Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.6#93
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#81
Pace75.3#52
Improvement+1.5#50

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#60
First Shot+6.2#37
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#253
Layup/Dunks+11.5#3
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.3#339
Freethrows-2.7#311
Improvement+1.1#52

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#143
First Shot-4.1#296
After Offensive Rebounds+4.9#8
Layups/Dunks-0.4#178
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#258
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#290
Freethrows+0.5#150
Improvement+0.4#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 1.5% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 2.1% 4.7% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 22.9% 9.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.8% 22.1% 8.5%
Average Seed 8.6 8.3 8.8
.500 or above 45.5% 65.9% 39.0%
.500 or above in Conference 29.6% 40.3% 26.2%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.4%
Last Place in Conference 12.3% 7.2% 14.0%
First Four2.0% 3.1% 1.6%
First Round11.2% 21.1% 8.1%
Second Round5.1% 9.8% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen1.4% 2.8% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.9% 0.3%
Final Four0.1% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas (Neutral) - 24.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 9
Quad 24 - 56 - 14
Quad 34 - 210 - 16
Quad 45 - 015 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 337   Le Moyne W 86-82 95%     1 - 0 -9.9 -1.9 -8.4
  Nov 12, 2024 189   Colgate W 74-72 82%     2 - 0 -2.3 +1.2 -3.5
  Nov 16, 2024 192   Youngstown St. W 104-95 2OT 83%     3 - 0 +4.6 +6.7 -4.0
  Nov 21, 2024 29   Texas L 74-81 24%    
  Nov 27, 2024 170   Cornell W 89-80 80%    
  Dec 03, 2024 9   @ Tennessee L 70-85 8%    
  Dec 07, 2024 53   @ Notre Dame L 71-78 27%    
  Dec 10, 2024 246   Albany W 89-76 88%    
  Dec 14, 2024 116   Georgetown W 80-75 67%    
  Dec 21, 2024 30   Maryland L 72-79 26%    
  Dec 28, 2024 235   Bucknell W 81-69 86%    
  Dec 31, 2024 75   Wake Forest W 79-78 53%    
  Jan 04, 2025 81   @ Florida St. L 76-81 34%    
  Jan 07, 2025 105   Georgia Tech W 85-81 65%    
  Jan 11, 2025 138   @ Boston College W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 14, 2025 46   Louisville L 80-81 45%    
  Jan 18, 2025 53   Notre Dame L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 22, 2025 49   @ Clemson L 73-80 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 23   Pittsburgh L 75-80 33%    
  Jan 29, 2025 76   @ Stanford L 74-79 33%    
  Feb 01, 2025 102   @ California L 77-79 43%    
  Feb 05, 2025 5   Duke L 72-83 17%    
  Feb 08, 2025 138   Boston College W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 11, 2025 38   @ Miami (FL) L 76-85 22%    
  Feb 15, 2025 8   North Carolina L 80-89 22%    
  Feb 18, 2025 23   @ Pittsburgh L 72-83 17%    
  Feb 26, 2025 52   North Carolina St. L 78-79 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 118   @ Virginia Tech L 76-77 47%    
  Mar 04, 2025 66   @ SMU L 80-86 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 58   Virginia L 65-66 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.1 3rd
4th 0.1 0.8 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 1.7 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.7 1.8 0.4 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 2.6 0.7 0.0 4.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 2.9 0.5 0.0 5.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 3.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 6.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.9 11th
12th 0.2 2.1 4.1 1.2 0.0 7.6 12th
13th 0.1 1.0 4.0 2.5 0.2 0.0 7.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.2 3.8 0.6 0.0 8.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 1.4 0.1 8.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.8 2.3 0.3 8.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 1.8 3.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 8.1 17th
18th 0.2 0.9 2.0 2.3 1.3 0.4 0.0 7.2 18th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.4 4.5 6.9 9.4 11.1 12.0 11.8 11.0 9.3 7.3 5.3 3.4 2.1 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 92.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 87.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 59.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 36.2% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 99.0% 13.5% 85.4% 4.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.8%
16-4 0.6% 99.6% 10.2% 89.4% 5.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
15-5 1.2% 94.1% 8.2% 85.9% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.5%
14-6 2.1% 86.8% 4.4% 82.5% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 86.2%
13-7 3.4% 68.0% 3.7% 64.2% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 66.7%
12-8 5.3% 48.8% 1.9% 46.9% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.0 2.7 47.8%
11-9 7.3% 27.6% 0.9% 26.8% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.0 5.3 27.0%
10-10 9.3% 12.2% 0.5% 11.6% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.1 8.1 11.7%
9-11 11.0% 2.6% 0.2% 2.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 10.7 2.4%
8-12 11.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.8 0.3%
7-13 12.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0 0.0%
6-14 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 11.1
5-15 9.4% 9.4
4-16 6.9% 6.9
3-17 4.5% 4.5
2-18 2.4% 2.4
1-19 0.9% 0.9
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 12.4% 0.7% 11.7% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.8 2.2 2.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 87.6 11.8%