Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#59
Expected Predictive Rating+14.5#28
Pace67.7#211
Improvement+4.9#18

Offense
Total Offense+2.8#103
First Shot+2.5#104
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#165
Layup/Dunks+2.5#91
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#186
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#232
Freethrows+2.1#66
Improvement+3.6#25

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#33
First Shot+6.7#22
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#202
Layups/Dunks+6.5#19
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#259
Freethrows+0.3#166
Improvement+1.2#114
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.6% 28.4% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.6% 27.1% 15.2%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.4
.500 or above 99.7% 99.9% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 92.4% 97.4% 88.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.5% 14.0% 9.5%
First Round15.5% 20.9% 11.0%
Second Round6.0% 8.2% 4.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 2.0% 1.1%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Home) - 45.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 9
Quad 24 - 26 - 11
Quad 38 - 114 - 12
Quad 47 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -4.8 -16.0 +10.9
  Nov 07, 2024 322   N.C. A&T W 80-64 97%     2 - 0 +3.9 -9.7 +11.6
  Nov 10, 2024 11   Michigan W 72-70 23%     3 - 0 +19.3 +7.6 +11.7
  Nov 13, 2024 337   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 98%     4 - 0 -9.2 +2.7 -12.1
  Nov 16, 2024 41   @ Xavier L 60-75 31%     4 - 1 -0.6 -1.3 -0.1
  Nov 19, 2024 341   Western Carolina W 82-69 98%     5 - 1 -1.3 +5.1 -6.3
  Nov 23, 2024 331   Detroit Mercy W 67-57 97%     6 - 1 -3.4 -8.0 +5.1
  Nov 28, 2024 5   Florida L 58-75 15%     6 - 2 +3.4 -4.2 +7.0
  Nov 29, 2024 98   Minnesota W 57-51 66%     7 - 2 +11.0 -4.6 +16.5
  Dec 03, 2024 21   @ Texas A&M L 44-57 20%     7 - 3 +5.1 -13.8 +17.4
  Dec 07, 2024 193   Boston College W 72-66 89%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +1.7 +0.9 +1.2
  Dec 17, 2024 149   James Madison W 75-58 85%     9 - 3 +15.3 +14.3 +3.9
  Dec 21, 2024 30   @ Clemson L 62-73 27%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +4.9 -3.5 +8.4
  Dec 31, 2024 103   @ Syracuse W 81-71 60%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.7 +7.0 +9.1
  Jan 04, 2025 93   North Carolina St. W 77-59 72%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +21.3 +12.9 +10.3
  Jan 11, 2025 155   @ Miami (FL) W 88-78 72%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +13.3 +12.4 +1.0
  Jan 15, 2025 88   Stanford W 80-67 71%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +16.7 +10.4 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2025 137   @ Virginia Tech W 72-63 68%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +13.4 +4.9 +9.1
  Jan 21, 2025 26   North Carolina L 73-75 45%    
  Jan 25, 2025 1   Duke L 63-75 14%    
  Jan 30, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 69-76 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 40   Pittsburgh W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 05, 2025 88   @ Stanford W 72-71 50%    
  Feb 08, 2025 118   @ California W 75-71 63%    
  Feb 12, 2025 58   Florida St. W 74-71 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 37   @ SMU L 72-78 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 93   @ North Carolina St. W 68-67 50%    
  Feb 26, 2025 107   Virginia W 65-56 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 77   Notre Dame W 72-67 67%    
  Mar 03, 2025 1   @ Duke L 60-77 5%    
  Mar 08, 2025 104   Georgia Tech W 75-67 78%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.8 1.1 0.1 7.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 6.9 2.8 0.2 0.0 15.2 4th
5th 0.4 4.9 8.6 3.5 0.3 17.7 5th
6th 0.2 3.9 10.1 4.5 0.5 19.1 6th
7th 0.0 1.9 7.8 4.4 0.4 14.5 7th
8th 0.5 4.3 4.2 0.7 9.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.0 3.7 0.9 0.0 6.7 9th
10th 0.6 2.0 0.8 0.0 3.4 10th
11th 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 1.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.9 5.3 11.0 17.3 20.9 18.6 14.0 7.1 3.0 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1
17-3 18.0% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
16-4 2.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.6% 96.7% 4.9% 91.8% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 96.6%
16-4 3.0% 83.2% 5.4% 77.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.5 82.2%
15-5 7.1% 62.8% 3.7% 59.1% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.5 1.4 0.0 2.6 61.3%
14-6 14.0% 41.4% 1.9% 39.4% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 3.2 0.2 8.2 40.2%
13-7 18.6% 23.8% 1.3% 22.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.9 0.3 14.2 22.8%
12-8 20.9% 12.7% 0.7% 11.9% 10.9 0.0 0.4 1.9 0.3 18.2 12.0%
11-9 17.3% 5.5% 0.6% 4.9% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 16.3 4.9%
10-10 11.0% 1.7% 0.3% 1.5% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.8 1.5%
9-11 5.3% 0.4% 0.4% 11.0 0.0 5.3
8-12 1.9% 1.9
7-13 0.4% 0.4
6-14 0.0% 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 21.6% 1.3% 20.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.7 5.3 10.7 1.0 78.4 20.6%