Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#75
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#100
Pace69.7#128
Improvement+2.0#112

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#82
First Shot+3.6#85
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#190
Layup/Dunks+1.9#109
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#63
Freethrows+1.4#89
Improvement+3.6#32

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#73
First Shot+3.8#66
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#182
Layups/Dunks-0.5#189
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.0#32
Freethrows-0.5#219
Improvement-1.6#267
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.4% 11.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.7 11.7 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round9.4% 11.0% 0.0%
Second Round1.8% 2.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 3
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 37 - 311 - 10
Quad 410 - 222 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 271   Navy W 70-63 93%     1 - 0 -1.9 -8.6 +6.5
  Nov 08, 2024 203   Central Connecticut St. L 67-73 88%     1 - 1 -11.2 -3.1 -8.2
  Nov 12, 2024 44   Villanova W 83-76 45%     2 - 1 +15.7 +6.2 +9.0
  Nov 15, 2024 281   @ Penn W 86-69 86%     3 - 1 +13.0 +14.9 -0.7
  Nov 21, 2024 7   Texas Tech W 78-77 13%     4 - 1 +20.8 +12.7 +8.1
  Nov 22, 2024 42   Texas L 58-67 34%     4 - 2 +2.8 -7.7 +10.2
  Nov 26, 2024 361   Coppin St. W 83-54 99%     5 - 2 +9.6 +8.0 +2.5
  Dec 03, 2024 187   Princeton L 69-77 86%     5 - 3 -12.2 -6.5 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 216   La Salle W 82-68 84%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +11.0 +9.3 +1.8
  Dec 10, 2024 147   College of Charleston L 75-78 81%     6 - 4 -4.9 -3.1 -1.6
  Dec 18, 2024 239   American W 84-57 91%     7 - 4 +19.9 +11.8 +9.1
  Dec 21, 2024 135   Virginia Tech W 82-62 72%     8 - 4 +21.5 +14.7 +7.9
  Dec 28, 2024 310   Delaware St. W 76-58 95%     9 - 4 +6.3 -6.2 +11.8
  Dec 31, 2024 196   Massachusetts W 81-72 87%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +4.3 +5.0 -1.0
  Jan 03, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 57-73 51%     10 - 5 2 - 1 -8.8 -8.2 -1.7
  Jan 08, 2025 121   @ Duquesne L 81-85 OT 59%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +1.2 +6.7 -5.2
  Jan 11, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 93-57 73%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +37.0 +20.4 +16.1
  Jan 17, 2025 36   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-78 37%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +1.9 +0.4 +1.6
  Jan 21, 2025 140   @ Davidson W 78-61 64%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +20.9 +11.3 +10.7
  Jan 24, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 72-77 39%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +5.3 +6.1 -1.1
  Jan 29, 2025 121   Duquesne W 76-72 77%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +3.7 +5.3 -1.6
  Feb 01, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 55-58 54%     13 - 9 5 - 5 +3.5 -10.5 +13.8
  Feb 07, 2025 100   Saint Louis W 76-63 71%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +14.7 +7.2 +8.0
  Feb 12, 2025 216   La Salle W 75-63 89%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +6.2 -0.2 +6.3
  Feb 15, 2025 89   @ George Mason L 57-58 46%     15 - 10 7 - 6 +7.5 +4.7 +2.7
  Feb 19, 2025 116   @ George Washington W 79-68 55%     16 - 10 8 - 6 +17.1 +16.9 +1.0
  Feb 22, 2025 223   Richmond W 78-62 89%     17 - 10 9 - 6 +9.9 +9.2 +2.0
  Feb 26, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure W 75-64 73%     18 - 10 10 - 6 +12.0 +8.1 +4.4
  Mar 01, 2025 222   @ Fordham W 90-76 78%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +13.4 +20.6 -6.6
  Mar 05, 2025 151   Rhode Island W 91-74 82%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +14.8 +15.7 -1.0
  Mar 08, 2025 216   @ La Salle L 74-81 77%     20 - 11 12 - 7 -7.3 +2.2 -9.6
  Mar 13, 2025 216   La Salle W 79-68 84%    
Projected Record 21 - 11 12 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 9.4% 9.4% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 2.8 6.6 0.0 90.6 0.1%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 9.4% 9.4% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 2.8 6.6 0.0 90.6 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 9.4% 100.0% 11.7 0.2 29.7 69.7 0.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 16.5% 0.2% 11.7 0.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.7% 0.1% 12.0 0.1
Lose Out 14.8%