Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.2 #197
Expected Predictive Rating -1.1 #186
Pace 66.0 #270
Improvement +0.9 #124

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #239 C D+ C C C-
Defense #152 B- C C- B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #97 1.05 #299 -0.4 #195
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #95 0.74 #198 +1.4 #103
Three Pointers 34% #321 1.13 #44 -1.9 #251
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #198 -0.8 #196
Freethrows 17.5 #178 70% #252 12.3 #198
Second Chance 28.8% #242 0.97 #268 0.28 #269
Turnovers 16.9% #204
Total Offense -2.4 #239

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #47 1.06 #69 -0.9 #214
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #135 0.81 #269 -1.1 #259
Three Pointers 35% #330 0.94 #100 +4.5 #30
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #101 +2.5 #102
Freethrows 14.8 #57 75% #296 11.1 #276
Second Chance 29.0% #115 1.07 #222 0.31 #160
Turnovers 16.0% #214
Total Defense +0.2 #152

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.6% #230 0.5% #211
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.1% #186 -5.4% #87
Possession Length 18.4 #287 17.2 #172
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #248 0.20 #281
Improvement +1.5 #88 -0.6 #227

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 2.4% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 14.1 14.5
.500 or above 32.6% 43.5% 20.2%
.500 or above in Conference 53.2% 66.7% 38.1%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.7% 0.2% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round1.8% 2.4% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Michigan (Away) - 52.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 34 - 76 - 13
Quad 49 - 314 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 304 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 80%  +8  1 - 0 +11 -4 F A D- +15 A+ B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 82 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 13%  -11  1 - 1 -2 -2 F C- B+ +0 B C+ F
 Fri, Nov 14 355 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 90%  -3  1 - 2 -23 -8 F C- A- -14 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 281 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 56%  -1  2 - 2 +6 -4 C F F +10 A+ C+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 124 Oakland W 97 - 91 45%  +1  3 - 2 +5 +13 A+ F D -8 D D+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 15 @Louisville L 46 - 87 3%  -20  3 - 3 -20 -17 F D D -5 D A- F
 Wed, Nov 26 58 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 9%  +9  4 - 3 +20 +7 C A+ F +14 A+ A- B
 Fri, Nov 28 351 NJIT W 73 - 55 89%  +3  5 - 3 +2 -1 A- D- F +4 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 57 @Butler L 68 - 84 9%  -7  5 - 4 -4 +5 C C D -9 D F C+
 Wed, Dec 10 243 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 48%  -12  5 - 5 -17 -5 C F A -13 B- F C-
 Fri, Dec 19 64 @Akron L 72 - 93 10%  -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -9 +0 F C A+ -9 B- C- F
 Mon, Dec 22 148 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 29%  -1  5 - 7 -2 -5 D F B +3 C A+ B+
 Tue, Dec 30 167 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 56%  +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +3 C C- A+ -1 A+ A- F
 Sat, Jan 3 170 Ohio L 67 - 68 57%  +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -5 -4 B F C -1 D+ A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 312 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 65%  +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +16 +15 A+ B+ F +6 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 265 @Western Michigan W 73 - 72 53% 
 Tue, Jan 13 325 Northern Illinois W 77 - 66 85% 
 Sat, Jan 17 132 @Bowling Green L 68 - 75 26% 
 Sat, Jan 24 138 Kent St. L 76 - 77 47% 
 Tue, Jan 27 323 @Central Michigan W 73 - 68 67% 
 Sat, Jan 31 167 @Massachusetts L 71 - 76 33% 
 Tue, Feb 3 64 Akron L 74 - 82 23% 
 Sat, Feb 7 224 @Appalachian St. L 63 - 65 43% 
 Wed, Feb 11 138 @Kent St. L 73 - 80 27% 
 Sat, Feb 14 265 Western Michigan W 76 - 69 73% 
 Tue, Feb 17 323 Central Michigan W 76 - 65 84% 
 Sat, Feb 21 180 @Toledo L 72 - 76 37% 
 Tue, Feb 24 93 Miami (OH) L 72 - 77 32% 
 Tue, Mar 3 179 @Buffalo L 70 - 74 36% 
 Fri, Mar 6 132 Bowling Green L 71 - 72 47% 
Totals 14 - 16 9 - 9 -2 -2 C D+ C +0 B- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.4 0.1 1.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.6 1.3 0.2 5.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.7 4.7 2.0 0.2 8.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.5 3.7 0.5 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.6 6.2 0.9 0.0 15.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.1 6.3 7.3 1.8 0.1 16.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 5.7 7.9 2.3 0.1 17.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 3.9 6.4 2.3 0.2 13.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.3 1.2 0.1 6.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 1.3 0.6 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 13th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.8 8.8 14.5 17.9 18.2 15.4 10.8 5.6 2.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 64.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 18.9% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 6.5% 6.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.7% 9.5% 9.5% 13.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 2.4% 5.8% 5.8% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.3
12-6 5.6% 5.1% 5.1% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 5.3
11-7 10.8% 3.7% 3.7% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.4
10-8 15.4% 2.8% 2.8% 14.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 14.9
9-9 18.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 17.9
8-10 17.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.1 0.1 17.7
7-11 14.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.5
6-12 8.8% 8.8
5-13 3.8% 3.8
4-14 1.4% 1.4
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 14.2 98.1 0.0%