Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#65
Expected Predictive Rating+4.7#114
Pace71.1#118
Improvement-1.3#315

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#86
First Shot+3.3#82
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#169
Layup/Dunks+3.4#72
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#301
Freethrows+6.8#5
Improvement-0.5#261

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#50
First Shot+5.1#51
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#193
Layups/Dunks+13.9#2
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#357
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.2#356
Freethrows+4.4#14
Improvement-0.8#290
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 2.2% 5.3% 1.4%
Top 6 Seed 6.6% 14.1% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.5% 43.8% 22.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 25.4% 42.3% 21.3%
Average Seed 8.1 7.6 8.3
.500 or above 50.0% 71.0% 44.8%
.500 or above in Conference 31.0% 42.5% 28.1%
Conference Champion 1.5% 2.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 7.6% 14.7%
First Four4.1% 5.0% 3.9%
First Round24.4% 41.3% 20.2%
Second Round12.8% 22.5% 10.4%
Sweet Sixteen4.4% 8.4% 3.3%
Elite Eight1.6% 3.2% 1.2%
Final Four0.5% 1.1% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Creighton (Away) - 20.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 14
Quad 33 - 110 - 15
Quad 45 - 015 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 191   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 88%     1 - 0 +15.6 +2.7 +11.1
  Nov 09, 2024 286   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 94%     2 - 0 -4.4 -15.5 +10.9
  Nov 13, 2024 342   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 98%     3 - 0 +10.9 +0.7 +9.4
  Nov 17, 2024 44   St. Mary's L 74-77 40%     3 - 1 +7.9 +10.5 -2.8
  Nov 22, 2024 17   @ Creighton L 69-78 20%    
  Nov 27, 2024 249   South Dakota W 84-68 93%    
  Dec 01, 2024 175   North Florida W 83-71 87%    
  Dec 07, 2024 35   @ Michigan St. L 69-75 28%    
  Dec 13, 2024 22   Indiana L 73-75 41%    
  Dec 22, 2024 109   Murray St. W 72-68 65%    
  Dec 30, 2024 275   Southern W 79-62 94%    
  Jan 04, 2025 28   UCLA L 66-68 44%    
  Jan 07, 2025 41   @ Iowa L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 12, 2025 19   @ Purdue L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 16, 2025 42   Rutgers W 72-71 52%    
  Jan 19, 2025 30   @ Maryland L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 22, 2025 78   USC W 76-72 64%    
  Jan 26, 2025 38   @ Wisconsin L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 26   Illinois L 75-77 43%    
  Feb 02, 2025 40   @ Oregon L 68-74 30%    
  Feb 05, 2025 84   @ Washington L 73-74 46%    
  Feb 08, 2025 20   Ohio St. L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 13, 2025 30   Maryland L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 16, 2025 74   @ Northwestern L 67-69 42%    
  Feb 19, 2025 32   @ Penn St. L 74-81 26%    
  Feb 24, 2025 24   Michigan L 73-75 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 90   Minnesota W 69-63 69%    
  Mar 04, 2025 20   @ Ohio St. L 65-74 23%    
  Mar 09, 2025 41   Iowa W 79-78 50%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.9 0.3 0.0 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.3 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.5 0.7 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.5 1.8 0.2 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 3.1 0.6 0.0 5.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 3.3 1.9 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.1 3.4 0.6 0.0 6.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.9 1.8 0.1 7.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 3.1 3.5 0.4 0.0 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.2 4.3 1.4 0.0 8.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.0 2.5 0.3 0.0 8.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.7 3.1 0.6 0.0 9.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.2 2.7 0.9 0.1 8.8 17th
18th 0.2 0.8 1.9 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 18th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.3 6.9 9.1 11.0 11.9 11.8 10.7 9.5 7.6 5.7 3.8 2.3 1.3 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 97.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 88.0% 0.2    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 70.0% 0.4    0.2 0.2 0.0
15-5 32.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 11.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.5% 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 36.8% 63.2% 2.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 26.9% 73.1% 2.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 100.0% 15.8% 84.2% 3.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 1.3% 99.8% 12.9% 86.9% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-6 2.3% 99.7% 10.6% 89.0% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.6%
13-7 3.8% 98.0% 6.9% 91.0% 6.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 97.8%
12-8 5.7% 91.2% 4.1% 87.2% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 90.9%
11-9 7.6% 76.7% 2.3% 74.4% 8.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.3 0.8 0.0 1.8 76.2%
10-10 9.5% 50.9% 1.1% 49.8% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.6 0.2 4.6 50.3%
9-11 10.7% 19.3% 0.5% 18.8% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.1 0.2 0.0 8.7 18.9%
8-12 11.8% 3.9% 0.3% 3.6% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.3 3.6%
7-13 11.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.9 0.2%
6-14 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.0
5-15 9.1% 9.1
4-16 6.9% 6.9
3-17 4.3% 4.3
2-18 2.3% 2.3
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 26.5% 1.5% 25.1% 8.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.1 1.8 2.6 3.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 4.1 0.5 0.0 73.5 25.4%