Kent St.
Mid-American
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.7#123
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#46
Pace65.2#298
Improvement+1.3#54

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#147
First Shot+2.1#106
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#240
Layup/Dunks-4.1#302
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#154
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#102
Freethrows+3.2#48
Improvement+0.6#100

Defense
Total Defense+1.7#122
First Shot+1.1#140
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#151
Layups/Dunks-1.2#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#61
Freethrows-0.5#212
Improvement+0.7#84
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.6% 25.4% 14.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.8 13.6
.500 or above 87.9% 89.6% 68.9%
.500 or above in Conference 91.1% 91.9% 81.9%
Conference Champion 34.1% 35.4% 19.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.4% 1.4%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.5%
First Round24.5% 25.4% 14.5%
Second Round3.9% 4.1% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Niagara (Home) - 91.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 13 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 21 - 11 - 4
Quad 35 - 46 - 8
Quad 414 - 320 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 244   @ Louisiana W 70-66 65%     1 - 0 +2.8 +0.5 +2.5
  Nov 13, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 56-79 4%     1 - 1 -0.4 -1.4 -1.4
  Nov 21, 2024 327   Niagara W 77-62 92%    
  Nov 23, 2024 219   @ Cleveland St. W 69-66 60%    
  Nov 28, 2024 134   Towson W 65-64 54%    
  Nov 29, 2024 57   UC Irvine L 65-71 28%    
  Nov 30, 2024 160   Kennesaw St. W 80-77 60%    
  Dec 06, 2024 289   Portland W 75-63 87%    
  Dec 15, 2024 359   Mercyhurst W 74-54 96%    
  Dec 22, 2024 9   @ Alabama L 69-86 6%    
  Jan 04, 2025 246   Ball St. W 75-65 82%    
  Jan 07, 2025 293   @ Northern Illinois W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 11, 2025 330   @ Buffalo W 77-67 80%    
  Jan 14, 2025 319   Western Michigan W 77-63 90%    
  Jan 18, 2025 228   Miami (OH) W 74-65 79%    
  Jan 21, 2025 138   @ Toledo L 73-75 44%    
  Jan 25, 2025 156   @ Ohio L 72-73 48%    
  Jan 28, 2025 264   Bowling Green W 76-65 83%    
  Feb 01, 2025 139   Akron W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 04, 2025 301   @ Eastern Michigan W 70-63 73%    
  Feb 11, 2025 202   Central Michigan W 71-63 75%    
  Feb 15, 2025 156   Ohio W 75-69 69%    
  Feb 18, 2025 264   @ Bowling Green W 73-68 66%    
  Feb 22, 2025 228   @ Miami (OH) W 71-68 60%    
  Feb 25, 2025 138   Toledo W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 01, 2025 139   @ Akron L 69-71 44%    
  Mar 04, 2025 319   @ Western Michigan W 74-66 77%    
  Mar 07, 2025 301   Eastern Michigan W 73-60 87%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 6.5 9.6 8.2 4.9 1.6 34.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.5 7.0 6.0 2.4 0.4 19.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 3.1 5.6 3.6 0.8 0.0 13.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.3 4.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.4 3.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 7.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.8 2.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 3.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.5 3.9 5.8 8.3 10.6 12.4 13.6 13.4 12.0 8.6 4.9 1.6 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.6    1.6
17-1 100.0% 4.9    4.8 0.1
16-2 95.8% 8.2    7.2 1.0 0.0
15-3 79.6% 9.6    6.8 2.6 0.2
14-4 48.7% 6.5    2.9 2.8 0.7 0.1
13-5 20.0% 2.7    0.7 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0
12-6 4.4% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 34.1% 34.1 24.0 7.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.6% 66.6% 63.5% 3.1% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 8.5%
17-1 4.9% 55.3% 54.6% 0.7% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.2 1.6%
16-2 8.6% 45.1% 45.0% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.7 0.2%
15-3 12.0% 37.9% 37.9% 12.7 0.1 1.8 2.0 0.6 0.0 7.5
14-4 13.4% 30.0% 30.0% 13.1 0.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 0.1 9.4
13-5 13.6% 24.0% 24.0% 13.5 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.3
12-6 12.4% 18.0% 18.0% 13.8 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.0 10.2
11-7 10.6% 13.5% 13.5% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 9.1
10-8 8.3% 9.4% 9.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 7.5
9-9 5.8% 7.7% 7.7% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 5.3
8-10 3.9% 4.0% 4.0% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.7
7-11 2.5% 1.1% 1.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 1.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.0 1.3
5-13 0.7% 0.7
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 24.6% 24.5% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.7 7.2 7.8 5.0 2.1 0.3 75.4 0.1%