Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.0#127
Expected Predictive Rating+2.7#126
Pace70.1#119
Improvement-4.0#326

Offense
Total Offense+0.0#176
First Shot+1.8#117
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#286
Layup/Dunks+6.8#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#277
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#338
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement-3.9#337

Defense
Total Defense+2.0#112
First Shot+5.4#42
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#354
Layups/Dunks+1.3#121
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#220
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#166
Freethrows+3.6#7
Improvement-0.1#202
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.1% 3.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.9 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.1% 3.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 24 - 24 - 6
Quad 37 - 311 - 9
Quad 47 - 518 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 160   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 47%     1 - 0 +9.7 +7.3 +1.3
  Nov 09, 2024 188   Montana St. W 89-69 73%     2 - 0 +15.7 +15.3 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2024 103   Northern Iowa W 79-73 53%     3 - 0 +7.3 +8.2 -0.8
  Nov 18, 2024 249   Monmouth W 70-66 82%     4 - 0 -3.5 -7.7 +4.1
  Nov 22, 2024 100   Saint Louis W 88-63 41%     5 - 0 +29.4 +8.4 +18.4
  Nov 28, 2024 84   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 33%     6 - 0 +8.5 -2.6 +11.0
  Nov 29, 2024 3   Florida L 51-88 3%     6 - 1 -13.5 -11.0 -3.2
  Dec 04, 2024 325   Alcorn St. W 78-54 91%     7 - 1 +11.3 -0.2 +11.5
  Dec 07, 2024 154   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 67%     8 - 1 +6.6 +14.4 -8.6
  Dec 14, 2024 113   @ DePaul L 72-91 34%     8 - 2 -12.8 -0.1 -12.2
  Dec 17, 2024 233   UMKC L 64-74 79%     8 - 3 -16.7 -5.9 -11.4
  Dec 21, 2024 59   Kansas St. W 84-65 32%     9 - 3 +25.9 +16.7 +9.1
  Jan 03, 2025 157   @ Temple L 85-91 46%     9 - 4 0 - 1 -3.0 +3.2 -5.7
  Jan 06, 2025 189   South Florida L 72-91 73%     9 - 5 0 - 2 -23.3 -2.2 -20.8
  Jan 11, 2025 182   @ Texas San Antonio L 75-88 52%     9 - 6 0 - 3 -11.6 +2.3 -14.1
  Jan 14, 2025 242   Charlotte W 68-59 81%     10 - 6 1 - 3 +1.9 -5.4 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2025 164   East Carolina L 72-75 68%     10 - 7 1 - 4 -5.9 +1.1 -7.1
  Jan 23, 2025 50   @ Memphis L 53-61 14%     10 - 8 1 - 5 +5.8 -10.3 +15.9
  Jan 26, 2025 250   @ Tulsa L 77-84 66%     10 - 9 1 - 6 -9.1 +10.4 -20.1
  Jan 29, 2025 79   North Texas L 54-58 40%     10 - 10 1 - 7 +0.5 -4.0 +3.7
  Feb 04, 2025 242   @ Charlotte W 66-58 64%     11 - 10 2 - 7 +6.4 -0.5 +8.0
  Feb 09, 2025 189   @ South Florida W 75-70 53%     12 - 10 3 - 7 +6.2 +4.8 +1.4
  Feb 12, 2025 182   Texas San Antonio W 69-64 72%     13 - 10 4 - 7 +0.9 -9.1 +9.8
  Feb 16, 2025 50   Memphis W 84-79 OT 27%     14 - 10 5 - 7 +13.3 +8.4 +4.4
  Feb 20, 2025 107   @ Florida Atlantic W 75-68 33%     15 - 10 6 - 7 +13.6 +10.4 +3.8
  Feb 23, 2025 141   Tulane W 78-67 64%     16 - 10 7 - 7 +9.3 +8.2 +1.7
  Feb 27, 2025 109   UAB L 72-80 54%     16 - 11 7 - 8 -7.0 -6.4 -0.6
  Mar 03, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 66-68 22%     16 - 12 7 - 9 +8.0 +11.2 -3.5
  Mar 06, 2025 192   @ Rice W 63-59 54%     17 - 12 8 - 9 +4.9 -4.2 +9.5
  Mar 09, 2025 250   Tulsa L 63-73 82%     17 - 13 8 - 10 -17.6 -9.8 -8.2
  Mar 13, 2025 189   South Florida W 74-70 64%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 2.1% 2.1% 12.9 0.5 1.3 0.4 97.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.1% 2.1% 0.0% 12.9 0.5 1.3 0.4 97.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.1% 100.0% 12.9 24.3 58.4 17.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 6.2%
Lose Out 35.3%