Old Dominion
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.0 #250
Expected Predictive Rating -8.2 #293
Pace 71.8 #106
Improvement -0.3 #200

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #252 D+ D+ C C D
Defense #244 C C- D- D+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #270 1.10 #245 -3.1 #286
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #72 0.63 #313 +0.7 #140
Three Pointers 39% #224 1.05 #126 -0.3 #194
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #256 -2.7 #254
Freethrows 16.9 #217 75% #109 12.7 #177
Second Chance 26.4% #297 1.03 #206 0.27 #278
Turnovers 16.4% #161
Total Offense -2.7 #252

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 46% #22 1.27 #305 -6.8 #357
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #203 0.68 #89 +1.0 #127
Three Pointers 34% #335 0.87 #37 +5.9 #16
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #172 +0.0 #173
Freethrows 19.1 #270 74% #242 14.1 #75
Second Chance 30.9% #190 1.12 #281 0.35 #249
Turnovers 14.2% #316
Total Defense -2.3 #244

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -2.0% #299 1.3% #292
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.4% #224 -1.5% #150
Possession Length 16.9 #143 17.1 #157
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #188 0.21 #297
Improvement -0.7 #237 +0.4 #157

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.8% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 1.8% 4.3% 0.8%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 53.2% 25.5%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.1% 0.3% 1.5%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.4%
First Round0.8% 1.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: James Madison (Away) - 30.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 20 - 60 - 8
Quad 32 - 62 - 14
Quad 48 - 611 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 93 @Miami (OH) L 72 - 87 10%  +3  0 - 1 -6 -2 B- C- F -3 C- A+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 272 Norfolk St. W 60 - 57 67%  +1  1 - 1 -6 -5 F D- C+ -1 A F A-
 Sat, Nov 15 70 @George Washington L 73 - 96 7%  -11  1 - 2 -12 -1 D C F -9 B- C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 97 @Xavier L 69 - 99 11%  -20  1 - 3 -22 -3 F C C -17 D- F C
 Fri, Nov 21 362 Morgan St. W 88 - 56 90%  +18  2 - 3 +13 +10 C- F A+ +4 B B- F
 Sun, Nov 23 248 @Drexel L 71 - 75 38%  -1  2 - 4 -6 +3 C D C+ -9 D F D
 Tue, Nov 25 31 @Villanova L 75 - 89 3%  -6  2 - 5 +3 +14 B+ A- A+ -12 F D+ F
 Sun, Nov 30 127 @William & Mary L 75 - 88 18%  -7  2 - 6 -8 -3 C- F D+ -3 C- A+ D
 Sat, Dec 6 115 @Richmond L 77 - 86 14%  -4  2 - 7 -2 +0 D- F A+ -2 A F F
 Sat, Dec 13 92 @George Mason L 61 - 73 10%  -10  2 - 8 -3 -9 F B+ F +6 A B+ C
 Wed, Dec 17 204 James Madison W 77 - 68 52%  +6  3 - 8 1 - 0 +4 +3 D+ F A +1 C A- C+
 Sat, Dec 20 270 Coastal Carolina L 74 - 76 66%  -1  3 - 9 1 - 1 -11 -4 C C F -7 C- A+ F
 Sun, Dec 28 107 @Maryland L 58 - 73 13%  -18  3 - 10 -8 -8 F D+ C +0 C- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 224 Appalachian St. L 73 - 81 55%  -13  3 - 11 1 - 2 -14 +3 A F B -18 F F C+
 Sat, Jan 3 213 Georgia Southern L 86 - 93 54%  -12  3 - 12 1 - 3 -13 -3 F F A+ -9 F D+ D+
 Thu, Jan 8 270 @Coastal Carolina W 70 - 66 44%  +7  4 - 12 2 - 3 +1 -1 C- B- F +1 B- B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 204 @James Madison L 71 - 77 30% 
 Thu, Jan 15 213 @Georgia Southern L 78 - 83 32% 
 Sat, Jan 17 224 @Appalachian St. L 65 - 70 33% 
 Wed, Jan 21 137 Troy L 73 - 76 38% 
 Sat, Jan 24 310 Louisiana W 71 - 64 75% 
 Wed, Jan 28 126 @Arkansas St. L 76 - 86 17% 
 Sat, Jan 31 268 @Texas St. L 71 - 73 43% 
 Wed, Feb 4 356 Louisiana Monroe W 86 - 74 87% 
 Sat, Feb 7 170 Ohio L 77 - 78 46% 
 Wed, Feb 11 159 Marshall L 76 - 78 44% 
 Sat, Feb 14 304 Georgia St. W 78 - 72 71% 
 Sat, Feb 21 201 @Southern Miss L 72 - 78 30% 
 Tue, Feb 24 159 @Marshall L 73 - 81 24% 
 Fri, Feb 27 304 @Georgia St. L 74 - 75 50% 
Totals 10 - 20 8 - 10 -5 -3 D+ D+ C -2 C C- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 1.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.8 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.8 0.6 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.4 3.2 1.8 0.1 5.4 5th
6th 0.2 2.9 4.1 0.5 0.0 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 6.3 1.9 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 6.8 4.8 0.3 13.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 5.7 7.6 1.0 0.0 15.0 9th
10th 0.2 3.5 8.0 2.7 0.1 14.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.5 3.8 0.3 12.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 4.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 9.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 1.9 2.0 0.5 0.0 5.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 14th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.3 8.4 14.5 19.3 19.8 15.6 10.3 4.9 2.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 25.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.7% 13.6% 13.6% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6
12-6 2.1% 8.7% 8.7% 15.5 0.1 0.1 1.9
11-7 4.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.1 0.1 4.8
10-8 10.3% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.0 0.2 10.1
9-9 15.6% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.4
8-10 19.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 19.7
7-11 19.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 19.3
6-12 14.5% 14.5
5-13 8.4% 8.4
4-14 3.3% 3.3
3-15 0.8% 0.8
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.7 99.0 0.0%