Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -2.9 212
Results Rating -2.6 209
Pace 72.3 80
Improvement +0.2 183

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 87 B- C+ B- C+ B-
Defense D- 343 D D+ D+ D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 197 B 63% 72 +1.7 115
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 296 C 39% 152 -1.7 266
Three Pointers 47% 64 C 34% 185 +2.9 85
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 95 C+ +1.8 107
1st FG Attempt B- 1.07 96
Second Chance C- 29.2% 214 B 1.12 58 C+ 0.33 143
Turnovers B- 15.7% 110
Freethrows C 0.31 167 B- 75% 84 C+ 0.23 131
Total Offense B- +3.8 87

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 324 D+ 12.7% 285
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 208 B- 4.0% 105
Three Pointers A- 93% 16 B- 0.6% 112
Total C 55% 191 C 5.8% 206

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 63 C- 60% 243 +3.7 306
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 240 C- 40% 254 -0.3 166
Three Pointers 38% 260 F+ 39% 352 +1.3 247
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.6 275 D +3.8 322
1st FG Attempt D 1.11 324
Second Chance D 33.8% 306 C- 1.05 226 D+ 0.36 293
Turnovers D+ 15.0% 288
Freethrows D 0.35 299 C- 73% 237 D 0.25 299
Total Defense D- -6.7 343

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 43% 71 C- 9.8% 217
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 24% 168 C- 4.3% 201
Three Pointers B- 80% 80 D 0.2% 328
Total B- 52% 100 C- 5.1% 210

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.2 71 17.6 249
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 197 0.17 185
Improvement -0.2 #196 +0.4 #164

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 232 208 181
Results Rating Rank 243 205 172
Conference Record 12 - 6 13 - 5 14 - 4
Conference Finish 4 3 2
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 15
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15% 17% 13%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 0% 2%
First Round15% 17% 13%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Away) - 53.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 417 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 135 Winthrop L 74 - 81 33% -2  16% 0 - 1 D+ -5 D+ -4 D- B+ F C -1 A- F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 35 @Villanova L 74 - 94 4% -12  0% 0 - 2 C- -3 B+ +8 A+ F D- F -11 C+ F D
 Tue, Nov 11 110 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 19% -9  3% 0 - 3 C +0 D- -6 C- F C- A- +8 C+ A- C+
 Sat, Nov 15 286 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 77% +13  99% 1 - 3 B- +7 C- -2 A- C- F A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Thu, Nov 20 301 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 79% +8  98% 2 - 3 C- -4 A+ +19 A B A F -23 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 175 @Furman L 79 - 90 32% -11  0% 2 - 4 D -9 A+ +14 C+ A A+ F -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 22 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3% -18  0% 2 - 5 C- -5 A- +9 C- A+ C F -16 F C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 3 364 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 95% +14  98% 3 - 5 B+ +11 A+ +16 A+ A B- D- -6 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 357 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 92% +19  99% 4 - 5 B- +6 A+ +17 B- C+ A+ F -12 D F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 65 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 10% -19  1% 4 - 6 F -26 C +0 B D+ B F -26 F D- C-
 Tue, Dec 16 17 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 2% -20  8% 4 - 7 D+ -7 C+ +2 C+ B F+ D -5 D F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 33 @Auburn L 65 - 106 4% -30  0% 4 - 8 F -23 F+ -9 F B- C F -12 F C+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 279 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 74% +1  53% 5 - 8 1 - 0 D+ -8 B+ +8 C- A A+ F -15 F C F
 Sat, Jan 3 285 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 77% +10  87% 6 - 8 2 - 0 B+ +12 B+ +8 B- B D+ B- +3 D- A B+
 Thu, Jan 8 306 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 61% +15  96% 7 - 8 3 - 0 A +20 B- +5 A+ F D A+ +17 A D+ B
 Sat, Jan 10 340 @North Florida W 89 - 82 72% +2  66% 8 - 8 4 - 0 C- -2 C +1 D+ B+ C D+ -4 D C F
 Thu, Jan 15 251 @Florida Gulf Coast W 85 - 74 46% +6  80% 9 - 8 5 - 0 B +9 B +7 D+ C A B- +2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 17 326 @Stetson W 87 - 81 68% +8  98% 10 - 8 6 - 0 C -2 B +7 C+ D- A F+ -9 F+ D+ D-
 Wed, Jan 21 342 North Alabama W 87 - 62 87% +10  92% 11 - 8 7 - 0 B +10 B +7 B- A- D+ B +4 C+ C+ A+
 Sat, Jan 24 317 @West Georgia L 66 - 74 64% -4  9% 11 - 9 7 - 1 F+ -15 F+ -10 F B D- D -5 F A- B-
 Wed, Jan 28 183 Central Arkansas L 90 - 100 56% +1  53% 11 - 10 7 - 2 D- -14 B+ +8 A+ F A F -22 F D F+
 Sat, Jan 31 285 @Bellarmine L 75 - 78 56% -0  39% 11 - 11 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 F A- B+ D -5 C F C
 Thu, Feb 5 306 Jacksonville W 93 - 84 80% +11  96% 12 - 11 8 - 3 C- -3 A +12 B+ D+ A+ F -15 F D- C-
 Sat, Feb 7 340 North Florida W 91 - 72 87% +5  68% 13 - 11 9 - 3 C+ +4 B- +5 C B C+ C -1 C- B+ B-
 Wed, Feb 11 157 Austin Peay L 87 - 95 51% -5  13% 13 - 12 9 - 4 D -11 B +7 A F A F -18 F F D+
 Sat, Feb 14 188 Lipscomb W 87 - 81 57% +11  91% 14 - 12 10 - 4 C +1 C +1 A+ D+ F C +0 C D B
 Wed, Feb 18 342 @North Alabama W 85 - 78 73% -1  35% 15 - 12 11 - 4 C- -2 B+ +8 A- F B- F -10 F F D-
 Sat, Feb 21 317 West Georgia W 91 - 84 82% +4  85% 16 - 12 12 - 4 D+ -6 B +7 F+ A+ A+ F -12 F+ F+ D
 Wed, Feb 25 279 @Eastern Kentucky W 85 - 84 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 183 @Central Arkansas L 80 - 84 34%
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -3 B- +4 A+ C+ B- D- -7 C B- C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- B C C C+ 38% 28% 47% B- B- C- B C+ B- C B- C+ D- C- C- F+ D 43% 19% 38% D+ D D C- D+ D+ D C- D
1.14 63% 39% 34% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .33 16% .31 75% .23 1.18 60% 40% 39% +4 +1 1.11 34% 1.1 .36 15% .35 73% .23
Nov
3		 Winthrop D+ B- A+ F D- 35% 18% 47% C D- A- C- B+ F D A+ C+ C B+ A B B+ 33% 22% 45% A A- F+ F F C- F F+ F
1.03 61% 56% 21% -5 0 0.92 38% 1.1 .41 24% .29 88% .25 1.12 47% 27% 30% -8 0 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .50 81% .40
Nov
8		 Villanova B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 49% 13% 38% A+ A+ F F F D- A- B+ A F F A+ A+ B 54% 14% 32% F+ C+ F B+ F D F C F
1.08 64% 67% 47% +14 +2 1.33 13% 0.7 .09 23% .31 75% .23 1.38 80% 13% 22% +2 +2 1.11 56% 0.9 .51 12% .42 72% .30
Nov
11		 Duquesne D- D- B- C C- 32% 21% 47% C C- C+ F F C- B B- B+ A- F D- A+ B- 52% 12% 37% D+ C+ A C+ A- C+ F+ A+ C+
0.94 50% 42% 33% -2 -1 0.96 30% 0.4 .13 19% .39 74% .29 1.01 71% 43% 18% -1 +2 1.03 22% 1.0 .22 19% .43 57% .24
Nov
15		 Sacred Heart C- C- F A+ A 30% 8% 62% C+ A- C D C- F F A+ F+ A- A D+ C B 33% 15% 53% D+ B- D- A+ A+ D+ A B+ A
1.17 60% 25% 48% +13 +1 1.30 32% 1.0 .32 23% .15 88% .13 0.92 44% 38% 34% -4 0 0.95 30% 0.3 .09 17% .19 73% .14
Nov
20		 UNC Greensboro A+ B- C A+ A 36% 9% 55% B+ A A D B A A+ A+ A+ F D- F C F 58% 12% 30% F F C F F F F B- F
1.49 65% 40% 48% +15 +1 1.34 40% 1.0 .40 9% .37 87% .32 1.38 66% 50% 33% +5 +3 1.18 27% 1.6 .42 6% .56 67% .37
Nov
23		 Furman A+ C+ B+ C- B- 27% 25% 48% D C+ D- A+ A A+ B A+ A- F F F F F 41% 6% 53% F+ F F A+ B F F+ C+ D-
1.25 57% 46% 32% 0 -1 1.00 24% 1.9 .45 6% .29 82% .24 1.43 81% 67% 41% +16 +2 1.39 37% 0.6 .23 6% .36 67% .24
Nov
28		 Virginia A- D C F+ C- 34% 22% 44% B C- A+ A A+ C B+ F+ B- F F+ F F F 33% 10% 57% C+ F D- A- C+ D- F B D-
1.07 47% 36% 27% -9 0 0.84 40% 1.1 .44 17% .34 67% .22 1.46 69% 60% 50% +19 +1 1.43 45% 0.9 .42 12% .39 68% .27
Dec
3		 Gardner-Webb A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 36% 19% 45% C- A+ D A+ A B- D+ F F+ D- A+ B- B A+ 40% 24% 36% B+ A+ F F F F C- F F
1.46 71% 64% 50% +20 0 1.43 31% 1.7 .52 14% .27 59% .16 1.01 27% 31% 30% -16 0 0.69 38% 1.3 .49 14% .28 89% .25
Dec
12		 South Carolina St. A+ A+ A- C- B- 35% 8% 58% C- B- B- C- C+ A+ B+ B A- F A+ F F C- 50% 23% 27% F D F F+ F D+ C C- C
1.42 78% 50% 33% +7 +1 1.19 41% 1.2 .49 8% .44 76% .34 1.09 35% 50% 50% -3 +1 0.98 44% 1.2 .51 20% .31 67% .21
Dec
14		 Wake Forest C A+ F D B 25% 10% 65% C+ B F A+ D+ B D- C D F F+ F F F 25% 14% 61% C+ F D D D- C- F+ F F
1.02 85% 20% 30% +1 0 1.06 19% 1.3 .25 18% .26 73% .19 1.55 69% 100% 52% +27 0 1.57 35% 1.3 .45 14% .39 92% .36
Dec
16		 Arkansas C+ A- A+ F B- 31% 30% 39% D- C+ A+ F B F+ A- C+ A- D C- F F D+ 47% 7% 45% F D C- F F A+ F F+ F
1.00 65% 50% 19% -3 -2 0.93 41% 1.0 .41 21% .32 70% .22 1.36 65% 50% 44% +11 +2 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 18% .41 81% .34
Dec
29		 Auburn F+ C F F F 55% 18% 27% A- F D+ A+ B- C A+ B A+ F F+ A+ F F 38% 13% 48% C F D B+ C+ C F+ A- D+
0.88 56% 22% 8% -15 +1 0.76 25% 1.3 .33 19% .45 78% .35 1.43 70% 14% 60% +20 +1 1.44 43% 0.9 .40 14% .47 70% .33
Jan
1		 Eastern Kentucky B+ A+ F F D 53% 8% 40% A+ C- C- A+ A A+ A+ B A+ F C+ C- F F 38% 9% 53% F F A+ F C F F+ C D-
1.30 75% 25% 24% +2 +3 1.11 32% 1.5 .48 9% .49 77% .38 1.27 55% 40% 43% +6 +1 1.17 23% 1.5 .34 7% .32 71% .23
Jan
3		 Bellarmine B+ A+ A+ B+ B- 16% 2% 82% B- B- C A- B D+ F F F B- D+ A+ F D 50% 9% 41% D- D- A+ B+ A B+ F A+ F
1.37 78% 100% 40% +12 +1 1.28 35% 1.3 .46 17% .22 62% .13 1.06 65% 0% 47% +9 +2 1.24 10% 1.0 .10 20% .43 68% .30
Jan
8		 Jacksonville B- D+ A+ A+ A+ 44% 4% 52% A A+ D- F F D D- F F A+ A A A A+ 48% 16% 36% F+ A D C+ D+ B F A+ B
1.18 57% 50% 52% +14 +3 1.35 25% 0.4 .11 17% .31 59% .18 0.78 43% 29% 25% -14 +1 0.77 32% 1.0 .32 20% .38 45% .17
Jan
10		 North Florida C B+ F D- D- 45% 5% 49% A- D+ C A B+ C A B+ A+ D+ F D B- D 38% 15% 47% C D B- D- C F B+ D- B-
1.23 68% 0% 30% -1 +2 1.05 38% 1.4 .54 12% .38 75% .28 1.13 70% 44% 32% +4 +1 1.12 23% 1.3 .29 12% .19 83% .16
Jan
15		 Florida Gulf Coast B B- A+ F D 40% 8% 53% B+ D+ C C+ C A A B A+ B- B+ C A+ A+ 42% 25% 32% D A+ C+ F D+ F F F F
1.20 62% 50% 29% -2 +2 1.02 31% 1.1 .33 11% .45 79% .35 1.04 52% 40% 16% -11 0 0.80 29% 1.3 .36 10% .34 100% .34
Jan
17		 Stetson B A+ A+ F C 38% 9% 54% B C+ C+ F D- A B- A- B+ F+ F+ B+ F+ F+ 43% 20% 37% D F+ F A- D+ D- F A F
1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24 1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36
Jan
21		 North Alabama B A- A+ F B- 58% 11% 31% A- B- A+ D+ A- D+ A+ A+ A+ B C+ A+ A B 54% 13% 33% F C+ D- A C+ A+ F F+ F
1.29 69% 80% 21% +5 +3 1.18 46% 1.1 .50 16% .44 96% .42 0.92 52% 17% 27% -10 +2 0.87 34% 0.8 .29 24% .43 73% .31
Jan
24		 West Georgia F+ F F C+ F 56% 8% 35% A- F B B- B D- D+ F F+ D D D+ F F 30% 38% 32% B- F F A+ A- B- F A- F
0.99 44% 25% 35% -8 +3 0.92 35% 1.1 .38 18% .31 59% .18 1.11 60% 42% 50% +10 -3 1.16 37% 0.6 .23 18% .40 64% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Central Arkansas B+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 23% 9% 68% C- A+ F C+ F A B+ C B+ F F F F F 29% 20% 51% B F B+ F D F+ F F F
1.22 75% 60% 44% +17 0 1.36 17% 1.2 .20 15% .33 71% .24 1.35 80% 50% 42% +15 -1 1.31 22% 1.5 .33 12% .52 82% .43
Jan
31		 Bellarmine D+ C- D+ D F 25% 22% 53% D F C+ A A- B+ F+ F F D C F D- D+ 39% 22% 39% A- C F F F C D F F
1.18 62% 36% 33% 0 -1 1.00 36% 1.4 .50 13% .25 57% .14 1.23 61% 50% 39% +7 0 1.15 31% 1.5 .46 16% .34 89% .30
Feb
5		 Jacksonville A A F A+ A- 43% 26% 30% D B+ D- C+ D+ A+ B- B B F B- F F F 38% 27% 36% B F B+ F D- C- F F F
1.32 74% 29% 50% +12 0 1.25 25% 1.0 .25 7% .40 73% .29 1.19 53% 50% 44% +6 -1 1.13 24% 1.5 .36 17% .50 86% .43
Feb
7		 North Florida B- A A- D C 33% 15% 53% C- C B- C+ B C+ D A+ B+ C B+ A+ F D+ 26% 19% 55% A- C- B- A+ B+ B- F A- F
1.32 72% 50% 31% +4 0 1.11 41% 1.2 .50 12% .25 100% .25 1.04 50% 11% 46% +3 -1 1.06 24% 0.9 .21 20% .45 72% .33
Feb
11		 Austin Peay B B A+ A+ A 47% 16% 37% B A F F F A A+ F A+ F F F A F 52% 25% 23% C- F D- F F D+ F F F
1.18 67% 50% 42% +10 +1 1.25 22% 0.4 .08 14% .53 62% .33 1.29 68% 50% 27% +6 0 1.15 33% 1.5 .50 15% .51 81% .41
Feb
14		 Lipscomb C A+ F A+ A+ 43% 14% 43% A- A+ F A+ D+ F A+ D A C C- F A C+ 54% 7% 39% F C F A D B D- A+ C-
1.11 81% 29% 43% +14 +1 1.33 19% 1.4 .26 23% .40 67% .26 1.03 61% 50% 27% -1 +3 1.05 35% 0.8 .30 19% .28 67% .19
Feb
18		 North Alabama B+ B- F+ A+ A- 49% 7% 44% B+ A- F B F B- A+ A A+ F D+ A+ F F 60% 10% 29% F F D+ F F D- D A+ B
1.26 64% 33% 45% +10 +3 1.27 15% 1.3 .19 13% .48 82% .39 1.16 59% 0% 43% 0 +3 1.08 32% 1.5 .50 15% .35 50% .17
Feb
21		 West Georgia B A+ A F F 53% 16% 31% C+ F+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F D F A+ F 36% 32% 32% D+ F+ D- D- F+ D D D+ D
1.26 74% 50% 0% -6 +2 0.94 29% 1.9 .56 8% .54 78% .42 1.17 60% 61% 22% +2 -2 1.04 34% 1.2 .40 14% .31 74% .23



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 10.3 18.9 29.2 2nd
3rd 19.3 39.1 58.4 3rd
4th 12.4 12.4 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 31.7 49.4 18.9 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 18.9% 19.5% 19.5% 14.6 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.1 15.2
13-5 49.4% 15.7% 15.7% 15.2 0.0 0.8 4.7 2.2 41.7
12-6 31.7% 11.8% 11.8% 15.6 0.0 1.5 2.2 27.9
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.2% 15.2% 0.0% 15.1 84.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.7% 100.0% 14.6 2.0 35.6 58.8 3.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.1%
Lose Out 13.2%