Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#155
Expected Predictive Rating+1.6#167
Pace67.9#226
Improvement+1.5#52

Offense
Total Offense+0.8#156
First Shot+3.0#90
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#291
Layup/Dunks+11.8#3
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#307
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#269
Freethrows-3.6#330
Improvement+0.4#122

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#188
First Shot-0.2#176
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#211
Layups/Dunks+1.7#125
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#151
Freethrows+0.9#139
Improvement+1.1#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 11.1% 6.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.4 13.3 13.8
.500 or above 75.3% 81.9% 58.9%
.500 or above in Conference 74.5% 78.2% 65.3%
Conference Champion 10.8% 12.2% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 1.1% 2.8%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round9.8% 11.0% 6.7%
Second Round1.1% 1.4% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida International (Neutral) - 71.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 35 - 66 - 10
Quad 413 - 419 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 288   @ Boston University W 80-72 64%     1 - 0 +4.7 +12.0 -6.7
  Nov 10, 2024 129   Princeton L 76-79 54%     1 - 1 -3.9 +0.1 -3.9
  Nov 13, 2024 242   Harvard W 78-56 76%     2 - 1 +14.9 +2.0 +12.7
  Nov 16, 2024 286   Central Connecticut St. W 80-62 73%     3 - 1 +11.7 +7.7 +4.2
  Nov 22, 2024 276   Florida International W 78-72 71%    
  Nov 23, 2024 213   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-68 49%    
  Nov 24, 2024 237   Cal St. Bakersfield W 71-67 65%    
  Nov 30, 2024 153   @ Vermont L 63-66 38%    
  Dec 03, 2024 130   La Salle W 72-71 56%    
  Dec 08, 2024 183   Colgate W 71-66 67%    
  Dec 15, 2024 305   @ Old Dominion W 77-72 68%    
  Dec 18, 2024 125   @ Massachusetts L 71-76 32%    
  Dec 29, 2024 76   @ Northwestern L 63-73 17%    
  Jan 02, 2025 216   Delaware W 77-71 70%    
  Jan 04, 2025 133   Hofstra W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 09, 2025 126   @ Towson L 64-69 33%    
  Jan 11, 2025 302   @ Stony Brook W 75-70 66%    
  Jan 16, 2025 150   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-75 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 111   @ College of Charleston L 72-79 29%    
  Jan 23, 2025 145   Drexel W 68-66 57%    
  Jan 27, 2025 126   Towson W 67-66 54%    
  Jan 30, 2025 308   @ Hampton W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 01, 2025 205   @ Elon L 72-73 48%    
  Feb 06, 2025 133   @ Hofstra L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 08, 2025 308   Hampton W 74-63 84%    
  Feb 13, 2025 256   Campbell W 74-66 76%    
  Feb 15, 2025 302   Stony Brook W 78-67 82%    
  Feb 20, 2025 111   College of Charleston L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 22, 2025 278   @ Monmouth W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 27, 2025 289   N.C. A&T W 82-72 80%    
  Mar 01, 2025 210   @ William & Mary L 77-78 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.0 3.4 1.9 0.7 0.1 10.8 1st
2nd 0.2 1.9 4.3 3.2 0.9 0.1 10.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 2.1 5.1 3.6 0.8 11.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 4.8 3.7 0.7 0.0 11.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 4.8 4.0 1.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.3 3.0 4.5 1.6 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 4.7 2.0 0.2 9.1 7th
8th 0.1 1.0 3.5 2.6 0.3 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 2.3 0.5 0.0 5.6 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 2.4 0.7 0.0 4.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.0 0.0 3.8 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.8 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.6 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.5 4.8 6.9 9.1 11.8 13.7 12.9 11.9 10.1 7.0 4.3 2.0 0.7 0.1 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 96.1% 1.9    1.6 0.2
15-3 78.4% 3.4    2.3 1.0 0.2
14-4 43.1% 3.0    1.4 1.2 0.4 0.1
13-5 15.1% 1.5    0.3 0.6 0.5 0.1
12-6 1.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 6.3 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 57.6% 57.6% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.7% 49.1% 47.4% 1.7% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 3.3%
16-2 2.0% 37.5% 37.5% 12.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2
15-3 4.3% 28.0% 28.0% 12.7 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.1
14-4 7.0% 22.0% 22.0% 13.1 0.3 0.8 0.4 0.0 5.5
13-5 10.1% 19.4% 19.4% 13.5 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 8.2
12-6 11.9% 13.5% 13.5% 13.7 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.3
11-7 12.9% 8.2% 8.2% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 11.8
10-8 13.7% 5.3% 5.3% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 13.0
9-9 11.8% 2.9% 2.9% 14.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 11.4
8-10 9.1% 1.4% 1.4% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 8.9
7-11 6.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.3 0.1 0.0 6.8
6-12 4.8% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.7
5-13 2.5% 2.5
4-14 1.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
3-15 0.5% 0.5
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 9.8% 0.0% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.8 3.3 2.9 1.2 0.3 90.2 0.0%