Wichita St.
American Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#69
Pace73.3#72
Improvement-3.5#339

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#125
First Shot+4.1#74
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#307
Layup/Dunks+7.9#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#276
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#344
Freethrows+3.5#24
Improvement-1.8#304

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#100
First Shot+7.1#14
After Offensive Rebounds-4.3#364
Layups/Dunks+1.0#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#221
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#88
Freethrows+4.2#4
Improvement-1.7#300
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 12.1% 7.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.7 11.6 11.9
.500 or above 97.6% 99.1% 96.1%
.500 or above in Conference 84.4% 92.1% 77.4%
Conference Champion 10.3% 15.5% 5.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.8% 0.3% 1.4%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round9.7% 11.9% 7.7%
Second Round2.1% 2.7% 1.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Temple (Away) - 47.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 6
Quad 39 - 312 - 9
Quad 49 - 221 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 108   @ Western Kentucky W 91-84 40%     1 - 0 +14.2 +9.6 +3.5
  Nov 09, 2024 155   Montana St. W 89-69 77%     2 - 0 +17.1 +14.8 +2.5
  Nov 14, 2024 99   Northern Iowa W 79-73 61%     3 - 0 +7.9 +6.7 +1.3
  Nov 18, 2024 261   Monmouth W 70-66 88%     4 - 0 -4.4 -7.5 +3.1
  Nov 22, 2024 137   Saint Louis W 88-63 63%     5 - 0 +26.3 +3.5 +20.3
  Nov 28, 2024 111   Minnesota W 68-66 OT 56%     6 - 0 +5.3 -3.2 +8.5
  Nov 29, 2024 7   Florida L 51-88 9%     6 - 1 -17.8 -12.9 -5.6
  Dec 04, 2024 337   Alcorn St. W 78-54 95%     7 - 1 +9.9 -2.7 +12.6
  Dec 07, 2024 142   East Tennessee St. W 96-87 74%     8 - 1 +6.9 +13.1 -7.0
  Dec 14, 2024 102   @ DePaul L 72-91 39%     8 - 2 -11.3 +0.6 -11.4
  Dec 17, 2024 222   UMKC L 64-74 85%     8 - 3 -16.4 -7.6 -9.4
  Dec 21, 2024 84   Kansas St. W 84-65 53%     9 - 3 +22.8 +12.9 +9.8
  Jan 03, 2025 124   @ Temple L 74-75 48%    
  Jan 06, 2025 169   South Florida W 79-71 78%    
  Jan 11, 2025 226   @ Texas San Antonio W 82-77 68%    
  Jan 14, 2025 193   Charlotte W 77-68 81%    
  Jan 18, 2025 182   East Carolina W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 23, 2025 44   @ Memphis L 74-84 19%    
  Jan 26, 2025 239   @ Tulsa W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 29, 2025 85   North Texas W 65-64 53%    
  Feb 04, 2025 193   @ Charlotte W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 09, 2025 169   @ South Florida W 76-74 58%    
  Feb 12, 2025 226   Texas San Antonio W 85-74 84%    
  Feb 16, 2025 44   Memphis L 77-81 37%    
  Feb 20, 2025 88   @ Florida Atlantic L 79-84 34%    
  Feb 23, 2025 202   Tulane W 79-69 81%    
  Feb 27, 2025 127   UAB W 83-77 70%    
  Mar 03, 2025 85   @ North Texas L 62-67 32%    
  Mar 06, 2025 186   @ Rice W 72-69 61%    
  Mar 09, 2025 239   Tulsa W 81-69 86%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.1 3.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 10.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.7 3.6 6.3 4.6 1.4 0.1 16.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 4.6 7.5 4.5 0.9 0.0 18.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 4.1 7.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 15.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 2.5 5.9 3.0 0.4 0.0 12.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.4 2.8 0.3 0.0 8.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.7 0.4 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.1 1.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.7 0.8 0.0 3.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 13th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.1 4.5 7.5 10.8 14.1 15.7 15.3 12.7 8.6 4.7 1.9 0.5 0.1 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.5 0.0
16-2 92.3% 1.7    1.4 0.3 0.0
15-3 69.7% 3.3    2.0 1.2 0.1
14-4 36.1% 3.1    1.1 1.5 0.4 0.0 0.0
13-5 10.6% 1.3    0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.3% 10.3 5.4 3.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 66.7% 41.0% 25.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 43.5%
17-1 0.5% 44.3% 31.5% 12.8% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 18.7%
16-2 1.9% 32.3% 27.5% 4.8% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.3 6.6%
15-3 4.7% 24.0% 23.3% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.8 0.3 0.0 3.6 0.9%
14-4 8.6% 18.1% 17.9% 0.2% 11.5 0.0 0.7 0.8 0.0 7.0 0.2%
13-5 12.7% 15.3% 15.3% 11.8 0.5 1.4 0.1 10.7
12-6 15.3% 11.8% 11.8% 12.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 0.2 0.0 13.5
11-7 15.7% 7.2% 7.2% 12.1 0.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.6
10-8 14.1% 5.0% 5.0% 12.3 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 13.4
9-9 10.8% 3.4% 3.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.5
8-10 7.5% 2.7% 2.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 7.3
7-11 4.5% 1.2% 1.2% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
6-12 2.1% 1.4% 1.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
5-13 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 9.6% 0.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.9 5.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 90.2 0.3%