Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#296
Expected Predictive Rating-10.9#329
Pace66.3#252
Improvement-2.8#322

Offense
Total Offense-5.2#319
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebound-4.0#349
Layup/Dunks-1.8#244
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#173
Freethrows+1.8#77
Improvement-1.1#266

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#233
First Shot-5.0#338
After Offensive Rebounds+3.0#10
Layups/Dunks-6.6#358
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#261
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#75
Freethrows-0.2#204
Improvement-1.7#301
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.1% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.0 15.8
.500 or above 2.6% 10.9% 2.5%
.500 or above in Conference 15.7% 28.7% 15.6%
Conference Champion 0.4% 1.5% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 25.5% 17.8% 25.6%
First Four0.4% 0.2% 0.4%
First Round0.4% 0.9% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 0.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 32 - 72 - 12
Quad 48 - 910 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 92   @ Virginia L 56-65 8%     0 - 1 -0.4 +1.9 -4.0
  Nov 10, 2024 339   St. Francis (PA) L 64-65 75%     0 - 2 -15.2 -15.0 -0.3
  Nov 17, 2024 318   @ Navy W 86-66 45%     1 - 2 +14.1 +8.5 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2024 29   @ Ohio St. L 60-104 2%     1 - 3 -27.7 -8.1 -17.8
  Nov 24, 2024 315   @ Evansville L 53-66 44%     1 - 4 -18.8 -18.1 -1.5
  Nov 30, 2024 329   @ Green Bay W 72-66 47%     2 - 4 -0.6 -7.5 +6.8
  Dec 04, 2024 277   Coastal Carolina L 57-58 58%     2 - 5 -10.4 -14.0 +3.5
  Dec 12, 2024 354   @ The Citadel W 86-58 59%     3 - 5 +18.3 +17.0 +3.8
  Dec 15, 2024 350   @ Morgan St. L 76-86 57%     3 - 6 -19.2 -2.9 -16.3
  Dec 18, 2024 173   Longwood L 55-77 36%     3 - 7 -25.6 -15.1 -12.0
  Dec 29, 2024 22   @ North Carolina L 64-89 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 154   Drexel L 63-67 34%    
  Jan 04, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 64-76 14%    
  Jan 09, 2025 248   @ Hampton L 64-69 31%    
  Jan 11, 2025 181   @ Elon L 64-73 19%    
  Jan 16, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 69-76 25%    
  Jan 18, 2025 261   Monmouth W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 23, 2025 306   @ Stony Brook L 69-71 42%    
  Jan 25, 2025 149   @ Hofstra L 59-70 17%    
  Jan 30, 2025 221   William & Mary L 77-78 46%    
  Feb 01, 2025 149   Hofstra L 62-67 34%    
  Feb 06, 2025 181   Elon L 67-70 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 324   N.C. A&T W 77-72 67%    
  Feb 13, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 63-73 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 215   @ Delaware L 70-78 24%    
  Feb 20, 2025 324   @ N.C. A&T L 74-75 46%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   Towson L 61-63 43%    
  Feb 27, 2025 134   UNC Wilmington L 67-73 30%    
  Mar 01, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 66-79 12%    
Projected Record 9 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.1 1.6 2.8 0.5 0.0 5.0 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 3.8 1.6 0.1 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 3.9 3.5 0.4 8.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.3 1.2 0.0 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 6.2 2.8 0.2 0.0 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.1 6.5 3.9 0.5 0.0 14.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.5 6.4 4.3 0.8 0.0 15.8 13th
14th 0.4 2.0 4.6 5.2 3.2 0.7 0.0 16.0 14th
Total 0.4 2.0 5.3 9.2 13.0 15.1 15.1 13.6 10.5 7.1 4.3 2.4 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 61.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 29.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 4.2% 4.2% 15.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 13.1% 13.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.5% 11.6% 11.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
12-6 1.2% 5.8% 5.8% 15.6 0.0 0.0 1.2
11-7 2.4% 4.2% 4.2% 15.7 0.0 0.1 2.3
10-8 4.3% 1.8% 1.8% 15.9 0.0 0.1 4.2
9-9 7.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.1 7.0
8-10 10.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 10.4
7-11 13.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.5
6-12 15.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 15.1
5-13 15.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.1
4-14 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-15 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.2
2-16 5.3% 5.3
1-17 2.0% 2.0
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%