Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#128
Expected Predictive Rating+2.2#132
Pace64.0#292
Improvement+0.0#190

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#134
First Shot-0.3#186
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#95
Layup/Dunks-1.5#233
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#87
Freethrows-0.6#222
Improvement+0.9#139

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#161
First Shot-1.5#225
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#38
Layups/Dunks+1.2#127
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#48
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#321
Freethrows-0.5#228
Improvement-0.9#237
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 15.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 2.0% 4.3% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 24 - 94 - 14
Quad 32 - 47 - 18
Quad 46 - 113 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 303   Delaware St. W 83-60 87%     1 - 0 +12.4 +4.4 +7.7
  Nov 08, 2024 345   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 93%     2 - 0 +4.1 +8.9 -5.4
  Nov 11, 2024 196   Winthrop W 58-52 73%     3 - 0 +1.4 -12.5 +14.5
  Nov 15, 2024 62   Penn St. L 64-86 26%     3 - 1 -13.4 -8.4 -4.0
  Nov 20, 2024 193   Jacksonville L 64-74 72%     3 - 2 -14.4 -7.7 -6.8
  Nov 25, 2024 22   Michigan L 63-75 10%     3 - 3 +3.6 -2.3 +5.9
  Nov 27, 2024 84   South Carolina L 60-70 32%     3 - 4 -3.3 -1.4 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2024 53   Vanderbilt L 64-80 27%     3 - 5 -7.9 -3.5 -5.2
  Dec 07, 2024 52   Pittsburgh L 59-64 27%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +3.1 -7.0 +9.7
  Dec 12, 2024 316   N.C. A&T W 95-67 89%     4 - 6 +16.3 +9.5 +4.4
  Dec 15, 2024 283   Navy W 80-72 85%     5 - 6 -1.4 +15.6 -15.7
  Dec 21, 2024 78   Saint Joseph's L 62-82 29%     5 - 7 -12.7 -2.6 -11.1
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 65-88 2%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +3.1 +9.8 -8.8
  Jan 04, 2025 152   Miami (FL) W 86-85 64%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -0.9 +11.2 -12.1
  Jan 08, 2025 88   @ Stanford L 59-70 25%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -2.1 -5.1 +2.0
  Jan 11, 2025 112   @ California W 71-68 35%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +8.8 +6.7 +2.5
  Jan 15, 2025 103   North Carolina St. W 79-76 50%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +4.7 +16.4 -11.3
  Jan 18, 2025 55   Wake Forest L 63-72 27%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -1.0 +0.4 -1.9
  Jan 22, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 64-71 29%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +0.4 -0.5 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 23   Clemson L 57-72 15%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -2.0 -0.9 -3.4
  Jan 29, 2025 82   @ Florida St. W 76-66 23%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +19.4 +11.9 +7.8
  Feb 01, 2025 93   @ Virginia W 75-74 28%     10 - 12 5 - 6 +8.7 +17.6 -8.7
  Feb 05, 2025 37   SMU L 75-81 22%     10 - 13 5 - 7 +4.0 +13.9 -10.6
  Feb 08, 2025 95   @ Notre Dame W 65-63 28%     11 - 13 6 - 7 +9.7 -2.0 +11.7
  Feb 15, 2025 93   Virginia L 70-73 47%     11 - 14 6 - 8 -0.3 +8.9 -9.7
  Feb 18, 2025 174   @ Boston College L 36-54 49%     11 - 15 6 - 9 -16.1 -30.6 +11.9
  Feb 22, 2025 152   @ Miami (FL) L 74-75 44%    
  Feb 25, 2025 21   Louisville L 67-78 15%    
  Mar 01, 2025 108   Syracuse W 73-72 55%    
  Mar 04, 2025 40   North Carolina L 71-79 25%    
  Mar 08, 2025 23   @ Clemson L 59-75 6%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.2 0.5 0.0 0.7 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 0.8 2.3 8th
9th 0.0 3.1 5.4 0.6 9.0 9th
10th 0.9 13.0 3.9 0.0 17.7 10th
11th 9.1 12.9 0.7 22.7 11th
12th 0.6 16.6 2.7 0.0 19.9 12th
13th 3.5 9.9 0.2 13.6 13th
14th 7.9 1.7 9.6 14th
15th 4.0 0.1 4.1 15th
16th 0.4 0.4 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 16.3 38.3 31.9 11.6 1.9 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 1.9% 1.9
9-11 11.6% 11.6
8-12 31.9% 31.9
7-13 38.3% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 38.3
6-14 16.3% 16.3
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.6%