Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#287
Expected Predictive Rating-4.6#243
Pace64.6#278
Improvement-3.8#324

Offense
Total Offense-3.9#277
First Shot-3.5#282
After Offensive Rebound-0.4#215
Layup/Dunks-7.1#355
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#119
Freethrows+0.5#148
Improvement-0.9#239

Defense
Total Defense-3.1#264
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#311
Layups/Dunks+0.6#148
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
Freethrows-2.7#340
Improvement-2.9#321
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 16.0
.500 or above 1.5% 3.4% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 2.3% 5.7% 0.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.1% 1.4%
First Four0.3% 0.4% 0.3%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Monmouth (Away) - 32.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 13
Quad 49 - 611 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 124   @ George Washington L 54-82 14%     0 - 1 -23.4 -18.2 -4.1
  Nov 12, 2024 66   @ Providence L 51-60 6%     0 - 2 +1.6 -8.9 +9.0
  Nov 16, 2024 185   Norfolk St. L 58-67 38%     0 - 3 -12.8 -9.2 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2024 261   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 36%     1 - 3 +6.8 +7.5 +0.3
  Nov 24, 2024 51   Boise St. L 69-83 6%     1 - 4 -3.8 +1.3 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 142   Duquesne W 64-59 22%     2 - 4 +6.2 -2.0 +8.5
  Nov 26, 2024 107   High Point L 73-76 15%     2 - 5 +1.0 +9.9 -9.4
  Dec 03, 2024 333   N.C. A&T W 82-71 73%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -2.4 -0.8 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2024 325   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-68 52%     4 - 5 +0.5 +2.6 -1.8
  Dec 28, 2024 310   Howard W 83-67 66%     5 - 5 +4.9 +3.5 +2.0
  Jan 02, 2025 131   @ College of Charleston L 67-94 15%     5 - 6 1 - 1 -22.8 -10.7 -9.6
  Jan 04, 2025 175   @ Elon L 62-70 21%     5 - 7 1 - 2 -6.2 -6.3 -0.5
  Jan 09, 2025 178   Campbell L 55-66 36%     5 - 8 1 - 3 -14.3 -10.9 -4.6
  Jan 11, 2025 232   Delaware W 83-77 49%     6 - 8 2 - 3 -0.6 +6.2 -6.6
  Jan 16, 2025 208   William & Mary L 64-67 42%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -7.9 -9.2 +1.1
  Jan 20, 2025 333   @ N.C. A&T W 74-73 56%     7 - 9 3 - 4 -7.4 +1.9 -9.2
  Jan 23, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 83-94 25%     7 - 10 3 - 5 -10.9 +0.9 -10.9
  Jan 25, 2025 117   @ UNC Wilmington L 62-83 13%     7 - 11 3 - 6 -15.7 -6.0 -11.0
  Jan 30, 2025 206   Northeastern L 69-78 42%     7 - 12 3 - 7 -13.7 -5.2 -8.5
  Feb 01, 2025 310   Howard W 80-79 OT 56%     8 - 12 -7.6 -0.8 -6.8
  Feb 06, 2025 253   @ Monmouth L 68-72 33%    
  Feb 08, 2025 206   @ Northeastern L 66-73 24%    
  Feb 13, 2025 195   Drexel L 63-66 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 174   Hofstra L 61-65 37%    
  Feb 20, 2025 318   Stony Brook W 71-66 70%    
  Feb 22, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington L 66-73 27%    
  Feb 27, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 60-68 22%    
  Mar 01, 2025 160   @ Towson L 59-69 17%    
Projected Record 11 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.5 6th
7th 0.4 0.7 0.1 1.2 7th
8th 0.3 2.3 0.7 0.0 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 3.3 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 2.7 7.2 1.5 0.0 11.4 10th
11th 0.4 3.8 11.6 5.6 0.3 21.5 11th
12th 1.1 11.2 21.1 12.4 1.3 0.0 47.1 12th
13th 2.8 4.1 1.6 0.2 8.6 13th
14th 0.2 0.2 14th
Total 4.0 15.7 26.6 26.9 16.8 7.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.4% 0.4
9-9 1.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 7.7% 0.9% 0.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 7.6
7-11 16.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 16.7
6-12 26.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 26.8
5-13 26.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.1 26.5
4-14 15.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.6
3-15 4.0% 4.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 99.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.1%