0 15.5 17th
18th 0.4 2.2 4.2 5.0 3.2 0.8 0.0 15.7 18th
Total 0.4 2.3 5.0 9.1 12.7 14.9 15.1 13.3 10.6 7.0 4.9 2.5 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0%
15-5 5.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 13.2% 13.2% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 13.2%
14-6 0.2% 4.3% 1.1% 3.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 3.2%
13-7 0.6% 1.9% 0.6% 1.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.3%
12-8 1.2% 1.7% 0.3% 1.3% 11.0 0.0 1.2 1.3%
11-9 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 2.5
10-10 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.5 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.0%
9-11 7.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 7.0
8-12 10.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 10.6
7-13 13.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.3
6-14 15.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 15.1
5-15 14.9% 14.9
4-16 12.7% 12.7
3-17 9.1% 9.1
2-18 5.0% 5.0
1-19 2.3% 2.3
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%