La Salle
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.1 #217
Expected Predictive Rating -4.6 #239
Pace 64.7 #297
Improvement +1.1 #120

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #214 D+ C+ D B- C-
Defense #216 C D+ C A- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #81 1.03 #316 -0.5 #199
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #80 0.74 #197 +1.8 #88
Three Pointers 32% #341 1.01 #192 -4.8 #319
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #271 -3.4 #271
Freethrows 18.7 #116 73% #159 13.7 #116
Second Chance 34.0% #88 1.04 #192 0.35 #111
Turnovers 18.6% #291
Total Offense -1.8 #214

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #185 1.09 #100 +1.2 #132
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #275 0.75 #183 +1.1 #111
Three Pointers 44% #97 1.07 #267 -2.9 #300
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #191 -0.6 #195
Freethrows 13.7 #30 68% #38 9.3 #343
Second Chance 32.7% #258 1.09 #243 0.36 #264
Turnovers 16.6% #184
Total Defense -1.3 #216

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #243 0.9% #254
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.9% #269 0.2% #181
Possession Length 18.5 #304 17.5 #227
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #240 0.18 #206
Improvement +2.5 #40 -1.4 #268

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.5 15.5
.500 or above 0.2% 1.2% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 7.6% 20.1% 6.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.1% 9.2% 23.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Louis (Home) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 71 - 11
Quad 33 - 94 - 20
Quad 45 - 29 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 59 96%  +22  1 - 0 +5 +1 C F F +3 A C+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 194 Monmouth W 73 - 60 58%  +3  2 - 0 +8 +3 D C+ C +6 C+ D+ A+
 Tue, Nov 11 143 @Temple L 63 - 90 25%  -16  2 - 1 -23 -7 F C C- -17 F F D+
 Sat, Nov 15 105 Penn St. L 69 - 83 24%  -11  2 - 2 -10 +4 C- A+ F -15 F B+ D-
 Wed, Nov 19 31 Villanova L 55 - 70 10%  -11  2 - 3 -4 -3 B- F F -3 F A A+
 Fri, Nov 28 109 Hofstra L 58 - 63 24%  -3  2 - 4 -1 -10 F C+ F +9 B- A+ B
 Sat, Nov 29 216 @Penn L 71 - 73 38%  +3  2 - 5 -2 +4 F A+ C- -6 F F C
 Sun, Nov 30 237 Merrimack L 60 - 66 54%  -4  2 - 6 -10 -7 C- C F -4 C D- C
 Sat, Dec 6 248 Drexel W 69 - 64 57%  +8  3 - 6 +0 -1 C C C +2 A+ F D
 Sat, Dec 13 209 @LIU Brooklyn L 60 - 70 37%  -5  3 - 7 -10 -10 F B- F -0 A F A-
 Fri, Dec 19 86 @High Point L 72 - 84 12%  -8  3 - 8 -2 +5 D+ D+ B+ -8 D- D+ D
 Sun, Dec 21 1 @Michigan L 50 - 102 1%  -24  3 - 9 -22 -9 F B F -10 F A+ C
 Wed, Dec 31 92 George Mason L 75 - 80 28%  +5  3 - 10 0 - 1 -2 +11 C B A+ -14 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 3 70 @George Washington L 55 - 77 10%  -6  3 - 11 0 - 2 -11 -11 F F B- -1 B F C
 Wed, Jan 7 141 @Rhode Island W 79 - 72 25%  +2  4 - 11 1 - 2 +11 +17 A+ A+ B -5 F C- A+
 Sat, Jan 10 29 Saint Louis L 68 - 82 9% 
 Wed, Jan 14 115 @Richmond L 69 - 79 18% 
 Sat, Jan 17 119 St. Bonaventure L 70 - 73 40% 
 Wed, Jan 21 75 Dayton L 65 - 73 23% 
 Wed, Jan 28 203 @Fordham L 64 - 68 37% 
 Sat, Jan 31 185 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 69 56% 
 Tue, Feb 3 251 @Loyola Chicago L 70 - 71 46% 
 Sat, Feb 7 29 @Saint Louis L 65 - 85 3% 
 Wed, Feb 11 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 79 16% 
 Wed, Feb 18 129 @Duquesne L 72 - 80 23% 
 Sat, Feb 21 141 Rhode Island L 68 - 69 46% 
 Tue, Feb 24 70 George Washington L 72 - 80 22% 
 Sun, Mar 1 125 @Davidson L 64 - 72 23% 
 Wed, Mar 4 203 Fordham W 67 - 65 58% 
 Sat, Mar 7 185 @Saint Joseph's L 68 - 72 34% 
Totals 9 - 21 6 - 12 -3 -2 D+ C+ D -1 C D+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.2 5th
6th 0.3 1.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.5 6th
7th 0.3 2.0 1.9 0.4 0.0 4.7 7th
8th 0.2 2.4 3.9 1.0 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.1 2.3 5.9 2.3 0.2 10.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 7.5 4.2 0.5 0.0 13.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.3 6.9 6.5 0.9 0.0 15.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 6.0 7.7 1.7 0.1 16.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 4.6 7.0 2.5 0.2 14.9 13th
14th 0.9 3.8 5.0 2.0 0.1 11.8 14th
Total 0.9 4.5 10.4 16.3 18.9 18.4 13.9 9.1 4.5 2.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 12.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.2% 2.5% 2.5% 13.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.7% 0.7% 0.7% 13.0 0.0 0.7
10-8 2.1% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 2.1
9-9 4.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.5 0.0 0.0 4.5
8-10 9.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 9.0
7-11 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 18.4% 18.4
5-13 18.9% 18.9
4-14 16.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 16.3
3-15 10.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.4
2-16 4.5% 4.5
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 15.2 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%