Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.5#86
Expected Predictive Rating+12.0#46
Pace66.4#252
Improvement+2.9#31

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#138
First Shot+1.3#140
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#188
Layup/Dunks+2.6#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#272
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#219
Freethrows+1.7#83
Improvement+1.3#82

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#46
First Shot+5.9#26
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#231
Layups/Dunks+6.1#25
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#74
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.0#270
Freethrows+0.5#155
Improvement+1.6#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 1.0% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.8% 23.1% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.2% 22.2% 8.4%
Average Seed 10.0 9.7 10.1
.500 or above 72.1% 87.9% 68.2%
.500 or above in Conference 42.2% 62.6% 37.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.8% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 3.6% 0.9% 4.2%
First Four4.9% 7.7% 4.2%
First Round8.9% 18.4% 6.5%
Second Round3.2% 6.7% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.6% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Away) - 20.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 13
Quad 36 - 212 - 15
Quad 46 - 018 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -6.2 -17.2 +10.7
  Nov 07, 2024 321   N.C. A&T W 80-64 95%     2 - 0 +4.0 -9.8 +11.6
  Nov 10, 2024 21   Michigan W 72-70 23%     3 - 0 +16.2 +7.3 +9.0
  Nov 13, 2024 338   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 96%     4 - 0 -9.2 +2.7 -12.1
  Nov 16, 2024 47   @ Xavier L 60-75 25%     4 - 1 -1.5 -3.2 +0.8
  Nov 19, 2024 311   Western Carolina W 82-69 94%     5 - 1 +1.6 +6.9 -5.2
  Nov 23, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 67-57 95%     6 - 1 -2.1 -8.1 +6.4
  Nov 28, 2024 7   Florida L 58-75 14%     6 - 2 +1.1 -5.7 +6.2
  Nov 29, 2024 114   Minnesota W 57-51 62%     7 - 2 +9.4 -4.1 +14.4
  Dec 03, 2024 25   @ Texas A&M L 44-57 17%     7 - 3 +3.9 -14.1 +16.5
  Dec 07, 2024 152   Boston College W 72-66 81%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +3.3 +2.5 +1.1
  Dec 17, 2024 115   James Madison W 75-58 73%     9 - 3 +17.2 +13.9 +6.3
  Dec 21, 2024 35   @ Clemson L 62-71 20%    
  Dec 31, 2024 95   @ Syracuse L 72-74 41%    
  Jan 04, 2025 78   North Carolina St. W 68-66 59%    
  Jan 11, 2025 93   @ Miami (FL) L 70-73 41%    
  Jan 15, 2025 94   Stanford W 73-69 63%    
  Jan 18, 2025 126   @ Virginia Tech W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 21, 2025 22   North Carolina L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 25, 2025 2   Duke L 61-72 14%    
  Jan 30, 2025 51   @ Louisville L 68-75 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 33   Pittsburgh L 68-71 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 94   @ Stanford L 70-72 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 118   @ California W 73-72 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 63   Florida St. W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 49   @ SMU L 69-76 27%    
  Feb 22, 2025 78   @ North Carolina St. L 65-69 38%    
  Feb 26, 2025 90   Virginia W 60-57 62%    
  Mar 01, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 68-65 59%    
  Mar 03, 2025 2   @ Duke L 58-75 5%    
  Mar 08, 2025 111   Georgia Tech W 73-67 70%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.5 0.1 2.7 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 1.0 2.7 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.5 2.9 2.7 0.5 0.0 6.5 6th
7th 0.2 2.3 3.9 1.2 0.0 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 4.4 2.4 0.2 8.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 3.3 4.2 0.6 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 4.9 1.6 0.1 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 4.0 3.6 0.3 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.1 2.0 4.7 1.2 0.0 8.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 4.3 2.7 0.2 8.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.6 0.7 0.0 7.0 14th
15th 0.1 1.4 3.1 1.3 0.1 5.9 15th
16th 0.1 0.8 2.2 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.9 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.0 3.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.6 5.1 8.3 11.9 13.9 14.4 13.4 11.0 8.0 5.2 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 46.7% 0.0    0.0
17-3 51.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 23.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0
15-5 5.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 97.2% 4.2% 93.1% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.1%
16-4 0.5% 97.0% 7.4% 89.6% 7.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 96.7%
15-5 1.3% 85.1% 5.7% 79.4% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 84.2%
14-6 2.6% 72.4% 4.8% 67.7% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.7 71.1%
13-7 5.2% 49.4% 2.2% 47.2% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.1 2.6 48.2%
12-8 8.0% 32.7% 1.4% 31.2% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 0.1 5.4 31.7%
11-9 11.0% 17.3% 1.0% 16.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 0.2 9.1 16.5%
10-10 13.4% 6.2% 0.3% 5.9% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.2 12.5 5.9%
9-11 14.4% 1.4% 0.3% 1.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.2 1.1%
8-12 13.9% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.0 13.9 0.1%
7-13 11.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 11.9
6-14 8.3% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 8.3
5-15 5.1% 5.1
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.2% 1.2
2-18 0.3% 0.3
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 11.8% 0.7% 11.1% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.8 3.0 4.8 0.6 0.0 88.2 11.2%