Hampton
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.2 #251
Expected Predictive Rating -6.4 #265
Pace 64.5 #297
Improvement +1.4 #126

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #294 D C- D+ C+ D-
Defense #187 D+ C+ C D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #305 1.08 #276 -4.1 #317
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% #36 0.69 #293 +2.2 #69
Three Pointers 37% #261 0.94 #278 -3.4 #300
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #326 -5.3 #326
Freethrows 0.32 #110 73% #168 0.24 #110
Second Chance 33.5% #99 0.88 #338 0.29 #220
Turnovers 18.3% #281
Total Offense -4.6 #294

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #74 1.31 #337 -5.7 #349
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #198 0.71 #94 +0.7 #133
Three Pointers 37% #282 0.99 #134 +2.4 #91
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #267 -2.5 #269
Freethrows 0.37 #335 68% #20 0.25 #304
Second Chance 29.7% #139 1.01 #161 0.30 #144
Turnovers 16.5% #194
Total Defense -0.6 #187

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.8% #330 0.8% #239
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -7.7% #309 4.1% #260
Possession Length 18.6 #314 16.9 #128
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #186 0.21 #313
Improvement -1.6 #281 +3.0 #39

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 2.2% 3.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 17.9% 27.8% 7.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.8% 2.8% 10.8%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.4%
First Round0.6% 0.8% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Elon (Home) - 50.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 82 - 12
Quad 410 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 254 @Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 86 - 90 39% -6  0 - 1 -6 +1 C- D+ F -7 C C- F+
 Tue, Nov 11 25 @Virginia L 53 - 91 2% -24  0 - 2 -19 -10 F B- C -11 D F A
 Fri, Nov 14 280 @Brown W 72 - 63 44% +4  1 - 2 +5 +9 D- A+ D+ -3 F D+ A+
 Sun, Nov 16 323 Holy Cross L 61 - 67 68% -0  1 - 3 -16 -5 F+ C F+ -12 D- F B
 Tue, Nov 18 127 @Boston College L 52 - 63 17% -12  1 - 4 -6 -10 D- B- F +3 A- C- C
 Fri, Nov 21 307 @Norfolk St. L 60 - 62 52% -2  1 - 5 -8 -6 C- D- D- -2 D+ B F
 Tue, Nov 25 338 @Maryland Eastern Shore W 74 - 68 62% +10  2 - 5 -2 +10 C+ C- A- -11 C F+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 318 Loyola Maryland W 93 - 71 76% +15  3 - 5 +9 +9 A+ F D+ -0 A+ F A-
 Sat, Dec 13 253 Howard L 57 - 61 50% -3  3 - 6 -9 -13 F F+ B +3 C A+ D-
 Thu, Dec 18 337 Jackson St. W 84 - 77 72% +5  4 - 6 -4 +4 D+ A F -8 F C+ D+
 Fri, Dec 19 287 Grambling St. L 72 - 81 58% -7  4 - 7 -16 +1 C+ F D+ -18 F F C+
 Mon, Dec 29 217 Stony Brook W 62 - 59 54% -2  5 - 7 1 - 0 -3 -8 F+ B D+ +5 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 31 155 Towson W 63 - 62 41% +1  6 - 7 2 - 0 -2 +1 C- B- F+ -3 B+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 3 116 @UNC Wilmington L 45 - 49 14% -4  6 - 8 2 - 1 +2 -18 F F C +19 B+ A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 212 @Campbell L 72 - 86 31% -13  6 - 9 2 - 2 -14 -7 D C F -6 C- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 10 152 @College of Charleston L 70 - 74 21% -5  6 - 10 2 - 3 -1 +7 D- B C+ -8 D- D+ D-
 Mon, Jan 19 281 N.C. A&T W 82 - 61 67% +5  7 - 10 3 - 3 +11 +11 D A+ A+ +2 C A+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 207 Monmouth W 65 - 63 53% +3  8 - 10 4 - 3 -4 -3 F B C -1 D+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 24 116 UNC Wilmington L 67 - 75 30% -3  8 - 11 4 - 4 -8 +5 C B+ C -14 D F+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 206 @Drexel L 51 - 58 30% -3  8 - 12 4 - 5 -7 -12 D- F F +4 A- D+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 155 @Towson L 50 - 82 22% -18  8 - 13 4 - 6 -29 -16 F F B -15 F A+ D
 Thu, Feb 5 192 Elon L 72 - 73 50%
 Sat, Feb 7 150 William & Mary L 74 - 77 40%
 Fri, Feb 13 281 N.C. A&T W 73 - 71 56%
 Thu, Feb 19 126 @Hofstra L 63 - 73 16%
 Sat, Feb 21 217 @Stony Brook L 64 - 69 32%
 Thu, Feb 26 152 College of Charleston L 69 - 72 41%
 Sat, Feb 28 256 Northeastern W 76 - 73 62%
 Tue, Mar 3 150 @William & Mary L 71 - 80 21%
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 11 -5 -5 D C- D+ -1 D+ C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.4 1.9 0.3 2.6 4th
5th 0.0 2.1 1.3 0.0 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.9 0.3 5.8 6th
7th 0.1 4.0 3.9 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 9.1 1.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.6 7.7 7.0 0.1 15.4 9th
10th 0.2 5.2 11.7 1.8 18.9 10th
11th 0.2 4.4 12.8 5.3 0.1 22.8 11th
12th 1.0 4.6 2.5 0.2 8.3 12th
13th 1.0 0.9 0.1 1.9 13th
Total 2.1 10.1 21.2 26.0 22.7 12.3 4.3 1.1 0.2 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.2% 20.0% 20.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
11-7 1.1% 5.0% 5.0% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
10-8 4.3% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.1 0.0 4.2
9-9 12.3% 1.5% 1.5% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.1
8-10 22.7% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.2 22.4
7-11 26.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 25.8
6-12 21.2% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 21.2
5-13 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.1
4-14 2.1% 2.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 15.7 99.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.2%