Buffalo
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.4#346
Expected Predictive Rating-10.3#322
Pace74.5#41
Improvement-0.9#228

Offense
Total Offense-7.7#342
First Shot-3.7#282
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#350
Layup/Dunks+2.9#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.5#348
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#226
Freethrows-1.6#280
Improvement-1.6#265

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#312
First Shot-5.0#328
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#156
Layups/Dunks-0.3#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#135
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.8#356
Freethrows+1.4#87
Improvement+0.7#145
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 80 - 13
Quad 47 - 97 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 277   @ Old Dominion W 83-82 21%     1 - 0 -2.8 +5.2 -8.1
  Nov 11, 2024 95   @ Notre Dame L 77-86 4%     1 - 1 -1.0 +0.3 -0.4
  Nov 14, 2024 149   Bryant L 64-87 17%     1 - 2 -25.1 -16.0 -6.8
  Nov 19, 2024 229   @ Vermont L 67-78 14%     1 - 3 -11.9 +2.0 -14.7
  Nov 22, 2024 333   Morgan St. W 82-73 56%     2 - 3 -4.8 +1.1 -5.8
  Nov 25, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 82-81 54%     3 - 3 -12.3 -6.0 -6.5
  Dec 01, 2024 58   @ Penn St. L 64-87 2%     3 - 4 -10.4 -3.0 -7.4
  Dec 07, 2024 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 55-65 5%     3 - 5 -3.5 -7.3 +2.8
  Dec 19, 2024 33   @ Georgia L 49-100 1%     3 - 6 -34.5 -14.3 -20.6
  Dec 29, 2024 157   @ Temple L 71-91 8%     3 - 7 -17.0 -11.6 -3.0
  Jan 04, 2025 161   @ Miami (OH) L 79-93 9%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -11.3 +6.1 -17.2
  Jan 07, 2025 183   Ohio L 79-88 22%     3 - 9 0 - 2 -13.1 -5.8 -6.3
  Jan 10, 2025 133   Kent St. L 49-68 15%     3 - 10 0 - 3 -20.1 -22.0 +1.2
  Jan 14, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green L 61-79 22%     3 - 11 0 - 4 -22.4 -11.7 -10.8
  Jan 18, 2025 297   @ Western Michigan W 85-76 24%     4 - 11 1 - 4 +4.0 -2.0 +4.8
  Jan 21, 2025 111   Akron L 58-90 11%     4 - 12 1 - 5 -31.1 -21.3 -6.8
  Jan 25, 2025 274   @ Eastern Michigan L 77-90 20%     4 - 13 1 - 6 -16.6 -0.5 -15.9
  Jan 28, 2025 219   Central Michigan W 75-69 26%     5 - 13 2 - 6 +0.1 -4.4 +4.3
  Feb 01, 2025 268   Ball St. L 76-89 36%     5 - 14 2 - 7 -21.8 -3.8 -17.8
  Feb 04, 2025 248   @ Toledo L 74-87 16%     5 - 15 2 - 8 -15.0 -6.4 -8.4
  Feb 08, 2025 254   Georgia St. L 75-80 32%     5 - 16 -12.7 -14.5 +2.5
  Feb 11, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 73-67 40%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -3.7 -1.4 -2.2
  Feb 15, 2025 283   Bowling Green L 59-63 40%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -13.9 -15.1 +1.1
  Feb 18, 2025 297   Western Michigan L 64-97 43%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -43.5 -15.1 -27.9
  Feb 22, 2025 268   @ Ball St. L 66-80 20%     6 - 19 3 - 11 -17.3 -11.7 -5.2
  Feb 25, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan L 69-73 13%     6 - 20 3 - 12 -4.4 -3.1 -1.4
  Mar 01, 2025 248   Toledo W 87-74 32%     7 - 20 4 - 12 +5.5 +10.0 -3.7
  Mar 04, 2025 161   Miami (OH) L 69-84 18%     7 - 21 4 - 13 -17.8 -5.6 -12.1
  Mar 07, 2025 111   @ Akron L 70-88 5%     7 - 22 4 - 14 -11.6 -0.7 -11.1
Projected Record 7 - 22 4 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 100.0 100.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14 100.0% 100.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%