Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.4#76
Expected Predictive Rating+4.8#100
Pace69.7#126
Improvement+1.9#116

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#86
First Shot+3.6#85
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#192
Layup/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#63
Freethrows+1.4#89
Improvement+3.5#34

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#75
First Shot+3.9#64
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#179
Layups/Dunks-0.5#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#32
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement-1.6#266
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 11.5% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.6% 11.5% 0.0%
Second Round1.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 34 - 7
Quad 37 - 411 - 11
Quad 411 - 122 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 265   Navy W 70-63 92%     1 - 0 -1.5 -8.5 +6.9
  Nov 08, 2024 197   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 87%     1 - 1 -10.7 -3.8 -7.0
  Nov 12, 2024 46   Villanova W 83-76 45%     2 - 1 +15.7 +6.1 +9.1
  Nov 15, 2024 281   @ Penn W 86-69 86%     3 - 1 +13.0 +14.9 -0.7
  Nov 21, 2024 7   Texas Tech W 78-77 13%     4 - 1 +20.7 +12.7 +8.0
  Nov 22, 2024 44   Texas L 58-67 34%     4 - 2 +2.6 -7.9 +10.3
  Nov 26, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 83-54 99%     5 - 2 +9.1 +7.6 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2024 188   Princeton L 69-77 86%     5 - 3 -12.2 -6.5 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 225   La Salle W 82-68 84%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +10.6 +9.2 +1.5
  Dec 10, 2024 148   College of Charleston L 75-78 81%     6 - 4 -4.9 -3.1 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2024 249   American W 84-57 91%     7 - 4 +19.4 +11.5 +8.9
  Dec 21, 2024 134   Virginia Tech W 82-62 72%     8 - 4 +21.5 +14.7 +7.8
  Dec 28, 2024 310   Delaware St. W 76-58 95%     9 - 4 +6.2 -6.2 +11.8
  Dec 31, 2024 190   Massachusetts W 81-72 86%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +4.7 +5.3 -0.9
  Jan 03, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 57-73 51%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -8.9 -8.3 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2025 122   @ Duquesne L 81-85 OT 59%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +1.1 +6.6 -5.3
  Jan 11, 2025 109   Loyola Chicago W 93-57 73%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +37.0 +20.4 +16.1
  Jan 17, 2025 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-78 37%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +1.8 +0.4 +1.6
  Jan 21, 2025 140   @ Davidson W 78-61 64%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +20.8 +11.2 +10.8
  Jan 24, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 72-77 39%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +5.2 +6.1 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2025 122   Duquesne W 76-72 77%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +3.6 +5.3 -1.6
  Feb 01, 2025 109   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-58 54%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +3.5 -10.5 +13.8
  Feb 07, 2025 100   Saint Louis W 76-63 71%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +14.6 +7.1 +8.0
  Feb 12, 2025 225   La Salle W 75-63 89%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +5.8 -0.3 +6.0
  Feb 15, 2025 90   @ George Mason L 57-58 46%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +7.5 +4.7 +2.7
  Feb 19, 2025 114   @ George Washington W 79-68 55%     16 - 10 8 - 6 +17.1 +16.9 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 226   Richmond W 78-62 89%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +9.8 +9.1 +2.1
  Feb 26, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure W 75-64 73%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +11.9 +8.1 +4.4
  Mar 01, 2025 238   @ Fordham W 90-76 80%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +12.6 +20.4 -7.1
  Mar 05, 2025 138   Rhode Island W 91-74 80%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +15.6 +16.3 -0.8
  Mar 08, 2025 225   @ La Salle L 74-81 78%     20 - 11 12 - 7 -7.7 +2.2 -9.9
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 9.7% 9.6% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 2.5 7.0 0.1 90.3 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 9.6% 0.0% 11.7 0.0 2.5 7.0 0.1 90.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.6% 100.0% 11.7 0.3 26.1 72.9 0.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.5% 0.3% 11.8 0.1 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 15.8%
Lose Out 16.1%