Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -3.4 221
Results Rating -3.8 231
Pace 62.3 337
Improvement +2.9 69

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 288 C D D- D- C
Defense C+ 144 B- C- D+ C- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 188 C- 55% 250 -1.2 227
2 Pt. Jumpers 38% 181 C- 36% 249 -0.6 212
Three Pointers 42% 164 B 37% 42 +2.5 91
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 187 C +0.6 147
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 150
Second Chance C- 28.8% 226 D- 0.88 345 D 0.25 308
Turnovers D- 19.7% 330
Freethrows D 0.26 308 D- 67% 340 D- 0.18 337
Total Offense D+ -4.4 288

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 42% 276 C+ 10.5% 146
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 215 C+ 4.5% 143
Three Pointers B+ 93% 20 C+ 0.7% 132
Total C+ 57% 146 C+ 5.2% 136

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 177 B- 55% 100 -1.0 136
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 68 C- 40% 248 +1.8 315
Three Pointers 37% 291 B- 32% 95 -3.0 59
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.4 100 C+ -1.8 104
1st FG Attempt B- 0.98 107
Second Chance C- 31.0% 206 C- 1.05 228 C- 0.33 226
Turnovers D+ 15.6% 252
Freethrows C 0.31 203 D- 76% 347 C- 0.23 240
Total Defense C+ +1.0 144

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 166 C 11.2% 163
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 301 C 5.1% 159
Three Pointers B 79% 47 D 0.3% 311
Total C+ 53% 122 C 5.7% 166

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.1 338 17.2 169
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 257 0.19 244
Improvement -1.8 #277 +4.8 #16

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 249 221 190
Results Rating Rank 271 224 191
Conference Record 8 - 10 9 - 9 11 - 7
Conference Finish 9 6 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2% 2% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 26% 44% 8%
.500 or above in Conference 81% 100% 61%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round2% 2% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 33 - 83 - 11
Quad 412 - 615 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 133 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 21% -1  45% 0 - 1 D+ -6 D -6 F B+ D+ C -0 B A- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 244 @Colgate L 83 - 90 42% -7  11% 0 - 2 D -8 B +7 A C- C- F -15 F C- B
 Sat, Nov 15 73 Syracuse L 50 - 80 15% -10  15% 0 - 3 F -22 F -18 D F F D- -7 C D F
 Tue, Nov 18 318 NJIT W 75 - 43 81% +13  82% 1 - 3 A +19 D -5 C D C A+ +24 A+ B+ A
 Fri, Nov 21 169 Penn L 68 - 84 50% -9  0% 1 - 4 F -20 D -5 D C B+ F -15 D F C-
 Sun, Nov 23 242 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 65% +1  56% 2 - 4 C- -3 C +1 C+ B D+ D+ -4 C- C- D
 Tue, Nov 25 350 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 75% +7  96% 3 - 4 D+ -6 D -5 C F F C -0 D A F
 Wed, Dec 3 253 @American L 73 - 75 45% +1  54% 3 - 5 C- -4 C +1 B+ F B D -5 D+ A F
 Sat, Dec 6 200 La Salle L 64 - 69 45% -8  9% 3 - 6 D+ -7 D- -6 F A C+ C -1 D D+ D-
 Tue, Dec 16 202 Howard L 66 - 74 58% -7  4% 3 - 7 D- -13 D -6 B- F D+ D- -8 D F+ A-
 Fri, Dec 19 284 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 74% +7  84% 4 - 7 C- -2 D -5 A+ D+ F B- +2 F+ C+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 343 Maine W 74 - 56 87% +9  81% 5 - 7 C+ +3 A +12 A+ D- F D -6 B- F B
 Mon, Dec 29 149 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 26% +1  58% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D+ -6 C- -2 C+ D F+ D -5 F+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 31 108 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 17% -8  1% 5 - 9 0 - 2 D+ -5 F -10 F A F B- +3 A D+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 106 Hofstra L 67 - 70 33% -8  0% 5 - 10 0 - 3 C- -2 B- +4 C C- A+ D -6 C- F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 214 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 60% +7  82% 6 - 10 1 - 3 B+ +13 F+ -9 F A- F A+ +26 A+ D F+
 Sat, Jan 10 136 William & Mary W 64 - 58 43% +5  90% 7 - 10 2 - 3 C+ +5 F+ -10 A+ F F A+ +14 A+ A B
 Thu, Jan 15 199 @Monmouth W 73 - 51 34% +14  95% 8 - 10 3 - 3 A +23 A +13 A+ A- D- A+ +14 A C A+
 Mon, Jan 19 170 @Towson L 58 - 59 29% +7  86% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C +1 D- -7 B+ F+ F A +9 A+ F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 292 Northeastern W 83 - 78 76% +6  87% 9 - 11 4 - 4 D+ -6 C +1 B- F A+ D- -6 C F+ F
 Thu, Jan 29 259 Hampton W 58 - 51 69% +3  69% 10 - 11 5 - 4 C -2 F -12 F C+ D- A+ +11 B A+ B
 Sat, Jan 31 273 N.C. A&T W 61 - 60 71% +6  85% 11 - 11 6 - 4 D -8 F -14 D- B- F+ B+ +6 B+ A+ D-
 Thu, Feb 5 197 @Campbell L 60 - 81 34% -6  45% 11 - 12 6 - 5 F -20 F -15 D+ F F D -5 D- D D+
 Sat, Feb 7 227 @Elon W 82 - 77 40% +6  96% 12 - 12 7 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 B F A+ C -1 A F D+
 Thu, Feb 12 199 Monmouth L 73 - 93 57% -16  7% 12 - 13 7 - 6 F -25 D -5 B F D F -20 F F F+
 Mon, Feb 16 214 @Stony Brook L 69 - 72 37% +1  52% 12 - 14 7 - 7 C- -3 C- -1 B- B- F C- -2 C+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 19 292 @Northeastern W 70 - 61 55% +3  80% 13 - 14 8 - 7 C+ +4 D- -7 A- F F A+ +12 A+ C+ C-
 Sun, Feb 22 170 Towson W 63 - 62 50%
 Thu, Feb 26 197 Campbell W 73 - 71 57%
 Tue, Mar 3 106 @Hofstra L 61 - 72 16%
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -3 D+ -4 B+ C C C+ +1 B D- D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C- B C 38% 38% 42% C C C- D- D D- D D- D- C+ B- C- B- C+ 39% 24% 37% B- B- C- C- C- D+ C D- C-
1.02 55% 36% 37% +1 0 1.03 29% 0.9 .25 20% .26 67% .18 1.07 55% 40% 32% -2 0 0.98 31% 1.1 .33 16% .31 76% .20
Nov
8		 Saint Joseph's D F F B F 39% 23% 39% B- F B+ B- B+ D+ C+ F+ C C C+ A+ C- B- 44% 25% 31% B+ B B- A A- F+ F F F
0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15 1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42
Nov
11		 Colgate B D A+ A+ A- 39% 4% 57% A A A- F C- C- D- F F F D- F F F 40% 33% 28% B F A+ F C- B F F F
1.19 52% 50% 45% +8 +2 1.22 38% 0.7 .28 16% .26 53% .14 1.30 65% 64% 58% +21 -1 1.42 17% 1.7 .28 19% .48 89% .42
Nov
15		 Syracuse F F B+ D D 37% 23% 40% C- D A+ F F F F F F D- D- A- F C- 42% 25% 33% B C D D+ D F A F B
0.78 38% 40% 29% -10 0 0.81 43% 0.5 .21 28% .22 60% .13 1.24 68% 31% 41% +6 0 1.13 36% 1.1 .39 11% .26 73% .19
Nov
18		 NJIT D D+ D+ C D+ 53% 13% 33% A- C C- D- D C A+ F A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ 21% 28% 51% B+ A+ B A B+ A F B F
1.07 54% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.9 .30 14% .57 62% .35 0.62 60% 8% 13% -24 -2 0.49 22% 0.7 .16 23% .45 67% .30
Nov
21		 Penn D C- F D+ D 49% 26% 25% C- D C+ D+ C B+ B F D- F C+ F C+ D 36% 21% 43% D D F+ F F C- F F F
1.01 58% 29% 31% -4 0 0.94 33% 0.9 .28 13% .29 41% .12 1.25 53% 60% 35% +3 0 1.09 37% 1.4 .50 16% .50 79% .39
Nov
23		 Old Dominion C D- D- A+ B- 46% 22% 33% C C+ B- B- B D+ B B- B D+ A+ C- F D+ 40% 36% 25% B C- F A- C- D C A+ A-
1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29 1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16
Nov
25		 Morgan St. D B+ F C C- 45% 12% 43% C C B+ F F F A A+ A+ C D- F+ A+ D- 40% 38% 23% B- D A+ A+ A F C- D+ D+
1.09 68% 20% 33% +2 +2 1.10 41% 0.4 .18 23% .52 81% .42 1.01 63% 44% 18% -1 -2 0.96 21% 0.6 .12 11% .36 76% .28
Dec
3		 American C B+ F A+ B 54% 19% 27% B B+ D- F F B F F F D B+ F F+ D 37% 16% 47% C+ D+ C A+ A F F A+ F
1.09 68% 30% 43% +7 +1 1.19 26% 0.3 .09 16% .27 60% .16 1.12 50% 50% 39% +3 0 1.08 26% 0.4 .10 9% .44 67% .30
Dec
6		 La Salle D- F D F F 42% 24% 34% C- F A+ D A C+ B D- C+ C C- C- C D 46% 22% 33% D D C+ F+ D+ D- F+ A+ B-
0.97 38% 33% 18% -18 0 0.66 45% 1.0 .45 17% .29 63% .18 1.04 57% 40% 33% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.1 .35 15% .41 52% .21
Dec
16		 Howard D A+ D- C+ B 18% 16% 66% F+ B- F C+ F D+ B- F C- D- B A- F D 60% 17% 24% F+ D D+ F+ F+ A- F F F
0.99 75% 29% 34% +2 -1 1.05 21% 1.1 .24 21% .36 63% .23 1.11 48% 29% 50% -2 +2 1.02 38% 1.2 .46 24% .49 92% .45
Dec
19		 Mount St. Mary's D B+ F A+ A 51% 5% 44% A+ A+ F A+ D+ F A A A+ B- A+ F F F 24% 22% 54% A+ F+ D+ B+ C+ A+ F F F
1.05 64% 0% 42% +6 +3 1.21 13% 2.0 .26 25% .43 83% .35 0.93 40% 44% 45% +6 -1 1.12 31% 0.9 .28 32% .41 75% .31
Dec
21		 Maine A A+ D A+ A+ 29% 14% 57% C A+ D+ F+ D- F F F F D F A+ A+ B 50% 21% 29% D B- F F F B A- F B
1.29 83% 33% 54% +24 0 1.50 35% 0.9 .30 23% .16 57% .09 0.98 71% 22% 8% -8 +1 0.88 33% 1.3 .44 23% .25 73% .18
Dec
29		 College of Charleston C- D+ F A+ B- 20% 25% 55% D C+ C- D- D F+ A C- A- D F D+ B+ F 33% 28% 39% B+ F+ D- F F C+ B A+ A+
1.01 56% 18% 42% +1 -2 1.00 29% 0.8 .24 18% .31 69% .21 1.15 87% 38% 28% +6 -1 1.11 33% 1.4 .47 18% .31 56% .17
Dec
31		 UNC Wilmington F F+ A- F F 18% 25% 57% D+ F A C A F A+ F A- B- A+ F A+ A- 30% 37% 33% A+ A B- F D+ F F C- F
0.88 50% 45% 12% -18 -2 0.61 38% 1.1 .40 18% .39 63% .24 1.08 38% 50% 21% -8 -3 0.81 31% 1.3 .40 10% .52 71% .37
Jan
3		 Hofstra B- F+ D+ B C- 44% 18% 38% A- C C- C- C- A+ B+ F C D B+ F C C 41% 20% 39% D- C- C F F C- D B+ D+
1.13 45% 33% 37% -5 +1 0.94 29% 1.0 .29 5% .36 60% .21 1.18 50% 56% 35% +1 0 1.05 33% 1.6 .53 15% .34 71% .24
Jan
8		 Stony Brook F+ F F B- F 36% 12% 52% B F C- A+ A- F F+ A D A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 26% 17% 57% B A+ F+ C- D F+ B C- B-
0.98 33% 20% 36% -9 +1 0.86 30% 1.3 .40 23% .23 80% .18 0.65 25% 13% 15% -29 0 0.43 34% 0.9 .32 14% .22 73% .16
Jan
10		 William & Mary F+ B+ B+ A+ A+ 44% 22% 34% C- A+ C F F F C- F D A+ B A+ A+ A+ 45% 15% 40% C+ A+ C+ A+ A B A+ C A+
0.96 67% 44% 50% +13 0 1.29 31% 0.6 .19 29% .27 62% .17 0.87 54% 25% 24% -10 +1 0.85 26% 0.7 .18 20% .22 75% .17
Jan
15		 Monmouth A F A+ A+ A+ 27% 20% 54% D A+ A C+ A- D- B+ F D A+ D A+ A+ A 40% 33% 28% B- A F A+ C A+ F D F
1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17 0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31
Jan
19		 Towson D- B- A C A- 44% 25% 31% C B+ F A+ F+ F F F F A A+ C+ B+ A+ 36% 34% 30% C+ A+ D- D- F+ D+ F D F
0.92 62% 50% 33% +4 0 1.10 8% 2.0 .15 21% .08 25% .02 0.94 29% 38% 29% -13 -2 0.72 41% 0.9 .39 16% .40 71% .28
Jan
24		 Northeastern C A- A+ C B+ 35% 31% 35% F B- D F F A+ A+ D- A- D- A+ F D- C- 38% 24% 38% B+ C C F F+ F C- C+ C-
1.20 71% 60% 35% +12 -2 1.22 26% 0.4 .12 10% .45 68% .30 1.12 43% 54% 38% 0 0 1.02 26% 1.4 .38 12% .29 67% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Hampton F F+ C- F F 45% 33% 21% D- F C B- C+ D- B+ B+ A- A+ A+ F A+ B- 39% 37% 24% B B D+ A+ A+ B A F B+
0.93 53% 36% 22% -7 -1 0.86 28% 1.1 .31 19% .44 73% .32 0.82 37% 50% 25% -7 -2 0.84 37% 0.1 .05 21% .24 83% .20
Jan
31		 N.C. A&T F F D- B+ D- 41% 24% 35% C- D- C A- B- F+ F F F B+ B- C+ A+ A 35% 22% 43% D+ B+ A+ D- A+ D- A F B
0.95 48% 33% 39% -3 0 0.96 28% 1.2 .33 17% .04 0% .00 0.94 53% 36% 24% -9 0 0.84 16% 1.2 .19 16% .28 87% .24
Feb
5		 Campbell F C A+ F C 38% 36% 26% F D+ D- F F F F F F D F A+ B F+ 52% 21% 27% C+ D- D D+ D D+ F D+ F
0.87 61% 53% 25% +3 -2 1.04 25% 0.9 .21 28% .16 63% .10 1.17 76% 10% 31% +2 +1 1.08 37% 1.1 .40 16% .48 75% .36
Feb
7		 Elon B- C+ D A+ B 33% 18% 49% C B F C F A+ A+ C- A C B B+ A A 35% 14% 51% B+ A A- F F D+ F F F
1.21 59% 33% 44% +7 0 1.16 20% 1.1 .23 9% .39 71% .28 1.14 53% 29% 28% -8 +1 0.88 26% 2.0 .53 15% .47 85% .40
Feb
12		 Monmouth D A F C- B- 53% 10% 37% A- B F F F D B A- A- F A- F F F 41% 20% 39% D- F F F+ F F+ F F F
1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26 1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32
Feb
16		 Stony Brook C- F+ A A+ B 36% 24% 40% D+ B- A D B- F F A D- C- B+ D- C C+ 36% 21% 43% B- C+ C+ B B- F D- F F
1.06 50% 45% 44% +5 -1 1.11 42% 0.8 .33 26% .21 80% .17 1.10 47% 45% 35% -2 0 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .32 84% .27
Feb
19		 Northeastern D- A+ F B+ A- 48% 10% 43% B+ A- F F F F A+ F B+ A+ A+ F A- A+ 36% 28% 36% A A+ A F C+ C- B- F C-
1.04 85% 0% 39% +12 +2 1.31 4% 0.0 .00 22% .46 63% .29 0.91 33% 50% 28% -9 -1 0.82 19% 1.4 .27 16% .25 79% .20



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.9 5.2 3rd
4th 0.5 16.0 0.2 16.6 4th
5th 8.3 15.0 23.3 5th
6th 0.1 19.2 0.5 19.9 6th
7th 1.3 13.8 15.0 7th
8th 7.9 2.1 10.0 8th
9th 9.6 9.6 9th
10th 0.4 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 19.3 43.8 31.8 5.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 5.1% 5.7% 5.7% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 4.8
10-8 31.8% 2.6% 2.6% 15.0 0.1 0.6 0.1 31.0
9-9 43.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.3 0.5 0.2 43.2
8-10 19.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 19.1
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.1 98.1 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.3% 100.0% 14.2 6.8 62.5 30.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.4%
Lose Out 11.2%