Akron
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +7.5 79
Results Rating +6.9 84
Pace 75.6 25
Improvement -4.8 340

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 51 B A- B- D+ B-
Defense C+ 143 C C- B- C+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 159 B 63% 65 +2.5 89
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% 290 B- 41% 70 -1.4 258
Three Pointers 45% 89 B- 36% 92 +3.7 62
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.7 92 B +4.0 61
1st FG Attempt B 1.12 54
Second Chance B- 33.1% 97 A 1.26 7 A- 0.42 26
Turnovers B- 15.7% 108
Freethrows D 0.26 323 B 76% 42 D+ 0.20 271
Total Offense B +6.5 51

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 58 C+ 10.4% 143
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D 17% 304 C- 6.1% 256
Three Pointers D 79% 292 C- 1.1% 235
Total C+ 59% 109 C 5.5% 180

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 204 C 57% 165 -0.7 149
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 237 B- 35% 83 -1.3 93
Three Pointers 44% 98 D+ 36% 258 +2.5 299
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.2 209 C +0.3 194
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 196
Second Chance D+ 32.6% 273 C+ 0.99 123 C- 0.32 220
Turnovers B- 18.6% 75
Freethrows B- 0.28 99 C- 73% 231 C+ 0.20 110
Total Defense C+ +1.0 143

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 44% 90 D 7.7% 314
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 18% 45 C 5.1% 162
Three Pointers C- 85% 214 C+ 1.1% 118
Total C 55% 164 D+ 4.4% 282

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 35 17.5 223
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 51 0.16 130
Improvement -6.1 #361 +1.3 #110

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 93 76 59
Results Rating Rank 100 85 51
Conference Record 15 - 3 16 - 2 17 - 1
Conference Finish 2 2 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 11
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 2nd Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40% 40% 36%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.8 12.1
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 35% 38% 11%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round40% 40% 36%
Second Round6% 7% 5%
Sweet Sixteen1% 1% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Buffalo (Home) - 89.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 38 - 28 - 6
Quad 417 - 025 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 201 James Madison W 85 - 71 88% +0  49% 1 - 0 B +9 B- +4 F+ A+ B- B +5 C+ B+ A+
 Sat, Nov 8 254 Princeton W 104 - 69 92% +20  93% 2 - 0 A+ +27 A +14 A A A A +10 C A+ B-
 Sun, Nov 16 7 @Purdue L 79 - 97 7% -12  9% 2 - 1 B- +6 A- +10 C- A+ A C- -3 B- F A
 Fri, Nov 21 249 Iona W 96 - 75 87% +18  98% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +10 A- A B B +4 B F+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 295 Evansville W 97 - 59 92% +13  87% 4 - 1 A+ +30 A+ +19 A A+ C A +11 B+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 85 Yale L 94 - 97 53% -6  2% 4 - 2 C+ +4 A+ +23 A+ A+ D F -19 F D+ D-
 Sat, Nov 29 271 Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 105 - 81 93% +13  91% 5 - 2 A- +15 A +13 A+ B- D- C -1 B F B-
 Wed, Dec 3 330 Bucknell W 97 - 77 97% +11  80% 6 - 2 B- +6 A+ +18 A B+ A+ F -12 F C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 162 @Tulane W 88 - 71 68% +8  76% 7 - 2 A +20 A +13 A A+ D B+ +6 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 123 Murray St. L 100 - 115 68% -9  5% 7 - 3 D- -12 B+ +8 A- D A+ F -18 F D- A+
 Fri, Dec 19 248 Eastern Michigan W 93 - 72 92% +15  97% 8 - 3 1 - 0 B+ +13 A+ +15 B A+ A C- -2 A+ D- F+
 Sat, Jan 3 83 @Miami (OH) L 73 - 76 41% +1  58% 8 - 4 1 - 1 B- +7 C- -2 D- A+ F+ A +9 A+ F A+
 Tue, Jan 6 270 Central Michigan W 82 - 69 93% +10  95% 9 - 4 2 - 1 C+ +4 C +1 A+ A F B- +3 D+ A+ A+
 Fri, Jan 9 166 @Bowling Green W 77 - 67 68% +11  97% 10 - 4 3 - 1 B+ +13 C+ +3 C- A- D+ A +10 C B+ A-
 Tue, Jan 13 313 Ball St. W 87 - 77 96% +11  95% 11 - 4 4 - 1 C- -2 A- +10 B B+ A+ F -12 F D- D
 Sat, Jan 17 288 Western Michigan W 104 - 89 94% +2  56% 12 - 4 5 - 1 C+ +4 A+ +24 A+ A+ B- F -19 F F+ C+
 Tue, Jan 20 207 @Buffalo W 82 - 63 75% +17  97% 13 - 4 6 - 1 A +19 B- +4 B- C- C- A+ +16 A+ B B
 Fri, Jan 23 209 @Ohio W 86 - 65 75% +15  99% 14 - 4 7 - 1 A +21 B +6 B- D C A+ +14 A+ C F+
 Tue, Jan 27 161 Toledo W 91 - 81 84% +0  53% 15 - 4 8 - 1 B- +7 A +11 B- A+ C+ D+ -4 F C- A+
 Fri, Jan 30 144 Kent St. W 69 - 52 82% +11  94% 16 - 4 9 - 1 A- +15 D- -6 C+ D- D- A+ +22 A+ B B+
 Tue, Feb 3 248 @Eastern Michigan W 66 - 64 81% -0  52% 17 - 4 10 - 1 C +0 D- -8 F B D A- +8 D+ C- A
 Sat, Feb 7 152 @Troy L 69 - 79 66% -3  34% 17 - 5 D+ -7 C +1 C- D A+ F+ -9 D D+ F
 Fri, Feb 13 185 Massachusetts W 99 - 92 87% +5  84% 18 - 5 11 - 1 C+ +2 A- +10 C+ A- B+ F+ -8 F B+ B-
 Tue, Feb 17 288 @Western Michigan W 90 - 73 87% +13  95% 19 - 5 12 - 1 B+ +12 A +13 A D B+ C +0 D- A+ F+
 Fri, Feb 20 313 @Ball St. W 78 - 65 90% +7  86% 20 - 5 13 - 1 B- +7 B- +5 D+ D+ A- B- +2 F+ D A-
 Tue, Feb 24 207 Buffalo W 88 - 75 89%
 Sat, Feb 28 144 @Kent St. W 87 - 83 63%
 Tue, Mar 3 270 @Central Michigan W 86 - 75 84%
 Fri, Mar 6 323 Northern Illinois W 89 - 68 97%
Totals 23 - 6 16 - 2 +8 B +6 A+ B B- C+ +1 B- B D+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B- B- B 39% 28% 45% B- B B- A A- B- D B D+ C+ C B- D+ C 38% 19% 44% C- C D+ C+ C- B- B- C- C+
1.18 63% 41% 36% +4 +1 1.12 33% 1.3 .42 16% .26 76% .20 1.07 57% 35% 36% 0 0 1.03 33% 1.0 .32 19% .28 73% .19
Nov
3		 James Madison B- F A+ F F 51% 6% 43% A+ F+ A- A A+ B- A+ A A+ B B+ A+ F B- 42% 10% 48% F+ C+ D+ A+ B+ A+ B+ F D+
1.18 42% 67% 27% -11 +3 0.86 38% 1.3 .49 11% .45 79% .36 0.99 50% 0% 40% -3 +2 1.00 32% 0.8 .24 26% .25 92% .23
Nov
8		 Princeton A B+ F A+ A 40% 11% 49% B- A C+ A+ A A C A+ B- A A- C+ D C 36% 15% 49% D+ C C+ A+ A+ B- C- A+ B-
1.35 68% 29% 42% +9 +1 1.22 31% 1.5 .44 9% .30 81% .24 0.89 45% 38% 37% -3 +1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 19% .32 65% .21
Nov
16		 Purdue A- B F B C+ 15% 35% 51% F+ C- A A+ A+ A A- B A- C- F+ A- C- B 39% 24% 37% C- B- F D+ F A F D- F
1.09 63% 26% 36% -2 -3 0.91 32% 1.7 .53 14% .27 71% .19 1.34 75% 33% 37% +7 0 1.16 58% 1.3 .73 18% .39 78% .30
Nov
21		 Iona A- A+ C- A A 40% 25% 35% D+ A- C+ A+ A B A+ D+ A B D+ B A B 37% 22% 41% B- B D+ F F+ A F B+ D
1.24 74% 36% 40% +9 0 1.19 35% 1.4 .48 14% .38 68% .26 0.97 60% 33% 27% -4 0 0.93 28% 1.3 .35 22% .33 65% .22
Nov
23		 Evansville A+ A+ A C+ A- 42% 8% 50% A A A- A+ A+ C A+ C A+ A C- F+ A+ A- 30% 26% 44% C- B+ D- F F A+ F A F
1.39 76% 50% 36% +10 +2 1.26 40% 2.1 .84 17% .47 74% .35 0.84 62% 45% 21% -6 -1 0.88 27% 1.6 .42 26% .44 65% .29
Nov
24		 Yale A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 43% 17% 40% B A+ B+ A+ A+ D F D- F F F F F F 45% 22% 33% C F F+ B- D+ D- D+ F F
1.42 74% 56% 48% +18 +1 1.40 35% 1.9 .65 17% .16 67% .11 1.47 77% 64% 50% +22 0 1.47 39% 1.1 .44 12% .36 100% .36
Nov
29		 Wisconsin-Milwaukee A A+ A+ A+ A+ 52% 7% 41% A- A+ D+ A+ B- D- D A+ C- C B A+ C+ A- 38% 11% 51% F B F D+ F B- C+ A B
1.35 75% 75% 50% +21 +3 1.50 26% 1.5 .39 19% .29 83% .24 1.04 50% 0% 31% -9 +1 0.86 38% 1.2 .44 17% .26 59% .15
Dec
3		 Bucknell A+ A A A- A 40% 15% 45% B A D A+ B+ A+ B F C F D+ A F F 29% 14% 58% C F F A+ C+ F A+ B+ A+
1.41 73% 50% 40% +12 +1 1.27 29% 1.6 .45 7% .36 65% .24 1.12 59% 25% 38% +2 0 1.07 34% 0.7 .25 13% .12 71% .08
Dec
6		 Tulane A C A+ A+ A 32% 12% 56% B- A A- A A+ D D+ A- C B+ C+ F A+ A- 25% 19% 56% B+ A- C B+ C+ D- C+ B B
1.24 56% 50% 43% +8 +1 1.20 42% 1.2 .52 20% .30 76% .23 1.00 57% 55% 22% -7 -1 0.86 22% 1.0 .22 11% .35 73% .25
Dec
13		 Murray St. B+ C- A+ A+ A- 51% 25% 25% B- A- B- F D A+ B B B+ F D+ F F F 37% 17% 46% C F F B+ D- A+ D- A C-
1.21 55% 56% 44% +6 0 1.15 36% 0.7 .26 10% .34 76% .26 1.40 64% 60% 56% +21 0 1.44 44% 1.0 .44 22% .39 68% .26
Dec
19		 Eastern Michigan A+ A- A+ F C+ 65% 12% 23% A+ B A+ A+ A+ A F A+ D C- A+ A- B+ A+ 55% 13% 32% F A+ F C D- F+ F A F
1.31 67% 57% 14% +1 +3 1.10 41% 1.3 .53 11% .22 86% .19 1.01 38% 29% 29% -14 +2 0.77 35% 1.0 .35 14% .43 65% .28
Jan
3		 Miami (OH) C- B D- F F+ 32% 11% 57% B D- B- A+ A+ F+ F A+ D- A B- A+ A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C A+ F F F A+ F F+ F
1.02 65% 33% 27% -5 +1 0.94 32% 1.3 .43 21% .18 90% .16 1.06 58% 20% 26% -10 0 0.83 31% 1.5 .47 21% .53 83% .44
Jan
6		 Central Michigan C A+ A+ B A+ 44% 8% 48% B+ A+ B+ B A F F D F B- D+ A+ C+ C 48% 16% 36% F D+ A+ B A+ A+ F F F
1.15 73% 75% 38% +12 +2 1.30 42% 1.3 .54 27% .17 67% .12 0.97 62% 29% 31% -1 +1 1.02 18% 1.0 .18 24% .50 81% .41
Jan
9		 Bowling Green C+ B+ F C- C- 31% 13% 56% C C- B A A- D+ C- A- C+ A C+ D C- C- 43% 24% 33% A- C C- A+ B+ A- A- A A
1.07 65% 14% 32% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.3 .41 19% .31 78% .24 0.93 55% 42% 35% 0 0 1.02 28% 0.5 .15 21% .25 64% .16
Jan
13		 Ball St. A- C+ A+ C+ B- 38% 7% 55% A- B D- A+ B+ A+ C- A C+ F D F B- F 40% 14% 46% D F B- F D- D D F F+
1.26 62% 75% 35% +5 +2 1.16 27% 1.6 .42 12% .26 88% .23 1.12 60% 71% 30% +3 +1 1.10 23% 1.3 .29 15% .32 79% .26
Jan
17		 Western Michigan A+ B C A+ A+ 33% 15% 53% C- A+ A A+ A+ B- F A+ F F D- F F F 35% 21% 44% C F F D F+ C+ B- A B
1.53 67% 38% 55% +19 0 1.42 41% 1.5 .62 12% .15 89% .13 1.31 61% 64% 48% +16 0 1.33 37% 1.1 .40 18% .25 64% .16
Jan
20		 Buffalo B- C D- A+ B 29% 12% 59% C B- D C+ C- C- A- C- B+ A+ C+ C- A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% B A+ F+ A+ B B A+ B+ A+
1.17 60% 33% 43% +8 +1 1.20 29% 1.0 .29 19% .33 74% .25 0.90 56% 40% 25% -7 0 0.87 32% 0.7 .23 19% .23 69% .16
Jan
23		 Ohio B C+ A+ D B 41% 30% 30% D- B- C+ F D C A+ B A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 34% 29% A- A+ B+ F C F+ F F F
1.17 59% 56% 31% +5 -1 1.09 35% 0.8 .29 16% .42 77% .32 0.88 33% 32% 25% -15 -2 0.68 23% 1.2 .28 12% .42 78% .33
Jan
27		 Toledo A C+ C+ B C+ 52% 9% 39% A- B- A+ A- A+ C+ C A- C+ D+ C- A+ F D- 52% 10% 38% F F B- F+ C- A+ B C- B
1.30 61% 40% 38% +4 +2 1.15 49% 1.2 .57 17% .24 79% .19 1.16 59% 0% 55% +9 +2 1.25 26% 1.1 .30 21% .24 77% .18
Jan
30		 Kent St. D- D+ A+ D+ B- 29% 17% 54% D+ C+ D F+ D- D- F D- F A+ A- A A+ A+ 42% 22% 36% C+ A+ F A+ B B+ C- A+ B+
1.01 53% 67% 32% +2 0 1.06 26% 0.8 .21 19% .22 67% .14 0.76 48% 27% 0% -25 0 0.52 45% 0.7 .30 22% .39 62% .24
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
3		 Eastern Michigan D- F C F+ F 31% 9% 59% B- F D+ A+ B D F B F+ A- F A+ F D 32% 32% 36% B+ D+ F A- C- A D A+ C
0.95 41% 40% 28% -10 +1 0.83 26% 1.4 .36 19% .23 77% .18 0.92 73% 20% 41% +3 -2 1.04 34% 0.8 .29 23% .30 63% .19
Feb
7		 Troy C A+ F F C- 35% 17% 48% C+ C- F+ B- D A+ D- C- D F+ A+ A+ F D- 38% 16% 46% B D A F D+ F C F D-
1.08 72% 33% 28% 0 0 1.02 24% 1.1 .26 11% .23 69% .16 1.23 37% 25% 52% +2 +1 1.08 26% 1.3 .35 11% .30 88% .26
Feb
13		 Massachusetts A- A+ C+ C B- 26% 22% 52% D- C+ C A+ A- B+ A+ A+ A+ F+ D+ F F F 46% 20% 34% D F A+ F B+ B- B+ C+ B+
1.27 75% 40% 33% +4 -1 1.09 27% 1.4 .39 14% .64 88% .57 1.18 62% 73% 42% +13 +1 1.29 17% 1.8 .30 20% .27 65% .18
Feb
17		 Western Michigan A B F A+ A- 49% 9% 42% B+ A A- F D B+ D- B D+ C F A+ F F 20% 35% 45% A+ D- A+ A A+ F+ B+ D B
1.33 67% 0% 48% +9 +2 1.25 38% 0.8 .29 10% .26 75% .20 1.08 82% 21% 44% +6 -3 1.07 17% 0.8 .14 13% .22 77% .17
Feb
20		 Ball St. B- B C F D 46% 14% 40% B+ D+ C F+ D+ A- C- D- D+ B- A+ A+ F F 40% 13% 48% D- F+ C- D- D A- A+ B A+
1.16 65% 38% 26% -2 +1 1.02 34% 0.8 .29 15% .26 73% .19 0.97 37% 17% 48% -1 +1 1.02 27% 1.0 .27 21% .17 67% .11



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 7.5 27.0 34.8 1st
2nd 0.5 10.4 33.9 19.9 64.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.6 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.0 1.0 10.7 41.4 46.9 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 57.5% 27.0    8.6 18.4
16-2 18.1% 7.5    1.2 6.3
15-3 2.9% 0.3    0.0 0.2 0.1
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 34.8% 34.8 9.9 24.8 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 46.9% 42.8% 42.8% 0.0% 11.6 0.1 8.4 11.2 0.5 0.0 26.8 0.1%
16-2 41.4% 38.2% 38.2% 0.0% 12.0 2.4 11.0 2.4 0.0 25.6 0.0%
15-3 10.7% 31.9% 31.9% 12.3 0.2 2.2 1.0 0.0 7.3
14-4 1.0% 34.2% 34.2% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7
13-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 39.7% 39.6% 0.0% 11.8 60.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 20.1% 100.0% 11.6 0.4 41.7 55.6 2.4 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.2% 0.1% 11.4 0.1 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.4% 0.0% 11.0 0.0