Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -13.9 353
Results Rating -20.5 362
Pace 74.8 35
Improvement +4.2 43

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 317 D D C- C C-
Defense F+ 358 F+ F D+ B D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 229 D- 51% 335 -3.6 308
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 148 C- 37% 223 +0.0 182
Three Pointers 42% 162 C- 32% 257 -0.6 201
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.2 220 D -4.0 312
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 312
Second Chance D- 24.6% 329 C- 1.00 217 D 0.25 318
Turnovers C- 17.3% 218
Freethrows C 0.31 163 C 72% 201 C 0.22 164
Total Offense D -5.6 317

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C- 45% 251 D- 14.5% 339
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 218 C+ 4.6% 152
Three Pointers D+ 81% 257 D 1.4% 305
Total C- 52% 251 D 6.9% 314

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 151 D- 65% 337 +3.4 293
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% 345 F 46% 355 -1.2 98
Three Pointers 46% 43 D 37% 310 +4.7 344
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 329 F+ +5.8 354
1st FG Attempt F+ 1.16 358
Second Chance F+ 36.4% 351 D- 1.15 334 F 0.42 358
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 260
Freethrows B 0.26 41 B- 70% 74 B 0.18 37
Total Defense F+ -8.3 358

Assists Blocks
Close Shots F+ 60% 352 D+ 8.5% 274
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 303 C 5.0% 166
Three Pointers D 88% 302 C- 0.6% 237
Total F+ 66% 352 D+ 4.3% 285

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.1 145 16.0 17
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 294 0.21 304
Improvement +3.6 #32 +0.5 #155

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 355 351 345
Results Rating Rank 363 361 358
Conference Record 1 - 17 1 - 17 2 - 16
Conference Finish 14 14 14
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 100% 100% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: South Alabama (Away) - 7.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 30 - 70 - 13
Quad 42 - 142 - 27


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 323 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 26% -10  19% 0 - 1 F -27 C +0 C+ C- C F -26 F+ F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 72 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2% -17  0% 0 - 2 D -10 F+ -8 C- F D C -1 D D- A
 Thu, Nov 13 298 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 20% +3  60% 0 - 3 F+ -16 F -17 F F F+ C+ +1 C- C D-
 Mon, Nov 17 216 Lamar L 66 - 79 23% -9  0% 0 - 4 F -19 F -13 F+ C- D D -5 C- C+ F+
 Sat, Nov 22 280 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 24% -0  35% 0 - 5 D -10 C- -2 D F+ C+ D- -8 F+ D- D
 Sun, Nov 23 131 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 5% -20  0% 0 - 6 F -37 F -17 F D C+ F -20 F F D+
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 87% +4  82% 1 - 6 D- -12 F -15 F+ F D+ B +4 A C F
 Sun, Dec 7 102 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 3% -11  0% 1 - 7 D- -12 C+ +3 F A- A F -14 F D+ D
 Sat, Dec 13 39 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1% -12  0% 1 - 8 D -9 A- +10 B+ B- A F -18 F D F
 Wed, Dec 17 182 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 18% +7  72% 1 - 9 0 - 1 D -8 D+ -3 B A F D+ -4 D- F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 291 Louisiana L 62 - 76 37% -12  0% 1 - 10 0 - 2 F -25 F -11 F C F+ F -15 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 96 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 3% -6  27% 1 - 11 C -0 C+ +3 A F C C- -3 D B+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 241 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 26% -11  0% 1 - 12 0 - 3 F -21 F -10 F D+ B- F -10 F C B+
 Sat, Jan 3 237 Texas St. L 79 - 84 26% -3  12% 1 - 13 0 - 4 D- -12 C- -2 A F C- F -10 D+ F C-
 Thu, Jan 8 291 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 19% -3  21% 1 - 14 0 - 5 D -11 C +2 B F+ B- F -12 F F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 241 @Southern Miss L 60 - 70 12% +0  48% 1 - 15 0 - 6 D- -11 F -12 F F+ D- C+ +0 B D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 289 Georgia St. L 57 - 77 37% -9  8% 1 - 16 0 - 7 F -31 F -19 F F C F -13 F C+ D-
 Thu, Jan 22 176 @Marshall L 60 - 115 8% -28  2% 1 - 17 0 - 8 F -53 F -20 F D- C+ F -30 F F C
 Fri, Jan 23 173 @Appalachian St. L 43 - 59 7% -8  15% 1 - 18 0 - 9 D- -14 F -29 F F F+ A+ +16 B+ A+ C
 Fri, Jan 30 266 Georgia Southern L 76 - 79 32% -2  18% 1 - 19 0 - 10 D- -12 F+ -10 D+ D- D C- -2 B- D B+
 Sun, Feb 1 236 Coastal Carolina L 79 - 83 26% -5  0% 1 - 20 0 - 11 D -11 B +7 A- C- B- F -18 F F C-
 Wed, Feb 4 242 @Old Dominion W 85 - 79 12% +6  97% 2 - 20 1 - 11 C+ +5 B- +5 C F+ D- C -1 B- F+ D
 Sat, Feb 7 313 Ball St. L 68 - 73 44% -8  0% 2 - 21 F+ -17 F -10 F C+ C+ D- -7 D F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 143 @Arkansas St. L 70 - 103 6% -15  0% 2 - 22 1 - 12 F -29 F+ -8 D- D D+ F -19 F F F
 Sat, Feb 14 237 @Texas St. L 84 - 95 12% -6  2% 2 - 23 1 - 13 D- -12 A+ +17 A A C+ F -30 F F F
 Wed, Feb 18 152 Troy L 76 - 77 15% -0  40% 2 - 24 1 - 14 C- -4 C- -2 F+ D A+ C- -2 C- C D
 Sat, Feb 21 143 Arkansas St. L 94 - 102 14% -6  4% 2 - 25 1 - 15 D -10 B +7 B+ A+ F F -17 F D+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 182 @South Alabama L 67 - 83 7%
 Fri, Feb 27 152 @Troy L 69 - 86 5%
Totals 2 - 27 1 - 17 -14 D -6 F D C- F+ -8 C- C C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C- C- D 37% 40% 42% C- D D- C- D C- C C C F+ D- F D F+ 40% 14% 46% D F+ F+ D- F D+ B B- B
1.01 51% 37% 32% -4 0 0.94 25% 1.0 .25 17% .31 72% .22 1.20 65% 46% 37% +6 +1 1.16 36% 1.2 .42 15% .26 70% .22
Nov
3		 Northern Illinois C D A+ A B- 40% 20% 40% D+ C+ F A+ C- C B- C+ B- F C+ F D F+ 51% 4% 45% F F+ F F F B- F F F
1.09 55% 50% 40% +5 0 1.12 19% 1.7 .32 17% .36 73% .26 1.36 52% 100% 36% +1 +3 1.10 61% 1.6 1.00 24% .46 73% .33
Nov
7		 Mississippi F+ F C+ C C 22% 28% 50% D C- F F+ F D D+ F F+ C B- B+ F D+ 26% 26% 47% D D C+ F D- A A A- A+
0.88 42% 40% 33% -4 -2 0.91 20% 0.9 .18 20% .29 59% .17 1.16 60% 33% 44% +7 -2 1.12 29% 1.4 .39 18% .21 69% .15
Nov
13		 Houston Christian F F+ C D F 43% 15% 42% C+ F F D F F+ F A+ F C+ C B- C+ C 45% 11% 45% F C- C+ C- C D- A+ F A-
0.87 52% 38% 32% -4 +1 0.96 12% 1.0 .12 21% .13 86% .11 1.03 56% 33% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.9 .25 14% .17 80% .13
Nov
17		 Lamar F D- F C+ F 43% 22% 35% C F+ C- C- C- D B+ F D+ D D F A+ C- 28% 33% 38% C C- C C+ C+ F+ C- C+ C-
0.92 52% 18% 35% -6 0 0.90 29% 1.0 .29 19% .45 54% .24 1.10 59% 50% 26% 0 -2 0.97 33% 0.9 .31 13% .25 69% .17
Nov
22		 Morehead St. C- F A+ D+ D- 38% 14% 48% C D C- F F+ C+ D- B+ D+ D- D- B- F F 36% 30% 34% B- F+ F C- D- D F A F
1.13 45% 63% 32% -3 +1 0.98 34% 0.7 .23 14% .28 76% .21 1.17 65% 36% 44% +7 -1 1.13 42% 0.9 .39 16% .48 66% .32
Nov
23		 East Tennessee St. F D F F F 31% 20% 49% D F F A- D C+ D B D+ F F F F F 43% 17% 40% C- F F F F D+ A+ D A+
0.79 53% 20% 21% -15 -1 0.71 21% 1.1 .23 19% .25 79% .20 1.40 76% 50% 43% +15 +1 1.34 39% 1.4 .54 14% .17 80% .14
Dec
3		 Mississippi Valley F A+ F F+ F+ 36% 17% 48% C F+ F F F D+ A+ F+ A B B- B+ A+ A+ 27% 43% 29% B- A D+ B- C F B C+ B
1.02 80% 0% 30% -1 0 1.00 24% 1.0 .24 18% .55 69% .38 0.80 50% 32% 13% -14 -4 0.67 26% 0.8 .21 15% .24 69% .16
Dec
7		 Stephen F. Austin C+ D F F F 46% 18% 37% B- F C+ A+ A- A A B+ A+ F F A+ F F 38% 24% 38% D+ F C D D+ D B- B+ B
1.04 50% 30% 19% -13 +1 0.77 30% 1.4 .42 12% .38 79% .30 1.32 91% 21% 45% +15 0 1.31 32% 1.1 .35 11% .20 62% .12
Dec
13		 Miami (FL) A- D F A+ A- 29% 18% 54% C+ B+ C A- B- A C- F D- F F+ F F F 59% 3% 38% F F F B D F A- A+ A+
1.11 50% 20% 47% +5 0 1.11 23% 1.2 .28 14% .23 57% .13 1.47 71% 50% 45% +14 +4 1.38 47% 1.0 .47 11% .27 53% .14
Dec
17		 South Alabama D+ A F A A- 12% 15% 73% F+ B D A+ A F A+ A- A+ D+ F F A+ F+ 38% 16% 46% C+ D- B F F A+ B F C-
1.05 71% 22% 40% +5 -1 1.10 28% 1.8 .50 27% .33 81% .27 1.10 78% 50% 25% +3 +1 1.10 20% 2.1 .43 19% .27 79% .21
Dec
20		 Louisiana F F F A+ F 36% 28% 36% F F F A+ C F+ A+ B+ A+ F F C- F F 30% 30% 40% D F A- A A- F F A+ C-
0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52 1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17
Dec
28		 Kansas St. C+ A- B- A+ A+ 33% 33% 33% F+ A F F F C A+ C- A+ C- F B- B+ D+ 40% 10% 50% D D F+ A+ B+ C F D+ F
1.07 65% 41% 41% +7 -2 1.12 20% 0.9 .17 19% .53 71% .37 1.19 83% 33% 31% +7 +1 1.19 39% 0.7 .29 16% .36 75% .27
Jan
1		 Southern Miss F F B- D F 39% 21% 39% C- F F A+ D+ B- C- D- D+ F F F D F 49% 13% 38% F F D- B+ C B+ A+ F A-
0.95 45% 42% 32% -5 0 0.91 14% 1.7 .24 16% .34 64% .22 1.13 69% 71% 35% +10 +2 1.26 36% 0.9 .32 22% .25 87% .22
Jan
3		 Texas St. C- A- F A+ A 37% 19% 44% D+ A F F F C- F+ D F+ F C- D A C- 49% 31% 20% D+ D+ F F F C- A A+ A+
1.08 68% 20% 52% +12 0 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 19% .27 69% .19 1.15 59% 44% 25% -1 -1 1.00 43% 1.3 .54 18% .20 67% .13
Jan
8		 Louisiana C C- F+ A+ B 58% 15% 27% B+ B F A+ F+ B- C- C C- F D F C+ F 28% 22% 50% F F F F F A- D A+ B-
1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27 1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14
Jan
10		 Southern Miss F F F C+ F 42% 6% 52% A- F B- F F+ D- D- C D C+ C- A+ A- B+ 35% 27% 37% C- B A F D+ F D A C
0.88 40% 0% 36% -8 +2 0.90 31% 0.6 .18 21% .30 69% .20 1.03 61% 21% 26% -8 -1 0.84 23% 1.6 .36 13% .41 67% .27
Jan
17		 Georgia St. F F D+ D F 31% 26% 43% F+ F F+ F F C F C- F F D C+ F F 18% 16% 65% D- F A- F C+ D- A+ A A+
0.85 35% 36% 30% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.6 .16 16% .18 70% .13 1.15 60% 33% 42% +7 -1 1.15 21% 1.3 .26 13% .17 70% .12
Jan
22		 Marshall F F A+ F F 35% 19% 46% C+ F F B- D- C+ A+ C+ A+ F C- A+ F F 26% 7% 67% F F F F F C A+ D- A
0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34 1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11
Jan
23		 Appalachian St. F F F F F 47% 9% 43% A F F F F F+ B- C C+ A+ D+ F A+ A 39% 5% 56% F B+ D- A+ A+ C A+ F A+
0.62 20% 20% 22% -28 +2 0.51 20% 0.5 .10 17% .30 71% .21 0.85 64% 67% 19% -9 +2 0.88 34% 0.1 .04 16% .15 78% .12
Jan
30		 Georgia Southern F+ B- D- D+ D+ 43% 18% 39% C- D+ D- C- D- D A B+ A+ C- D+ F A+ C 35% 23% 42% A B- C+ F D B+ F D F
1.03 62% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 29% 1.0 .29 20% .46 81% .37 1.07 59% 55% 20% -5 -1 0.92 26% 1.3 .35 19% .57 76% .43
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Coastal Carolina B D- A+ B A- 30% 21% 48% B A- C+ D- C- B- D C+ D F F F+ F F 29% 22% 49% D F F F+ F C- A+ B+ A+
1.18 47% 67% 37% +5 -1 1.11 30% 0.9 .27 10% .25 73% .18 1.24 67% 45% 48% +14 -1 1.29 37% 1.1 .40 15% .16 67% .11
Feb
4		 Old Dominion B- B+ A+ F C+ 40% 27% 33% D C A+ F F+ D- A+ B A+ C D+ A- A+ B+ 38% 20% 42% D- B- F+ D+ F+ D F A F
1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46 1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30
Feb
7		 Ball St. F B D- F F 29% 31% 40% F F D- A+ C+ C+ A+ B+ A+ D- B+ F C- D- 45% 24% 31% C+ D F F F B+ D F D-
0.98 67% 31% 12% -13 -2 0.71 28% 1.3 .38 17% .63 83% .52 1.05 45% 50% 33% -3 0 0.96 37% 1.1 .42 20% .33 78% .25
Feb
11		 Arkansas St. F+ F D B- D- 29% 23% 48% D+ D- D C- D D+ A F B- F D- F F F 47% 5% 48% F F F D F F A A+ A+
0.95 40% 33% 36% -5 -1 0.90 23% 1.0 .23 16% .42 62% .26 1.39 67% 67% 39% +9 +3 1.26 51% 1.1 .56 15% .25 50% .13
Feb
14		 Texas St. A+ F+ A+ A+ A 48% 13% 39% B A A B+ A C+ B- F C- F D F F F 55% 25% 21% F F F F F F A B A
1.31 50% 67% 56% +13 +2 1.30 38% 1.1 .41 17% .36 63% .23 1.48 62% 77% 45% +15 +1 1.34 57% 1.5 .87 11% .19 73% .14
Feb
18		 Troy C- F+ A+ F F 41% 20% 39% C+ F+ D- C+ D A+ A- B A- C- C F B C- 42% 6% 52% D C- B D- C D F A F+
1.08 48% 73% 18% -7 0 0.89 24% 1.1 .27 6% .35 74% .26 1.09 57% 67% 31% -1 +2 1.04 29% 1.1 .32 14% .43 65% .28
Feb
21		 Arkansas St. B A+ F B+ B+ 40% 19% 40% B- B+ A+ A- A+ F A+ C A+ F B F F F 32% 8% 60% D+ F B- F+ D+ F F F F
1.21 76% 20% 38% +6 0 1.15 39% 1.2 .48 19% .46 72% .33 1.31 53% 50% 44% +8 +1 1.21 35% 1.2 .41 15% .47 84% .40



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 87.9 11.7 0.4 100.0 14th
Total 87.9 11.7 0.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15 0.4% 0.4
2-16 11.7% 11.7
1-17 87.9% 87.9
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4%
Lose Out 87.9%