Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#113
Expected Predictive Rating+8.8#70
Pace62.7#332
Improvement+2.1#61

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#202
First Shot-3.1#270
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#75
Layup/Dunks-4.8#331
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#139
Freethrows+1.2#107
Improvement+0.9#103

Defense
Total Defense+4.5#63
First Shot+4.4#55
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#169
Layups/Dunks+1.4#117
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#8
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#150
Freethrows-1.2#266
Improvement+1.1#96
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 35.0% 45.5% 34.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.2 13.0
.500 or above 99.5% 100.0% 99.5%
.500 or above in Conference 97.8% 99.2% 97.7%
Conference Champion 50.5% 62.0% 49.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round34.9% 45.4% 34.4%
Second Round4.8% 8.3% 4.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.0% 1.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 5.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 3
Quad 35 - 25 - 6
Quad 417 - 222 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 291   @ Louisiana W 70-66 76%     1 - 0 +0.1 -1.8 +2.1
  Nov 13, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 56-79 3%     1 - 1 +2.8 -1.9 +2.3
  Nov 21, 2024 320   Niagara W 76-73 92%     2 - 1 -8.9 +1.6 -10.3
  Nov 23, 2024 224   @ Cleveland St. W 68-52 64%     3 - 1 +15.8 +1.4 +15.6
  Nov 28, 2024 213   Towson W 65-54 72%     4 - 1 +8.5 +3.7 +6.6
  Nov 29, 2024 60   UC Irvine L 39-51 29%     4 - 2 -2.8 -21.1 +16.8
  Nov 30, 2024 162   Kennesaw St. W 67-60 64%     5 - 2 +6.7 -5.3 +12.1
  Dec 06, 2024 325   Portland W 76-57 92%     6 - 2 +6.7 +3.7 +4.5
  Dec 15, 2024 358   Mercyhurst W 82-57 96%     7 - 2 +7.9 +7.7 +2.1
  Dec 22, 2024 8   @ Alabama L 66-83 5%    
  Jan 04, 2025 288   Ball St. W 72-59 89%    
  Jan 07, 2025 346   @ Northern Illinois W 72-60 88%    
  Jan 10, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 73-63 83%    
  Jan 14, 2025 296   Western Michigan W 74-60 89%    
  Jan 18, 2025 209   Miami (OH) W 70-61 79%    
  Jan 21, 2025 211   @ Toledo W 73-70 61%    
  Jan 24, 2025 149   @ Ohio W 70-69 50%    
  Jan 28, 2025 267   Bowling Green W 75-63 87%    
  Jan 31, 2025 163   Akron W 74-67 73%    
  Feb 04, 2025 317   @ Eastern Michigan W 71-62 80%    
  Feb 11, 2025 225   Central Michigan W 71-61 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 149   Ohio W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 18, 2025 267   @ Bowling Green W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 22, 2025 209   @ Miami (OH) W 67-64 59%    
  Feb 25, 2025 211   Toledo W 76-67 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 163   @ Akron W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 04, 2025 296   @ Western Michigan W 71-63 75%    
  Mar 07, 2025 317   Eastern Michigan W 74-59 91%    
Projected Record 21 - 7 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 4.1 10.4 14.2 12.1 6.8 2.2 50.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.9 7.9 6.2 2.0 0.2 0.0 20.8 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.6 4.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 11.4 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 3.5 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.5 0.2 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.0 0.1 0.0 2.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.8 5.0 8.2 11.6 15.3 17.1 16.3 12.4 6.8 2.2 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.2    2.2
17-1 99.9% 6.8    6.8 0.0
16-2 98.0% 12.1    11.2 1.0 0.0
15-3 87.4% 14.2    10.7 3.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 60.6% 10.4    5.3 4.2 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 26.7% 4.1    1.1 1.9 1.0 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.9% 0.6    0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 50.5% 50.5 37.3 10.6 2.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.2% 62.4% 62.3% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.8 0.2%
17-1 6.8% 56.3% 56.3% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.5 0.9 0.0 3.0
16-2 12.4% 49.8% 49.8% 12.5 0.1 3.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 6.2
15-3 16.3% 43.0% 43.0% 12.8 0.0 2.2 3.7 1.0 0.0 9.3
14-4 17.1% 37.0% 37.0% 13.2 0.0 1.0 3.3 1.8 0.1 10.8
13-5 15.3% 30.3% 30.3% 13.5 0.3 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 10.7
12-6 11.6% 24.7% 24.7% 13.8 0.1 0.9 1.5 0.4 8.7
11-7 8.2% 18.3% 18.3% 14.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 6.7
10-8 5.0% 15.7% 15.7% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.2
9-9 2.8% 11.7% 11.7% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.5
8-10 1.3% 8.2% 8.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.2
7-11 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 35.0% 35.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 10.1 13.9 8.0 1.8 0.1 65.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 9.6 7.8 5.2 5.2 13.0 5.2 13.0 37.7 13.0