Oregon St.
West Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.6 #182
Expected Predictive Rating -0.4 #171
Pace 64.0 #319
Improvement -0.6 #214

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #187 C C D B+ C
Defense #207 C B- D+ D+ D-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #309 1.04 #304 -4.8 #323
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #250 0.75 #174 -1.3 #237
Three Pointers 49% #34 1.07 #112 +5.6 #27
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #190 -0.5 #190
Freethrows 19.5 #76 77% #52 15.0 #50
Second Chance 24.8% #322 1.25 #12 0.31 #200
Turnovers 18.3% #282
Total Offense -0.6 #187

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #75 1.10 #109 -1.2 #224
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #303 0.81 #273 +1.1 #115
Three Pointers 41% #192 1.02 #192 -0.1 #185
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #183 -0.2 #183
Freethrows 18.9 #265 74% #252 14.0 #84
Second Chance 32.3% #241 0.90 #29 0.29 #110
Turnovers 15.3% #267
Total Defense -1.0 #207

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.2% #180 1.7% #320
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.0% #185 -1.3% #158
Possession Length 17.5 #193 17.4 #215
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 #343 0.18 #224
Improvement -1.1 #258 +0.5 #153

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.8 n/a
.500 or above 19.3% 29.7% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 16.6% 26.1% 7.6%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.1% 1.7% 10.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Away) - 48.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 21 - 42 - 7
Quad 36 - 88 - 15
Quad 46 - 314 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 146 North Dakota St. W 67 - 65 52%  +1  1 - 0 -0 -3 C+ F C+ +3 C+ A+ F
 Fri, Nov 7 184 Illinois-Chicago W 76 - 73 62%  +3  2 - 0 -2 +3 A- A+ F -4 F A+ B-
 Wed, Nov 12 133 North Texas W 66 - 64 49%  -6  3 - 0 +1 +5 C D A+ -4 F C A+
 Mon, Nov 17 65 @Oregon L 75 - 87 11%  -7  3 - 1 -0 +10 B- B- D -10 D- C D-
 Fri, Nov 21 263 Evansville L 69 - 73 66%  -4  3 - 2 -10 -1 F A+ D -9 C D D+
 Sat, Nov 22 214 Iona L 84 - 91 2OT 55%  +5  3 - 3 -10 -4 C F D+ -5 C C+ D
 Mon, Nov 24 167 Massachusetts L 65 - 73 47%  -2  3 - 4 -9 -3 B+ F F -6 B+ F D-
 Sat, Nov 29 147 California Baptist L 69 - 75 53%  -2  3 - 5 -8 -2 B F F -7 D- A+ F
 Wed, Dec 3 198 Vermont W 80 - 58 64%  +16  4 - 5 +17 +13 A+ D+ D+ +7 A+ A C
 Sat, Dec 6 329 Southern Utah W 81 - 70 87%  +11  5 - 5 -3 +2 C+ D F -5 C+ F C-
 Sat, Dec 13 153 Montana St. W 67 - 57 55%  +4  6 - 5 +7 -1 F A+ D+ +9 A+ D- B-
 Wed, Dec 17 134 Sam Houston St. L 75 - 85 49%  -8  6 - 6 -11 -4 C F B -7 C C C
 Sun, Dec 21 88 @Arizona St. W 78 - 75 15%  -1  7 - 6 +13 +12 A F B+ +0 A+ A+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 61 Santa Clara L 64 - 102 23%  -22  7 - 7 0 - 1 -32 -6 C- D- F -27 F A+ D-
 Tue, Dec 30 100 San Francisco W 70 - 62 36%  +3  8 - 7 1 - 1 +10 +6 A+ F D- +5 A+ A C-
 Fri, Jan 2 144 @Pacific L 53 - 84 30%  -17  8 - 8 1 - 2 -27 -12 F C+ F -19 F C- F
 Sun, Jan 4 145 @Washington St. L 67 - 81 30%  -11  8 - 9 1 - 3 -10 +1 C B- C- -12 D+ F C+
 Thu, Jan 8 120 Seattle W 68 - 55 45%  +2  9 - 9 2 - 3 +13 +1 F A+ C +12 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 238 @Portland L 72 - 73 49% 
 Wed, Jan 14 122 Loyola Marymount L 68 - 69 47% 
 Sat, Jan 17 144 Pacific W 71 - 70 52% 
 Wed, Jan 21 41 @St. Mary's L 61 - 78 6% 
 Wed, Jan 28 122 @Loyola Marymount L 65 - 72 25% 
 Sat, Jan 31 222 @San Diego L 73 - 74 45% 
 Wed, Feb 4 145 Washington St. W 72 - 71 52% 
 Sat, Feb 7 10 Gonzaga L 66 - 85 4% 
 Thu, Feb 12 100 @San Francisco L 64 - 74 19% 
 Sun, Feb 15 120 @Seattle L 64 - 71 25% 
 Sat, Feb 21 274 Pepperdine W 72 - 64 77% 
 Wed, Feb 25 222 San Diego W 76 - 71 66% 
 Sat, Feb 28 61 @Santa Clara L 67 - 81 11% 
Totals 14 - 17 7 - 11 -2 -1 C C D -1 C B- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.9 0.1 4.9 4th
5th 0.0 1.5 4.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 6.1 3.6 0.2 10.8 6th
7th 0.3 5.9 6.9 0.7 0.0 13.9 7th
8th 0.2 4.1 9.8 2.3 0.0 16.5 8th
9th 0.0 2.5 10.0 4.6 0.1 17.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 7.9 5.5 0.5 16.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.5 3.5 0.4 9.7 11th
12th 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.1 2.3 12th
Total 0.3 2.3 7.4 14.1 20.5 21.7 17.1 10.1 4.6 1.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.1
12-6 0.3% 0.3
11-7 1.5% 0.3% 0.3% 12.0 0.0 1.5
10-8 4.6% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 4.6
9-9 10.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 10.1
8-10 17.1% 17.1
7-11 21.7% 21.7
6-12 20.5% 20.5
5-13 14.1% 14.1
4-14 7.4% 7.4
3-15 2.3% 2.3
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.8 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%