West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#76
Expected Predictive Rating+8.5#64
Pace70.2#151
Improvement-0.8#287

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#77
First Shot+5.2#50
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#259
Layup/Dunks+0.3#174
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#216
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.1#32
Freethrows-0.4#202
Improvement-0.6#278

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#72
First Shot+3.6#75
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#177
Layups/Dunks+6.9#19
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#340
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#111
Freethrows-1.6#265
Improvement-0.3#227
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 1.8% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 4.5% 4.9% 1.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.2% 20.5% 8.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 18.8% 20.0% 8.2%
Average Seed 8.3 8.2 8.8
.500 or above 39.5% 42.0% 18.2%
.500 or above in Conference 20.5% 21.6% 11.7%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 19.0% 17.7% 29.0%
First Four4.0% 4.3% 2.1%
First Round17.2% 18.4% 7.3%
Second Round9.2% 9.9% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 3.3% 1.0%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.1% 0.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Iona (Home) - 89.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 12
Quad 23 - 36 - 15
Quad 33 - 19 - 16
Quad 45 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 288   Robert Morris W 87-59 93%     1 - 0 +18.5 +9.6 +8.4
  Nov 08, 2024 129   Massachusetts W 75-69 78%     2 - 0 +5.2 -0.5 +5.4
  Nov 15, 2024 25   @ Pittsburgh L 62-86 20%     2 - 1 -7.5 -5.0 -1.5
  Nov 20, 2024 217   Iona W 78-65 89%    
  Nov 27, 2024 1   Gonzaga L 72-86 9%    
  Dec 06, 2024 126   Georgetown W 78-70 77%    
  Dec 10, 2024 267   NC Central W 80-64 93%    
  Dec 14, 2024 286   Bethune-Cookman W 81-64 94%    
  Dec 22, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 79-54 99%    
  Dec 31, 2024 6   @ Kansas L 67-81 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 86   Oklahoma St. W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 07, 2025 13   Arizona L 76-81 32%    
  Jan 12, 2025 70   @ Colorado L 70-74 38%    
  Jan 15, 2025 4   @ Houston L 60-75 9%    
  Jan 18, 2025 12   Iowa St. L 67-73 30%    
  Jan 21, 2025 53   Arizona St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 25, 2025 66   @ Kansas St. L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 29, 2025 4   Houston L 63-72 22%    
  Feb 02, 2025 18   @ Cincinnati L 68-78 21%    
  Feb 05, 2025 60   @ TCU L 72-76 36%    
  Feb 08, 2025 54   Utah W 75-74 54%    
  Feb 11, 2025 34   BYU L 75-76 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 11   @ Baylor L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 19, 2025 18   Cincinnati L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 14   @ Texas Tech L 67-78 18%    
  Feb 25, 2025 60   TCU W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 34   @ BYU L 72-79 26%    
  Mar 04, 2025 54   @ Utah L 72-77 34%    
  Mar 08, 2025 71   Central Florida W 74-72 58%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.2 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.6 0.7 0.0 5.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.7 1.4 0.1 7.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.5 3.8 0.8 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.7 1.4 0.1 9.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.7 3.0 0.5 0.0 10.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.8 4.7 3.1 0.8 0.0 12.2 15th
16th 0.4 1.7 3.2 3.5 2.2 0.6 0.1 11.6 16th
Total 0.4 1.8 4.0 6.7 9.5 11.2 12.5 12.5 11.3 9.5 7.2 5.4 3.5 2.1 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 80.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-4 45.8% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 16.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 2.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.3% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 3.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.6% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 3.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 1.3% 99.4% 6.8% 92.6% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.4%
13-7 2.1% 98.1% 4.3% 93.8% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.0%
12-8 3.5% 95.4% 2.3% 93.2% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.2 95.3%
11-9 5.4% 82.0% 1.2% 80.7% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.0 81.7%
10-10 7.2% 58.7% 0.7% 58.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 0.2 3.0 58.4%
9-11 9.5% 24.3% 0.3% 23.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 7.2 24.0%
8-12 11.3% 4.3% 0.2% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.8 4.0%
7-13 12.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.4%
6-14 12.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 0.0 12.5 0.0%
5-15 11.2% 11.2
4-16 9.5% 9.5
3-17 6.7% 6.7
2-18 4.0% 4.0
1-19 1.8% 1.8
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 19.2% 0.6% 18.7% 8.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.6 2.4 2.5 2.8 2.7 3.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 80.8 18.8%