Stetson
Atlantic Sun
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -10.6 326
Results Rating -9.4 317
Pace 67.6 209
Improvement +3.2 63

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 282 C- D D D+ D+
Defense D- 337 D- D- D+ B- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 332 C- 57% 201 -4.0 318
2 Pt. Jumpers 37% 190 D+ 36% 258 -0.2 188
Three Pointers 46% 74 C- 33% 221 +2.0 113
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 263 C- -1.5 229
1st FG Attempt C- 0.98 242
Second Chance D 25.7% 311 C- 1.00 229 D 0.26 303
Turnovers D 18.8% 299
Freethrows D+ 0.28 253 D+ 69% 273 D+ 0.20 274
Total Offense D+ -4.2 282

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 57 C- 11.7% 226
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 216 B 3.0% 52
Three Pointers C+ 87% 130 C 0.9% 189
Total B 61% 64 B- 4.9% 96

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 162 F+ 67% 354 +3.8 309
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 247 D- 44% 338 +0.2 204
Three Pointers 42% 128 C- 35% 215 +1.1 236
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.3 230 D- +4.6 338
1st FG Attempt D- 1.12 331
Second Chance D+ 33.2% 293 D- 1.16 341 D- 0.38 334
Turnovers D+ 14.9% 293
Freethrows B- 0.28 95 C 72% 181 B- 0.20 100
Total Defense D- -6.4 337

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C- 50% 200 F+ 4.8% 357
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 37% 328 D+ 3.1% 286
Three Pointers D 88% 306 D- -0.1% 362
Total D+ 59% 262 F+ 2.4% 358

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.3 280 16.6 51
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 270 0.20 264
Improvement +3.8 #27 -0.6 #224

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 338 327 315
Results Rating Rank 335 315 297
Conference Record 6 - 12 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 10 8 6
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four1% 1% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Jacksonville (Away) - 32.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 5
Quad 30 - 70 - 12
Quad 49 - 99 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 124 @Rhode Island L 62 - 93 7% -17  0% 0 - 1 F -25 F -12 D- F F F -12 F+ F C
 Mon, Nov 10 39 @Miami (FL) L 61 - 102 1% -18  22% 0 - 2 F -25 F -14 F C D D -6 F+ A- C-
 Sun, Nov 16 247 @Western Carolina L 65 - 76 20% -8  9% 0 - 3 D- -13 F -16 F C- B- B +4 F A A+
 Wed, Nov 19 202 Howard W 64 - 60 31% +10  97% 1 - 3 C -1 F+ -9 D- F F+ A- +8 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 22 358 VMI W 99 - 80 79% +9  89% 2 - 3 C -0 A+ +18 A+ B+ B- F -17 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 153 Wright St. L 62 - 79 23% -15  7% 2 - 4 F -20 F -11 D- B- D- F -10 F F B+
 Sat, Nov 29 278 Southern Utah L 68 - 70 34% +3  66% 2 - 5 D -9 F -10 D+ C F C+ +2 C- C C-
 Sun, Nov 30 179 @Robert Morris L 62 - 80 13% -12  5% 2 - 6 F+ -16 D -4 F C- B+ F -14 F F F
 Tue, Dec 2 62 @Grand Canyon L 45 - 67 3% -4  11% 2 - 7 D -10 F -19 F+ D- F A- +7 B C- A-
 Sat, Dec 6 92 @South Carolina L 51 - 82 4% -15  9% 2 - 8 F -22 F -15 F F+ A F -10 F F A+
 Mon, Dec 22 52 @Oklahoma L 54 - 107 2% -25  1% 2 - 9 F -40 F -17 F D+ F F -24 F F D+
 Thu, Jan 1 342 @North Alabama W 70 - 67 45% +0  53% 3 - 9 1 - 0 D+ -6 D -6 B- F F C -0 B- D- C
 Sat, Jan 3 183 @Central Arkansas L 73 - 93 13% -13  7% 3 - 10 1 - 1 F -18 C +1 B C- D- F -20 F F C
 Thu, Jan 8 188 Lipscomb W 91 - 83 28% +11  96% 4 - 10 2 - 1 C+ +3 B +6 A+ F B+ D+ -4 D- C+ B-
 Sat, Jan 10 157 Austin Peay L 69 - 81 23% -7  5% 4 - 11 2 - 2 F+ -15 D- -7 F+ B- D+ F+ -8 C F+ F
 Thu, Jan 15 317 West Georgia W 95 - 86 57% +4  91% 5 - 11 3 - 2 C- -4 B+ +9 A+ D+ F F -13 D F F+
 Sat, Jan 17 212 Queens L 81 - 87 32% -8  0% 5 - 12 3 - 3 D- -12 C- -2 C D C- F -10 D B- F
 Thu, Jan 22 188 @Lipscomb L 74 - 79 OT 13% -5  11% 5 - 13 3 - 4 C- -4 F+ -10 D F F B+ +7 B A+ F
 Fri, Jan 23 157 @Austin Peay L 65 - 73 11% -0  54% 5 - 14 3 - 5 D+ -5 D -5 D F+ C C -1 C+ F B-
 Thu, Jan 29 340 @North Florida W 84 - 77 44% +6  93% 6 - 14 4 - 5 C- -2 C +0 C- F A- C- -2 C+ F+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 342 North Alabama L 66 - 68 67% -3  10% 6 - 15 4 - 6 F+ -17 F -10 F B D- D- -7 F C- C-
 Thu, Feb 5 285 @Bellarmine L 71 - 92 28% -11  5% 6 - 16 4 - 7 F -25 D -4 D A- D- F -24 F F F
 Sat, Feb 7 279 @Eastern Kentucky L 88 - 100 25% -0  40% 6 - 17 4 - 8 F+ -16 B +7 C+ B- C F -22 F F F
 Wed, Feb 11 306 Jacksonville W 67 - 62 54% +5  87% 7 - 17 5 - 8 D+ -7 D -5 D+ F+ C+ C -1 A D- D-
 Sat, Feb 14 251 @Florida Gulf Coast L 76 - 78 20% -0  48% 7 - 18 5 - 9 C- -4 C +1 C B C D -5 D+ D C-
 Thu, Feb 19 183 Central Arkansas L 76 - 88 28% -15  0% 7 - 19 5 - 10 F+ -16 C+ +3 A+ B- F F -20 F F+ C-
 Sat, Feb 21 340 North Florida W 76 - 71 66% -3  29% 8 - 19 6 - 10 D -10 D -4 A- F F D -5 C- F D-
 Thu, Feb 26 306 @Jacksonville L 67 - 72 32%
 Sat, Feb 28 251 Florida Gulf Coast L 75 - 78 39%
Totals 9 - 20 7 - 11 -11 D+ -4 C- C- D+ D- -6 C- D+ D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- D+ C- C- 32% 37% 46% D+ C- D C- D D D+ D+ D+ D- F+ D- C- D- 39% 18% 42% C- D- D+ D- D- D+ B- C B-
1.03 57% 36% 33% -2 -1 0.98 26% 1.0 .26 19% .28 69% .20 1.18 67% 44% 35% +5 0 1.12 33% 1.2 .38 15% .28 72% .20
Nov
3		 Rhode Island F F A- D- D- 38% 15% 48% C+ D- D+ F F F B+ F D F F F A F 40% 16% 44% C F+ F F F C D F+ F+
0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22 1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32
Nov
10		 Miami (FL) F A+ F F F 20% 29% 51% F+ F D A C D A+ F A D F+ F D+ F+ 52% 12% 37% D- F+ A- B A- C- D- C D
0.77 70% 7% 27% -12 -2 0.73 19% 1.3 .24 22% .42 58% .24 1.29 71% 57% 36% +10 +2 1.27 32% 1.0 .32 15% .39 69% .27
Nov
16		 Western Carolina F F C F F 31% 29% 40% F+ F D+ B- C- B- C- F D B D+ F F F 40% 8% 52% F F A+ C A A+ A D+ A-
0.89 39% 41% 26% -10 -2 0.79 24% 1.1 .27 14% .30 68% .21 1.04 60% 50% 42% +8 +2 1.22 23% 1.0 .23 25% .20 73% .15
Nov
19		 Howard F+ F D- D+ D- 37% 17% 46% D+ D- F A+ F F+ A+ B A+ A- A+ A- A+ A+ 40% 20% 40% B- A+ B+ A+ A+ F A- C- B+
0.93 47% 29% 32% -7 0 0.88 16% 1.4 .23 23% .53 75% .40 0.88 40% 30% 25% -14 0 0.74 30% 0.8 .24 15% .27 75% .21
Nov
22		 VMI A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 17% 13% 70% D+ A+ D A+ B+ B- F F+ F F D C- C- F 36% 15% 49% C- F F+ F+ F F B B+ B
1.50 89% 57% 50% +25 -1 1.50 35% 1.4 .50 15% .16 67% .11 1.21 60% 38% 33% 0 +1 1.04 31% 1.1 .33 9% .25 67% .17
Nov
25		 Wright St. F F+ B- F+ F+ 40% 18% 42% C+ D- C- A- B- D- F F F F A+ F F F 39% 16% 45% D+ F D F F B+ A+ A+ A+
0.96 50% 44% 29% -5 0 0.92 29% 1.2 .35 20% .17 56% .10 1.22 42% 50% 59% +13 +1 1.29 34% 1.3 .45 20% .12 50% .06
Nov
29		 Southern Utah F B- A F D+ 36% 28% 36% D- D+ C- C C F F A+ D C+ F A+ A+ C 52% 20% 28% D- C- A+ F C C- D- F F
0.98 61% 50% 28% +1 -1 1.02 30% 1.0 .30 22% .18 80% .15 1.01 73% 20% 21% -1 +1 1.02 21% 1.3 .28 19% .30 88% .27
Nov
30		 Robert Morris D F A+ F D- 24% 35% 41% F F F A+ C- B+ C C- C F C+ F F F 27% 25% 48% B+ F C F F F C- A+ B+
1.02 45% 56% 21% -5 -3 0.87 20% 1.3 .26 13% .38 75% .28 1.31 54% 58% 48% +14 -1 1.27 36% 1.5 .54 11% .26 43% .11
Dec
2		 Grand Canyon F D+ F F+ F 43% 17% 40% A- F+ C- F D- F F F F A- F F A+ B 28% 24% 48% A B C+ D C- A- F A- F+
0.68 50% 0% 26% -15 +1 0.74 24% 0.8 .18 26% .20 40% .08 1.01 77% 45% 18% -4 -1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 21% .44 70% .31
Dec
6		 South Carolina F C F F F 29% 31% 40% D- F F+ D F+ A B F C F F F F F 26% 20% 54% B F F D- F A+ A D A
0.80 57% 27% 16% -15 -2 0.69 21% 0.9 .18 11% .32 61% .19 1.29 75% 56% 44% +16 -1 1.33 45% 1.2 .55 20% .24 83% .20
Dec
22		 Oklahoma F A+ B- F F 16% 34% 50% F F D B- D+ F D- B- D F F A F F 45% 12% 43% F+ F D- F F D+ D- A- C-
0.79 75% 41% 12% -13 -3 0.70 25% 1.1 .28 21% .22 75% .17 1.57 87% 33% 55% +26 +2 1.57 39% 1.7 .65 12% .37 68% .25
Jan
1		 North Alabama D A+ A+ F B 44% 16% 40% C B- F F F F A- C- A- C C- C+ A+ B+ 45% 6% 49% F B- F+ C- D- C C+ D+ C
1.06 75% 57% 28% +7 +1 1.18 25% 0.7 .18 20% .36 74% .27 1.02 57% 33% 20% -11 +2 0.84 36% 1.1 .38 18% .30 69% .20
Jan
3		 Central Arkansas C B- A+ A- B+ 24% 13% 62% D+ B C+ F+ C- D- A+ D- A F F A+ D- F 40% 8% 52% F+ F F F F C F F F
1.07 64% 50% 39% +8 0 1.18 30% 1.0 .30 22% .40 67% .26 1.37 80% 0% 38% +9 +2 1.24 42% 1.2 .52 16% .40 78% .32
Jan
8		 Lipscomb B A+ A+ B- A+ 34% 13% 53% B A+ F F F B+ A+ A A+ D+ D F B+ D- 50% 12% 38% D D- A F C+ B- F B+ F
1.19 78% 57% 36% +11 +1 1.25 13% 0.5 .06 14% .44 79% .35 1.08 65% 67% 30% +5 +2 1.15 17% 1.4 .23 18% .38 71% .27
Jan
10		 Austin Peay D- C+ D F F+ 30% 17% 54% C- F+ C A- B- D+ F D- F F+ B- F A C- 40% 31% 29% A- C A- F F+ F F A+ F+
0.98 63% 33% 28% -5 0 0.93 32% 0.9 .29 20% .20 64% .12 1.15 52% 50% 27% -2 -1 0.96 22% 1.9 .42 7% .49 56% .28
Jan
15		 West Georgia B+ B F A+ A+ 51% 11% 38% B A+ D C D+ F A+ B- A+ F C F A- D+ 41% 22% 37% F D F D+ F F+ C F D-
1.30 67% 20% 67% +21 +2 1.49 26% 1.0 .26 20% .48 75% .36 1.18 54% 54% 27% -2 0 0.98 39% 1.1 .44 12% .26 88% .23
Jan
17		 Queens C- B+ F B C+ 43% 20% 37% C- C C F D C- A+ F A+ F F F A D+ 38% 9% 54% D D F+ A+ B- F C D C-
1.16 67% 30% 39% +5 0 1.12 34% 0.8 .29 16% .58 62% .36 1.25 81% 60% 27% +5 +1 1.14 35% 0.8 .29 10% .30 79% .24
Jan
22		 Lipscomb F+ C- D- C D 36% 28% 36% C- D C- F F F D A+ C+ B+ C- A B B 41% 19% 41% B B A- A+ A+ F D D+ D
0.92 57% 31% 33% -3 -1 0.95 29% 0.5 .16 22% .24 87% .21 0.98 62% 25% 31% -3 0 0.97 18% 0.5 .09 12% .27 79% .21
Jan
23		 Austin Peay D B C- F+ D+ 32% 23% 45% D D D- F F+ C B+ C+ B+ C F D+ A+ C- 33% 31% 37% A+ C+ F+ F F B- C+ C- C
0.97 67% 36% 29% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 18% .36 70% .25 1.09 69% 40% 22% -2 -2 0.94 34% 1.7 .57 18% .29 75% .22
Jan
29		 North Florida C D+ C B C- 43% 13% 44% C+ C- D+ F F A- B D- C+ C- D- C A+ B 44% 10% 46% F+ C+ D+ F F+ D- D- D F+
1.21 57% 43% 38% +2 +1 1.09 34% 0.9 .32 9% .32 65% .21 1.11 65% 40% 25% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.3 .38 16% .29 82% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 North Alabama F B+ F F F 46% 22% 33% D+ F C A B D- B- A+ A- D- F B+ B- F 40% 16% 44% C- F C+ D+ C- C- D C D+
1.05 67% 10% 20% -9 0 0.85 34% 1.3 .46 17% .31 88% .27 1.08 72% 29% 30% +2 +1 1.07 29% 1.1 .32 17% .35 67% .23
Feb
5		 Bellarmine D A+ A C- D+ 13% 18% 69% D- D D- A+ A- D- D D+ D F D- D+ F F 44% 10% 46% D+ F F F F F A+ F+ A+
1.15 83% 50% 35% +7 -1 1.13 29% 1.8 .50 18% .28 71% .20 1.50 70% 40% 58% +22 +2 1.50 27% 1.5 .41 10% .13 86% .11
Feb
7		 Eastern Kentucky B F A+ A+ C+ 39% 18% 43% C+ C+ C- A- B- C C A+ B F F F B- F 35% 15% 51% F F D- F F F F F F
1.25 47% 56% 48% +8 0 1.18 32% 1.2 .38 16% .34 85% .29 1.42 68% 75% 32% +8 +1 1.18 37% 1.5 .53 10% .41 85% .35
Feb
11		 Jacksonville D F B+ A C- 35% 23% 43% D D+ D- F F+ C+ A+ F A C F+ A+ A+ A+ 42% 25% 33% C+ A F C+ D- D- F+ D+ F+
1.07 50% 44% 41% +3 0 1.08 24% 0.8 .18 14% .60 56% .34 0.99 65% 17% 13% -13 0 0.75 37% 1.0 .37 14% .35 74% .26
Feb
14		 Florida Gulf Coast C F A+ A+ C- 52% 15% 33% B+ C D A+ B C F B- F D C- B+ D- C- 43% 21% 36% F+ D+ C D- D C- A B- A
1.12 41% 63% 47% +1 +2 1.08 26% 1.5 .39 16% .23 77% .18 1.15 60% 33% 38% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.2 .36 16% .18 70% .12
Feb
19		 Central Arkansas C+ A+ F A+ A+ 20% 22% 59% F A+ D- A+ B- F F A+ F+ F F F D- F 31% 15% 54% C F F B F+ C- F F+ F
1.15 78% 20% 52% +16 -1 1.30 21% 1.8 .38 24% .16 88% .14 1.33 73% 57% 38% +11 0 1.25 40% 0.9 .37 15% .36 75% .27
Feb
21		 North Florida D A F A+ A- 31% 13% 56% C- A- B- F F F D+ F F D B+ F C- D+ 33% 20% 47% B+ C- F F+ F D- D+ A+ B-
1.19 73% 17% 44% +11 +1 1.25 40% 0.6 .26 19% .25 54% .13 1.11 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.06 32% 1.3 .41 16% .26 64% .17



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 3.7 3.7 5th
6th 8.8 7.6 16.5 6th
7th 1.3 23.8 1.7 26.8 7th
8th 8.6 11.0 19.5 8th
9th 19.6 1.4 21.1 9th
10th 12.4 12.4 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 41.9 45.1 13.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 13.0% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 12.9
7-11 45.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.2 44.8
6-12 41.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 41.8
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 99.5 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.9%
Lose Out 23.4%