Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -15.1 #360
Expected Predictive Rating -25.1 #364
Pace 74.8 #39
Improvement +1.6 #117

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #348 D D- C- C- C
Defense #354 F+ D- C- B+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #227 0.98 #348 -4.2 #319
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #164 0.70 #277 -0.3 #193
Three Pointers 42% #164 0.98 #230 -0.3 #188
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #319 -4.8 #319
Freethrows 0.29 #245 72% #198 0.21 #229
Second Chance 21.8% #355 1.04 #152 0.23 #343
Turnovers 17.4% #227
Total Offense -7.6 #348

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #185 1.33 #348 -3.4 #296
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #342 0.86 #325 +1.5 #72
Three Pointers 47% #39 1.12 #320 -5.3 #350
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #357 -7.3 #358
Freethrows 0.24 #30 71% #117 0.17 #29
Second Chance 36.1% #345 1.10 #289 0.40 #340
Turnovers 15.7% #239
Total Defense -7.5 #354

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.4% #223 1.5% #313
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.0% #323 12.5% #357
Possession Length 16.9 #133 16.0 #20
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #320 0.22 #327
Improvement -0.2 #193 +1.7 #84

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 99.9% 100.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Away) - 10.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 60 - 12
Quad 42 - 152 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 308 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 19% -10  0 - 1 -26 +3 C+ C- C -27 F+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 59 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 1% -17  0 - 2 -9 -5 C F+ D+ -3 D D A-
 Thu, Nov 13 297 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 17% +3  0 - 3 -16 -16 F F F+ +1 C C F+
 Mon, Nov 17 197 Lamar L 66 - 79 18% -9  0 - 4 -18 -10 F+ C- D+ -8 C- B- F+
 Sat, Nov 22 299 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 25% -0  0 - 5 -11 +0 D- F+ B- -11 F F+ D
 Sun, Nov 23 131 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 4% -20  0 - 6 -37 -16 F D+ C -22 F F C-
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 86% +4  1 - 6 -13 -11 F+ F D+ -0 A+ C F
 Sun, Dec 7 105 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  1 - 7 -13 +5 F B+ A- -17 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 13 40 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  1 - 8 -9 +12 B+ C+ A+ -21 F D F
 Wed, Dec 17 194 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 18% +7  1 - 9 0 - 1 -9 +0 B A F -9 F F A
 Sat, Dec 20 303 Louisiana L 62 - 76 35% -12  1 - 10 0 - 2 -25 -8 F C F+ -19 F B+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 92 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 2% -6  1 - 11 +0 +7 A F C- -5 D+ B+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 250 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 25% -11  1 - 12 0 - 3 -22 -8 F+ D+ C+ -13 F C- A
 Sat, Jan 3 259 Texas St. L 79 - 84 27% -3  1 - 13 0 - 4 -14 +0 A F D+ -14 D+ F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 303 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 18% -3  1 - 14 0 - 5 -11 +4 B D- C+ -15 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 250 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 12% +0  1 - 15 0 - 6 -12 -10 F+ F+ D- -2 B- D F
 Sat, Jan 17 268 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 28% -9  1 - 16 0 - 7 -29 -16 F F C+ -14 F C+ F+
 Thu, Jan 22 153 @Marshall L 60 - 115 6% -28  1 - 17 0 - 8 -52 -15 F D+ C+ -34 F F C
 Fri, Jan 23 172 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 7% -8  1 - 18 0 - 9 -14 -26 F F D- +12 B A+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 260 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 27% -2  1 - 19 0 - 10 -12 -7 D+ D D+ -5 C+ D+ B+
 Sun, Feb 1 239 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 23% -5  1 - 20 0 - 11 -11 +8 B+ C- B- -20 F F C
 Wed, Feb 4 243 @Old Dominion L 71 - 84 10%
 Sat, Feb 7 298 Ball St. L 70 - 74 35%
 Wed, Feb 11 168 @Arkansas St. L 74 - 91 5%
 Sat, Feb 14 259 @Texas St. L 68 - 81 12%
 Wed, Feb 18 140 Troy L 70 - 83 11%
 Sat, Feb 21 168 Arkansas St. L 77 - 88 14%
 Wed, Feb 25 194 @South Alabama L 64 - 80 7%
 Fri, Feb 27 140 @Troy L 67 - 86 4%
Totals 2 - 27 1 - 17 -15 -8 D D- C- -7 F+ D- C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 53.1 33.4 10.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 100.0 14th
Total 53.1 33.4 10.8 2.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 10.8% 10.8
1-17 33.4% 33.4
0-18 53.1% 53.1
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 35.3%