Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -3.9 #233
Expected Predictive Rating -5.0 #246
Pace 71.2 #125
Improvement -1.4 #260

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #163 C+ D+ C- C B+
Defense #304 D- C C+ F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #21 1.15 #196 +4.3 #52
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #261 0.66 #286 -2.2 #288
Three Pointers 37% #263 1.08 #93 -0.6 #207
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #141 +1.5 #141
Freethrows 17.9 #158 72% #211 12.8 #167
Second Chance 27.9% #264 1.01 #231 0.28 #264
Turnovers 17.7% #250
Total Offense +0.1 #163

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #23 1.20 #237 -5.3 #337
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #188 0.97 #362 -2.1 #321
Three Pointers 34% #338 1.05 #229 +2.9 #78
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #311 -4.5 #313
Freethrows 21.0 #328 77% #338 16.1 #22
Second Chance 34.7% #315 0.90 #32 0.31 #165
Turnovers 17.7% #114
Total Defense -4.1 #304

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #53 1.2% #281
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 0.7% #166 7.4% #313
Possession Length 17.0 #150 16.6 #78
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #90 0.19 #233
Improvement +6.6 #1 -8.0 #365

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.9% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.1 15.5
.500 or above 8.0% 12.3% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.9% 28.6% 10.6%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 4.1% 13.0%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 0.6%
First Round1.4% 1.7% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 51.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 35 - 85 - 12
Quad 47 - 712 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 258 Boston University L 75 - 76 OT 67%  +2  0 - 1 -10 -10 F D+ F +1 B- C+ A
 Fri, Nov 7 205 @Colgate W 68 - 65 33%  -1  1 - 1 +4 -3 D- F A+ +6 A- B C
 Tue, Nov 11 196 @Harvard W 77 - 60 32%  +9  2 - 1 +18 +9 C- C A+ +10 A+ B A+
 Sat, Nov 15 198 Vermont L 74 - 85 55%  -0  2 - 2 -16 -3 F A+ F -13 F B+ A
 Thu, Nov 20 242 @Princeton L 57 - 70 41%  -10  2 - 3 -15 -12 F D F -3 A F A
 Sat, Nov 22 129 Duquesne W 93 - 86 29%  +3  3 - 3 +9 +3 A+ F F +4 D A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 62 @Wake Forest L 73 - 86 8%  -7  3 - 4 -1 +4 A+ F F -4 F D+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 326 @Holy Cross L 59 - 76 63%  -13  3 - 5 -24 -14 F C- F -11 F B+ D
 Sun, Dec 7 269 Central Connecticut St. W 73 - 56 70%  +14  4 - 5 +8 -4 C- C- D +12 A+ A+ D-
 Sat, Dec 20 69 @Syracuse L 83 - 91 8%  -7  4 - 6 +3 +17 A+ B+ C+ -14 F C C+
 Mon, Dec 22 141 @Rhode Island L 77 - 85 22%  -6  4 - 7 -4 +14 A+ F B -19 F F F
 Mon, Dec 29 163 @Elon L 91 - 103 27%  -5  4 - 8 0 - 1 -10 +13 A+ D D- -23 F F A+
 Wed, Dec 31 305 @N.C. A&T W 85 - 74 55%  +4  5 - 8 1 - 1 +6 +16 A- B B -9 D D+ D
 Sat, Jan 3 199 @Campbell L 82 - 97 33%  -8  5 - 9 1 - 2 -14 +6 B D B -20 F A+ F
 Thu, Jan 8 118 UNC Wilmington L 78 - 87 35%  -1  5 - 10 1 - 3 -9 +2 B+ D+ A -11 C C B+
 Sat, Jan 10 175 Towson W 71 - 70 51% 
 Thu, Jan 15 163 Elon L 80 - 81 48% 
 Sat, Jan 17 248 @Drexel L 70 - 72 43% 
 Sat, Jan 17 194 @Monmouth L 72 - 77 33% 
 Thu, Jan 22 276 Stony Brook W 75 - 69 70% 
 Sat, Jan 31 149 College of Charleston L 77 - 78 45% 
 Thu, Feb 5 109 @Hofstra L 69 - 80 14% 
 Sat, Feb 7 276 @Stony Brook L 71 - 72 48% 
 Thu, Feb 12 127 William & Mary L 82 - 85 40% 
 Thu, Feb 19 248 Drexel W 73 - 69 64% 
 Sat, Feb 21 109 Hofstra L 72 - 77 31% 
 Thu, Feb 26 127 @William & Mary L 79 - 88 21% 
 Sat, Feb 28 252 @Hampton L 72 - 74 43% 
 Tue, Mar 3 194 Monmouth W 75 - 74 55% 
Totals 11 - 18 7 - 10 -4 +0 C+ D+ C- -4 D- C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 1.4 3rd
4th 0.2 1.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 2.5 0.5 0.0 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 4.0 1.3 0.0 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.2 3.4 0.3 9.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 5.0 6.1 1.0 0.0 12.6 8th
9th 0.2 3.9 7.9 2.3 0.1 14.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.9 8.1 4.1 0.3 15.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.8 4.9 0.6 0.0 14.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.3 5.1 3.8 0.8 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.2 0.8 1.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.7 13th
Total 0.2 1.3 3.9 8.6 13.9 18.1 18.6 15.6 10.6 5.8 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 50.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 20.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 5.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.2% 15.9% 15.9% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.7% 10.0% 10.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
11-7 2.6% 7.4% 7.4% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.4
10-8 5.8% 5.2% 5.2% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 5.5
9-9 10.6% 2.6% 2.6% 15.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 10.3
8-10 15.6% 1.4% 1.4% 15.7 0.1 0.2 15.3
7-11 18.6% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.3 18.4
6-12 18.1% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.2 17.9
5-13 13.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 13.8
4-14 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
3-15 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
2-16 1.3% 1.3
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 15.3 98.4 0.0%