Ohio
Mid-American
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#183
Expected Predictive Rating-3.1#216
Pace74.4#42
Improvement-0.7#222

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#174
First Shot+1.8#118
After Offensive Rebound-1.7#281
Layup/Dunks-0.3#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#228
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#70
Freethrows-0.7#233
Improvement-0.7#217

Defense
Total Defense-1.4#217
First Shot-2.5#254
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#93
Layups/Dunks-1.8#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#251
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#206
Freethrows+0.1#181
Improvement+0.0#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 15.8% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 15.2 n/a
.500 or above 62.4% 100.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round9.8% 15.8% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 35 - 55 - 10
Quad 411 - 616 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 166   @ James Madison L 78-88 36%     0 - 1 -7.6 +2.4 -9.8
  Nov 09, 2024 204   UNC Asheville W 82-76 64%     1 - 1 +0.8 +1.1 -0.5
  Nov 12, 2024 136   @ Illinois St. L 75-85 30%     1 - 2 -5.9 +8.2 -15.0
  Nov 15, 2024 50   @ Memphis L 70-94 9%     1 - 3 -10.2 -0.2 -8.2
  Nov 21, 2024 118   Middle Tennessee L 81-83 OT 34%     1 - 4 +0.9 -2.2 +3.5
  Nov 22, 2024 273   Portland W 85-73 68%     2 - 4 +5.7 -3.2 +7.6
  Nov 24, 2024 202   Texas St. L 65-74 54%     2 - 5 -11.4 -4.2 -8.3
  Nov 30, 2024 139   Robert Morris W 84-68 51%     3 - 5 +14.4 +10.7 +3.8
  Dec 07, 2024 330   Morehead St. W 88-76 87%     4 - 5 -1.4 +6.3 -8.2
  Dec 14, 2024 169   @ Marshall L 70-79 36%     4 - 6 -6.8 -3.7 -2.8
  Dec 18, 2024 278   Austin Peay W 78-58 77%     5 - 6 +10.7 +1.5 +9.4
  Jan 04, 2025 219   @ Central Michigan W 57-55 46%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +1.6 -13.3 +15.0
  Jan 07, 2025 346   @ Buffalo W 88-79 78%     7 - 6 2 - 0 -0.7 +1.6 -3.3
  Jan 11, 2025 347   Northern Illinois W 108-70 90%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +22.8 +17.1 +1.3
  Jan 14, 2025 268   Ball St. W 86-71 76%     9 - 6 4 - 0 +6.2 +11.1 -4.3
  Jan 17, 2025 111   @ Akron L 80-92 23%     9 - 7 4 - 1 -5.6 +3.1 -7.9
  Jan 21, 2025 274   @ Eastern Michigan L 87-94 59%     9 - 8 4 - 2 -10.6 +3.5 -13.5
  Jan 24, 2025 133   Kent St. W 61-59 49%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +0.9 -10.4 +11.4
  Jan 28, 2025 248   Toledo L 83-86 72%     10 - 9 5 - 3 -10.5 -4.0 -6.3
  Feb 01, 2025 161   @ Miami (OH) L 69-73 34%     10 - 10 5 - 4 -1.3 -3.8 +2.6
  Feb 04, 2025 297   Western Michigan W 94-69 81%     11 - 10 6 - 4 +14.5 +13.4 +0.5
  Feb 08, 2025 178   Appalachian St. L 59-72 59%     11 - 11 -16.9 -5.2 -13.1
  Feb 11, 2025 283   @ Bowling Green W 86-81 61%     12 - 11 7 - 4 +0.6 +5.6 -5.4
  Feb 14, 2025 133   @ Kent St. L 75-76 29%     12 - 12 7 - 5 +3.4 +9.0 -5.6
  Feb 18, 2025 219   Central Michigan W 84-82 67%     13 - 12 8 - 5 -3.9 +9.9 -13.7
  Feb 22, 2025 111   Akron W 84-67 41%     14 - 12 9 - 5 +17.9 +6.9 +10.3
  Feb 25, 2025 297   @ Western Michigan L 73-82 64%     14 - 13 9 - 6 -14.0 -6.7 -6.7
  Mar 01, 2025 161   Miami (OH) W 75-66 55%     15 - 13 10 - 6 +6.2 +0.4 +5.8
  Mar 04, 2025 274   Eastern Michigan L 79-83 77%     15 - 14 10 - 7 -13.1 -2.2 -10.8
  Mar 07, 2025 248   @ Toledo L 82-96 52%     15 - 15 10 - 8 -16.0 +2.2 -18.0
  Mar 13, 2025 248   Toledo W 85-82 63%    
Projected Record 16 - 15 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 9.8% 9.8% 15.2 0.1 8.1 1.6 90.2
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 15.2 0.1 8.1 1.6 90.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.8% 100.0% 15.2 1.1 82.5 16.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 13.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 39.6%
Lose Out 37.6%