Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.1 #252
Expected Predictive Rating -6.6 #263
Pace 65.3 #287
Improvement +0.8 #136

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #292 D C- D- B D-
Defense #191 D+ C C F D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #271 1.10 #254 -3.2 #290
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #53 0.70 #248 +1.9 #83
Three Pointers 38% #250 0.93 #279 -3.2 #290
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #304 -4.5 #304
Freethrows 20.6 #38 71% #234 14.6 #67
Second Chance 32.9% #119 0.89 #328 0.29 #240
Turnovers 19.1% #316
Total Offense -4.5 #292

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #39 1.32 #333 -6.8 #355
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #276 0.70 #110 +1.6 #78
Three Pointers 39% #247 0.94 #91 +2.7 #86
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #261 -2.4 #263
Freethrows 23.4 #356 69% #51 16.1 #24
Second Chance 31.1% #199 1.04 #189 0.32 #188
Turnovers 16.3% #197
Total Defense -0.6 #191

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.3% #311 1.7% #316
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -6.6% #285 3.1% #240
Possession Length 18.1 #263 17.3 #192
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #133 0.19 #261
Improvement -2.5 #322 +3.3 #25

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.1% 1.9% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.3 15.5
.500 or above 10.4% 22.0% 7.2%
.500 or above in Conference 31.6% 51.8% 26.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.1% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.9% 1.8% 7.0%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.4%
First Round1.0% 1.7% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: College of Charleston (Away) - 21.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 712 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 226 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 33%  -6  0 - 1 -5 +1 C C- F -5 C- C- F
 Tue, Nov 11 22 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2%  -24  0 - 2 -19 -9 F C C- -11 D F A+
 Fri, Nov 14 247 @Brown W 72 - 63 38%  +4  1 - 2 +7 +10 D- A+ D -2 F D A+
 Sun, Nov 16 326 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 69%  -0  1 - 3 -16 -5 F B F -12 F F A-
 Tue, Nov 18 151 @Boston College L 52 - 63 22%  -12  1 - 4 -8 -12 F C+ F +3 B+ C C-
 Fri, Nov 21 272 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 44%  -2  1 - 5 -5 -4 C+ D F -2 D+ B F
 Tue, Nov 25 341 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 63%  +10  2 - 5 -3 +10 B- C- A- -12 C F F
 Wed, Dec 3 336 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 80%  +15  3 - 5 +8 +7 A+ F D +0 A+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 13 271 Howard L 57 - 61 55%  -3  3 - 6 -10 -14 F F B +3 D+ A+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 342 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 73%  +5  4 - 6 -5 +4 D- A F -8 F C D-
 Fri, Dec 19 246 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 49%  -7  4 - 7 -14 +2 B F D -16 F F B-
 Mon, Dec 29 276 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 67%  -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -7 -8 F B+ D+ +2 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 175 Towson W 63 - 62 47%  +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -3 -0 C- C F -3 A+ F D
 Sat, Jan 3 118 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 15%  -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -17 F F C +18 B+ A+ B+
 Thu, Jan 8 199 @Campbell L 72 - 86 29%  -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -13 -6 D D F -7 F A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 149 @College of Charleston L 66 - 75 21% 
 Mon, Jan 19 305 N.C. A&T W 74 - 68 71% 
 Thu, Jan 22 194 Monmouth W 68 - 67 51% 
 Sat, Jan 24 118 UNC Wilmington L 65 - 70 32% 
 Thu, Jan 29 248 @Drexel L 63 - 66 38% 
 Sat, Jan 31 175 @Towson L 61 - 68 26% 
 Thu, Feb 5 163 Elon L 72 - 74 44% 
 Sat, Feb 7 127 William & Mary L 73 - 77 36% 
 Fri, Feb 13 305 N.C. A&T W 73 - 70 62% 
 Thu, Feb 19 109 @Hofstra L 62 - 74 13% 
 Sat, Feb 21 276 @Stony Brook L 65 - 66 44% 
 Thu, Feb 26 149 College of Charleston L 69 - 72 41% 
 Sat, Feb 28 233 Northeastern W 74 - 72 57% 
 Tue, Mar 3 127 @William & Mary L 70 - 80 18% 
Totals 12 - 17 8 - 10 -5 -4 D C- D- -1 D+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.1 3rd
4th 0.3 1.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.2 2.3 3.7 1.2 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.7 2.4 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 6.1 4.6 0.5 0.0 12.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 5.0 7.0 1.3 0.0 13.7 8th
9th 0.3 3.6 8.0 2.7 0.1 14.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 2.3 7.0 3.9 0.3 13.7 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.8 3.6 0.5 0.0 10.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.5 0.5 6.0 12th
13th 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.3 13th
Total 0.2 1.5 4.9 10.2 15.1 18.4 18.0 14.4 8.8 5.3 2.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 13.9% 13.9% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
13-5 0.7% 11.5% 11.5% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.7
12-6 2.3% 6.4% 6.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.1
11-7 5.3% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.1
10-8 8.8% 1.5% 1.5% 15.4 0.1 0.1 8.6
9-9 14.4% 1.3% 1.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 14.2
8-10 18.0% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 17.8
7-11 18.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 18.4
6-12 15.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 15.1
5-13 10.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 4.9% 4.9
3-15 1.5% 1.5
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.1% 1.1% 0.0% 15.4 98.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%