Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -4.4 242
Results Rating -6.8 272
Pace 71.3 105
Improvement +2.5 88

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 244 D+ D+ C+ C- D
Defense C- 230 C C D+ D C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 285 C 58% 177 -2.0 255
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 43 D 33% 323 +1.3 108
Three Pointers 37% 252 C 34% 170 -1.7 241
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 315 C- -1.2 216
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 252
Second Chance D 25.0% 325 B- 1.09 89 D+ 0.27 263
Turnovers C+ 16.1% 138
Freethrows C- 0.29 240 C+ 73% 166 C- 0.21 214
Total Offense C- -2.6 244

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D+ 43% 273 F+ 14.9% 342
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 24% 192 C- 5.8% 240
Three Pointers B 90% 48 D+ 1.4% 299
Total C- 53% 236 D- 7.3% 333

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 50 D 63% 315 +5.4 343
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 132 B+ 33% 28 -0.6 139
Three Pointers 34% 343 B 31% 64 -4.8 18
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 214 C -0.2 174
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 178
Second Chance C- 31.4% 222 C+ 1.00 136 C 0.31 193
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 286
Freethrows D 0.35 306 D+ 74% 274 D 0.26 316
Total Defense C- -1.8 230

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 213 C- 9.4% 232
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 32% 302 B- 7.0% 66
Three Pointers D+ 86% 253 D 0.1% 344
Total C 56% 184 C 5.7% 163

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 151 16.7 74
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 196 0.22 329
Improvement +1.3 #117 +1.2 #113

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 257 240 221
Results Rating Rank 292 267 245
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 13 12 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Marshall (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 73 - 14
Quad 47 - 710 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 83 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10% +3  63% 0 - 1 D+ -5 D -6 B- D- F C+ +2 C- A C+
 Tue, Nov 11 302 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 75% +1  58% 1 - 1 D -8 F+ -9 F F+ B C+ +2 A F+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 82 @George Washington L 73 - 96 9% -11  15% 1 - 2 D- -13 D+ -4 D- C+ F F+ -8 B- D F
 Tue, Nov 18 84 @Xavier L 69 - 99 10% -20  1% 1 - 3 F -20 D- -7 D- C D+ F -12 D+ F C
 Fri, Nov 21 350 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 87% +18  98% 2 - 3 A- +15 B+ +8 C D- A A +9 B B- D
 Sun, Nov 23 221 @Drexel L 71 - 75 35% -1  37% 2 - 4 C- -4 C+ +3 C+ D+ B D- -7 C- F D-
 Tue, Nov 25 35 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3% -6  16% 2 - 5 C+ +3 A +12 B B+ A+ F+ -9 D- D F+
 Sun, Nov 30 136 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 20% -7  7% 2 - 6 D -8 D- -8 D F+ D+ C+ +1 C- A D
 Sat, Dec 6 130 @Richmond L 77 - 86 19% -4  8% 2 - 7 C- -4 D+ -3 D- F+ A+ C -1 B F+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 105 @George Mason L 61 - 73 14% -10  0% 2 - 8 C- -5 F -12 D- B- F A- +8 A- B+ C-
 Wed, Dec 17 201 James Madison W 77 - 68 54% +6  82% 3 - 8 1 - 0 C+ +4 C +1 C- F A- B- +3 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 236 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 60% -1  24% 3 - 9 1 - 1 D -9 D -5 C+ C F D+ -4 B- A F
 Sun, Dec 28 104 @Maryland L 58 - 73 14% -18  0% 3 - 10 D+ -8 F -12 F D+ D B +4 C A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 173 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 47% -13  0% 3 - 11 1 - 2 D- -12 C +1 A- F+ B F -13 D F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 266 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 67% -13  0% 3 - 12 1 - 3 F+ -16 D- -7 F D A+ D- -8 D- D D+
 Thu, Jan 8 236 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 37% +7  99% 4 - 12 2 - 3 C+ +3 C- -2 C B F B +5 B B- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 201 @James Madison L 69 - 70 31% +9  88% 4 - 13 2 - 4 C -0 D- -6 F D- B+ B+ +6 D A- A+
 Thu, Jan 15 266 @Georgia Southern L 84 - 87 44% +2  57% 4 - 14 2 - 5 D+ -6 B- +4 B+ D B+ F -10 F C C
 Sat, Jan 17 173 @Appalachian St. W 75 - 73 26% +10  98% 5 - 14 3 - 5 C+ +4 B+ +8 A+ C- D+ D+ -3 C F+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 152 Troy L 77 - 83 2OT 43% +1  65% 5 - 15 3 - 6 D -9 F -11 F+ F B B- +3 A+ D C-
 Wed, Jan 28 143 @Arkansas St. W 75 - 71 21% +5  96% 6 - 15 4 - 6 B- +8 C- -2 D+ D+ B+ A +10 B- A C+
 Sat, Jan 31 237 @Texas St. L 64 - 81 37% -12  0% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -18 F+ -10 F C- D F+ -8 D- B F
 Wed, Feb 4 353 Louisiana Monroe L 79 - 85 88% -6  0% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F -23 F+ -10 F D B- F -13 D B- C
 Sat, Feb 7 209 Ohio W 78 - 72 55% -0  57% 7 - 17 C +0 B- +5 D B- A+ D+ -5 D C D-
 Wed, Feb 11 176 Marshall L 79 - 81 49% +7  86% 7 - 18 4 - 9 D+ -6 C- -2 B- C A D+ -4 F A+ D-
 Sat, Feb 14 289 Georgia St. W 78 - 55 72% +12  98% 8 - 18 5 - 9 B+ +12 B +6 B+ A+ D A- +8 A+ D- F
 Mon, Feb 16 291 Louisiana W 83 - 72 72% +2  74% 9 - 18 6 - 9 C +0 B+ +8 A- F A+ D- -7 B- D- F
 Sat, Feb 21 241 @Southern Miss L 81 - 86 38% +3  58% 9 - 19 6 - 10 D+ -6 D+ -4 D- A F C- -2 F C+ A+
 Tue, Feb 24 176 @Marshall L 77 - 83 27%
 Fri, Feb 27 289 @Georgia St. W 74 - 73 50%
Totals 10 - 20 7 - 11 -4 C- -3 A+ C- D C- -2 C C+ C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D C C- 35% 51% 37% D D+ D B- D+ C+ C- C+ C- C- D B+ B C 44% 22% 34% C- C C- C+ C D+ D D+ D
1.05 58% 33% 34% -1 -1 0.97 25% 1.1 .27 16% .29 73% .21 1.11 63% 33% 31% 0 0 1.02 31% 1.0 .31 15% .35 74% .21
Nov
3		 Miami (OH) D D+ C- A+ B 33% 27% 41% D B- F B D- F C+ A- B- C+ F+ B A- C+ 55% 6% 39% F C- C- A+ A C+ F D- F
0.96 56% 38% 45% +6 -1 1.12 17% 1.0 .17 25% .29 81% .23 1.16 71% 33% 30% +5 +3 1.18 25% 0.6 .16 16% .43 81% .35
Nov
11		 Norfolk St. F+ A+ C- F F 35% 19% 47% D F D+ F F+ B C B- C+ C+ A D A+ A+ 42% 27% 31% C- A F B- F+ C+ A- F C
1.01 80% 38% 15% -6 0 0.91 30% 0.8 .23 15% .38 74% .28 0.96 42% 42% 21% -12 -1 0.78 42% 0.9 .39 20% .27 85% .23
Nov
15		 George Washington D+ F F A+ D 35% 24% 41% D+ D- A F C+ F A+ D+ A F+ D F A+ B- 51% 10% 39% C- B- B- F D F F B- F
0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26 1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41
Nov
18		 Xavier D- B+ F+ F D- 37% 31% 31% D D- D+ B+ C D+ C+ D+ C F C- C+ D- C- 29% 15% 56% D- D+ F F F C F B- F
0.93 65% 29% 24% -5 -1 0.89 24% 1.0 .24 19% .30 67% .20 1.33 63% 38% 39% +5 0 1.13 50% 1.2 .61 12% .37 71% .26
Nov
21		 Morgan St. B+ B- D+ A B- 28% 22% 50% F C C F D- A C+ B- B- A C B+ A+ A 52% 20% 28% F B D+ A B- D C- A+ A-
1.32 64% 36% 40% +6 -1 1.12 35% 1.0 .35 11% .45 74% .34 0.84 54% 30% 14% -12 +1 0.80 32% 0.6 .20 17% .36 55% .20
Nov
23		 Drexel C+ F C- A+ B- 40% 36% 25% D- C+ C D- D+ B D+ F F D- B- B+ F C- 46% 22% 33% C- C- F+ F F D- F F F
1.08 43% 37% 54% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.9 .29 14% .28 56% .16 1.14 52% 30% 47% +2 0 1.07 34% 1.1 .37 17% .38 76% .29
Nov
25		 Villanova A F F A+ B 28% 24% 48% C- B F+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ F+ F D- C+ F+ 35% 18% 47% C+ D- A F D F+ F C- F
1.13 46% 27% 45% +2 -1 1.04 22% 1.7 .38 15% .39 73% .28 1.34 89% 44% 33% +12 0 1.25 29% 1.4 .42 11% .44 73% .32
Nov
30		 William & Mary D- B- C F D 36% 13% 51% C D F A+ F+ D+ F A+ C- C+ F F A+ D+ 43% 16% 41% B- C- C A+ A D F F F
0.95 64% 38% 26% -4 +1 0.95 14% 1.4 .19 20% .21 92% .19 1.11 73% 63% 24% +4 +1 1.12 27% 0.8 .20 15% .45 83% .37
Dec
6		 Richmond D+ B+ D- F D- 30% 27% 43% C D- D+ F F+ A+ C A+ B- C D+ A+ B+ A- 49% 28% 23% F+ B D+ F F+ F F A+ C-
1.02 67% 31% 23% -6 -1 0.87 28% 0.8 .23 9% .29 80% .23 1.14 64% 25% 31% -2 0 0.98 28% 1.3 .36 9% .41 64% .26
Dec
13		 George Mason F D- D- C D- 36% 34% 30% D D- F A+ B- F C A- B- A- C+ A+ A- A+ 54% 18% 28% F A- A C B+ C- F C- F
0.86 50% 29% 33% -6 -2 0.86 18% 1.7 .30 22% .25 79% .20 1.03 59% 11% 29% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.0 .24 15% .52 74% .38
Dec
17		 James Madison C D+ F C+ C- 33% 16% 51% C C- F+ F F A- A+ A+ A+ B- F D- A+ C 40% 15% 45% C- C A B- A- C+ D+ D+ D
1.15 53% 29% 35% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.8 .16 9% .54 82% .44 1.01 79% 43% 19% -1 +1 1.02 22% 1.0 .22 18% .33 72% .24
Dec
20		 Coastal Carolina D C- C- A B- 33% 37% 29% D+ C+ F A+ C F C+ A B D+ D C A+ B- 42% 31% 27% D B- B+ A+ A F F F F
1.01 53% 37% 40% 0 -3 0.98 16% 1.8 .29 18% .32 79% .25 1.04 60% 39% 19% -5 -1 0.90 20% 0.6 .13 7% .35 88% .31
Dec
28		 Maryland F B- F F F 29% 37% 33% F F C+ F D+ D A- F+ B- B B+ A+ F C- 33% 20% 47% B- C A+ D+ A+ F A- F B-
0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22 1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23
Dec
31		 Appalachian St. C A+ F A+ A 33% 21% 46% D+ A- D F F+ B A+ F B F F B+ A D 46% 22% 33% C D F F F C+ F B- F
1.10 71% 18% 42% +5 0 1.12 25% 0.7 .18 12% .38 59% .22 1.22 71% 30% 27% +1 0 1.04 42% 1.5 .65 17% .51 61% .31
Jan
3		 Georgia Southern D- D- F F F 38% 28% 34% F F F+ B D A+ C- B C D- D- C C F+ 46% 21% 32% B D- D- C D D+ F F F
1.06 52% 28% 27% -9 -1 0.83 27% 1.2 .31 11% .35 80% .28 1.15 62% 42% 33% +2 0 1.07 32% 1.1 .34 14% .43 80% .34
Jan
8		 Coastal Carolina C- F+ B C+ C- 40% 29% 31% B- C B+ C- B F F+ F F B C+ A+ D A- 33% 25% 42% D B A F B- D+ D D- D-
1.02 45% 44% 35% -3 -1 0.95 34% 1.0 .34 17% .23 38% .09 0.96 53% 8% 36% -8 -1 0.85 18% 1.1 .21 15% .31 78% .24
Jan
10		 James Madison D- F C C+ F+ 33% 30% 37% F+ F F B- D- B+ D+ C- D+ B+ F B+ A+ D 52% 23% 25% C- D C+ A+ A- A+ F F F
1.00 33% 38% 35% -8 -2 0.83 21% 1.1 .23 10% .32 70% .23 1.01 78% 30% 18% +3 +1 1.09 28% 0.8 .21 23% .47 80% .38
Jan
15		 Georgia Southern B- D+ C- A+ A- 40% 15% 45% C- B+ C- D- D B+ F F F F C F F F 44% 12% 44% C- F D- A- C C F B+ F
1.18 55% 38% 48% +8 +1 1.20 33% 0.9 .31 15% .25 67% .17 1.22 55% 50% 45% +7 +2 1.20 32% 0.9 .29 15% .47 68% .32
Jan
17		 Appalachian St. B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 24% 27% 49% F+ A+ F A+ C- D+ A+ F A- D+ D A+ A+ C+ 53% 10% 37% F C B- F F+ F F B F+
1.16 64% 50% 45% +13 -2 1.24 18% 1.4 .25 15% .42 61% .26 1.12 65% 20% 22% -4 +2 0.98 27% 1.5 .41 11% .43 60% .26
Jan
21		 Troy F B C F D- 39% 31% 30% D- F+ F F F B A C+ A- B- A+ F A+ A+ 43% 18% 39% B A+ B+ F D C- F F F
0.94 63% 42% 17% -5 -1 0.90 17% 0.9 .14 15% .36 72% .26 1.02 38% 60% 18% -14 +1 0.75 29% 1.3 .38 16% .50 85% .42
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Arkansas St. C- C- C+ D+ C- 32% 31% 37% D- D+ F A+ D+ B+ F A- F A F A+ B- B- 32% 19% 49% B B- A+ B A C+ B A+ A-
1.04 58% 39% 32% -1 -2 0.97 14% 1.8 .25 12% .22 79% .17 0.98 71% 10% 31% -4 0 0.94 28% 0.9 .26 21% .30 65% .19
Jan
31		 Texas St. F+ C F F F 41% 14% 45% C+ F B F+ C- D A- A+ A+ F+ D+ B- F F+ 39% 33% 27% B- D- C A B F F D F
0.93 60% 14% 23% -10 +1 0.84 33% 0.8 .27 20% .40 82% .33 1.17 60% 35% 43% +3 -2 1.06 32% 0.7 .24 12% .41 80% .33
Feb
4		 Louisiana Monroe F+ C F F F 38% 20% 42% D+ F D C D B- A+ D- A+ F F F A+ D- 40% 27% 33% B- D F A+ B- C F F+ F
1.08 62% 27% 26% -6 0 0.91 31% 1.2 .36 14% .46 66% .30 1.16 68% 54% 19% +1 -1 1.02 47% 0.4 .21 18% .60 78% .46
Feb
7		 Ohio B- A+ F A+ C 34% 45% 21% F D C- B+ B- A+ C- A+ B+ D+ F C+ B- D- 30% 24% 46% B- D C+ C- C D- B+ B B+
1.20 78% 17% 45% +1 -4 0.96 32% 1.2 .38 9% .31 89% .27 1.11 80% 42% 30% +5 -1 1.10 26% 1.0 .26 12% .26 67% .18
Feb
11		 Marshall C- B+ A- C- B 32% 36% 32% F+ B- F A+ C A F F F D+ F+ C+ F F 38% 25% 36% D+ F A+ A+ A+ D- D+ A C+
1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13 1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18
Feb
14		 Georgia St. B A B A A 37% 30% 33% F+ B+ B+ A+ A+ D C+ F D+ A- A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 44% 33% A+ A+ F+ C D- F D+ D- D
1.21 71% 43% 40% +9 -1 1.17 41% 1.4 .56 19% .30 63% .19 0.85 33% 17% 18% -23 -4 0.48 33% 1.1 .35 12% .32 83% .27
Feb
16		 Louisiana B+ A+ C+ A- A 51% 28% 21% D A- F C- F A+ A- A A D- D B+ D- C 20% 55% 25% A+ B- F C+ D- F F D+ F
1.25 75% 38% 40% +11 0 1.23 16% 1.0 .16 12% .44 81% .36 1.08 60% 32% 38% -1 -6 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 12% .43 72% .31
Feb
21		 Southern Miss D+ F D+ A D- 38% 26% 36% D D- C- A+ A F A A A+ C- D+ A F F 55% 22% 22% F F F A+ C+ A+ F A F
1.00 40% 36% 42% -3 -1 0.94 26% 1.6 .41 23% .44 78% .34 1.06 63% 27% 55% +7 +1 1.18 47% 0.6 .30 32% .55 67% .36



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.5 0.5 8th
9th 7.5 7.5 9th
10th 8.0 5.7 13.7 10th
11th 21.3 0.4 21.7 11th
12th 16.2 0.0 16.2 12th
13th 37.0 3.5 40.5 13th
14th 14th
Total 37.0 48.9 14.1 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 14.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 14.0
7-11 48.9% 48.9
6-12 37.0% 37.0
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 99.9 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 7.1% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.4%
Lose Out 37.0%