California
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.1#119
Expected Predictive Rating+2.0#152
Pace72.8#88
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#125
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#129
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 7.0% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.1% 6.7% 2.1%
Average Seed 9.6 9.4 9.8
.500 or above 31.3% 50.5% 26.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.5% 24.1% 14.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 21.1% 14.4% 22.9%
First Four0.9% 1.8% 0.7%
First Round2.8% 6.0% 1.9%
Second Round1.2% 2.3% 0.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: USC (Away) - 21.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 9
Quad 23 - 64 - 15
Quad 33 - 27 - 17
Quad 47 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 261   Cal St. Bakersfield W 86-73 85%     1 - 0 +4.8 +5.3 -0.9
  Nov 07, 2024 333   Cal Poly W 91-73 93%     2 - 0 +4.9 +6.7 -3.2
  Nov 13, 2024 83   @ Vanderbilt L 69-85 25%     2 - 1 -5.9 -5.7 +1.1
  Nov 17, 2024 65   @ USC L 72-80 22%    
  Nov 21, 2024 286   Air Force W 75-62 88%    
  Nov 24, 2024 296   Sacramento St. W 74-61 89%    
  Nov 27, 2024 356   Mercyhurst W 79-59 97%    
  Dec 03, 2024 71   @ Missouri L 70-78 25%    
  Dec 07, 2024 70   Stanford L 72-74 43%    
  Dec 10, 2024 183   Cornell W 85-78 75%    
  Dec 14, 2024 332   Northwestern St. W 82-66 92%    
  Dec 21, 2024 55   San Diego St. L 66-72 29%    
  Jan 01, 2025 35   @ Pittsburgh L 70-81 16%    
  Jan 04, 2025 44   @ Clemson L 68-78 19%    
  Jan 08, 2025 78   Virginia L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 82   Virginia Tech L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 15, 2025 10   @ North Carolina L 71-87 8%    
  Jan 18, 2025 59   @ North Carolina St. L 71-80 23%    
  Jan 22, 2025 80   Florida St. L 75-76 46%    
  Jan 25, 2025 33   Miami (FL) L 75-80 32%    
  Jan 29, 2025 63   @ SMU L 76-85 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 89   Syracuse W 79-78 51%    
  Feb 05, 2025 59   North Carolina St. L 74-77 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 62   Wake Forest L 75-78 42%    
  Feb 12, 2025 6   @ Duke L 66-84 6%    
  Feb 15, 2025 96   @ Georgia Tech L 78-83 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 70   @ Stanford L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 26, 2025 63   SMU L 79-82 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 144   Boston College W 75-70 67%    
  Mar 05, 2025 49   @ Louisville L 72-82 21%    
  Mar 08, 2025 81   @ Notre Dame L 68-75 27%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 0.9 0.2 2.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 2.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.9 0.1 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 1.9 0.3 3.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 2.9 1.0 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.4 2.6 2.5 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.7 3.7 1.1 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 3.1 4.1 0.8 0.0 8.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.8 5.0 1.8 0.1 10.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 2.9 5.1 3.1 0.4 0.0 12.2 16th
17th 0.1 1.1 3.4 5.1 3.4 0.7 0.0 13.9 17th
18th 0.5 2.0 3.7 4.0 2.2 0.6 0.1 13.1 18th
Total 0.5 2.2 4.8 8.0 10.8 12.4 13.1 12.2 10.8 8.8 6.1 4.6 2.7 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 75.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 38.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 13.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 97.4% 20.5% 76.9% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.8%
15-5 0.4% 88.4% 8.9% 79.5% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.3%
14-6 0.9% 64.8% 2.6% 62.2% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 63.9%
13-7 1.7% 47.2% 3.0% 44.2% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.9 45.6%
12-8 2.7% 22.6% 0.5% 22.2% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 2.1 22.3%
11-9 4.6% 10.1% 0.8% 9.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 4.1 9.3%
10-10 6.1% 4.0% 0.3% 3.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 5.9 3.7%
9-11 8.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.8%
8-12 10.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.1%
7-13 12.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.5 0.0 0.0 12.2
6-14 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
4-16 10.8% 10.8
3-17 8.0% 8.0
2-18 4.8% 4.8
1-19 2.2% 2.2
0-20 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 3.3% 0.3% 3.1% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7 3.1%