Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.7 #104
Expected Predictive Rating +0.3 #162
Pace 64.4 #304
Improvement -4.7 #358

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #100 C- A+ B+ C C
Defense #116 B- B- C B A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #113 1.08 #266 +0.0 #181
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #170 0.65 #301 -0.9 #214
Three Pointers 38% #246 1.05 #132 -0.9 #215
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #220 -1.7 #219
Freethrows 18.4 #130 71% #215 13.1 #152
Second Chance 42.0% #3 1.11 #109 0.47 #14
Turnovers 14.6% #59
Total Offense +3.1 #100

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #245 1.14 #154 +1.5 #123
2 Pt. Jumpers 27% #25 0.79 #226 -3.2 #349
Three Pointers 36% #306 0.92 #75 +4.1 #43
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #100 +2.5 #100
Freethrows 15.1 #69 71% #124 10.7 #298
Second Chance 28.5% #102 1.03 #169 0.29 #118
Turnovers 16.2% #207
Total Defense +1.6 #116

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.3% #169 -2.1% #32
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.7% #230 -2.8% #127
Possession Length 17.6 #209 18.4 #332
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #289 0.11 #28
Improvement -0.8 #240 -3.9 #354

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.7% 10.9% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.7
.500 or above 81.4% 87.1% 67.4%
.500 or above in Conference 73.0% 80.0% 55.8%
Conference Champion 6.3% 8.0% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.7% 10.9% 6.5%
Second Round1.4% 1.6% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Texas (Home) - 71.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 23 - 44 - 7
Quad 35 - 68 - 12
Quad 410 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 239 UNC Asheville W 75 - 58 87%  +4  1 - 0 +10 +1 F A+ F +9 A+ F A-
 Sat, Nov 8 306 Prairie View W 105 - 62 93%  +18  2 - 0 +31 +17 B+ A- A+ +10 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 13 251 Loyola Chicago W 95 - 74 88%  +14  3 - 0 +13 +24 C A+ A+ -9 F A+ D+
 Tue, Nov 18 63 @Boise St. L 59 - 62 24%  -4  3 - 1 +9 -0 F A+ D +9 A+ C C
 Sat, Nov 22 226 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 75 - 58 85%  +1  4 - 1 +10 +0 D D+ A- +11 A+ B B
 Wed, Nov 26 41 St. Mary's L 65 - 70 23%  -3  4 - 2 +7 -1 C- C- F +8 A+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 27 94 Colorado St. L 70 - 76 46%  -10  4 - 3 -0 +10 F A+ B- -11 F A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 155 Western Kentucky L 70 - 75 68%  -1  4 - 4 -5 +4 D- A- A+ -10 D- A- D-
 Sat, Dec 6 96 @Northern Iowa W 74 - 69 OT 36%  +2  5 - 4 +13 +9 A+ A D+ +4 B A- F
 Sat, Dec 13 102 DePaul L 58 - 61 61%  -1  5 - 5 -1 -4 D+ D+ B +3 F A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 17 223 Wofford W 84 - 73 85%  +7  6 - 5 +5 +11 B+ C+ A -6 C D- D
 Sun, Dec 21 254 Eastern Kentucky W 88 - 57 89%  +22  7 - 5 +23 +12 C A+ A +12 A A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 113 @UAB W 75 - 70 42%  -6  8 - 5 1 - 0 +12 +11 B- A+ C +1 B- C- D+
 Sat, Jan 3 166 @Charlotte L 100 - 104 2OT 59%  +10  8 - 6 1 - 1 -2 +20 B+ A+ C -21 C- F F
 Wed, Jan 7 245 Rice L 64 - 66 87%  -2  8 - 7 1 - 2 -10 -7 F D- A+ -2 D A+ D
 Sun, Jan 11 133 North Texas W 67 - 61 71% 
 Thu, Jan 15 106 @Florida Atlantic L 72 - 75 39% 
 Sun, Jan 18 89 @South Florida L 75 - 80 32% 
 Wed, Jan 21 266 East Carolina W 78 - 64 90% 
 Sat, Jan 24 78 Memphis W 72 - 71 50% 
 Sun, Feb 1 81 @Tulsa L 72 - 77 31% 
 Wed, Feb 4 166 Charlotte W 74 - 66 78% 
 Sun, Feb 8 176 @Tulane W 73 - 70 61% 
 Wed, Feb 11 89 South Florida W 78 - 77 54% 
 Sat, Feb 14 81 Tulsa W 75 - 74 52% 
 Wed, Feb 18 266 @East Carolina W 75 - 67 76% 
 Sat, Feb 21 143 Temple W 77 - 70 73% 
 Thu, Feb 26 78 @Memphis L 68 - 74 29% 
 Sun, Mar 1 315 @Texas San Antonio W 77 - 66 84% 
 Sat, Mar 7 106 Florida Atlantic W 75 - 72 61% 
Totals 17 - 13 10 - 8 +5 +3 C- A+ B+ +2 B- B- C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.8 2.4 2.2 0.8 0.1 6.3 1st
2nd 0.8 4.5 3.4 0.7 0.0 9.4 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.2 5.1 0.6 0.0 10.2 3rd
4th 0.1 2.6 7.1 1.6 0.0 11.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.2 7.0 3.4 0.1 11.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 4.9 5.9 0.6 11.8 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 6.7 1.8 0.0 11.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 5.4 3.2 0.2 10.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 3.6 3.4 0.5 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 1.9 2.6 0.7 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.6 11th
12th 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 4.1 8.2 12.5 16.5 17.9 16.0 12.2 6.5 2.9 0.8 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1
15-3 96.4% 0.8    0.7 0.1
14-4 76.6% 2.2    1.3 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 37.0% 2.4    0.6 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
12-6 6.2% 0.8    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.3% 6.3 2.8 2.1 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.1% 23.1% 19.2% 3.8% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.8%
15-3 0.8% 26.1% 25.5% 0.6% 11.4 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.8%
14-4 2.9% 25.8% 25.6% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.0 2.1 0.2%
13-5 6.5% 22.5% 22.5% 11.9 0.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.0
12-6 12.2% 17.6% 17.6% 12.1 0.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 10.0
11-7 16.0% 11.9% 11.9% 12.3 0.1 1.2 0.6 0.1 14.1
10-8 17.9% 7.9% 7.9% 12.5 0.0 0.7 0.6 0.1 16.5
9-9 16.5% 5.9% 5.9% 12.7 0.4 0.5 0.1 15.6
8-10 12.5% 4.2% 4.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 12.0
7-11 8.2% 2.2% 2.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.0
6-12 4.1% 1.2% 1.2% 15.2 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-13 1.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.7% 9.7% 0.0% 12.3 90.3 0.0%