Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.6#53
Expected Predictive Rating+13.6#36
Pace71.8#79
Improvement-0.3#203

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#36
First Shot+5.5#50
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#96
Layup/Dunks+5.1#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#256
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#152
Freethrows+1.0#117
Improvement+0.5#161

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#78
First Shot+2.4#96
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#83
Layups/Dunks+0.2#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#61
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
Freethrows+1.0#111
Improvement-0.7#228
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.4% 2.7% 0.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.5% 59.2% 34.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 45.4% 59.2% 34.1%
Average Seed 9.8 9.5 10.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 7.8% 15.6% 1.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four16.5% 16.9% 16.2%
First Round36.6% 50.5% 25.1%
Second Round14.1% 20.2% 9.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.0% 4.3% 1.9%
Elite Eight0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Home) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 82 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 34 - 11
Quad 24 - 29 - 13
Quad 34 - 012 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 361   Maryland Eastern Shore W 102-63 99%     1 - 0 +18.0 +17.4 -0.3
  Nov 10, 2024 217   Southeast Missouri St. W 85-76 93%     2 - 0 +3.3 +6.9 -4.0
  Nov 13, 2024 112   California W 85-69 82%     3 - 0 +16.7 +3.5 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 271   Jackson St. W 94-81 95%     4 - 0 +4.7 +14.3 -10.1
  Nov 21, 2024 80   Nevada W 73-71 63%     5 - 0 +9.2 +5.5 +3.8
  Nov 22, 2024 167   Seton Hall W 76-60 85%     6 - 0 +15.6 +10.1 +6.4
  Nov 24, 2024 74   Drake L 70-81 61%     6 - 1 -3.3 -0.4 -2.7
  Nov 29, 2024 308   Tennessee Tech W 87-56 97%     7 - 1 +20.0 +7.3 +12.2
  Dec 04, 2024 128   @ Virginia Tech W 80-64 73%     8 - 1 +20.3 +12.8 +8.3
  Dec 08, 2024 64   TCU W 83-74 59%     9 - 1 +17.4 +13.1 +3.8
  Dec 18, 2024 358   The Citadel W 105-53 99%     10 - 1 +35.1 +32.1 +6.6
  Dec 21, 2024 276   Austin Peay W 85-55 96%     11 - 1 +21.0 +5.3 +14.6
  Dec 30, 2024 353   New Orleans W 100-56 98%     12 - 1 +28.3 +8.5 +15.3
  Jan 04, 2025 72   @ LSU W 80-72 51%     13 - 1 1 - 0 +18.4 +15.5 +3.1
  Jan 07, 2025 28   Mississippi St. L 64-76 44%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +0.2 -1.0 +0.8
  Jan 11, 2025 15   @ Missouri L 66-75 18%     13 - 3 1 - 2 +11.2 +3.9 +6.8
  Jan 15, 2025 84   South Carolina W 66-63 73%     14 - 3 2 - 2 +7.2 -3.7 +10.8
  Jan 18, 2025 5   Tennessee W 76-75 26%     15 - 3 3 - 2 +18.4 +22.4 -4.0
  Jan 21, 2025 6   @ Alabama L 87-103 14%     15 - 4 3 - 3 +6.0 +8.5 -0.2
  Jan 25, 2025 17   Kentucky W 74-69 36%     16 - 4 4 - 3 +19.4 +7.0 +12.6
  Feb 01, 2025 50   @ Oklahoma L 67-97 39%     16 - 5 4 - 4 -16.6 -4.1 -10.6
  Feb 04, 2025 4   @ Florida L 75-86 10%     16 - 6 4 - 5 +13.8 +16.6 -3.4
  Feb 08, 2025 36   Texas W 86-78 52%     17 - 6 5 - 5 +18.2 +17.2 +0.9
  Feb 11, 2025 1   Auburn L 68-80 16%     17 - 7 5 - 6 +9.0 +9.8 -2.0
  Feb 15, 2025 5   @ Tennessee L 76-81 14%     17 - 8 5 - 7 +17.5 +24.3 -7.3
  Feb 19, 2025 17   @ Kentucky L 61-82 20%     17 - 9 5 - 8 -1.5 -3.5 +0.9
  Feb 22, 2025 25   Mississippi L 75-77 45%    
  Feb 26, 2025 20   @ Texas A&M L 69-77 21%    
  Mar 01, 2025 15   Missouri L 78-82 35%    
  Mar 04, 2025 35   Arkansas W 76-75 53%    
  Mar 08, 2025 44   @ Georgia L 72-76 35%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.4 0.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 0.3 1.2 7th
8th 0.7 2.5 0.2 3.3 8th
9th 0.3 4.5 2.6 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.4 10.3 12.4 0.9 24.1 10th
11th 0.1 8.2 19.3 3.2 0.0 30.8 11th
12th 1.7 14.0 3.7 0.0 19.5 12th
13th 6.2 4.8 0.1 11.0 13th
14th 1.9 0.3 2.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.1 15th
16th 16th
Total 10.0 27.8 33.6 20.8 7.0 0.9 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.9% 100.0% 100.0% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
9-9 7.0% 96.3% 0.6% 95.7% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 96.3%
8-10 20.8% 80.9% 0.1% 80.7% 9.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 4.8 6.0 3.2 0.1 4.0 80.9%
7-11 33.6% 48.7% 48.7% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 9.5 0.7 17.3 48.7%
6-12 27.8% 16.1% 0.1% 16.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 3.2 0.8 23.3 16.0%
5-13 10.0% 2.0% 2.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.8 2.0%
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 45.5% 0.1% 45.4% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.5 8.0 11.4 16.2 1.6 54.6 45.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.0%