William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#221
Expected Predictive Rating-5.9#269
Pace76.6#28
Improvement-0.7#227

Offense
Total Offense+2.4#115
First Shot+2.0#115
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#164
Layup/Dunks-0.7#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#333
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.7#30
Freethrows+0.0#174
Improvement+1.8#63

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#339
First Shot-4.9#335
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#250
Layups/Dunks-1.8#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#284
Freethrows-0.7#239
Improvement-2.5#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.5% 3.8% 2.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.3
.500 or above 23.3% 26.8% 10.0%
.500 or above in Conference 46.7% 49.2% 37.1%
Conference Champion 3.4% 3.8% 1.8%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 5.8% 10.1%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.7%
First Round3.3% 3.6% 2.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Navy (Home) - 79.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 34 - 94 - 12
Quad 49 - 613 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 214   @ Radford L 77-89 36%     0 - 1 -11.7 +3.3 -14.9
  Nov 12, 2024 184   Norfolk St. W 84-73 54%     1 - 1 +6.8 +5.8 +0.6
  Nov 15, 2024 190   @ Winthrop L 85-86 32%     1 - 2 +0.5 +3.0 -2.3
  Nov 16, 2024 274   NC Central L 76-78 61%     1 - 3 -8.3 -2.6 -5.6
  Nov 17, 2024 242   Georgia Southern W 102-87 55%     2 - 3 +10.5 +14.9 -6.3
  Nov 22, 2024 79   @ North Carolina St. L 61-84 11%     2 - 4 -12.7 -11.2 +0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 175   @ Appalachian St. L 76-79 30%     2 - 5 -0.8 +10.6 -11.6
  Dec 02, 2024 308   @ Old Dominion L 83-88 57%     2 - 6 -10.1 +2.4 -12.2
  Dec 18, 2024 216   Richmond W 93-87 60%     3 - 6 +0.1 +21.9 -21.5
  Dec 22, 2024 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-90 8%     3 - 7 -7.6 +2.4 -9.1
  Dec 29, 2024 318   Navy W 86-77 79%    
  Jan 02, 2025 149   @ Hofstra L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 04, 2025 306   @ Stony Brook W 82-80 56%    
  Jan 09, 2025 181   Elon W 79-78 52%    
  Jan 11, 2025 324   N.C. A&T W 92-83 79%    
  Jan 16, 2025 248   @ Hampton L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 20, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 77-85 23%    
  Jan 23, 2025 248   Hampton W 79-75 66%    
  Jan 25, 2025 261   Monmouth W 83-78 68%    
  Jan 30, 2025 296   @ Campbell W 78-77 54%    
  Feb 01, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 83-86 38%    
  Feb 06, 2025 154   @ Drexel L 72-78 28%    
  Feb 08, 2025 215   @ Delaware L 83-87 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 149   Hofstra L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 15, 2025 154   Drexel L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 20, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington L 80-82 43%    
  Feb 22, 2025 181   @ Elon L 76-81 32%    
  Feb 27, 2025 209   @ Towson L 70-74 36%    
  Mar 01, 2025 170   Northeastern W 80-79 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 5.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.5 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 4.2 2.4 0.2 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.5 4.0 0.7 0.0 8.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.3 1.5 0.1 9.2 7th
8th 0.0 1.2 5.5 3.1 0.2 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 4.1 4.5 0.7 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.8 1.5 0.0 9.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.3 2.2 0.2 8.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.3 2.4 0.4 0.0 7.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.8 0.4 0.0 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.3 14th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.3 4.5 7.7 10.5 12.8 14.2 13.5 11.7 8.9 5.9 3.6 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 98.6% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 86.8% 0.6    0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 62.4% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.6% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.4% 3.4 1.5 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.1% 23.1% 23.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 23.9% 23.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 20.5% 20.5% 13.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6
14-4 1.9% 16.7% 16.7% 13.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 1.6
13-5 3.6% 12.9% 12.9% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 3.2
12-6 5.9% 9.7% 9.7% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 5.4
11-7 8.9% 7.0% 7.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 8.3
10-8 11.7% 4.4% 4.4% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 11.2
9-9 13.5% 2.5% 2.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 13.2
8-10 14.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 14.0
7-11 12.8% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 12.7
6-12 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.5
5-13 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 7.7
4-14 4.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.5
3-15 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.5% 3.5% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.4 1.0 96.5 0.0%