West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.7#39
Expected Predictive Rating+16.1#22
Pace66.9#234
Improvement+3.2#25

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#56
First Shot+6.5#33
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#276
Layup/Dunks-3.7#309
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#207
3 Pt Jumpshots+10.2#3
Freethrows+0.7#137
Improvement+1.6#63

Defense
Total Defense+6.8#24
First Shot+8.1#10
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#283
Layups/Dunks+6.9#16
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#99
Freethrows-0.2#204
Improvement+1.6#65
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 1.6% 1.7% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 9.9% 9.9% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 26.0% 26.1% 7.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 68.6% 68.7% 42.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 67.8% 67.9% 42.6%
Average Seed 7.3 7.3 8.5
.500 or above 88.6% 88.7% 66.3%
.500 or above in Conference 54.7% 54.8% 35.8%
Conference Champion 1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 3.0% 3.0% 7.9%
First Four7.6% 7.6% 7.9%
First Round64.7% 64.8% 39.5%
Second Round37.7% 37.7% 21.1%
Sweet Sixteen13.9% 13.9% 6.3%
Elite Eight5.2% 5.2% 2.6%
Final Four1.8% 1.8% 0.0%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercyhurst (Home) - 99.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 73 - 7
Quad 1b3 - 36 - 10
Quad 25 - 311 - 13
Quad 33 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 259   Robert Morris W 87-59 96%     1 - 0 +19.7 +11.1 +8.1
  Nov 08, 2024 191   Massachusetts W 75-69 92%     2 - 0 +1.7 -2.4 +3.8
  Nov 15, 2024 33   @ Pittsburgh L 62-86 36%     2 - 1 -8.6 -5.8 -1.8
  Nov 20, 2024 258   Iona W 86-43 96%     3 - 1 +34.7 +12.4 +22.8
  Nov 27, 2024 4   Gonzaga W 86-78 OT 21%     4 - 1 +28.1 +12.8 +14.5
  Nov 28, 2024 51   Louisville L 70-79 OT 56%     4 - 2 +1.2 -0.8 +2.4
  Nov 29, 2024 17   Arizona W 83-76 OT 37%     5 - 2 +22.2 +14.5 +7.4
  Dec 06, 2024 71   Georgetown W 73-60 74%     6 - 2 +18.0 +6.5 +12.2
  Dec 10, 2024 276   NC Central W 79-45 96%     7 - 2 +24.8 +9.9 +19.0
  Dec 14, 2024 262   Bethune-Cookman W 84-61 96%     8 - 2 +14.5 +8.8 +5.5
  Dec 22, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 81-52 99.6%   
  Dec 31, 2024 10   @ Kansas L 67-75 21%    
  Jan 04, 2025 97   Oklahoma St. W 78-69 80%    
  Jan 07, 2025 17   Arizona L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 12, 2025 75   @ Colorado W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 15, 2025 6   @ Houston L 59-69 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 5   Iowa St. L 71-76 33%    
  Jan 21, 2025 62   Arizona St. W 74-68 70%    
  Jan 25, 2025 68   @ Kansas St. W 71-70 51%    
  Jan 29, 2025 6   Houston L 62-66 34%    
  Feb 02, 2025 26   @ Cincinnati L 65-70 32%    
  Feb 05, 2025 88   @ TCU W 69-67 58%    
  Feb 08, 2025 66   Utah W 76-70 71%    
  Feb 11, 2025 40   BYU W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 12   @ Baylor L 68-75 25%    
  Feb 19, 2025 26   Cincinnati W 68-67 53%    
  Feb 22, 2025 24   @ Texas Tech L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 25, 2025 88   TCU W 72-64 77%    
  Mar 01, 2025 40   @ BYU L 72-75 40%    
  Mar 04, 2025 66   @ Utah W 73-72 51%    
  Mar 08, 2025 84   Central Florida W 74-66 76%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.1 1.4 0.1 0.0 6.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 3.9 2.3 0.2 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 9.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 4.1 4.2 0.9 0.0 9.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.1 1.7 0.1 10.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 5.1 2.5 0.2 0.0 9.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 8.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.6 1.0 0.0 7.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.3 3.2 1.4 0.1 6.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.5 5.9 8.9 11.0 13.2 13.4 12.6 10.6 8.1 5.1 2.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 96.3% 0.2    0.1 0.0
17-3 83.0% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 47.6% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 17.8% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.6% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 1.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.5% 100.0% 20.2% 79.8% 2.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.3% 100.0% 11.2% 88.8% 2.8 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.9% 100.0% 9.7% 90.3% 3.6 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.1% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 8.1% 99.9% 6.5% 93.4% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.3 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-8 10.6% 99.6% 3.5% 96.1% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.1 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
11-9 12.6% 97.8% 2.2% 95.6% 7.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 3.3 3.5 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.3 97.7%
10-10 13.4% 93.5% 1.3% 92.1% 8.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.7 3.5 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.9 93.4%
9-11 13.2% 75.1% 0.6% 74.6% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.9 3.2 3.4 0.2 3.3 75.0%
8-12 11.0% 39.1% 0.5% 38.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.7 38.8%
7-13 8.9% 9.4% 0.2% 9.2% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 8.0 9.2%
6-14 5.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9 0.4%
5-15 3.5% 3.5
4-16 1.7% 1.7
3-17 0.7% 0.7
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 68.6% 2.5% 66.1% 7.3 0.4 1.2 3.2 5.1 7.1 9.0 9.8 10.1 8.1 6.7 7.2 0.8 0.0 31.4 67.8%