Lipscomb
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.7 188
Results Rating -1.1 177
Pace 73.3 62
Improvement -2.3 273

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 219 C+ D C D- B
Defense C 170 C C C+ B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 124 C+ 60% 132 +1.7 113
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 329 F+ 30% 360 -4.2 352
Three Pointers 47% 49 C+ 35% 142 +3.8 58
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 38 C +0.0 174
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 136
Second Chance D- 24.1% 334 C 1.03 172 D 0.25 311
Turnovers C 16.9% 177
Freethrows F+ 0.23 356 B 76% 46 D- 0.18 333
Total Offense C- -1.6 219

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 50% 146 C+ 10.0% 122
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 203 F 10.8% 358
Three Pointers B+ 92% 23 C- 1.1% 228
Total B+ 64% 38 C 5.9% 211

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 262 D+ 62% 280 -0.1 174
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 77 C 38% 177 +1.2 282
Three Pointers 40% 203 C 34% 170 -0.5 155
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 75 C- +1.0 225
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 193
Second Chance C- 31.2% 216 C+ 1.00 134 C 0.31 183
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 129
Freethrows B- 0.28 106 C+ 71% 108 B- 0.20 98
Total Defense C -0.1 170

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 125 D+ 8.3% 284
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 16% 28 C 5.0% 163
Three Pointers B+ 77% 31 C 1.0% 146
Total B 49% 52 D+ 4.6% 262

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.3 75 17.3 192
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 81 0.17 191
Improvement -1.0 #236 -1.3 #267

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 209 186 160
Results Rating Rank 224 179 123
Conference Record 11 - 7 12 - 6 13 - 5
Conference Finish 4 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18% 19% 16%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.6 14.4 15.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round18% 19% 16%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: West Georgia (Away) - 68.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 34 - 44 - 8
Quad 415 - 418 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 16 @Vanderbilt L 61 - 105 3% -29  0% 0 - 1 F -22 F+ -9 F C+ F F -11 F A+ F
 Sun, Nov 9 178 @Mercer L 77 - 92 36% -8  1% 0 - 2 D- -13 C+ +2 C- B- B- F -15 F F F
 Tue, Nov 11 223 @UNC Asheville L 64 - 69 46% -4  9% 0 - 3 D+ -6 D -5 F C C+ C -1 F+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 19 67 @Belmont L 68 - 75 11% -7  4% 0 - 4 C+ +4 F -11 F B+ F A+ +16 A+ C- A+
 Sat, Nov 22 247 Western Carolina W 83 - 62 72% +12  77% 1 - 4 B+ +13 D+ -4 C C C+ A+ +16 B+ B+ A+
 Wed, Nov 26 176 @Marshall W 90 - 67 36% +17  94% 2 - 4 A+ +25 B- +4 A+ F D A+ +19 A+ C- A
 Sat, Nov 29 222 @Southeast Missouri St. W 88 - 77 45% +4  76% 3 - 4 B +11 B- +4 B+ D D B+ +5 B+ B A-
 Wed, Dec 3 309 Tennessee Tech W 83 - 80 83% +1  52% 4 - 4 D -9 D+ -3 C- F+ C D -6 F+ C D-
 Sun, Dec 7 310 Alabama A&M W 92 - 58 83% +13  95% 5 - 4 A +22 A+ +17 A+ B- A+ A- +7 A- C+ B-
 Tue, Dec 16 2 @Duke L 73 - 97 1% -5  33% 5 - 5 C+ +4 C +1 B F C B+ +6 B+ F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 43 @Cincinnati L 62 - 89 6% -16  12% 5 - 6 D- -12 D+ -3 C B- C D- -8 C F F
 Thu, Jan 1 306 Jacksonville W 76 - 57 82% +9  93% 6 - 6 1 - 0 B- +7 A- +10 A- F A+ C+ +1 C D A+
 Sat, Jan 3 340 North Florida W 82 - 74 89% +2  50% 7 - 6 2 - 0 D+ -7 D- -6 F D A- C -1 C+ B C
 Thu, Jan 8 326 @Stetson L 83 - 91 72% -11  2% 7 - 7 2 - 1 F+ -16 D -4 C+ F F+ F -11 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 251 @Florida Gulf Coast W 84 - 77 51% +1  62% 8 - 7 3 - 1 B- +5 B- +5 B- C F+ C +0 D+ C+ D+
 Thu, Jan 15 285 Bellarmine W 81 - 71 80% +14  97% 9 - 7 4 - 1 C -0 D+ -3 D+ C+ D- B- +3 A+ D F
 Sat, Jan 17 157 Austin Peay W 82 - 78 55% +2  70% 10 - 7 5 - 1 C +1 C +1 B F+ B C -0 C+ C- B
 Thu, Jan 22 326 Stetson W 79 - 74 OT 87% +5  81% 11 - 7 6 - 1 D -9 F -15 F+ F B B+ +5 C+ A- B+
 Fri, Jan 23 251 Florida Gulf Coast W 86 - 71 73% +5  68% 12 - 7 7 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A+ A C D -6 B F D-
 Thu, Jan 29 306 @Jacksonville L 65 - 70 65% -8  0% 12 - 8 7 - 2 D -11 C- -2 D- B+ B+ F+ -9 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 31 340 @North Florida W 100 - 94 76% -2  38% 13 - 8 8 - 2 C- -3 A +12 A+ F A F -15 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 157 @Austin Peay L 76 - 87 33% -4  32% 13 - 9 8 - 3 D+ -8 C +1 C+ C- B- F+ -9 F A+ C-
 Sat, Feb 7 183 Central Arkansas L 78 - 86 61% -9  0% 13 - 10 8 - 4 D- -12 D+ -2 B D+ D+ F -10 C- F+ C
 Wed, Feb 11 279 Eastern Kentucky W 75 - 61 77% +8  77% 14 - 10 9 - 4 C+ +4 D+ -3 C- F+ D+ A +9 C A B
 Sat, Feb 14 212 @Queens L 81 - 87 43% -11  5% 14 - 11 9 - 5 D+ -6 F+ -8 D+ D F B- +3 F B+ A+
 Wed, Feb 18 285 @Bellarmine W 75 - 72 61% +1  57% 15 - 11 10 - 5 C -1 D+ -3 B F D B- +2 B D+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 342 North Alabama W 73 - 51 89% +4  53% 16 - 11 11 - 5 B- +7 C- -2 A+ F D- A+ +11 A+ B- C
 Wed, Feb 25 317 @West Georgia W 80 - 75 68%
 Sat, Feb 28 279 @Eastern Kentucky W 80 - 78 57%
Totals 17 - 12 12 - 6 -2 C- -2 B C B C +0 C+ B D-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C+ F+ C+ C 40% 23% 47% B C+ D- C D C F+ B D- C D+ C C C- 36% 24% 40% B- C C- C+ C C+ B- C+ B-
1.06 60% 30% 35% 0 +1 1.05 24% 1.0 .25 17% .23 76% .18 1.09 62% 38% 34% +1 -1 1.03 31% 1.0 .31 18% .28 71% .17
Nov
3		 Vanderbilt F+ F F F F 34% 18% 48% B- F D+ A- C+ F B+ A+ A+ F F A+ F F 35% 20% 45% B- F A+ A+ A+ F A A A+
0.82 41% 11% 25% -17 0 0.68 24% 1.1 .26 24% .39 95% .37 1.40 76% 25% 63% +23 0 1.48 24% 0.5 .12 8% .25 71% .17
Nov
9		 Mercer C+ C F C+ D+ 42% 9% 49% A- C- C B B- B- F A+ F F F A+ F F 43% 22% 34% D+ F D F F F A+ B A+
1.12 57% 20% 37% 0 +2 1.05 33% 1.1 .36 16% .12 86% .10 1.34 76% 23% 45% +10 0 1.22 37% 1.4 .50 12% .21 69% .15
Nov
11		 UNC Asheville D D+ A F F 42% 12% 46% B- F A- F+ C C+ D B+ C- C D F D F 26% 37% 37% C+ F+ D+ F F A+ F A- F
0.99 55% 50% 21% -9 +1 0.87 39% 0.8 .29 15% .27 73% .20 1.07 64% 50% 38% +8 -3 1.12 31% 1.2 .38 23% .48 63% .30
Nov
19		 Belmont F F B F F 27% 8% 64% B F B B+ B+ F F A+ F+ A+ C+ B+ A A+ 33% 7% 60% C A+ D B- C- A+ F D+ F
0.87 31% 40% 24% -17 +1 0.69 36% 1.2 .42 24% .17 90% .15 0.96 60% 33% 30% -4 +1 0.98 31% 1.2 .37 28% .52 72% .38
Nov
22		 Western Carolina D+ B F B C- 35% 10% 55% B C D+ A- C C+ F F F A+ F F A+ B+ 25% 22% 53% B+ B+ A+ F B+ A+ C+ A+ B+
1.11 64% 17% 38% +3 +1 1.11 25% 1.2 .30 15% .09 50% .05 0.83 77% 55% 15% -7 -1 0.86 15% 1.8 .26 24% .27 60% .16
Nov
26		 Marshall B- A- D+ A+ A+ 37% 17% 46% B- A+ F D F D B+ F+ C+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 35% 22% 43% D+ A+ B- D- C- A F D F
1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27 0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28
Nov
29		 Southeast Missouri St. B- B- F+ A+ B+ 43% 11% 45% B B+ F A D D C+ C- C B+ B- D- A+ B+ 43% 26% 30% B B+ D A+ B A- F F F
1.10 61% 33% 42% +6 +2 1.17 18% 1.3 .24 20% .40 73% .30 0.96 52% 43% 19% -8 0 0.85 32% 0.8 .26 21% .47 77% .36
Dec
3		 Tennessee Tech D+ C F C- D+ 36% 7% 57% A- C- D F F+ C B- D- C D A+ F F F 30% 32% 39% A F+ B- D+ C D- C B+ C+
1.12 60% 25% 34% 0 +2 1.05 26% 1.0 .26 15% .32 70% .22 1.08 41% 50% 45% +5 -2 1.09 28% 1.1 .31 16% .27 71% .19
Dec
7		 Alabama A&M A+ A A+ B- A 53% 5% 42% A A+ F A+ B- A+ F F F A- A A B- A 40% 32% 28% B- A- F A+ C+ B- D- B- D
1.40 73% 67% 38% +12 +3 1.32 21% 1.7 .36 6% .21 62% .13 0.88 42% 27% 31% -11 -1 0.77 33% 0.7 .23 18% .39 71% .28
Dec
16		 Duke C C F C+ B- 50% 14% 36% A+ B F F F C A+ A+ A+ B+ C F A- A- 50% 6% 44% D+ B+ F D+ F A+ C- D- D
0.89 52% 25% 33% -5 +2 0.95 8% 0.0 .00 19% .30 90% .27 1.18 63% 67% 29% +1 +3 1.09 53% 1.3 .68 27% .36 77% .28
Dec
29		 Cincinnati D+ D+ A F+ D 38% 4% 58% A+ C F+ A+ B- C D+ F F+ D- C- A+ D C+ 40% 15% 45% D- C D F F F A+ B- A+
0.86 47% 50% 28% -9 +2 0.88 16% 1.8 .30 19% .22 54% .12 1.23 63% 22% 37% +1 +1 1.07 36% 1.4 .49 11% .14 67% .09
Jan
1		 Jacksonville A- A+ F A+ A 40% 16% 44% C+ A- F F F A+ F A+ F C+ D- A- B- C- 27% 24% 49% A- C F B+ D A+ C+ B B-
1.29 75% 25% 45% +12 +1 1.28 21% 0.7 .14 7% .20 91% .18 0.97 64% 30% 30% -3 -1 0.93 38% 0.9 .34 25% .27 67% .18
Jan
3		 North Florida D- F F C F 26% 18% 56% D- F C- D- D A- B+ D+ B C A+ D+ D+ C+ 23% 12% 65% B- C+ D- A+ B C A+ F A+
1.16 47% 20% 34% -6 0 0.89 35% 1.1 .37 8% .34 68% .23 1.05 43% 43% 36% -1 0 1.00 30% 0.8 .23 18% .07 100% .07
Jan
8		 Stetson D B- A+ D- C 50% 12% 38% A- C+ F A F F+ A+ C- A F F F D+ F 34% 13% 53% F+ F A+ A+ A+ F F F F
1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27 1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35
Jan
10		 Florida Gulf Coast B- F+ F A+ B- 39% 12% 49% B- B- D A C F+ C+ A+ B+ C C- F A- D- 35% 38% 27% A- D+ B+ D C+ D+ D- A+ C-
1.17 50% 17% 48% +5 +1 1.14 25% 1.3 .32 20% .37 86% .31 1.08 61% 55% 29% +5 -3 1.08 26% 1.1 .29 15% .31 63% .20
Jan
15		 Bellarmine D+ C+ A D+ D- 39% 9% 52% B+ D+ A- D- C+ D- A+ F B- B- A+ F A+ A+ 32% 21% 47% A A+ F A+ D F F A+ F
1.22 65% 50% 35% +4 +2 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 18% .42 61% .26 1.07 41% 55% 20% -12 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .27 9% .50 67% .33
Jan
17		 Austin Peay C B- A+ D- C+ 62% 7% 31% A+ B D F F+ B F+ A+ B- C A- D D+ C- 33% 33% 34% A+ C+ C+ D- C- B B C- B-
1.10 65% 50% 29% +3 +3 1.15 26% 0.5 .13 16% .24 100% .24 1.04 47% 42% 35% -2 -2 0.95 26% 1.3 .34 19% .26 75% .20
Jan
22		 Stetson F C F D F 41% 19% 41% C F+ F F F B C- A- C+ B+ C B C C+ 36% 28% 36% B- C+ D A+ A- B+ B F C-
0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21 0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21
Jan
23		 Florida Gulf Coast A+ D+ F A+ A+ 19% 15% 66% D A+ B+ A A C D- A+ C D F A+ D+ B 17% 28% 54% A- B C F F D- F A D-
1.36 56% 0% 55% +14 -1 1.30 37% 1.3 .48 16% .30 88% .26 1.13 75% 15% 36% -2 -2 0.93 31% 1.6 .50 14% .37 65% .24
Jan
29		 Jacksonville C- C- C+ F F 58% 10% 32% A D- F A+ B+ B+ F C F F+ F+ C- D F 43% 21% 36% C- F C D C- F C F D+
1.08 59% 40% 25% -4 +3 1.00 19% 2.0 .38 12% .19 70% .13 1.16 65% 40% 35% +4 0 1.11 29% 1.1 .32 12% .28 80% .22
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Florida A A- F A+ A 59% 5% 36% A+ A+ F A+ F A F A- D- F D+ A+ F F 33% 5% 62% D- F F C- F C- D+ F F
1.37 69% 33% 45% +13 +4 1.34 18% 1.6 .29 8% .19 77% .15 1.29 61% 0% 44% +8 +2 1.22 37% 1.2 .43 18% .27 94% .25
Feb
4		 Austin Peay C A F F C 51% 9% 40% A C+ F A C- B- F A+ F+ F+ F B- F F 36% 36% 27% A+ F A+ A- A+ C- B+ A- A-
1.06 71% 20% 27% +1 +2 1.09 22% 1.0 .22 17% .17 90% .15 1.21 85% 35% 60% +19 -2 1.36 8% 1.0 .08 15% .25 67% .16
Feb
7		 Central Arkansas D+ A- D+ A- B+ 22% 13% 65% D+ B C F+ D+ D+ A+ D A F F C+ B- F+ 25% 40% 36% A+ C- F C- F+ C F D+ F
1.07 70% 33% 40% +8 0 1.17 29% 1.0 .29 21% .38 68% .26 1.18 92% 33% 32% +5 -3 1.06 36% 1.1 .38 17% .35 71% .25
Feb
11		 Eastern Kentucky D+ C- B+ B- D+ 33% 8% 59% B+ C- C+ F F+ D+ F A+ D+ A A- F B- C+ 33% 24% 43% D+ C D+ A+ A B A- A+ A+
1.15 59% 50% 37% +4 +1 1.12 34% 0.7 .23 17% .24 92% .22 0.93 47% 50% 32% -2 -1 0.96 34% 0.7 .24 20% .19 50% .10
Feb
14		 Queens F+ C+ A F D- 54% 7% 39% A D+ C+ F D F F+ F+ F B- F A F F 43% 14% 43% D+ F A+ F B+ A+ F A D
1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19 1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26
Feb
18		 Bellarmine D+ A F A+ B- 24% 6% 69% B B F F F D F A+ F+ B- D A+ B B+ 44% 15% 41% C+ B F+ B+ D+ F A A+ A+
1.17 75% 0% 44% +12 +1 1.29 17% 0.8 .14 17% .19 90% .17 1.13 67% 25% 32% +1 +1 1.06 26% 1.0 .26 11% .19 64% .12
Feb
21		 North Alabama C- A+ A+ A A+ 35% 13% 52% C- A+ F F F D- F F F A+ C+ C A+ A+ 41% 33% 25% A+ A+ D A+ B- C A+ A- A+
1.17 88% 67% 42% +20 +1 1.43 17% 0.5 .09 18% .17 56% .10 0.82 52% 35% 0% -16 -1 0.67 34% 0.8 .27 18% .19 60% .12



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 4.0 4.0 2nd
3rd 14.7 33.2 47.9 3rd
4th 14.3 31.5 2.4 48.1 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 14.3 46.2 39.6 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 39.6% 19.9% 19.9% 14.2 0.0 1.0 4.5 2.3 0.0 31.7
12-6 46.2% 16.8% 16.8% 14.8 0.1 1.9 4.9 0.8 38.4
11-7 14.3% 14.9% 14.9% 15.2 0.0 0.2 1.3 0.6 12.1
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.8% 17.8% 0.0% 14.6 82.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.9% 100.0% 14.2 0.1 12.7 57.3 29.6 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 12.3%
Lose Out 5.7%