Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -13.8 #356
Expected Predictive Rating -24.2 #364
Pace 76.0 #39
Improvement +3.5 #32

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #317 D+ D- C C- D+
Defense #361 F F D+ A- D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #248 1.06 #293 -3.2 #291
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #120 0.68 #272 +0.3 #165
Three Pointers 41% #190 1.04 #141 +0.4 #165
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #252 -2.5 #251
Freethrows 16.5 #233 71% #243 11.6 #235
Second Chance 21.0% #361 1.15 #70 0.24 #324
Turnovers 17.2% #220
Total Offense -5.6 #317

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #181 1.36 #355 -4.1 #312
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #302 0.88 #333 +0.5 #161
Three Pointers 45% #73 1.13 #316 -4.6 #333
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #359 -8.1 #359
Freethrows 14.1 #40 70% #76 9.9 #335
Second Chance 34.8% #317 1.20 #326 0.42 #346
Turnovers 15.3% #266
Total Defense -8.2 #361

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.1% #260 1.1% #274
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.0% #237 14.7% #357
Possession Length 16.8 #133 15.6 #16
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.10 #347 0.23 #335
Improvement +2.8 #32 +0.7 #137

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 93.2% 79.6% 94.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern Miss (Away) - 8.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 31 - 71 - 13
Quad 43 - 133 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 325 @Northern Illinois L 82 - 102 26%  -10  0 - 1 -27 +1 C F C -27 F F B-
 Fri, Nov 7 71 @Mississippi L 65 - 86 2%  -17  0 - 2 -10 -6 D+ F D+ -3 D- F A
 Thu, Nov 13 300 @Houston Christian L 61 - 72 20%  +3  0 - 3 -16 -15 F F F -0 C- B- D
 Mon, Nov 17 231 Lamar L 66 - 79 25%  -9  0 - 4 -20 -10 F D C- -10 F B F
 Sat, Nov 22 308 Morehead St. L 80 - 83 31%  -0  0 - 5 -12 +2 D F B -14 F F D-
 Sun, Nov 23 128 @East Tennessee St. L 55 - 97 5%  -20  0 - 6 -37 -15 F C- C+ -22 F F D
 Wed, Dec 3 365 Mississippi Valley W 66 - 52 89%  +10  1 - 6 -13 -12 F F F +0 A+ C F
 Sun, Dec 7 112 @Stephen F. Austin L 76 - 96 4%  -11  1 - 7 -13 +5 F A+ B+ -18 F A F
 Sat, Dec 13 36 @Miami (FL) L 79 - 104 1%  -12  1 - 8 -8 +13 A C A+ -21 F D F
 Wed, Dec 17 200 South Alabama L 92 - 96 2OT 21%  +7  1 - 9 0 - 1 -9 -1 B+ A F -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 310 Louisiana L 62 - 76 43%  -12  1 - 10 0 - 2 -26 -8 F C F -20 F A- F
 Sun, Dec 28 74 @Kansas St. L 85 - 94 2%  -6  1 - 11 +2 +7 A+ F C- -4 C- A+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 201 Southern Miss L 73 - 87 21%  -11  1 - 12 0 - 3 -19 -8 F D+ C -10 F C A+
 Sat, Jan 3 268 Texas St. L 79 - 84 33%  -3  1 - 13 0 - 4 -14 -1 A F D+ -13 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 310 @Louisiana L 79 - 85 23%  -3  1 - 14 0 - 5 -12 +5 A- F C -17 F F B+
 Sat, Jan 10 201 @Southern Miss L 72 - 86 9% 
 Sat, Jan 17 304 Georgia St. L 77 - 80 40% 
 Thu, Jan 22 159 @Marshall L 73 - 89 6% 
 Sat, Jan 24 224 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 78 10% 
 Thu, Jan 29 213 Georgia Southern L 81 - 89 23% 
 Sat, Jan 31 270 Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 35% 
 Wed, Feb 4 250 @Old Dominion L 74 - 86 13% 
 Sat, Feb 7 312 Ball St. L 73 - 75 44% 
 Wed, Feb 11 126 @Arkansas St. L 76 - 95 4% 
 Sat, Feb 14 268 @Texas St. L 70 - 81 17% 
 Wed, Feb 18 137 Troy L 72 - 84 13% 
 Sat, Feb 21 126 Arkansas St. L 79 - 92 12% 
 Wed, Feb 25 200 @South Alabama L 66 - 80 9% 
 Fri, Feb 27 137 @Troy L 69 - 87 5% 
Totals 3 - 26 2 - 16 -14 -6 D+ D- C -8 F F D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 11th
12th 0.3 1.1 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.4 4.0 4.0 1.2 0.1 10.8 13th
14th 13.9 27.8 25.7 13.4 3.3 0.3 0.0 84.5 14th
Total 13.9 27.9 27.1 17.7 8.5 3.4 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0
8-10 0.1% 0.1
7-11 0.3% 0.3
6-12 1.0% 1.0
5-13 3.4% 3.4
4-14 8.5% 8.5
3-15 17.7% 17.7
2-16 27.1% 27.1
1-17 27.9% 27.9
0-18 13.9% 13.9
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 8.9%