Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.0 133
Results Rating +3.5 111
Pace 69.5 149
Improvement +7.2 6

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 243 D+ C+ C- C- B-
Defense B 57 B C D+ A B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 214 C 58% 165 -0.5 201
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% 324 D- 33% 333 -3.5 336
Three Pointers 49% 32 D 30% 318 +1.4 140
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.8 75 D+ -3.3 301
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 260
Second Chance C+ 32.7% 111 C- 1.01 207 C+ 0.33 132
Turnovers C- 17.7% 244
Freethrows D+ 0.27 277 B- 75% 91 C- 0.21 233
Total Offense C- -2.6 243

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 62% 22 C- 11.8% 228
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 20% 257 D+ 7.0% 301
Three Pointers C 84% 201 F 2.2% 356
Total B+ 65% 28 D+ 6.4% 274

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% 305 B 53% 68 -4.2 50
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% 36 B- 35% 78 +1.4 296
Three Pointers 40% 221 C+ 33% 154 -0.9 143
Shot Selection/Accuracy B+ -1.0 34 B- -2.7 71
1st FG Attempt B 0.95 58
Second Chance C 30.5% 187 C+ 1.01 149 C 0.31 170
Turnovers D+ 15.4% 264
Freethrows A 0.22 8 B- 70% 79 A 0.15 8
Total Defense B +4.6 57

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 88 B 15.4% 47
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 29% 254 C- 4.2% 212
Three Pointers D+ 87% 272 B 1.8% 45
Total C 55% 161 B- 7.0% 75

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 180 17.3 181
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 140 0.16 149
Improvement +1.0 #136 +6.2 #4

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 153 130 109
Results Rating Rank 140 116 96
Conference Record 9 - 9 11 - 7 13 - 5
Conference Finish 6 3 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.8 12.6 13.0
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 1%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: George Mason (Home) - 52.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 38 - 49 - 11
Quad 49 - 218 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 322 Lafayette W 85 - 76 92% +6  93% 1 - 0 C- -4 C+ +4 F+ A+ A D- -8 C- F F+
 Sat, Nov 8 221 Drexel W 76 - 65 79% +1  44% 2 - 0 C+ +5 C- -1 D D- B- B+ +6 A+ F D-
 Wed, Nov 12 57 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 15% -20  1% 2 - 1 F -22 F -13 F B- F D- -7 D D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 169 @Penn L 74 - 83 48% -1  30% 2 - 2 D+ -7 D+ -4 C F C- C- -2 F+ B+ B-
 Thu, Nov 20 118 @UNLV L 85 - 99 35% -4  17% 2 - 3 D+ -8 C -0 C- F B+ D -6 B- D- C-
 Sun, Nov 30 254 Princeton W 60 - 58 75% +1  65% 3 - 3 C- -3 F -11 F A+ F A- +8 C- D+ B+
 Sat, Dec 6 156 Temple W 70 - 69 58% +2  55% 4 - 3 C +1 C +1 D- A- F+ C+ +0 C- B A-
 Tue, Dec 9 363 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 97% +14  87% 5 - 3 C +1 B +7 C+ C- B- D -5 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 73 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 20% -2  24% 5 - 4 C+ +3 D- -7 F+ D+ D+ A +10 B+ A- D+
 Thu, Dec 18 361 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 97% +12  99% 6 - 4 C- -4 F -11 F B- D- A- +8 A D- C+
 Mon, Dec 22 236 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 80% -2  30% 6 - 5 D- -13 F -15 F D- D- B- +2 B- D- C-
 Wed, Dec 31 23 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 6% -12  7% 6 - 6 0 - 1 C- -4 A+ +19 B- A+ A+ F -24 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 113 Davidson L 56 - 62 57% +5  84% 6 - 7 0 - 2 D+ -6 F -10 F+ C C B +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 110 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 56% -0  36% 7 - 7 1 - 2 B- +7 B+ +9 A C+ A C- -3 D+ D C
 Sun, Jan 11 130 @Richmond W 67 - 65 38% +8  99% 8 - 7 2 - 2 B- +7 D- -7 C- D C+ A+ +14 A+ B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 142 St. Bonaventure W 68 - 64 65% +4  72% 9 - 7 3 - 2 C+ +2 D- -7 D+ F+ D- A +9 A+ B- D
 Mon, Jan 19 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 79 13% -0  37% 9 - 8 3 - 3 B- +7 C- -0 A D F A- +8 B+ C D+
 Sat, Jan 24 87 Dayton W 81 - 74 43% +3  54% 10 - 8 4 - 3 B +11 B- +4 C C+ A+ B+ +7 B+ D+ B+
 Tue, Jan 27 282 @Loyola Chicago W 85 - 64 71% +20  99% 11 - 8 5 - 3 A- +17 A +13 A- A+ C+ B+ +5 B B- F+
 Sat, Jan 31 200 @La Salle W 67 - 58 55% +7  89% 12 - 8 6 - 3 B +10 C- -1 B D+ F A+ +11 B A+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 82 George Washington W 76 - 73 42% +4  73% 13 - 8 7 - 3 B- +7 C -0 A- D- F+ A- +7 A C- B
 Sat, Feb 7 105 @George Mason L 52 - 60 30% +0  43% 13 - 9 7 - 4 C -1 F -12 F A+ F A +10 A+ C+ D-
 Tue, Feb 10 155 Fordham L 64 - 68 68% +3  65% 13 - 10 7 - 5 D+ -7 D+ -3 B- C D- D+ -5 B D- F
 Wed, Feb 18 142 @St. Bonaventure W 71 - 65 42% +2  66% 14 - 10 8 - 5 B +10 D -5 F+ C A A+ +15 A+ B+ D+
 Sat, Feb 21 282 Loyola Chicago W 75 - 61 86% +10  94% 15 - 10 9 - 5 C+ +4 C- -0 D+ B+ C+ B+ +5 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Feb 25 105 George Mason W 69 - 68 53%
 Sat, Feb 28 124 @Rhode Island L 65 - 69 37%
 Wed, Mar 4 113 @Davidson L 65 - 69 35%
 Sat, Mar 7 200 La Salle W 70 - 63 75%
Totals 17 - 12 11 - 7 +2 C- -3 A D+ B- B +5 D B- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- C D- D D+ 37% 24% 49% B- D+ C+ C- C+ C- D+ B- C- B B B- C+ B- 34% 26% 40% B+ B C C+ C D+ A B- A
1.05 58% 33% 30% -3 +1 0.97 33% 1.0 .33 18% .27 75% .21 1.02 53% 35% 33% -3 -1 0.95 30% 1.0 .31 15% .22 70% .19
Nov
3		 Lafayette C+ D+ B+ F F 45% 16% 39% B+ F+ A- A+ A+ A B+ A+ A+ D- C+ D- B C- 44% 19% 37% C C- D- F F F+ F A+ C
1.20 56% 44% 23% -7 +1 0.91 40% 1.4 .54 10% .35 86% .30 1.08 54% 40% 30% -4 +1 0.96 31% 1.3 .38 13% .37 52% .19
Nov
8		 Drexel C- C F C D 44% 25% 31% C+ D C- F D- B- A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A+ C- A+ 39% 23% 39% C+ A+ F F F D- B- B- B-
1.06 57% 17% 33% -6 0 0.90 30% 0.8 .24 14% .49 87% .42 0.91 36% 8% 36% -14 0 0.74 36% 1.1 .39 17% .24 64% .15
Nov
12		 Virginia Tech F F B+ F F 34% 20% 46% C+ F B- C B- F F A F D- F A+ C- D 44% 20% 36% D+ D C+ D- D+ F A+ A+ A+
0.80 42% 45% 19% -14 0 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 26% .09 80% .07 1.27 78% 25% 36% +7 +1 1.18 32% 1.3 .41 9% .18 58% .10
Nov
17		 Penn D+ B+ C- D+ C 36% 14% 50% C+ C B F F C- C- C+ C- C- C C+ F D- 47% 22% 31% F F+ D+ A+ B+ B- D- F F
0.99 67% 38% 31% +1 +1 1.05 36% 0.4 .16 17% .24 67% .16 1.11 54% 36% 50% +5 +1 1.14 33% 0.7 .22 19% .38 83% .31
Nov
20		 UNLV C D+ F B- D+ 37% 19% 44% C C- C- F F B+ A+ C- A+ D C- A F+ B- 55% 25% 20% C- B- F A- D- C- F B- F
1.07 52% 27% 36% -3 0 0.96 28% 0.7 .20 15% .50 71% .35 1.24 61% 31% 40% +1 +1 1.06 51% 0.7 .37 15% .72 67% .49
Nov
30		 Princeton F B D- F F 40% 14% 47% C+ F B- A+ A+ F D A- C- A- A+ F D+ D 18% 27% 56% A+ C- A+ F D+ B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 65% 33% 15% -11 +1 0.81 31% 1.7 .52 21% .26 77% .20 0.93 38% 50% 36% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.7 .31 21% .14 43% .06
Dec
6		 Temple C D- A F F 41% 9% 50% A- D- A+ F A- F+ A+ A+ A+ C+ D F B+ D+ 35% 22% 43% C+ C- F A+ B A- F C F
1.11 50% 50% 27% -7 +2 0.91 49% 0.8 .41 19% .41 86% .35 1.09 63% 50% 30% +2 0 1.04 45% 0.5 .24 17% .46 75% .34
Dec
9		 Coppin St. B A A+ C+ C+ 23% 6% 70% C C+ F A+ C- B- B+ A+ A+ D F F A F 27% 43% 29% A+ F A+ A+ A+ F A F B
1.28 73% 67% 36% +8 +1 1.19 26% 1.4 .37 15% .42 88% .36 0.96 71% 45% 27% +4 -4 1.02 18% 0.3 .06 16% .23 85% .19
Dec
11		 Syracuse D- A+ F F F 36% 20% 44% C F+ B- F D+ D+ A+ D- A+ A C+ A+ F B 43% 29% 27% A- B+ A+ F A- D+ F A+ D+
0.91 69% 11% 15% -14 0 0.73 33% 0.9 .31 20% .49 67% .32 1.02 59% 27% 43% +1 -1 1.02 17% 1.5 .25 14% .47 54% .25
Dec
18		 Delaware St. F C- F D F 38% 15% 48% C- F A F B- D- C F D A- A+ A- A- A 37% 35% 29% C- A F+ D D- C+ A B A
0.99 61% 14% 30% -5 +1 0.94 44% 0.9 .41 21% .34 61% .21 0.76 32% 28% 27% -16 -2 0.65 30% 0.8 .26 21% .21 64% .13
Dec
22		 Coastal Carolina F D+ B+ F F 33% 20% 47% B+ F D F D- D- F+ A- D B- D- F A+ C+ 25% 42% 34% A+ B- B- F D- C- C- C+ C-
0.87 50% 45% 19% -12 0 0.78 23% 0.8 .19 15% .23 79% .18 0.95 62% 50% 17% -3 -4 0.89 23% 1.4 .31 15% .28 71% .20
Dec
31		 Saint Louis A+ C F B+ B- 37% 21% 42% C+ B- A A+ A+ A+ A C+ A F F A+ F F 39% 7% 54% B F B+ B- B+ F A+ A+ A+
1.21 53% 18% 36% -5 0 0.92 36% 1.4 .49 9% .40 75% .30 1.56 76% 25% 62% +29 +2 1.63 28% 1.0 .28 11% .19 64% .12
Jan
3		 Davidson F B- B+ F F 31% 26% 43% C- F+ C+ C- C C A+ A- A+ B A+ C- B A+ 28% 23% 49% B A+ F F F A+ D- F F
0.92 62% 45% 17% -8 -1 0.83 31% 1.0 .31 18% .42 71% .30 1.02 36% 44% 32% -6 -1 0.87 39% 1.4 .54 23% .34 81% .28
Jan
7		 Duquesne B+ B- A+ B- A 41% 14% 45% B+ A A- F+ C+ A A B A C- C- F B- D 35% 18% 47% A- D+ F C+ D C A+ F A-
1.21 61% 75% 36% +8 +1 1.20 36% 0.8 .31 14% .42 76% .32 1.12 62% 64% 32% +5 0 1.12 37% 1.0 .37 17% .23 87% .20
Jan
11		 Richmond D- A F F D+ 36% 18% 46% B+ C- D- B- D C+ F F F A+ A+ A D+ A 9% 49% 42% A+ A+ A- C+ B+ F A- A A
0.96 70% 20% 27% -4 0 0.95 24% 1.2 .29 16% .10 50% .05 0.93 40% 29% 38% -4 -6 0.82 20% 1.0 .20 10% .26 69% .18
Jan
14		 St. Bonaventure D- D+ D C- D- 45% 12% 43% B+ D+ C- F F+ D- C+ A+ B+ A A+ A- C+ A+ 39% 33% 28% B+ A+ D- A B- D B+ C+ B+
1.03 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26 0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16
Jan
19		 Virginia Commonwealth C- D A+ A+ A 55% 9% 36% A+ A D D D F B+ F C+ A- A A+ D+ A- 40% 9% 51% C- B+ A F C D+ A- B A-
0.99 50% 50% 47% +4 +3 1.15 25% 0.9 .22 25% .35 63% .22 1.09 48% 20% 37% -4 +2 0.98 28% 1.4 .38 14% .32 70% .22
Jan
24		 Dayton B- B- B- D C- 33% 10% 57% A- C C- B C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ D F+ A 53% 15% 33% D+ B+ C+ F D+ B+ A+ A+ A+
1.08 59% 40% 31% -2 +1 1.00 28% 1.1 .31 16% .41 81% .33 0.99 41% 38% 39% -6 +2 0.93 28% 1.4 .38 20% .25 60% .15
Jan
27		 Loyola Chicago A A+ F B A- 44% 18% 38% B A- B- A+ A+ C+ F F F B+ D+ C B C+ 19% 25% 57% A+ B D A B- F+ A+ D- A
1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05 0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14
Jan
31		 La Salle C- D+ F A+ B 29% 11% 60% C+ B D C D+ F C- A C+ A+ D+ B- A+ B+ 44% 25% 31% C- B B+ A+ A+ F A+ A+ A+
1.03 54% 0% 44% +4 +1 1.11 25% 1.1 .28 23% .24 75% .18 0.89 58% 36% 18% -8 0 0.85 30% 0.6 .18 12% .14 38% .05
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
4		 George Washington C B+ A B A- 35% 18% 47% C+ A- C F D- F+ D A+ C A- A+ F+ B- A 25% 7% 67% A- A F B+ C- B B+ B- B+
1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20 1.04 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18
Feb
7		 George Mason F C+ F F F 21% 19% 60% C- F A+ A- A+ F F F F A A+ D- A A 33% 35% 33% A+ A+ C+ C C+ D- A+ F A+
0.86 60% 0% 21% -18 -1 0.64 44% 1.1 .49 23% .09 50% .04 1.00 47% 44% 27% -5 -2 0.87 29% 1.0 .29 13% .23 83% .19
Feb
10		 Fordham D+ F+ B- B C+ 34% 11% 55% A B- B D- C D- A+ F A- D+ F A+ A- C+ 18% 36% 46% A+ B A- F D- F F F+ F
1.01 47% 40% 38% -1 +1 1.02 31% 0.9 .28 19% .43 55% .23 1.08 89% 28% 26% -4 -3 0.88 29% 1.4 .40 11% .37 76% .28
Feb
18		 St. Bonaventure D F A+ F F 42% 7% 51% A- F+ C+ D+ C A F+ F F A+ A A+ C+ A+ 29% 36% 36% A+ A+ A- B- B+ D+ A+ F A+
1.02 43% 75% 29% -8 +2 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 13% .21 69% .15 0.94 47% 24% 33% -9 -3 0.80 30% 0.9 .27 16% .10 100% .10
Feb
21		 Loyola Chicago C- D+ A D D 45% 12% 43% A- D+ C- A+ B+ C+ C A+ B B+ A C D- C 36% 16% 48% B C+ A A+ A+ C- B D B-
1.14 52% 50% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 12% .29 88% .26 0.93 44% 38% 38% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .11 18% .26 71% .19



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.2 0.7 0.8 2nd
3rd 2.4 26.1 23.4 5.3 57.2 3rd
4th 0.0 9.4 11.0 0.9 21.4 4th
5th 0.5 10.5 1.2 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 2.2 3.4 0.0 5.7 6th
7th 2.0 0.0 2.1 7th
8th 0.7 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 5.5 25.7 38.4 24.4 6.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 6.0% 2.2% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.9
12-6 24.4% 1.5% 1.5% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 24.1
11-7 38.4% 1.0% 1.0% 12.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 38.0
10-8 25.7% 0.5% 0.5% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 25.6
9-9 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 5.5
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 12.8 99.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 12.0 20.0 62.5 17.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.6%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.2%
Lose Out 2.9%