Queens
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.5 #207
Expected Predictive Rating -1.7 #194
Pace 70.9 #136
Improvement +1.2 #118

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #84 B C C C B-
Defense #342 D- C- D- C- F

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #242 1.24 #91 +0.2 #170
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #307 0.85 #61 -1.6 #258
Three Pointers 49% #31 1.07 #103 +5.8 #24
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #68 +4.3 #68
Freethrows 17.1 #210 76% #79 12.9 #162
Second Chance 29.8% #217 1.13 #90 0.34 #146
Turnovers 16.8% #191
Total Offense +3.8 #84

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 45% #35 1.16 #175 -3.5 #295
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #311 0.79 #236 +1.3 #96
Three Pointers 39% #228 1.19 #349 -2.7 #290
1st FG Attempt 1.11 #323 -4.9 #325
Freethrows 18.4 #236 71% #129 13.1 #143
Second Chance 34.3% #302 1.00 #131 0.34 #238
Turnovers 14.2% #319
Total Defense -6.3 #342

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.3% #102 2.1% #341
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.2% #76 7.3% #311
Possession Length 16.1 #77 18.3 #328
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #170 0.19 #250
Improvement +1.1 #112 +0.1 #178

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.3% 19.6% 14.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.1 15.4
.500 or above 79.3% 84.5% 63.2%
.500 or above in Conference 97.0% 98.4% 92.7%
Conference Champion 36.5% 41.5% 21.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four2.0% 1.7% 2.8%
First Round17.5% 18.9% 13.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Florida (Away) - 75.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 31 - 41 - 10
Quad 417 - 418 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 152 Winthrop L 74 - 81 40%  -2  0 - 1 -7 -4 F C+ F -3 A F C-
 Sat, Nov 8 31 @Villanova L 74 - 94 4%  -12  0 - 2 -3 +11 A+ F F -14 C+ F F
 Tue, Nov 11 129 @Duquesne L 81 - 87 OT 24%  -9  0 - 3 -1 -6 D+ F D- +6 B A+ C
 Sat, Nov 15 285 Sacred Heart W 81 - 64 76%  +13  1 - 3 +7 +2 A D+ F +6 C A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 284 UNC Greensboro W 101 - 94 76%  +8  2 - 3 -3 +24 A+ B A+ -26 F F F
 Sun, Nov 23 150 @Furman L 79 - 90 28%  -11  2 - 4 -8 +16 B- A A+ -25 F B F
 Fri, Nov 28 22 @Virginia L 69 - 94 3%  -12  2 - 5 -6 +10 C A+ D- -18 F A+ D+
 Wed, Dec 3 363 Gardner-Webb W 107 - 74 93%  +14  3 - 5 +14 +20 A+ A- C+ -8 A+ F F
 Fri, Dec 12 357 South Carolina St. W 102 - 78 92%  +19  4 - 5 +6 +20 B C A+ -14 F F D+
 Sun, Dec 14 62 @Wake Forest L 73 - 111 9%  -19  4 - 6 -26 +5 B+ C- A- -30 F D D+
 Tue, Dec 16 19 @Arkansas L 80 - 108 3%  -20  4 - 7 -9 +4 C+ B- F -9 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 29 33 @Auburn L 65 - 106 5%  -30  4 - 8 -24 -7 F C C- -15 F C+ C
 Thu, Jan 1 254 Eastern Kentucky W 91 - 89 72%  +1  5 - 8 1 - 0 -6 +11 C A+ A+ -18 F C+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 280 Bellarmine W 98 - 76 76%  +10  6 - 8 2 - 0 +12 +14 B+ A- C- -2 D- A C+
 Thu, Jan 8 328 @Jacksonville W 77 - 51 69%  +15  7 - 8 3 - 0 +19 +7 A+ F D- +13 A+ D A-
 Sat, Jan 10 350 @North Florida W 92 - 85 75% 
 Thu, Jan 15 189 @Florida Gulf Coast L 81 - 85 37% 
 Sat, Jan 17 337 @Stetson W 83 - 77 71% 
 Wed, Jan 21 293 North Alabama W 82 - 74 77% 
 Sat, Jan 24 297 @West Georgia W 82 - 80 57% 
 Wed, Jan 28 261 Central Arkansas W 83 - 77 72% 
 Sat, Jan 31 280 @Bellarmine W 83 - 82 55% 
 Thu, Feb 5 328 Jacksonville W 80 - 69 85% 
 Sat, Feb 7 350 North Florida W 95 - 82 89% 
 Wed, Feb 11 186 Austin Peay W 80 - 78 58% 
 Sat, Feb 14 177 Lipscomb W 83 - 81 56% 
 Wed, Feb 18 293 @North Alabama W 79 - 77 57% 
 Sat, Feb 21 297 West Georgia W 85 - 77 77% 
 Wed, Feb 25 254 @Eastern Kentucky L 82 - 83 49% 
 Sat, Feb 28 261 @Central Arkansas W 81 - 80 51% 
Totals 17 - 13 13 - 5 -3 +4 B C C -6 D- C- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 1.2 5.6 10.5 10.4 6.2 2.2 0.4 36.5 1st
2nd 0.0 1.2 6.5 9.0 5.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 24.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 4.9 6.8 2.7 0.4 0.0 15.3 3rd
4th 0.3 2.8 5.2 1.9 0.2 10.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 3.3 1.5 0.1 6.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 1.3 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.2 2.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 1.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 4.4 8.2 13.0 16.5 17.5 16.6 11.9 6.4 2.2 0.4 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.4    0.4
17-1 99.8% 2.2    2.2 0.0
16-2 97.5% 6.2    5.8 0.5
15-3 87.4% 10.4    8.0 2.3 0.1
14-4 63.0% 10.5    5.6 4.1 0.8 0.0
13-5 32.2% 5.6    1.7 2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 7.2% 1.2    0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
11-7 0.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 36.5% 36.5 23.6 9.6 2.7 0.5 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.4% 36.1% 36.1% 12.7 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2
17-1 2.2% 38.3% 38.3% 13.8 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 1.4
16-2 6.4% 29.9% 29.9% 14.4 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.0 4.5
15-3 11.9% 26.7% 26.7% 14.8 0.1 0.9 1.9 0.3 8.7
14-4 16.6% 22.6% 22.6% 15.1 0.0 0.5 2.3 0.9 12.8
13-5 17.5% 20.3% 20.3% 15.4 0.2 1.8 1.6 13.9
12-6 16.5% 13.9% 13.9% 15.5 0.0 1.0 1.3 14.2
11-7 13.0% 12.0% 12.0% 15.7 0.4 1.2 11.4
10-8 8.2% 9.4% 9.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7 7.4
9-9 4.4% 6.0% 6.0% 16.0 0.3 4.2
8-10 2.0% 2.9% 2.9% 16.0 0.1 2.0
7-11 0.7% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.7
6-12 0.2% 8.3% 8.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.3% 18.3% 0.0% 15.1 81.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.7 38.5 53.8 7.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%