Bethune-Cookman
Southwestern Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.7 #278
Expected Predictive Rating -7.6 #278
Pace 71.4 #117
Improvement -3.9 #349

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #232 C- D- C+ C C-
Defense #314 D+ D- D+ D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #122 1.17 #160 +1.5 #128
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #85 0.71 #231 +1.4 #102
Three Pointers 34% #316 0.97 #235 -4.3 #310
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #209 -1.5 #210
Freethrows 17.3 #190 71% #221 12.3 #196
Second Chance 26.6% #292 0.91 #319 0.24 #322
Turnovers 16.0% #136
Total Offense -2.3 #232

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #34 1.12 #126 -2.6 #266
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #278 0.80 #255 +0.7 #145
Three Pointers 38% #261 1.15 #331 -1.2 #225
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #272 -3.0 #272
Freethrows 19.2 #280 73% #183 13.9 #89
Second Chance 33.8% #291 1.14 #293 0.39 #314
Turnovers 15.4% #254
Total Defense -4.3 #314

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #252 1.8% #323
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.9% #205 4.0% #253
Possession Length 17.7 #219 16.8 #115
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #74 0.18 #223
Improvement -1.9 #297 -2.0 #301

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.3% 16.9% 11.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 27.7% 37.5% 16.4%
.500 or above in Conference 79.4% 88.2% 69.1%
Conference Champion 19.3% 28.2% 9.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four11.1% 12.6% 9.5%
First Round9.2% 10.9% 7.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Grambling St. (Home) - 53.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 7
Quad 20 - 10 - 8
Quad 31 - 11 - 9
Quad 413 - 914 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 33 @Auburn L 90 - 95 OT 2%  -1  0 - 1 +12 +11 A+ F B- +1 A+ C- C-
 Thu, Nov 6 36 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 101 3%  -20  0 - 2 -23 -6 F C+ A -16 F A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 75 @Dayton L 82 - 91 6%  -6  0 - 3 +2 +18 C A+ A+ -17 F F A
 Wed, Nov 19 170 @Ohio W 76 - 73 20%  +4  1 - 3 +5 +7 A+ F A+ -2 B- C+ F
 Mon, Nov 24 328 Jacksonville L 64 - 69 65%  +2  1 - 4 -15 -7 F F B- -9 D- C- F
 Tue, Nov 25 276 Stony Brook L 54 - 61 50%  +2  1 - 5 -14 -14 F F D+ +0 B- D A+
 Sat, Nov 29 25 @Indiana L 56 - 100 2%  -26  1 - 6 -25 -10 F D B -15 F B F
 Fri, Dec 5 357 South Carolina St. W 80 - 59 85%  +12  2 - 6 +3 +5 A+ F A+ -1 A+ C C
 Sun, Dec 14 51 @Missouri L 60 - 82 4%  -15  2 - 7 -8 -6 F B+ F -4 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 17 29 @Saint Louis L 53 - 112 2%  -31  2 - 8 -42 -16 F D+ D+ -20 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 2 @Arizona L 71 - 107 1%  -15  2 - 9 -9 +4 A+ D F -9 F C A-
 Mon, Dec 29 54 @Oklahoma St. L 77 - 103 5%  -13  2 - 10 -13 -0 A- D- F -10 A- F F
 Sat, Jan 3 345 Florida A&M W 87 - 83 78%  +4  3 - 10 1 - 0 -11 +6 B- F A -16 F F D-
 Sat, Jan 10 246 Grambling St. W 74 - 73 54% 
 Mon, Jan 12 256 Southern W 80 - 78 57% 
 Sat, Jan 17 365 @Mississippi Valley W 80 - 66 91% 
 Mon, Jan 19 327 @Arkansas Pine Bluff W 83 - 82 53% 
 Sat, Jan 24 342 Jackson St. W 82 - 74 77% 
 Mon, Jan 26 346 Alcorn St. W 83 - 75 78% 
 Sat, Jan 31 301 @Alabama St. L 77 - 79 43% 
 Mon, Feb 2 303 @Alabama A&M L 72 - 74 43% 
 Sat, Feb 7 306 Prairie View W 84 - 79 67% 
 Mon, Feb 9 335 Texas Southern W 81 - 74 75% 
 Sat, Feb 14 346 @Alcorn St. W 80 - 78 59% 
 Mon, Feb 16 342 @Jackson St. W 79 - 77 57% 
 Thu, Feb 19 301 Alabama St. W 80 - 76 65% 
 Sat, Feb 21 303 Alabama A&M W 75 - 71 65% 
 Thu, Feb 26 246 @Grambling St. L 71 - 76 33% 
 Sat, Feb 28 256 @Southern L 77 - 81 35% 
 Thu, Mar 5 345 @Florida A&M W 78 - 76 57% 
Totals 13 - 17 10 - 7 -7 -2 C- D- C+ -4 D+ D- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.5 3.2 6.6 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.1 19.3 1st
2nd 0.2 3.8 7.0 3.7 0.7 0.0 15.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 2.3 6.9 3.1 0.3 12.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 6.1 4.0 0.3 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 3.8 5.3 0.7 0.0 10.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.5 5.7 1.5 0.0 8.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.7 3.1 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.4 0.5 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.6 0.8 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 3.3 5.9 9.6 14.0 15.6 15.9 13.6 10.5 6.1 2.7 0.9 0.1 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 100.0% 0.9    0.9 0.0
15-3 98.7% 2.6    2.5 0.1
14-4 88.7% 5.4    4.1 1.2 0.1
13-5 62.3% 6.6    3.0 2.8 0.7 0.1
12-6 23.5% 3.2    0.5 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.0
11-7 2.8% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 11.1 5.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 62.5% 62.5% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.9% 40.2% 40.2% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.6
15-3 2.7% 33.7% 33.7% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.6 1.8
14-4 6.1% 25.5% 25.5% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5
13-5 10.5% 23.7% 23.7% 16.0 0.1 2.4 8.0
12-6 13.6% 18.4% 18.4% 16.0 0.0 2.5 11.1
11-7 15.9% 16.3% 16.3% 16.0 0.0 2.6 13.3
10-8 15.6% 13.2% 13.2% 16.0 2.1 13.5
9-9 14.0% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 1.3 12.7
8-10 9.6% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.5 9.2
7-11 5.9% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.9
6-12 3.3% 3.3
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 15.9 85.7 0.0%