Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.5#334
Expected Predictive Rating-16.0#352
Pace67.6#220
Improvement+0.3#168

Offense
Total Offense-6.8#342
First Shot-5.5#332
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#269
Layup/Dunks-3.1#294
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#334
Freethrows-2.3#311
Improvement+0.0#173

Defense
Total Defense-3.7#291
First Shot-3.7#295
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks-1.6#237
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#169
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#325
Freethrows+1.6#71
Improvement+0.2#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.8% 4.9% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 62.8% 41.8% 68.0%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Georgia Southern (Away) - 19.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 31 - 101 - 13
Quad 45 - 116 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2024 56   @ LSU L 60-95 3%     0 - 1 -22.6 -8.9 -12.0
  Nov 08, 2024 202   @ Tulane L 64-80 14%     0 - 2 -14.9 -11.3 -2.8
  Nov 12, 2024 186   @ Rice L 50-66 13%     0 - 3 -14.3 -17.3 +2.0
  Nov 18, 2024 225   SE Louisiana L 67-70 35%     0 - 4 -9.5 -5.8 -3.7
  Nov 22, 2024 290   @ Northwestern St. W 65-63 26%     1 - 4 -2.0 -4.5 +2.7
  Nov 23, 2024 198   North Alabama L 62-74 20%     1 - 5 -13.8 -6.8 -8.1
  Nov 29, 2024 214   Stephen F. Austin L 60-68 32%     1 - 6 -13.6 -2.2 -12.5
  Dec 02, 2024 164   Texas Arlington L 70-84 24%     1 - 7 -17.3 -9.2 -7.6
  Dec 11, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 89-73 82%     2 - 7 -4.4 -5.7 -0.3
  Dec 14, 2024 164   @ Texas Arlington L 68-77 11%     2 - 8 -6.3 -4.5 -1.9
  Dec 17, 2024 346   Houston Christian L 68-74 66%     2 - 9 -20.8 -13.4 -7.4
  Dec 21, 2024 308   Old Dominion L 75-80 OT 52%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -16.1 -6.0 -10.0
  Jan 02, 2025 242   @ Georgia Southern L 69-78 20%    
  Jan 04, 2025 278   @ Coastal Carolina L 63-70 25%    
  Jan 09, 2025 282   @ Southern Miss L 66-73 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 285   @ Louisiana L 67-74 26%    
  Jan 15, 2025 120   Troy L 64-74 17%    
  Jan 18, 2025 285   Louisiana L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 23, 2025 156   South Alabama L 62-70 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 175   Appalachian St. L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 30, 2025 156   @ South Alabama L 59-73 11%    
  Feb 01, 2025 120   @ Troy L 61-77 7%    
  Feb 05, 2025 272   @ Georgia St. L 67-75 25%    
  Feb 13, 2025 126   Texas St. L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 15, 2025 282   Southern Miss L 69-70 47%    
  Feb 19, 2025 126   @ Texas St. L 61-77 8%    
  Feb 22, 2025 105   @ Arkansas St. L 63-81 5%    
  Feb 25, 2025 134   James Madison L 66-75 21%    
  Feb 28, 2025 105   Arkansas St. L 66-78 14%    
Projected Record 6 - 23 4 - 14





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.6 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.7 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.8 0.2 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.4 0.7 0.0 7.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.6 2.1 0.1 11.9 12th
13th 0.2 1.7 6.4 8.6 3.9 0.4 0.0 21.2 13th
14th 3.3 10.1 15.4 12.9 5.2 0.6 0.0 47.5 14th
Total 3.3 10.3 17.1 19.9 17.7 13.5 8.8 5.1 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 33.3% 0.0    0.0
12-6 4.8% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.2% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
10-8 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
9-9 1.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.1
8-10 2.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 2.5
7-11 5.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 5.0
6-12 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
5-13 13.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.5
4-14 17.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 17.7
3-15 19.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 19.9
2-16 17.1% 17.1
1-17 10.3% 10.3
0-18 3.3% 3.3
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.6%