Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.8 #132
Expected Predictive Rating +3.4 #108
Pace 69.5 #163
Improvement +7.6 #2

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #219 C- C C C B-
Defense #72 B- C C- A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #205 1.19 #138 +0.0 #175
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #315 0.61 #344 -3.5 #337
Three Pointers 48% #35 0.91 #307 +1.3 #133
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #247 -2.3 #247
Freethrows 0.28 #258 76% #68 0.21 #202
Second Chance 32.4% #133 1.00 #221 0.32 #151
Turnovers 17.2% #213
Total Offense -2.0 #219

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #262 1.09 #87 +2.8 #89
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #43 0.73 #137 -1.7 #308
Three Pointers 38% #260 1.00 #156 +1.6 #120
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #89 +2.7 #89
Freethrows 0.22 #13 69% #30 0.15 #12
Second Chance 31.0% #195 1.00 #139 0.31 #167
Turnovers 15.4% #254
Total Defense +3.8 #72

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #75 -1.7% #52
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.9% #282 -3.7% #102
Possession Length 17.3 #181 17.2 #179
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #120 0.17 #163
Improvement +1.8 #90 +5.8 #3

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.5% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.5 12.7
.500 or above 91.1% 97.7% 86.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.9% 97.7% 86.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.0% 1.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Home) - 40.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 8
Quad 37 - 48 - 12
Quad 49 - 217 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 310 Lafayette W 85 - 76 90% +6  1 - 0 -3 +6 F+ A+ A -9 C F D-
 Sat, Nov 8 206 Drexel W 76 - 65 76% +1  2 - 0 +5 +2 D+ D B- +3 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 60 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 16% -20  2 - 1 -23 -11 F C+ F -10 D D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 180 @Penn L 74 - 83 51% -1  2 - 2 -7 -3 C F D -4 D- A- B
 Thu, Nov 20 128 @UNLV L 85 - 99 38% -4  2 - 3 -9 +4 C- F B+ -11 C+ D- D+
 Sun, Nov 30 213 Princeton W 60 - 58 68% +1  3 - 3 -1 -6 F A+ F +5 C- D+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 143 Temple W 70 - 69 53% +2  4 - 3 +2 +4 D B+ D- -2 C B B+
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 98% +14  5 - 3 -1 +6 C D+ C+ -6 F+ A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 68 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 19% -2  5 - 4 +3 -4 F+ C- C +7 B B+ C-
 Thu, Dec 18 353 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 95% +12  6 - 4 -1 -6 F B D +6 A D- B-
 Mon, Dec 22 239 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 81% -2  6 - 5 -13 -14 F D- F+ +1 B- D- C
 Wed, Dec 31 24 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 6% -12  6 - 6 0 - 1 -4 +22 B- A+ A+ -27 F B F
 Sat, Jan 3 117 Davidson L 56 - 62 57% +5  6 - 7 0 - 2 -6 -7 F+ C+ C- +1 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 113 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 56% -0  7 - 7 1 - 2 +7 +12 A+ C+ B -5 C- D C-
 Sun, Jan 11 136 @Richmond W 67 - 65 40% +8  8 - 7 2 - 2 +7 -4 C- D+ C+ +11 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 141 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 64% +4  9 - 7 3 - 2 +2 -4 D+ F D+ +6 A+ B- D+
 Mon, Jan 19 50 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 14% -0  9 - 8 3 - 3 +6 +1 A- D+ F +6 A- C C-
 Sat, Jan 24 88 Dayton W 81 - 74 45% +3  10 - 8 4 - 3 +10 +7 C C A+ +3 B+ D- B+
 Tue, Jan 27 279 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 70% +20  11 - 8 5 - 3 +17 +15 A- A+ C +4 B- B- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 214 @La Salle W 67 - 58 57% +7  12 - 8 6 - 3 +9 -0 B- D+ F +10 B+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 79 George Washington L 76 - 78 41%
 Sat, Feb 7 84 @George Mason L 65 - 73 23%
 Tue, Feb 10 169 Fordham W 69 - 63 71%
 Wed, Feb 18 141 @St. Bonaventure L 71 - 73 41%
 Sat, Feb 21 279 Loyola Chicago W 77 - 65 86%
 Wed, Feb 25 84 George Mason L 68 - 70 43%
 Sat, Feb 28 119 @Rhode Island L 66 - 70 35%
 Wed, Mar 4 117 @Davidson L 65 - 69 34%
 Sat, Mar 7 214 La Salle W 72 - 64 77%
Totals 16 - 13 10 - 8 +2 -2 C- C C +4 B- C C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.8 2.7 1.4 0.2 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 3.6 8.6 3.5 0.4 16.3 3rd
4th 0.3 6.1 14.8 6.0 0.5 0.0 27.7 4th
5th 0.0 2.5 11.2 5.3 0.2 19.2 5th
6th 0.6 6.5 6.1 0.5 13.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.1 5.5 1.1 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.3 3.4 1.7 0.0 5.4 8th
9th 0.7 1.3 0.1 2.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.6 10th
11th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.1 1.5 7.5 16.6 24.7 24.2 16.7 6.7 1.8 0.2 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 8.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.2% 4.4% 4.4% 11.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 1.8% 3.9% 3.9% 12.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 6.7% 3.0% 3.0% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 6.5
12-6 16.7% 2.0% 2.0% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 16.3
11-7 24.2% 1.0% 1.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 24.0
10-8 24.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 24.6
9-9 16.6% 0.3% 0.3% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.5
8-10 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 7.5
7-11 1.5% 1.5
6-12 0.1% 0.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.6 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%