Northeastern
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#170
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#156
Pace70.6#133
Improvement-3.5#338

Offense
Total Offense-2.2#229
First Shot-2.8#258
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#138
Layup/Dunks+6.9#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#284
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#345
Freethrows-2.2#306
Improvement-3.6#356

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#120
First Shot+1.7#118
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#186
Layups/Dunks-0.8#198
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#180
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows+0.3#165
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.2% 12.9% 8.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.4 14.0
.500 or above 88.0% 96.8% 87.0%
.500 or above in Conference 76.1% 84.0% 75.2%
Conference Champion 10.8% 15.8% 10.2%
Last Place in Conference 1.2% 0.6% 1.3%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round9.2% 12.8% 8.7%
Second Round0.6% 1.1% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Away) - 10.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 36 - 76 - 9
Quad 413 - 420 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 257   @ Boston University W 80-72 57%     1 - 0 +5.8 +12.0 -5.7
  Nov 10, 2024 110   Princeton L 76-79 46%     1 - 1 -2.5 +0.6 -3.1
  Nov 13, 2024 243   Harvard W 78-56 75%     2 - 1 +14.4 +2.3 +11.9
  Nov 16, 2024 219   Central Connecticut St. W 80-62 60%     3 - 1 +14.9 +9.1 +6.0
  Nov 22, 2024 262   Florida International W 60-58 68%     4 - 1 -3.4 -8.5 +5.3
  Nov 23, 2024 188   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 59-55 42%     5 - 1 +5.5 -6.4 +12.5
  Nov 24, 2024 260   Cal St. Bakersfield L 60-68 68%     5 - 2 -13.3 -7.6 -6.7
  Nov 30, 2024 220   @ Vermont L 64-68 49%     5 - 3 -4.3 -3.8 -0.6
  Dec 03, 2024 165   La Salle W 82-68 61%     6 - 3 +10.6 -0.6 +9.8
  Dec 08, 2024 241   Colgate W 78-75 75%     7 - 3 -4.4 +0.6 -5.1
  Dec 15, 2024 308   @ Old Dominion W 75-71 67%     8 - 3 -1.1 -1.7 +0.5
  Dec 18, 2024 203   @ Massachusetts L 72-77 44%     8 - 4 -3.9 -7.0 +3.6
  Dec 29, 2024 55   @ Northwestern L 60-73 10%    
  Jan 02, 2025 215   Delaware W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 04, 2025 149   Hofstra W 67-65 58%    
  Jan 09, 2025 209   @ Towson L 63-64 46%    
  Jan 11, 2025 306   @ Stony Brook W 74-70 66%    
  Jan 16, 2025 134   @ UNC Wilmington L 69-74 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 117   @ College of Charleston L 72-78 27%    
  Jan 23, 2025 154   Drexel W 68-66 59%    
  Jan 27, 2025 209   Towson W 66-61 67%    
  Jan 30, 2025 248   @ Hampton W 69-68 55%    
  Feb 01, 2025 181   @ Elon L 69-72 41%    
  Feb 06, 2025 149   @ Hofstra L 64-68 37%    
  Feb 08, 2025 248   Hampton W 72-65 75%    
  Feb 13, 2025 296   Campbell W 73-63 81%    
  Feb 15, 2025 306   Stony Brook W 77-67 83%    
  Feb 20, 2025 117   College of Charleston L 74-75 49%    
  Feb 22, 2025 261   @ Monmouth W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 27, 2025 324   N.C. A&T W 83-71 85%    
  Mar 01, 2025 221   @ William & Mary L 79-80 49%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.7 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 10.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.2 4.7 2.5 0.5 0.0 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.3 2.5 0.3 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.0 5.8 3.2 0.4 0.0 11.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 5.0 4.1 0.6 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.5 5.0 1.2 0.0 10.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.9 1.9 0.1 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.7 2.7 0.3 7.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.1 3.1 0.6 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.7 0.9 0.0 4.7 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.0 6.8 9.8 12.7 14.6 14.8 12.9 9.7 6.5 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
16-2 96.8% 1.2    1.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 85.3% 2.8    2.0 0.7 0.1
14-4 57.1% 3.7    1.7 1.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 22.2% 2.2    0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0
12-6 4.0% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.8% 10.8 5.7 3.3 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.3% 32.5% 32.5% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2
16-2 1.3% 30.0% 30.0% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.9
15-3 3.3% 25.0% 25.0% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.5
14-4 6.5% 20.4% 20.4% 13.4 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 5.1
13-5 9.7% 17.0% 17.0% 13.8 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.1
12-6 12.9% 13.9% 13.9% 14.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 11.1
11-7 14.8% 9.2% 9.2% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.0 13.5
10-8 14.6% 5.4% 5.4% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.0 13.8
9-9 12.7% 3.8% 3.8% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 12.2
8-10 9.8% 2.7% 2.7% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 9.6
7-11 6.8% 2.2% 2.2% 15.5 0.1 0.1 6.6
6-12 4.0% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 4.0
5-13 2.0% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 2.0
4-14 0.9% 0.9
3-15 0.3% 0.3
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 9.2% 9.2% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.6 2.4 3.8 2.2 0.3 90.8 0.0%