Drexel
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.9 #248
Expected Predictive Rating -8.2 #295
Pace 61.5 #350
Improvement +4.5 #12

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #275 C- D D D C+
Defense #215 C C- D D+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #195 1.03 #314 -2.7 #274
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #240 0.62 #324 -2.3 #290
Three Pointers 45% #119 1.09 #87 +3.6 #72
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #208 -1.4 #209
Freethrows 16.0 #254 68% #309 10.8 #280
Second Chance 31.0% #179 0.87 #340 0.27 #282
Turnovers 18.5% #285
Total Offense -3.6 #275

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #154 1.17 #187 -0.9 #210
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #79 0.80 #249 -1.9 #317
Three Pointers 36% #300 0.99 #158 +2.7 #84
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #176 -0.1 #176
Freethrows 19.0 #268 73% #192 13.8 #101
Second Chance 31.8% #224 1.09 #246 0.35 #250
Turnovers 14.6% #300
Total Defense -1.3 #215

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.7% #144 -0.7% #109
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.4% #223 0.8% #195
Possession Length 19.0 #337 17.2 #178
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #237 0.19 #253
Improvement +0.6 #142 +3.9 #11

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 8.6% 15.2% 4.9%
.500 or above in Conference 21.2% 33.9% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 9.6% 4.6% 12.4%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: William & Mary (Home) - 35.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 92 - 13
Quad 410 - 612 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 185 @Saint Joseph's L 65 - 76 28%  -1  0 - 1 -10 -7 F B- D -3 C+ A D-
 Tue, Nov 11 205 @Colgate L 83 - 90 30%  -7  0 - 2 -6 +10 A+ C D+ -17 F D A-
 Sat, Nov 15 69 Syracuse L 50 - 80 11%  -10  0 - 3 -22 -13 C- F F -11 D+ D F
 Tue, Nov 18 351 NJIT W 75 - 43 85%  +13  1 - 3 +16 -3 C- D C +19 A+ A+ B+
 Fri, Nov 21 216 Penn L 68 - 84 55%  -9  1 - 4 -22 -6 F C- B -16 D- F D+
 Sun, Nov 23 250 Old Dominion W 75 - 71 62%  +1  2 - 4 -4 +3 B- C+ D- -7 C- C- D-
 Tue, Nov 25 362 @Morgan St. W 71 - 66 78%  +7  3 - 4 -8 -3 D+ F F -5 D- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 241 @American L 73 - 75 37%  +1  3 - 5 -3 +3 B+ F B -7 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 217 La Salle L 64 - 69 43%  -8  3 - 6 -8 -6 F A- C -2 D C F
 Tue, Dec 16 271 Howard L 66 - 74 67%  -7  3 - 7 -17 -5 C+ F D- -13 F F A+
 Fri, Dec 19 292 Mount St. Mary's W 75 - 67 70%  +11  4 - 7 -2 -2 A+ D+ F -0 F D A+
 Sun, Dec 21 339 Maine W 74 - 56 82%  +9  5 - 7 +3 +16 A+ F F -8 C F C
 Mon, Dec 29 149 @College of Charleston L 63 - 72 21%  +1  5 - 8 0 - 1 -6 -1 C D+ F -6 F F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 118 @UNC Wilmington L 53 - 65 15%  -8  5 - 9 0 - 2 -6 -8 F B F +0 B+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 109 Hofstra L 67 - 70 27%  -8  5 - 10 0 - 3 -2 +6 C+ D A+ -8 C F D-
 Thu, Jan 8 276 Stony Brook W 56 - 37 68%  +7  6 - 10 1 - 3 +9 -7 F A+ F +21 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 10 127 William & Mary L 72 - 76 36% 
 Thu, Jan 15 194 @Monmouth L 63 - 69 30% 
 Sat, Jan 17 175 @Towson L 59 - 66 26% 
 Sat, Jan 17 233 Northeastern W 72 - 70 57% 
 Thu, Jan 29 252 Hampton W 66 - 63 62% 
 Sat, Jan 31 305 N.C. A&T W 73 - 67 72% 
 Thu, Feb 5 199 @Campbell L 69 - 75 30% 
 Sat, Feb 7 163 @Elon L 68 - 75 25% 
 Thu, Feb 12 194 Monmouth W 67 - 66 51% 
 Mon, Feb 16 276 @Stony Brook L 63 - 64 45% 
 Thu, Feb 19 233 @Northeastern L 69 - 73 36% 
 Sat, Feb 21 175 Towson L 62 - 63 47% 
 Thu, Feb 26 199 Campbell W 72 - 71 51% 
 Tue, Mar 3 109 @Hofstra L 61 - 73 13% 
Totals 12 - 18 7 - 11 -5 -4 C- D D -1 C C- D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 2.8 0.7 0.0 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.4 1.5 0.1 7.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.1 3.1 0.3 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.4 5.0 5.9 0.8 0.0 12.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.5 7.7 2.3 0.1 13.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.8 7.7 4.0 0.3 15.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.8 5.1 0.7 15.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.8 4.5 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.5 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.4 13th
Total 0.2 1.2 3.7 8.6 14.2 17.4 18.3 15.3 10.7 6.2 3.0 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0%
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 30.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.3% 7.5% 7.5% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 1.1% 10.3% 10.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0
11-7 3.0% 3.6% 3.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9
10-8 6.2% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.0
9-9 10.7% 1.7% 1.7% 15.6 0.1 0.1 10.5
8-10 15.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 15.1
7-11 18.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 18.2
6-12 17.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 17.3
5-13 14.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.2
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 3.7% 3.7
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 15.4 99.1 0.0%