Fordham
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#222
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#217
Pace73.2#57
Improvement-1.3#248

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#204
First Shot-0.3#176
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#239
Layup/Dunks-2.1#262
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#83
Freethrows-0.6#217
Improvement+0.7#154

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#235
First Shot-4.2#310
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#46
Layups/Dunks-4.8#332
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#65
Freethrows-0.5#225
Improvement-2.0#285
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four0.1% 0.5% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 20 - 70 - 9
Quad 36 - 86 - 17
Quad 45 - 411 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 13   @ St. John's L 60-92 2%     0 - 1 -11.4 -2.2 -7.4
  Nov 09, 2024 167   @ Seton Hall W 57-56 29%     1 - 1 +3.2 -6.2 +9.5
  Nov 12, 2024 308   Binghamton W 78-63 78%     2 - 1 +3.5 -1.2 +4.4
  Nov 15, 2024 235   @ Manhattan L 76-78 42%     2 - 2 -3.3 -5.6 +2.5
  Nov 22, 2024 181   Drexel L 71-73 53%     2 - 3 -6.1 +3.2 -9.5
  Nov 25, 2024 58   Penn St. L 66-85 11%     2 - 4 -9.1 -3.7 -5.1
  Nov 26, 2024 64   San Francisco L 64-85 14%     2 - 5 -12.7 +2.5 -17.3
  Dec 01, 2024 353   New Hampshire W 83-61 88%     3 - 5 +5.7 -1.0 +5.4
  Dec 04, 2024 314   Fairleigh Dickinson W 84-75 79%     4 - 5 -2.9 -1.8 -2.0
  Dec 08, 2024 209   Maine W 87-72 58%     5 - 5 +9.5 +5.8 +2.3
  Dec 14, 2024 149   Bryant W 86-84 35%     6 - 5 +2.6 +2.6 -0.2
  Dec 21, 2024 270   Albany W 87-83 70%     7 - 5 -4.9 +0.8 -6.1
  Dec 31, 2024 100   Saint Louis L 63-88 31%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -23.3 -8.7 -14.8
  Jan 04, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure L 66-86 34%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -19.0 -0.8 -19.4
  Jan 08, 2025 36   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 61-73 4%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +4.4 +0.0 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 140   @ Davidson L 64-74 25%     7 - 9 0 - 4 -6.1 -11.0 +5.4
  Jan 15, 2025 196   Massachusetts L 118-120 3OT 55%     7 - 10 0 - 5 -6.7 +3.6 -9.6
  Jan 22, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 66-70 18%     7 - 11 0 - 6 +2.5 +3.0 -0.8
  Jan 26, 2025 121   Duquesne W 65-63 39%     8 - 11 1 - 6 +1.7 -0.9 +2.7
  Jan 29, 2025 216   @ La Salle W 88-72 38%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +15.7 +14.4 +1.1
  Feb 01, 2025 110   @ St. Bonaventure L 72-74 18%     9 - 12 2 - 7 +4.5 +13.2 -9.0
  Feb 05, 2025 151   Rhode Island W 80-79 46%     10 - 12 3 - 7 -1.2 +5.4 -6.6
  Feb 12, 2025 74   Dayton L 76-93 22%     10 - 13 3 - 8 -12.2 +10.3 -24.1
  Feb 15, 2025 223   @ Richmond L 66-70 40%     10 - 14 3 - 9 -4.6 -1.6 -3.3
  Feb 19, 2025 121   @ Duquesne L 64-73 21%     10 - 15 3 - 10 -3.8 -5.1 +1.3
  Feb 22, 2025 140   Davidson L 69-80 43%     10 - 16 3 - 11 -12.6 -7.7 -4.6
  Feb 26, 2025 89   @ George Mason L 64-74 14%     10 - 17 3 - 12 -1.5 -1.2 +0.0
  Mar 01, 2025 75   Saint Joseph's L 76-90 22%     10 - 18 3 - 13 -9.3 +9.4 -19.3
  Mar 05, 2025 116   George Washington L 58-81 35%     10 - 19 3 - 14 -22.4 -10.4 -13.0
  Mar 08, 2025 151   @ Rhode Island L 67-86 26%     10 - 20 3 - 15 -15.7 -11.9 -2.0
  Mar 12, 2025 151   Rhode Island W 88-71 35%     11 - 20 +17.5 +14.9 +2.6
  Mar 13, 2025 116   George Washington L 70-77 26%    
Projected Record 11 - 21 3 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 100.0 100.0 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.1 99.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.1 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.0%
Lose Out 74.3%