Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#75
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#25
Pace70.1#154
Improvement-2.0#343

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#65
First Shot+6.7#32
After Offensive Rebound-2.5#305
Layup/Dunks+3.8#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#249
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#128
Freethrows+2.7#56
Improvement+0.3#127

Defense
Total Defense+3.6#78
First Shot+6.4#26
After Offensive Rebounds-2.8#321
Layups/Dunks+6.1#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#96
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#262
Freethrows+1.1#123
Improvement-2.4#358
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 1.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 5.4% 5.5% 1.4%
NCAA Tourney Bid 31.2% 31.7% 12.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 30.2% 30.7% 12.1%
Average Seed 8.7 8.7 9.3
.500 or above 63.7% 64.5% 35.0%
.500 or above in Conference 42.4% 42.9% 25.7%
Conference Champion 0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 5.2% 11.4%
First Four6.8% 6.8% 4.1%
First Round27.2% 27.7% 10.3%
Second Round12.4% 12.6% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen3.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.1% 0.2%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Detroit Mercy (Home) - 97.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 9
Quad 24 - 48 - 13
Quad 34 - 111 - 15
Quad 46 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 363   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -7.3 -17.5 +9.8
  Nov 07, 2024 285   N.C. A&T W 80-64 93%     2 - 0 +6.7 -8.4 +13.0
  Nov 10, 2024 24   Michigan W 72-70 29%     3 - 0 +15.6 +6.9 +8.7
  Nov 13, 2024 313   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 95%     4 - 0 -6.5 +3.0 -9.7
  Nov 16, 2024 36   @ Xavier L 60-75 25%     4 - 1 -0.3 -3.0 +1.9
  Nov 19, 2024 258   Western Carolina W 82-69 92%     5 - 1 +5.0 +7.6 -2.5
  Nov 23, 2024 328   Detroit Mercy W 82-62 97%    
  Nov 28, 2024 19   Florida L 77-83 27%    
  Dec 03, 2024 26   @ Texas A&M L 67-76 21%    
  Dec 07, 2024 138   Boston College W 76-67 80%    
  Dec 17, 2024 126   James Madison W 79-71 77%    
  Dec 21, 2024 49   @ Clemson L 69-74 33%    
  Dec 31, 2024 93   @ Syracuse L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 04, 2025 52   North Carolina St. W 75-74 55%    
  Jan 11, 2025 38   @ Miami (FL) L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 15, 2025 76   Stanford W 74-71 60%    
  Jan 18, 2025 118   @ Virginia Tech W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 21, 2025 8   North Carolina L 77-84 27%    
  Jan 25, 2025 5   Duke L 69-78 22%    
  Jan 30, 2025 46   @ Louisville L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 23   Pittsburgh L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 05, 2025 76   @ Stanford L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 08, 2025 102   @ California W 74-73 50%    
  Feb 12, 2025 81   Florida St. W 76-72 62%    
  Feb 15, 2025 66   @ SMU L 76-80 37%    
  Feb 22, 2025 52   @ North Carolina St. L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 26, 2025 58   Virginia W 63-61 56%    
  Mar 01, 2025 53   Notre Dame W 71-70 55%    
  Mar 03, 2025 5   @ Duke L 66-81 10%    
  Mar 08, 2025 105   Georgia Tech W 81-75 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 2.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 5.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.6 0.6 0.0 6.0 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.5 1.3 0.1 6.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.8 3.7 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.5 3.8 0.8 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 4.4 1.8 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.5 3.5 0.4 0.0 7.8 11th
12th 0.1 1.8 4.4 1.3 0.0 7.7 12th
13th 0.1 0.8 3.7 2.5 0.2 7.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.2 0.7 0.0 6.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.4 1.6 0.2 0.0 5.4 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.4 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.8 6.3 8.6 10.7 12.5 12.8 11.8 10.1 8.0 5.7 3.5 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 68.0% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 34.4% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 9.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.9% 0.9 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 14.3% 85.7% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.4% 100.0% 12.7% 87.3% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 12.4% 87.6% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.0% 99.2% 8.6% 90.6% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.2%
14-6 3.5% 96.7% 7.3% 89.4% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.4%
13-7 5.7% 91.3% 3.8% 87.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.5 91.0%
12-8 8.0% 80.6% 2.5% 78.0% 9.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 80.1%
11-9 10.1% 61.0% 1.4% 59.6% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.8 1.9 0.2 3.9 60.5%
10-10 11.8% 38.3% 1.0% 37.3% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.1 0.3 7.3 37.7%
9-11 12.8% 13.5% 0.3% 13.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 11.1 13.3%
8-12 12.5% 2.8% 0.1% 2.7% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 12.2 2.7%
7-13 10.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 10.7 0.2%
6-14 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 8.6
5-15 6.3% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 6.3
4-16 3.8% 3.8
3-17 1.9% 1.9
2-18 0.7% 0.7
1-19 0.2% 0.2
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 31.2% 1.3% 29.8% 8.7 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.5 2.5 3.0 4.2 5.3 5.7 6.7 0.9 0.0 68.8 30.2%