Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#305
Expected Predictive Rating-3.0#213
Pace68.9#183
Improvement+0.3#164

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
First Shot-3.8#286
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#143
Layup/Dunks-4.3#324
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#45
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#264
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+3.7#11

Defense
Total Defense-4.7#321
First Shot-4.3#315
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#227
Layups/Dunks-0.2#177
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#304
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#274
Freethrows-0.4#222
Improvement-3.4#355
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.2% 2.2% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.3 15.6
.500 or above 15.7% 34.1% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 23.1% 32.9% 22.0%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 16.5% 10.4% 17.2%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 2.0% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 10.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 32 - 73 - 10
Quad 49 - 812 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 126   @ Texas St. L 44-64 12%     0 - 1 -14.9 -23.0 +6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 351   @ IU Indianapolis W 74-71 55%     1 - 1 -6.3 -5.9 -0.4
  Nov 16, 2024 218   @ Cleveland St. L 63-71 22%     1 - 2 -8.0 -4.6 -3.8
  Nov 21, 2024 183   @ Oakland W 68-64 18%     2 - 2 +5.8 +2.9 +3.4
  Nov 25, 2024 346   @ Houston Christian W 74-73 53%     3 - 2 -7.8 +0.0 -7.8
  Nov 26, 2024 265   Northern Arizona W 72-68 41%     4 - 2 -1.6 -4.3 +2.8
  Nov 30, 2024 321   Detroit Mercy L 89-98 OT 65%     4 - 3 -21.0 +0.3 -20.2
  Dec 03, 2024 121   @ Loyola Chicago L 54-76 11%     4 - 4 -16.4 -8.3 -10.6
  Dec 15, 2024 160   Purdue Fort Wayne L 94-121 32%     4 - 5 -30.1 -0.2 -25.1
  Dec 21, 2024 168   Wright St. W 86-82 33%     5 - 5 +0.6 +9.4 -8.8
  Dec 28, 2024 122   @ Davidson L 66-79 10%    
  Jan 04, 2025 349   Northern Illinois W 76-69 75%    
  Jan 07, 2025 208   @ Toledo L 75-84 21%    
  Jan 11, 2025 148   Akron L 74-79 31%    
  Jan 14, 2025 237   @ Central Michigan L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 18, 2025 289   @ Bowling Green L 75-79 35%    
  Jan 21, 2025 147   Ohio L 75-80 31%    
  Jan 25, 2025 330   Buffalo W 77-72 68%    
  Jan 28, 2025 200   @ Miami (OH) L 69-78 20%    
  Feb 01, 2025 293   @ Western Michigan L 71-75 36%    
  Feb 04, 2025 116   Kent St. L 63-71 24%    
  Feb 11, 2025 252   @ Ball St. L 69-75 30%    
  Feb 15, 2025 208   Toledo L 78-81 41%    
  Feb 18, 2025 200   Miami (OH) L 72-75 39%    
  Feb 22, 2025 349   @ Northern Illinois W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 25, 2025 289   Bowling Green W 78-76 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 237   Central Michigan L 71-72 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 147   @ Ohio L 72-83 16%    
  Mar 07, 2025 116   @ Kent St. L 60-74 11%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.6 0.3 0.0 3.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.8 0.7 0.0 5.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.1 1.4 0.1 8.0 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 5.2 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.1 7th
8th 0.2 2.0 6.1 4.0 0.5 0.0 12.7 8th
9th 0.2 2.2 6.5 5.1 0.9 0.0 14.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.6 6.5 5.4 1.3 0.0 16.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 2.8 5.3 4.1 0.9 0.0 13.8 11th
12th 0.2 0.9 2.5 3.4 2.1 0.5 0.0 9.6 12th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.1 6.6 10.2 13.5 15.0 14.7 12.7 9.5 6.4 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 85.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 56.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 5.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 19.1% 19.1% 14.6 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 10.1% 10.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 8.7% 8.7% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
12-6 2.0% 7.7% 7.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.8
11-7 3.8% 4.6% 4.6% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.6
10-8 6.4% 3.6% 3.6% 15.6 0.1 0.1 6.1
9-9 9.5% 2.7% 2.7% 15.8 0.1 0.2 9.3
8-10 12.7% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 12.5
7-11 14.7% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 14.6
6-12 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 13.5% 13.5
4-14 10.2% 10.2
3-15 6.6% 6.6
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 1.0% 1.0
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.2% 1.2% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 98.8 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%