Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.8 #185
Expected Predictive Rating -2.1 #203
Pace 69.5 #180
Improvement +3.0 #42

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #236 D C+ C C+ B-
Defense #138 C C- D+ B+ B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #244 1.16 #176 -1.3 #237
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #288 0.65 #298 -2.7 #310
Three Pointers 49% #41 0.84 #337 -0.4 #197
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #305 -4.4 #303
Freethrows 17.3 #197 78% #40 13.4 #124
Second Chance 33.9% #91 1.02 #223 0.34 #130
Turnovers 16.5% #174
Total Offense -2.4 #236

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #242 1.17 #196 +0.9 #145
2 Pt. Jumpers 26% #46 0.78 #222 -2.5 #336
Three Pointers 38% #267 1.04 #221 +1.1 #140
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #187 -0.4 #189
Freethrows 13.8 #35 74% #238 10.2 #327
Second Chance 33.2% #276 1.02 #163 0.34 #224
Turnovers 15.4% #260
Total Defense +0.6 #138

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #122 -1.6% #58
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.7% #324 2.5% #228
Possession Length 17.6 #210 17.3 #197
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.17 #180 0.19 #238
Improvement +1.3 #95 +1.7 #75

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 14.1 13.4
.500 or above 18.4% 34.5% 14.0%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 33.8% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 4.1% 14.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Richmond (Away) - 21.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 9
Quad 34 - 65 - 15
Quad 48 - 313 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 318 Lafayette W 85 - 76 84%  +6  1 - 0 -3 +5 F A+ A- -9 C F F
 Sat, Nov 8 248 Drexel W 76 - 65 72%  +1  2 - 0 +3 -1 F F C +4 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 68 @Virginia Tech L 59 - 94 11%  -20  2 - 1 -23 -11 F B- F -10 D- D+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 216 @Penn L 74 - 83 43%  -1  2 - 2 -9 -5 D+ F D- -3 F A+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 142 @UNLV L 85 - 99 29%  -4  2 - 3 -10 +4 C+ F A -13 C- F D+
 Sun, Nov 30 242 Princeton W 60 - 58 61%  +1  3 - 3 -3 -6 F A+ F +4 D+ D+ A-
 Sat, Dec 6 143 Temple W 70 - 69 40%  +2  4 - 3 +2 +2 F A+ F -0 C C+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 364 Coppin St. W 87 - 65 96%  +14  5 - 3 -1 +8 C- C C+ -8 F A+ F
 Thu, Dec 11 69 @Syracuse L 63 - 71 11%  -2  5 - 4 +3 -3 F C C +6 B+ C D+
 Thu, Dec 18 352 Delaware St. W 67 - 51 90%  +12  6 - 4 -0 -6 F C C- +6 A- F B-
 Mon, Dec 22 270 Coastal Carolina L 62 - 68 77%  -2  6 - 5 -15 -14 F F D- -1 C F B-
 Wed, Dec 31 29 @Saint Louis L 79 - 102 5%  -12  6 - 6 0 - 1 -6 +21 C+ A+ A+ -28 F B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 125 Davidson L 56 - 62 47%  +5  6 - 7 0 - 2 -7 -8 F B- D+ -0 A+ F A+
 Wed, Jan 7 129 Duquesne W 97 - 90 OT 47%  -0  7 - 7 1 - 2 +6 +9 A+ C B -4 C C- C
 Sun, Jan 11 115 @Richmond L 71 - 79 22% 
 Wed, Jan 14 119 St. Bonaventure L 72 - 73 44% 
 Mon, Jan 19 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 67 - 83 7% 
 Sat, Jan 24 75 Dayton L 67 - 74 28% 
 Tue, Jan 27 251 @Loyola Chicago W 72 - 71 52% 
 Sat, Jan 31 217 @La Salle L 69 - 71 44% 
 Wed, Feb 4 70 George Washington L 75 - 82 26% 
 Sat, Feb 7 92 @George Mason L 64 - 75 16% 
 Tue, Feb 10 203 Fordham W 69 - 65 63% 
 Wed, Feb 18 119 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 76 25% 
 Sat, Feb 21 251 Loyola Chicago W 75 - 69 72% 
 Wed, Feb 25 92 George Mason L 67 - 72 33% 
 Sat, Feb 28 141 @Rhode Island L 67 - 73 30% 
 Wed, Mar 4 125 @Davidson L 65 - 72 27% 
 Sat, Mar 7 217 La Salle W 72 - 68 66% 
Totals 13 - 16 7 - 11 -2 -2 D C+ C +1 C C- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.6 1.0 0.1 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.5 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.4 6th
7th 0.3 3.3 4.2 0.9 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.1 6.0 1.8 0.1 11.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.6 7.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.0 1.7 7.4 5.3 0.6 0.0 15.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 5.7 6.3 1.1 0.0 14.0 11th
12th 0.3 3.9 5.9 1.5 0.0 11.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.6 1.6 0.1 0.0 8.7 13th
14th 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.2 0.1 0.0 5.5 14th
Total 0.3 1.8 5.0 10.7 15.0 18.0 17.7 13.8 9.3 5.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0
14-4 25.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.2% 2.2% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.2
12-6 0.9% 1.1% 1.1% 13.0 0.0 0.9
11-7 2.3% 0.9% 0.9% 12.0 0.0 2.3
10-8 5.0% 0.2% 0.2% 12.5 0.0 0.0 5.0
9-9 9.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 9.2
8-10 13.8% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.8
7-11 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 17.7
6-12 18.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 18.0
5-13 15.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.0
4-14 10.7% 10.7
3-15 5.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.0
2-16 1.8% 1.8
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 13.7 99.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%