South Alabama
Sun Belt
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#132
Expected Predictive Rating+0.7#153
Pace60.5#352
Improvement-0.6#219

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#179
First Shot+1.4#126
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#264
Layup/Dunks+1.9#114
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#116
Freethrows-0.5#206
Improvement+0.6#157

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#117
First Shot+0.9#148
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#99
Layups/Dunks+10.4#4
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#1
3 Pt Jumpshots-16.2#364
Freethrows+2.8#29
Improvement-1.2#253
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 35 - 16 - 6
Quad 413 - 519 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 219   Central Michigan L 70-74 77%     0 - 1 -9.9 -3.6 -6.4
  Nov 08, 2024 180   @ Nicholls St. W 70-64 51%     1 - 1 +7.6 +4.1 +3.9
  Nov 12, 2024 29   @ Mississippi L 54-64 8%     1 - 2 +7.1 -7.1 +13.4
  Nov 16, 2024 265   Mercer W 75-66 83%     2 - 2 +0.6 +1.6 -0.9
  Nov 25, 2024 263   Incarnate Word W 84-63 83%     3 - 2 +12.6 +11.6 +2.5
  Nov 26, 2024 342   Western Illinois L 63-64 93%     3 - 3 -15.9 -7.4 -8.7
  Nov 29, 2024 325   Alcorn St. W 74-65 OT 91%     4 - 3 -3.7 +1.1 -4.2
  Dec 08, 2024 122   Jacksonville St. W 76-74 58%     5 - 3 +1.6 +8.8 -7.0
  Dec 15, 2024 335   @ Texas A&M - Commerce W 81-72 84%     6 - 3 +0.4 +8.6 -7.9
  Dec 16, 2024 76   @ TCU L 49-58 21%     6 - 4 +1.2 -7.7 +7.4
  Dec 21, 2024 166   James Madison W 77-49 68%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +24.9 +8.1 +19.7
  Jan 02, 2025 254   @ Georgia St. W 77-51 65%     8 - 4 2 - 0 +23.8 +10.6 +16.7
  Jan 04, 2025 251   @ Georgia Southern W 76-47 65%     9 - 4 3 - 0 +26.9 +4.0 +23.6
  Jan 09, 2025 98   Arkansas St. W 76-62 49%     10 - 4 4 - 0 +16.2 +17.4 +1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 277   Old Dominion L 63-71 OT 85%     10 - 5 4 - 1 -17.3 -12.6 -4.9
  Jan 15, 2025 295   Southern Miss W 75-62 87%     11 - 5 5 - 1 +2.6 -1.2 +3.7
  Jan 18, 2025 101   Troy W 64-63 51%     12 - 5 6 - 1 +2.6 -1.3 +3.9
  Jan 25, 2025 101   @ Troy L 55-65 31%     12 - 6 6 - 2 -2.9 -5.4 +1.2
  Jan 27, 2025 345   @ Louisiana Monroe L 66-77 86%     12 - 7 6 - 3 -20.6 -9.2 -11.7
  Jan 30, 2025 345   Louisiana Monroe L 58-62 93%     12 - 8 6 - 4 -19.1 -14.3 -5.3
  Feb 01, 2025 305   @ Louisiana W 62-58 OT 76%     13 - 8 7 - 4 -1.7 -9.7 +8.2
  Feb 05, 2025 317   @ Coastal Carolina W 84-59 79%     14 - 8 8 - 4 +18.4 +26.0 -2.0
  Feb 08, 2025 111   @ Akron L 67-80 33%     14 - 9 -6.6 -2.6 -4.3
  Feb 13, 2025 169   Marshall W 91-82 OT 69%     15 - 9 9 - 4 +5.7 +8.9 -4.0
  Feb 15, 2025 202   Texas St. W 70-65 OT 75%     16 - 9 10 - 4 -0.2 -5.4 +5.5
  Feb 19, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. W 60-56 29%     17 - 9 11 - 4 +11.7 -4.6 +16.5
  Feb 22, 2025 202   @ Texas St. L 92-93 OT 56%     17 - 10 11 - 5 -0.7 +18.3 -19.0
  Feb 26, 2025 295   @ Southern Miss W 88-82 74%     18 - 10 12 - 5 +1.1 +13.8 -12.8
  Feb 28, 2025 305   Louisiana W 65-42 88%     19 - 10 13 - 5 +11.8 +6.3 +11.7
  Mar 09, 2025 98   Arkansas St. L 71-74 38%     19 - 11 +1.9 +4.8 -3.1
Projected Record 19 - 11 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%