William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.4#210
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#249
Pace75.9#48
Improvement+1.5#54

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#148
First Shot+1.6#127
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#218
Layup/Dunks-2.8#272
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#320
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.5#37
Freethrows+1.8#87
Improvement+1.1#46

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#290
First Shot-0.2#172
After Offensive Rebounds-3.2#333
Layups/Dunks+2.6#92
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#225
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#214
Freethrows-1.8#279
Improvement+0.3#141
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.1% 8.1% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.8 14.3
.500 or above 38.9% 64.3% 36.6%
.500 or above in Conference 53.6% 68.7% 52.3%
Conference Champion 4.1% 7.7% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 2.7% 5.6%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round4.0% 8.1% 3.6%
Second Round0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 8.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 31 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 514 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 234   @ Radford L 77-89 44%     0 - 1 -12.7 +0.4 -13.1
  Nov 12, 2024 192   Norfolk St. W 84-73 58%     1 - 1 +6.5 +6.3 -0.1
  Nov 15, 2024 193   @ Winthrop L 85-86 35%     1 - 2 +0.5 +4.1 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2024 264   NC Central L 76-78 61%     1 - 3 -7.4 -2.0 -5.3
  Nov 17, 2024 220   Georgia Southern W 102-87 51%     2 - 3 +12.2 +13.8 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 50   @ North Carolina St. L 72-87 8%    
  Nov 24, 2024 198   @ Appalachian St. L 72-75 37%    
  Dec 02, 2024 305   @ Old Dominion W 82-79 59%    
  Dec 18, 2024 197   Richmond W 75-73 59%    
  Dec 22, 2024 60   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 69-83 10%    
  Dec 29, 2024 310   Navy W 82-73 79%    
  Jan 02, 2025 133   @ Hofstra L 71-78 26%    
  Jan 04, 2025 302   @ Stony Brook W 79-77 58%    
  Jan 09, 2025 205   Elon W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 11, 2025 289   N.C. A&T W 86-79 74%    
  Jan 16, 2025 308   @ Hampton W 75-72 61%    
  Jan 20, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 23, 2025 308   Hampton W 78-69 79%    
  Jan 25, 2025 278   Monmouth W 83-76 72%    
  Jan 30, 2025 256   @ Campbell L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 111   College of Charleston L 80-83 40%    
  Feb 06, 2025 145   @ Drexel L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 216   @ Delaware L 78-81 40%    
  Feb 13, 2025 133   Hofstra L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 15, 2025 145   Drexel L 72-73 50%    
  Feb 20, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 205   @ Elon L 77-80 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 126   @ Towson L 68-76 25%    
  Mar 01, 2025 155   Northeastern W 78-77 51%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.8 1.2 1.2 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.1 1st
2nd 0.2 1.3 2.4 1.4 0.4 0.0 5.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.1 1.6 0.3 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 3.8 2.4 0.5 8.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.1 3.4 0.5 8.9 5th
6th 0.4 3.3 4.1 1.1 0.0 9.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.2 1.9 0.2 9.6 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 4.6 3.1 0.3 9.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.9 0.6 9.2 9th
10th 0.5 3.0 3.8 1.0 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.3 1.9 3.5 1.6 0.2 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.8 1.3 0.2 4.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.2 2.7 14th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.0 6.4 9.2 11.3 12.4 13.2 11.9 10.4 7.4 5.4 2.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.4% 0.6    0.5 0.1
15-3 74.9% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1
14-4 41.8% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2
13-5 15.0% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.1% 4.1 1.8 1.4 0.7 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 22.5% 22.5% 13.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.6% 30.2% 30.2% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4
15-3 1.6% 26.6% 26.6% 13.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2
14-4 2.9% 16.6% 16.6% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 2.4
13-5 5.4% 13.1% 13.1% 13.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 4.7
12-6 7.4% 7.8% 7.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 6.9
11-7 10.4% 6.8% 6.8% 14.7 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 9.7
10-8 11.9% 3.2% 3.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 11.5
9-9 13.2% 2.1% 2.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 12.9
8-10 12.4% 1.1% 1.1% 15.6 0.1 0.1 12.3
7-11 11.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 11.2
6-12 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.1 9.1
5-13 6.4% 6.4
4-14 4.0% 4.0
3-15 2.1% 2.1
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 4.1% 4.1% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.6 95.9 0.0%