Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.8 248
Results Rating -6.3 268
Pace 66.4 241
Improvement -4.6 337

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 294 C- D+ C- D D
Defense C 178 C C+ C- C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 176 C 59% 151 +0.4 165
2 Pt. Jumpers 56% 29 D+ 35% 284 +1.9 79
Three Pointers 33% 331 C 34% 199 -4.2 318
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.0 304 C- -0.9 201
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 229
Second Chance D+ 27.2% 273 C- 0.99 246 D+ 0.27 282
Turnovers C- 17.8% 253
Freethrows D- 0.25 337 C+ 73% 157 D 0.19 314
Total Offense D+ -4.6 294

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 47% 204 D 13.5% 318
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 160 D+ 6.6% 281
Three Pointers C- 82% 239 C 0.9% 170
Total D+ 51% 279 D- 7.4% 336

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 82 C+ 56% 119 +1.5 228
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 166 D+ 41% 280 +0.7 245
Three Pointers 36% 306 C+ 33% 150 -2.6 71
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 218 C+ -0.6 158
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 165
Second Chance C+ 29.6% 152 C+ 1.00 135 C+ 0.30 135
Turnovers C- 16.2% 218
Freethrows C- 0.31 215 C- 73% 232 C- 0.23 223
Total Defense C -0.2 178

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 274 C 10.9% 179
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 15% 10 B 7.9% 45
Three Pointers D+ 87% 270 C- 0.6% 230
Total C 55% 160 C+ 6.5% 106

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.6 304 16.9 113
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 222 0.22 322
Improvement -2.3 #297 -2.3 #297

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 268 248 225
Results Rating Rank 294 261 242
Conference Record 4 - 14 5 - 13 6 - 12
Conference Finish 12 10 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 22% 2% 28%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Miami (OH) (Home) - 20.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 20 - 41 - 6
Quad 31 - 83 - 14
Quad 47 - 610 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 289 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 71% +8  81% 1 - 0 B+ +11 D -6 F A D A+ +18 A B+ A+
 Mon, Nov 10 98 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 12% -11  8% 1 - 1 C- -4 D -5 F C- B+ C+ +1 C+ B- F
 Fri, Nov 14 325 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 79% -3  21% 1 - 2 F -20 F+ -10 F C+ B+ F -10 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 255 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 39% -1  45% 2 - 2 B- +8 D -5 C D- F A+ +13 A+ D+ B-
 Fri, Nov 21 172 Oakland W 97 - 91 45% +1  58% 3 - 2 C+ +2 A- +11 A+ F C- F+ -9 F C+ F+
 Mon, Nov 24 11 @Louisville L 46 - 87 1% -20  3% 3 - 3 F -19 F -18 F D+ D+ C- -3 D+ B+ F+
 Wed, Nov 26 43 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 4% +9  98% 4 - 3 A+ +23 B- +5 C A+ F A+ +19 A+ A B
 Fri, Nov 28 318 NJIT W 73 - 55 77% +3  52% 5 - 3 B- +5 D+ -3 A- D F A +9 A F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 75 @Butler L 68 - 84 8% -7  8% 5 - 4 D+ -5 C -0 C- C C- D -6 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 261 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 42% -12  3% 5 - 5 F+ -18 D- -8 C+ F B+ F -11 B F D+
 Fri, Dec 19 79 @Akron L 72 - 93 8% -15  1% 5 - 6 0 - 1 D -10 C- -2 F C+ A F+ -8 C+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 153 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 22% -1  30% 5 - 7 C- -3 F+ -9 D- F C+ B+ +6 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 185 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 49% +2  66% 6 - 7 1 - 1 C +1 C- -2 D+ D+ A B- +3 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 209 Ohio L 67 - 68 53% +9  87% 6 - 8 1 - 2 D+ -7 F+ -8 B- F C- C+ +2 D A+ A
 Tue, Jan 6 313 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 56% +13  73% 7 - 8 2 - 2 A- +16 A +14 A+ A F B+ +6 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 288 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 49% -1  41% 7 - 9 2 - 3 F -22 F -14 D+ F F+ F+ -8 F D- A-
 Tue, Jan 13 323 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 79% +3  49% 8 - 9 3 - 3 C+ +5 D -5 D+ F B+ A +9 B A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 166 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 24% -6  16% 8 - 10 3 - 4 C- -3 A +11 A D+ A F -15 F F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 144 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 40% -3  11% 8 - 11 3 - 5 C- -3 F -10 F D+ A A- +7 C- A+ A
 Tue, Jan 27 270 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 43% -9  30% 8 - 12 3 - 6 F -38 F -17 D+ F F F -19 F B- F
 Sat, Jan 31 185 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 27% -4  1% 8 - 13 3 - 7 C -2 D+ -4 C F+ F C+ +2 B+ B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 79 Akron L 64 - 66 19% +0  36% 8 - 14 3 - 8 C+ +3 F -11 C D+ F A+ +14 A+ B B+
 Sat, Feb 7 173 @Appalachian St. L 60 - 65 25% -3  7% 8 - 15 C- -3 D- -8 F A A B +5 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 11 144 @Kent St. L 91 - 95 20% +2  54% 8 - 16 3 - 9 C -0 A+ +17 A+ C D- F -17 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 288 Western Michigan L 62 - 76 71% +2  69% 8 - 17 3 - 10 F -25 F -16 D- F C+ F -10 B+ F F
 Tue, Feb 17 270 Central Michigan W 66 - 54 66% +9  95% 9 - 17 4 - 10 C+ +3 F -10 C+ D+ F A+ +14 A B+ B+
 Sat, Feb 21 161 @Toledo L 75 - 94 23% -17  0% 9 - 18 4 - 11 F+ -16 D+ -3 F A- C F -13 F A D-
 Tue, Feb 24 83 Miami (OH) L 72 - 81 21%
 Tue, Mar 3 207 @Buffalo L 70 - 75 31%
 Fri, Mar 6 166 Bowling Green L 69 - 70 44%
Totals 10 - 20 5 - 13 -5 D+ -5 D C- D C +0 C C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C D+ C C- 39% 56% 33% D C- D+ C- D+ C- D- C+ D C C+ D+ C+ C+ 43% 21% 36% C- C C+ C+ C+ C- C- C- C-
1.02 59% 35% 34% -1 -1 0.98 27% 1.0 .27 18% .25 73% .19 1.09 56% 41% 33% -1 0 1.01 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 73% .18
Nov
3		 Georgia St. D F C- F F 49% 30% 21% D F A+ C A D F F F A+ A+ B C+ A+ 36% 26% 38% D- A D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ A
1.04 42% 38% 27% -10 0 0.81 47% 1.0 .47 19% .20 55% .11 0.72 22% 31% 32% -16 -1 0.68 30% 0.7 .20 25% .23 67% .16
Nov
10		 Pittsburgh D F D F+ F 45% 28% 26% D+ F C D C- B+ A A+ A+ C+ A- F A+ C+ 48% 22% 30% C C+ A+ F B- F F A+ C
0.95 46% 33% 29% -9 0 0.83 26% 0.8 .21 14% .35 86% .30 1.12 50% 75% 25% 0 0 1.04 26% 1.2 .31 12% .37 52% .20
Nov
14		 IU Indianapolis F+ F+ F D F 33% 28% 39% F F B- D+ C+ B+ F C+ F+ F D+ B F F 48% 16% 36% F F C- F F A+ D D- D
1.06 53% 25% 32% -7 -1 0.86 40% 1.1 .44 17% .32 76% .24 1.15 63% 33% 45% +7 +1 1.20 29% 1.7 .48 23% .21 77% .17
Nov
18		 Detroit Mercy D B- F+ C+ C+ 41% 22% 37% D+ C C- F D- F A F C+ A+ A- D+ A+ A+ 24% 48% 28% A+ A+ B- F+ D+ B- D F F
1.03 63% 30% 35% +1 0 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 19% .44 60% .26 0.89 46% 42% 0% -15 -5 0.63 30% 1.1 .33 17% .31 94% .29
Nov
21		 Oakland A- A A+ A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% C+ A+ F C+ F C- C A+ B F+ C F F F 51% 12% 37% F F B D C+ F+ B- B+ B
1.31 73% 82% 45% +21 0 1.45 17% 1.0 .17 16% .24 87% .21 1.22 57% 57% 41% +5 +2 1.17 27% 1.2 .32 11% .30 70% .21
Nov
24		 Louisville F F F F F 33% 42% 25% D- F C F D+ D+ B C- B- C- B F F D+ 40% 10% 50% C+ D+ B- B+ B+ F+ C A+ B
0.69 44% 20% 17% -19 -3 0.58 25% 0.7 .18 19% .31 71% .22 1.30 57% 60% 46% +11 +2 1.27 32% 0.9 .30 12% .32 68% .22
Nov
26		 Cincinnati B- F A+ C- C 26% 24% 50% C- C C+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ B A+ A+ 42% 6% 52% F A+ A+ C+ A B C+ F C-
0.98 20% 67% 32% -5 -1 0.89 25% 1.9 .46 26% .45 86% .39 0.85 52% 33% 23% -11 +2 0.84 22% 1.0 .22 18% .26 79% .21
Nov
28		 NJIT D+ A+ D+ A+ A+ 37% 31% 33% F+ A- D+ D- D F F D F A A+ C A+ A 27% 29% 44% B+ A D- F F A+ A F B-
1.10 72% 33% 44% +9 -1 1.16 31% 0.9 .28 20% .22 67% .15 0.83 33% 38% 25% -12 -2 0.73 30% 1.4 .42 29% .23 82% .19
Dec
2		 Butler C F F A+ D 59% 16% 25% A C- C- B- C C- C+ A+ A D A+ F F D- 51% 17% 32% C- D D F F B B- F C-
1.03 47% 0% 54% -5 +2 0.96 26% 1.0 .26 18% .24 92% .22 1.27 42% 50% 60% +6 +1 1.17 39% 1.6 .64 17% .34 79% .27
Dec
10		 Purdue Fort Wayne D- B- A+ D+ C 44% 9% 47% B C+ F A+ F B+ C F F F C B+ A+ A- 59% 20% 20% D B D F F D+ F F F
0.98 65% 50% 33% +4 +2 1.13 16% 1.4 .22 17% .27 47% .13 1.21 59% 30% 20% -6 +2 0.94 25% 2.3 .57 14% .40 83% .33
Dec
19		 Akron C- F F+ F+ F 55% 13% 32% A- F C+ C C+ A A+ F A F+ D F A+ B 65% 12% 23% F C+ F C- F F B F C+
1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28 1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19
Dec
22		 Wright St. F+ F+ F A- F 57% 19% 25% B+ D- F+ F F C+ C- D+ D+ B+ D C+ A C+ 49% 18% 33% D- C C- A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.94 50% 20% 38% -6 +2 0.92 23% 0.8 .17 16% .28 69% .19 1.03 64% 38% 27% -1 +1 1.02 32% 0.5 .18 19% .58 63% .36
Dec
30		 Massachusetts C- D+ C C D+ 53% 28% 19% C- D+ C F+ D+ A A+ D+ A+ B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 31% 31% 39% A A+ A- D+ B F B+ C B+
1.10 56% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 27% 0.9 .24 12% .61 69% .42 1.01 61% 22% 26% -9 -2 0.81 25% 1.3 .31 10% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 Ohio F+ A- F A+ B+ 33% 33% 33% F B- C- F F C- A+ F+ A+ C+ F C- B- D- 28% 26% 46% B D C A+ A+ A B- D C+
1.01 67% 27% 47% +5 -2 1.09 32% 0.3 .11 17% .49 67% .32 1.02 79% 46% 30% +5 -1 1.10 28% 0.4 .11 21% .29 73% .21
Jan
6		 Ball St. A C A+ A+ A+ 36% 17% 48% C+ A+ A+ C A F F B+ F B+ A C+ C+ B- 43% 20% 36% C- C+ B+ A+ A+ F C- F F+
1.29 60% 57% 55% +19 0 1.40 48% 1.0 .48 24% .14 83% .11 0.90 42% 33% 31% -9 0 0.84 21% 0.3 .06 12% .30 87% .26
Jan
10		 Western Michigan F B- D F D- 49% 6% 45% A- D+ F F F F+ F F F F+ F B+ F F 31% 38% 31% A+ F F C D- A- F C- F
0.94 64% 33% 26% -3 +3 1.02 18% 0.7 .12 17% .18 60% .11 1.19 77% 31% 46% +9 -3 1.14 37% 1.0 .37 21% .52 74% .38
Jan
13		 Northern Illinois D A+ C F C+ 36% 36% 28% F D+ F D+ F B+ F A D- A F A+ A+ B 35% 16% 49% B- B A A+ A+ D- C+ A B
1.06 76% 38% 25% +3 -2 1.03 15% 1.0 .15 14% .24 80% .19 0.81 67% 13% 24% -8 0 0.86 23% 0.5 .11 19% .32 58% .19
Jan
17		 Bowling Green A B A+ B A+ 38% 24% 38% D A B- F D+ A F A+ D+ F C B- F F 51% 24% 24% B+ F D- F+ F+ D+ F+ D F+
1.19 63% 58% 37% +8 0 1.18 32% 0.8 .26 14% .24 86% .21 1.28 56% 33% 67% +10 0 1.22 32% 1.0 .32 15% .37 76% .28
Jan
24		 Kent St. F A+ F F F 33% 35% 32% F F C F+ D+ A F A+ D+ A- C- C D+ D 32% 26% 42% A- C- B+ A+ A+ A F D- F
0.96 71% 5% 25% -12 -2 0.75 31% 0.8 .25 12% .25 88% .22 0.97 59% 36% 36% +1 -1 1.02 30% 0.4 .11 23% .47 79% .37
Jan
27		 Central Michigan F C+ A+ F D+ 38% 21% 40% D+ D+ F A+ F F C+ D C F C F F F 50% 20% 30% F F D+ A B- F F D F
0.86 61% 50% 26% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.6 .28 25% .37 67% .25 1.32 57% 73% 53% +15 +1 1.34 31% 0.9 .28 12% .39 73% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Massachusetts D+ A+ A- F C+ 30% 30% 41% F C D F F+ F D A+ B C+ D+ F A+ A 55% 16% 30% F B+ B- A B+ F F D- F
1.03 85% 46% 22% +3 -2 1.05 22% 0.8 .19 22% .35 89% .31 1.08 63% 57% 8% -6 +2 0.93 29% 1.0 .29 11% .60 71% .43
Feb
3		 Akron F A+ F A B- 32% 32% 36% F C C+ F+ D+ F B- F C- A+ A+ C A A+ 31% 9% 59% C- A+ A D- B B+ B- C B-
0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19 0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18
Feb
7		 Appalachian St. D- F B- F F 30% 37% 33% F F D- A+ A A F D F B B- F A+ B 56% 10% 33% F C+ D+ A+ A+ F F A+ F+
0.93 44% 40% 17% -12 -3 0.72 23% 1.9 .44 9% .10 67% .07 1.01 56% 60% 19% -7 +3 0.94 32% 0.4 .12 11% .49 54% .26
Feb
11		 Kent St. A+ A+ A B A+ 33% 33% 33% F A+ A F C D- F A F F A+ F F F 28% 26% 47% A F C+ F F F F F F
1.30 95% 47% 37% +17 -2 1.32 41% 0.7 .30 19% .17 80% .14 1.35 38% 58% 45% +8 -1 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 13% .54 88% .47
Feb
14		 Western Michigan F C F A+ D 38% 28% 34% F+ D- F A F C+ F F F F A+ A+ F A 54% 19% 27% F B+ F F F F F F F
0.96 60% 13% 44% -1 -1 0.98 17% 1.3 .22 12% .16 56% .09 1.18 31% 22% 54% -10 +1 0.85 39% 1.3 .50 11% .40 83% .33
Feb
17		 Central Michigan F A+ B- C- B+ 36% 36% 29% F C+ C- D+ D+ F D A+ C A+ C- C+ A+ A 31% 38% 31% A A D- A+ B+ B+ F A+ C
1.00 73% 40% 33% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.1 .38 27% .31 80% .25 0.81 60% 39% 13% -9 -3 0.79 33% 0.7 .23 21% .38 50% .19
Feb
21		 Toledo D+ A F F F+ 40% 26% 34% D- F F A+ A- C B A+ A F F F F F 54% 19% 27% F F A+ C A D- F+ A+ C-
1.05 71% 14% 28% -4 -1 0.92 24% 1.9 .45 18% .29 88% .26 1.32 79% 70% 43% +21 +1 1.46 17% 1.0 .17 13% .35 64% .22



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.0 1.1 7th
8th 1.9 1.7 3.6 8th
9th 5.5 14.0 0.6 20.1 9th
10th 1.4 26.5 4.6 0.0 32.5 10th
11th 15.2 11.9 0.2 27.3 11th
12th 13.1 0.7 13.8 12th
13th 1.7 0.0 1.7 13th
Total 31.4 44.6 20.6 3.4 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 3.4% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 3.4
6-12 20.6% 20.6
5-13 44.6% 44.6
4-14 31.4% 31.4
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.1% 1.9% 16.0 1.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 31.4%