IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Northwestern
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	+9.7	#50
Expected Predictive Rating	+5.6	#93

Pace	63.1	#336
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+4.6	#61

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.1	#44

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.4%	1.5%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	6.0%	6.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	13.9%	14.1%	2.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid	40.5%	40.9%	15.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	38.8%	39.1%	15.4%
Average Seed	7.5	7.5	8.8

.500 or above	68.9%	69.3%	36.4%
.500 or above in Conference	43.8%	44.1%	23.6%
Conference Champion	3.1%	3.1%	0.9%
Last Place in Conference	8.8%	8.6%	17.5%

First Four	4.8%	4.8%	2.6%
First Round	38.0%	38.3%	15.4%
Second Round	22.1%	22.4%	5.7%
Sweet Sixteen	8.5%	8.6%	1.2%
Elite Eight	3.3%	3.3%	0.2%
Final Four	1.2%	1.2%	0.2%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%
National Champion	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Illinois (Home) - 98.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 5	1 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 9
Quad 2	5 - 4	8 - 13
Quad 3	4 - 1	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	17 - 14

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	260	Lehigh	W	90-46	94%	1 - 0			+35.9	+15.8	+21.6
Nov 09, 2024	58	@ Dayton	L	66-71	42%	1 - 1			+6.8	+1.1	+5.6
Nov 12, 2024	162	Illinois-Chicago	W	83-74	87%	2 - 1			+6.3	+6.0	+0.0
Nov 15, 2024	336	Eastern Illinois	W	81-58	99%
Nov 19, 2024	165	Montana St.	W	77-64	88%
Nov 22, 2024	229	Pepperdine	W	78-62	93%
Nov 28, 2024	93	Butler	W	71-67	65%
Dec 03, 2024	45	@ Iowa	L	75-78	38%
Dec 06, 2024	20	Illinois	L	71-72	49%
Dec 15, 2024	96	Georgia Tech	W	76-72	65%
Dec 21, 2024	114	DePaul	W	74-65	79%
Dec 29, 2024	170	Northeastern	W	74-61	88%
Jan 02, 2025	36	@ Penn St.	L	70-75	35%
Jan 05, 2025	15	@ Purdue	L	66-74	25%
Jan 12, 2025	27	Michigan St.	W	68-67	50%
Jan 16, 2025	31	Maryland	W	66-65	52%
Jan 19, 2025	25	@ Michigan	L	66-72	30%
Jan 22, 2025	24	Indiana	L	69-70	49%
Jan 26, 2025	20	@ Illinois	L	68-74	29%
Jan 29, 2025	37	Rutgers	W	67-65	55%
Feb 01, 2025	38	Wisconsin	W	68-66	56%
Feb 04, 2025	65	USC	W	73-69	64%
Feb 08, 2025	79	@ Washington	L	70-71	48%
Feb 11, 2025	39	@ Oregon	L	66-70	36%
Feb 16, 2025	67	Nebraska	W	70-65	65%
Feb 20, 2025	17	@ Ohio St.	L	64-71	27%
Feb 25, 2025	88	@ Minnesota	W	67-66	52%
Feb 28, 2025	45	Iowa	W	78-75	59%
Mar 03, 2025	30	UCLA	W	64-63	51%
Mar 08, 2025	31	@ Maryland	L	63-68	32%
Projected Record						17 - 13	9 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Ten Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.4	0.9	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0		3.1	1st
2nd													0.1	0.5	1.5	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0				3.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.4	1.7	1.6	0.5	0.1	0.0					4.2	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	1.6	2.1	0.7	0.1							4.6	4th
5th											0.0	0.8	2.5	1.3	0.2								4.8	5th
6th											0.3	2.4	2.3	0.3	0.0								5.4	6th
7th										0.0	1.3	3.2	0.9	0.0									5.5	7th
8th									0.0	0.4	3.2	2.0	0.2										5.7	8th
9th									0.1	1.6	3.4	0.8	0.0										5.9	9th
10th								0.0	0.5	3.4	2.1	0.1											6.1	10th
11th								0.2	2.1	3.7	0.6	0.0											6.6	11th
12th							0.0	1.0	3.8	1.8	0.1												6.6	12th
13th						0.0	0.4	2.7	3.2	0.5													6.8	13th
14th						0.2	1.7	3.6	1.4	0.0													6.9	14th
15th					0.1	1.1	3.2	2.1	0.2	0.0													6.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.1	1.0	2.3	2.3	0.6	0.0													6.3	16th
17th		0.0	0.2	0.9	2.0	2.0	0.8	0.1	0.0													5.9	17th
18th	0.1	0.4	1.1	1.5	1.4	0.5	0.1															5.1	18th

Total	0.1	0.4	1.3	2.6	4.4	6.0	8.4	10.2	11.4	11.3	11.0	9.5	7.9	6.0	4.4	2.6	1.5	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0		Total

Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
18-2	95.7%	0.2		0.2	0.0	0.0
17-3	84.9%	0.6		0.5	0.1	0.0
16-4	63.4%	0.9		0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0
15-5	33.1%	0.9		0.3	0.4	0.2	0.0
14-6	8.2%	0.4		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	3.1%	3.1		1.6	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%							0.0
19-1	0.1%		100.0%	42.3%	57.7%	1.6		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.2%		100.0%	18.8%	81.2%	2.0		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0														100.0%
17-3	0.7%		100.0%	26.3%	73.7%	2.4		0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0														100.0%
16-4	1.5%		100.0%	19.8%	80.2%	3.3		0.1	0.3	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0												100.0%
15-5	2.6%		100.0%	17.0%	83.0%	4.2		0.1	0.3	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-6	4.4%		99.5%	12.4%	87.2%	5.3		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	1.0	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.0		99.5%
13-7	6.0%		97.6%	8.3%	89.3%	6.6			0.0	0.2	0.4	0.9	1.3	1.4	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.1						0.1		97.3%
12-8	7.9%		93.0%	4.3%	88.7%	7.6				0.0	0.2	0.6	1.1	1.5	1.6	1.3	0.8	0.3	0.0					0.6		92.7%
11-9	9.5%		80.2%	2.2%	78.1%	8.7				0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	1.0	1.5	1.7	1.6	0.9	0.1					1.9		79.8%
10-10	11.0%		58.1%	1.5%	56.6%	9.5					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.4	0.9	1.5	1.6	1.7	0.2					4.6		57.5%
9-11	11.3%		26.8%	0.7%	26.1%	10.4						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.4	0.3	0.0				8.3		26.3%
8-12	11.4%		7.0%	0.4%	6.6%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2					10.6		6.6%
7-13	10.2%		0.7%	0.2%	0.5%	11.3											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			10.2		0.5%
6-14	8.4%																							8.4
5-15	6.0%																							6.0
4-16	4.4%																							4.4
3-17	2.6%																							2.6
2-18	1.3%																							1.3
1-19	0.4%																							0.4
0-20	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		40.5%	2.9%	37.7%	7.5		0.5	1.0	2.0	2.5	3.5	4.5	5.1	5.4	5.5	5.0	4.8	0.9	0.0	0.0			59.5		38.8%