Campbell
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.3 #199
Expected Predictive Rating +1.5 #144
Pace 74.3 #56
Improvement +2.9 #48

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #171 D+ B D A+ A-
Defense #243 D+ D C C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 47% #14 1.07 #277 +3.0 #92
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #308 0.75 #182 -2.4 #294
Three Pointers 39% #233 0.89 #312 -3.7 #299
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #262 -3.1 #263
Freethrows 24.0 #3 71% #222 17.1 #6
Second Chance 35.7% #47 1.05 #179 0.37 #77
Turnovers 18.4% #284
Total Offense -0.1 #171

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #43 1.26 #294 -5.4 #338
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #70 0.75 #169 -1.4 #281
Three Pointers 32% #359 1.04 #222 +4.3 #39
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #263 -2.5 #265
Freethrows 16.4 #144 74% #250 12.2 #201
Second Chance 31.0% #194 1.23 #343 0.38 #303
Turnovers 16.9% #162
Total Defense -2.3 #243

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.9% #29 -0.1% #157
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -8.6% #307 5.1% #274
Possession Length 16.6 #122 16.5 #69
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #85 0.19 #241
Improvement +2.7 #33 +0.2 #175

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 5.9% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.2 14.6
.500 or above 41.2% 58.6% 32.9%
.500 or above in Conference 72.0% 86.0% 65.3%
Conference Champion 3.0% 6.1% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.1% 1.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round4.2% 5.8% 3.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 20 - 50 - 9
Quad 34 - 55 - 14
Quad 410 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 43 @Wisconsin L 64 - 96 6%  -8  0 - 1 -17 -2 D+ A F -15 D F C
 Thu, Nov 6 67 @West Virginia L 65 - 73 10%  -6  0 - 2 +4 +1 D- B+ B- +3 A+ D C+
 Sun, Nov 9 265 Western Michigan W 91 - 82 74%  +6  1 - 2 -0 +1 B- C F -2 C B C
 Wed, Nov 19 212 @Weber St. L 85 - 91 41%  -5  1 - 3 -6 +6 F A+ F -12 F D+ C+
 Fri, Nov 21 156 Texas Arlington W 71 - 67 41%  -4  2 - 3 +4 -2 C- A+ F +5 A C C
 Tue, Nov 25 62 @Wake Forest L 51 - 99 10%  -26  2 - 4 -36 -17 F D+ B -18 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 105 @Penn St. L 76 - 87 18%  -5  2 - 5 -4 +3 C A+ F -6 F A+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 312 Ball St. W 69 - 64 82%  -1  3 - 5 -7 -9 F F B- +2 B- D+ B+
 Wed, Dec 17 10 @Gonzaga L 70 - 98 2%  -14  3 - 6 -5 -3 C+ C- F +3 D+ C A+
 Sun, Dec 21 76 @Minnesota L 50 - 78 12%  -18  3 - 7 -17 -9 D D- F -13 F F B-
 Tue, Dec 23 249 Green Bay W 102 - 79 70%  +9  4 - 7 +15 +29 A+ A+ B -13 F F A
 Mon, Dec 29 109 @Hofstra L 72 - 86 18%  -12  4 - 8 0 - 1 -7 +6 F A A+ -14 D+ F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 194 @Monmouth W 68 - 65 38%  -2  5 - 8 1 - 1 +4 +2 F A+ F +2 A C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 233 Northeastern W 97 - 82 67%  +8  6 - 8 2 - 1 +8 +16 A+ D A+ -8 D- D+ D-
 Thu, Jan 8 252 Hampton W 86 - 72 71%  +13  7 - 8 3 - 1 +6 +6 C F D+ -1 D+ C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 163 @Elon L 78 - 83 32% 
 Sat, Jan 17 118 @UNC Wilmington L 70 - 78 22% 
 Thu, Jan 22 149 @College of Charleston L 76 - 82 29% 
 Sat, Jan 24 194 Monmouth W 77 - 74 60% 
 Thu, Jan 29 276 Stony Brook W 76 - 69 75% 
 Sat, Jan 31 127 @William & Mary L 81 - 88 25% 
 Thu, Feb 5 248 Drexel W 75 - 69 70% 
 Sat, Feb 7 305 @N.C. A&T W 81 - 78 60% 
 Sat, Feb 14 149 College of Charleston W 79 - 78 50% 
 Thu, Feb 19 127 William & Mary L 84 - 85 46% 
 Sat, Feb 21 118 UNC Wilmington L 73 - 75 42% 
 Thu, Feb 26 248 @Drexel L 71 - 72 49% 
 Sat, Feb 28 175 @Towson L 69 - 73 35% 
 Tue, Mar 3 305 N.C. A&T W 84 - 75 79% 
Totals 14 - 15 10 - 8 -2 +0 D+ B D -2 D+ D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 7.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 4.1 5.4 1.9 0.2 0.0 12.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 4.1 7.1 2.6 0.2 0.0 14.4 4th
5th 0.2 3.4 8.1 3.5 0.3 15.5 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 7.3 4.3 0.5 0.0 14.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 5.2 5.0 0.7 0.0 11.5 7th
8th 0.2 2.8 4.7 1.3 0.0 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.4 1.4 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.8 1.5 0.1 3.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.5 4.2 8.5 13.4 17.4 17.9 15.8 10.9 6.1 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 89.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1
15-3 67.7% 0.5    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 37.9% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 7.7% 7.7% 13.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.8% 16.5% 16.5% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
14-4 2.9% 15.3% 15.3% 13.6 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 2.4
13-5 6.1% 10.8% 10.8% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 5.5
12-6 10.9% 7.4% 7.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 10.1
11-7 15.8% 6.4% 6.4% 14.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 14.8
10-8 17.9% 3.6% 3.6% 14.9 0.1 0.5 0.0 17.3
9-9 17.4% 2.2% 2.2% 15.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 17.1
8-10 13.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 13.2
7-11 8.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 8.4
6-12 4.2% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 4.2
5-13 1.5% 1.5
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.3% 4.3% 0.0% 14.4 95.7 0.0%