Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -4.2 #237
Expected Predictive Rating -4.4 #234
Pace 66.2 #249
Improvement -4.5 #337

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #271 C- D C D+ D+
Defense #180 C C+ C- C C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #140 1.13 #213 +0.3 #164
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #76 0.72 #240 +1.7 #91
Three Pointers 34% #320 1.03 #170 -3.5 #306
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #222 -1.6 #223
Freethrows 0.27 #292 73% #157 0.20 #268
Second Chance 27.6% #271 0.91 #322 0.25 #309
Turnovers 17.1% #203
Total Offense -3.8 #271

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #65 1.13 #147 -2.0 #249
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #134 0.80 #258 -0.9 #260
Three Pointers 35% #330 1.01 #171 +3.0 #66
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #178 +0.1 #179
Freethrows 0.30 #184 74% #274 0.22 #200
Second Chance 28.9% #112 1.00 #140 0.29 #116
Turnovers 16.1% #216
Total Defense -0.4 #180

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #267 0.3% #194
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.9% #208 -0.5% #176
Possession Length 18.5 #303 17.0 #140
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #209 0.21 #303
Improvement -1.6 #283 -2.9 #321

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 1.0% 3.3% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 4.0% 13.6% 2.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.4% 3.8% 16.5%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Akron (Home) - 16.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 41 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 47 - 511 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 268 Georgia St. W 71 - 49 68% +8  1 - 0 +13 -3 F A D +17 A A- A+
 Mon, Nov 10 93 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 78 11% -11  1 - 1 -3 -3 F+ D+ B+ -0 C B F+
 Fri, Nov 14 340 IU Indianapolis L 83 - 90 83% -3  1 - 2 -22 -8 F C B+ -13 F F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 278 @Detroit Mercy W 72 - 62 47% -1  2 - 2 +6 -4 C D F +10 A+ C- C+
 Fri, Nov 21 129 Oakland W 97 - 91 38% +1  3 - 2 +5 +15 A+ F C- -10 F+ C+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 16 @Louisville L 46 - 87 2% -20  3 - 3 -20 -16 F D+ C- -6 D+ B D-
 Wed, Nov 26 52 @Cincinnati W 64 - 56 6% +9  4 - 3 +21 +7 C A+ F +14 A+ A- B
 Fri, Nov 28 324 NJIT W 73 - 55 80% +3  5 - 3 +5 -1 B+ D F +6 A- F A+
 Tue, Dec 2 66 @Butler L 68 - 84 8% -7  5 - 4 -5 +3 C C D+ -9 D F B
 Wed, Dec 10 216 @Purdue Fort Wayne L 65 - 80 35% -12  5 - 5 -15 -4 C+ F A- -12 B F C-
 Fri, Dec 19 61 @Akron L 72 - 93 7% -15  5 - 6 0 - 1 -9 +2 F C A -10 C+ D- F+
 Mon, Dec 22 144 @Wright St. L 64 - 70 22% -1  5 - 7 -2 -6 D F C+ +4 C A+ B
 Tue, Dec 30 173 Massachusetts W 80 - 74 49% +2  6 - 7 1 - 1 +2 +2 C- D+ A -1 A+ B F
 Sat, Jan 3 199 Ohio L 67 - 68 55% +9  6 - 8 1 - 2 -7 -5 B- F C+ -1 D A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 6 298 @Ball St. W 74 - 52 53% +13  7 - 8 2 - 2 +17 +16 A+ A- F +6 B- A+ F+
 Sat, Jan 10 273 @Western Michigan L 62 - 79 46% -1  7 - 9 2 - 3 -20 -11 C- F D- -10 F+ D- B+
 Tue, Jan 13 308 Northern Illinois W 77 - 59 77% +3  8 - 9 3 - 3 +6 -3 C- F A- +8 B A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 17 151 @Bowling Green L 79 - 85 23% -6  8 - 10 3 - 4 -3 +13 A C- A+ -16 F D- C-
 Sat, Jan 24 145 Kent St. L 75 - 76 2OT 42% -3  8 - 11 3 - 5 -3 -7 F D+ A +4 C- A+ A-
 Tue, Jan 27 294 @Central Michigan L 65 - 100 52% -9  8 - 12 3 - 6 -40 -14 C- F F -23 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 173 @Massachusetts L 67 - 70 27% -4  8 - 13 3 - 7 -1 +1 C F+ F -2 B- B+ F
 Tue, Feb 3 61 Akron L 72 - 82 17%
 Sat, Feb 7 172 @Appalachian St. L 61 - 67 27%
 Wed, Feb 11 145 @Kent St. L 71 - 79 21%
 Sat, Feb 14 273 Western Michigan W 76 - 71 68%
 Tue, Feb 17 294 Central Michigan W 73 - 67 74%
 Sat, Feb 21 159 @Toledo L 71 - 78 26%
 Tue, Feb 24 90 Miami (OH) L 73 - 80 25%
 Tue, Mar 3 204 @Buffalo L 71 - 76 33%
 Fri, Mar 6 151 Bowling Green L 70 - 72 44%
Totals 11 - 19 6 - 12 -4 -4 C- D C +0 C C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 4th
5th 0.3 1.1 0.2 1.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 1.4 0.0 3.9 6th
7th 0.0 2.5 5.1 0.5 8.2 7th
8th 1.6 9.4 2.7 0.1 13.8 8th
9th 1.0 12.8 8.2 0.4 22.5 9th
10th 0.3 7.5 11.7 1.1 0.0 20.6 10th
11th 2.2 10.3 2.6 0.0 15.1 11th
12th 0.4 5.1 3.8 0.2 9.4 12th
13th 1.4 2.5 0.3 4.2 13th
Total 1.8 10.1 22.9 28.8 21.5 10.9 3.4 0.6 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.6% 2.7% 2.7% 13.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 3.4% 2.9% 2.9% 14.6 0.0 0.1 3.3
8-10 10.9% 1.6% 1.6% 15.5 0.1 0.1 10.7
7-11 21.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 21.4
6-12 28.8% 28.8
5-13 22.9% 22.9
4-14 10.1% 10.1
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.3 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.3%