Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-4.8#248
Expected Predictive Rating-1.3#183
Pace64.1#302
Improvement+2.5#57

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#242
First Shot-2.6#250
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#193
Layup/Dunks-6.7#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#59
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#134
Freethrows+0.5#144
Improvement+2.3#46

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#234
First Shot-0.3#181
After Offensive Rebounds-1.9#319
Layups/Dunks-0.2#175
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#41
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#227
Freethrows-1.1#265
Improvement+0.2#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 2.5% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.0
.500 or above 25.3% 32.4% 13.6%
.500 or above in Conference 40.0% 44.4% 32.8%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.3% 5.8% 9.7%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.3%
First Round2.0% 2.5% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Howard (Home) - 62.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 4
Quad 33 - 73 - 12
Quad 49 - 512 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 135   @ George Washington L 54-82 19%     0 - 1 -23.7 -19.5 -3.0
  Nov 12, 2024 76   @ Providence L 51-60 8%     0 - 2 +1.5 -6.9 +7.0
  Nov 16, 2024 184   Norfolk St. L 58-67 48%     0 - 3 -13.2 -9.3 -5.3
  Nov 19, 2024 245   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 78-68 38%     1 - 3 +8.4 +9.4 -0.1
  Nov 24, 2024 58   Boise St. L 69-83 10%     1 - 4 -4.6 +2.5 -7.4
  Nov 25, 2024 163   Duquesne W 64-59 33%     2 - 4 +4.8 -2.5 +7.7
  Nov 26, 2024 123   High Point L 73-76 25%     2 - 5 -0.7 +10.3 -11.5
  Dec 03, 2024 324   N.C. A&T W 82-71 76%     3 - 5 1 - 0 -1.2 +0.1 -1.6
  Dec 21, 2024 322   @ Loyola Maryland W 76-68 55%     4 - 5 +1.9 +4.1 -1.8
  Dec 28, 2024 255   Howard W 73-70 62%    
  Jan 02, 2025 113   @ College of Charleston L 67-78 15%    
  Jan 04, 2025 182   @ Elon L 65-72 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 296   Campbell W 69-64 69%    
  Jan 11, 2025 215   Delaware W 74-73 53%    
  Jan 16, 2025 221   William & Mary W 78-76 55%    
  Jan 20, 2025 324   @ N.C. A&T W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 23, 2025 221   @ William & Mary L 75-79 34%    
  Jan 25, 2025 133   @ UNC Wilmington L 66-75 20%    
  Jan 30, 2025 170   Northeastern L 68-69 46%    
  Feb 06, 2025 262   @ Monmouth L 69-71 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 170   @ Northeastern L 65-72 26%    
  Feb 13, 2025 154   Drexel L 64-66 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 149   Hofstra L 63-65 43%    
  Feb 20, 2025 306   Stony Brook W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 133   UNC Wilmington L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 27, 2025 154   @ Drexel L 61-69 24%    
  Mar 01, 2025 209   @ Towson L 60-65 31%    
Projected Record 12 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.6 1.8 0.6 0.0 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.8 1.0 0.1 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 3.6 1.9 0.2 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 8.1 6th
7th 0.1 2.4 5.2 1.6 0.0 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.6 3.1 0.2 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.5 5.1 0.6 0.0 11.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.2 5.6 1.6 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.1 2.6 0.2 10.3 11th
12th 0.2 1.4 3.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 2.4 5.4 8.9 12.5 14.5 15.2 13.4 10.6 7.2 4.5 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 96.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 82.1% 0.3    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 56.8% 0.6    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 24.0% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 23.4% 23.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 13.8% 13.8% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 1.1% 15.7% 15.7% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.0
13-5 2.5% 10.8% 10.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.3
12-6 4.5% 8.2% 8.2% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.1
11-7 7.2% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 6.8
10-8 10.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.4
9-9 13.4% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 13.2
8-10 15.2% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.1 15.1
7-11 14.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.4
6-12 12.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 12.5
5-13 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 5.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.4
3-15 2.4% 2.4
2-16 0.8% 0.8
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 0.4 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%