IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Alcorn St.
Southwestern Athletic
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-11.1	#337
Expected Predictive Rating	-10.2	#324

Pace	65.7	#260
Improvement	+4.6	#11

Offense
Total Offense	-4.7	#305

First Shot	-5.1	#320
After Offensive Rebound	+0.4	#160

Layup/Dunks	-4.8	#335
2 Pt Jumpshots	+2.6	#50
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.8	#236
Freethrows	-1.0	#243

Improvement	+2.9	#25

Defense
Total Defense	-6.4	#348

First Shot	-5.0	#336
After Offensive Rebounds	-1.4	#294

Layups/Dunks	+1.3	#119
2 Pt Jumpshots	+3.1	#10
3 Pt Jumpshots	-9.5	#362
Freethrows	+0.2	#172

Improvement	+1.7	#60

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	3.7%	5.0%	2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	16.0	16.0	16.0

.500 or above	1.5%	2.5%	0.4%
.500 or above in Conference	59.6%	72.1%	46.7%
Conference Champion	4.0%	6.5%	1.5%
Last Place in Conference	1.6%	0.6%	2.6%

First Four	3.6%	4.8%	2.4%
First Round	1.7%	2.2%	1.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Jackson St. (Home) - 50.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 8
Quad 3	0 - 5	0 - 12
Quad 4	9 - 9	10 - 22

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	65	@ Utah	L	59-100	3%	0 - 1			-29.9	-5.0	-27.3
Nov 06, 2024	47	@ Utah St.	L	46-101	2%	0 - 2			-41.2	-20.2	-21.1
Nov 11, 2024	202	@ Tulane	L	51-84	13%	0 - 3			-31.9	-16.8	-18.0
Nov 19, 2024	66	@ TCU	L	48-71	3%	0 - 4			-12.0	-12.3	-1.3
Nov 22, 2024	95	@ Washington	L	60-77	5%	0 - 5			-8.6	-2.2	-7.9
Nov 24, 2024	177	@ UC Riverside	L	52-69	11%	0 - 6			-14.9	-17.2	+1.6
Nov 29, 2024	156	@ South Alabama	L	65-74 OT	10%	0 - 7			-5.9	-0.9	-5.7
Dec 01, 2024	13	@ Maryland	L	58-96	1%	0 - 8			-19.0	-6.5	-11.1
Dec 04, 2024	101	@ Wichita St.	L	54-78	5%	0 - 9			-16.3	-14.5	-1.8
Dec 07, 2024	35	@ Oklahoma	L	78-94	2%	0 - 10			-0.7	+8.8	-9.0
Dec 16, 2024	186	@ Rice	L	75-77	12%	0 - 11			-0.3	+2.7	-3.0
Dec 22, 2024	127	@ UAB	L	74-91	7%	0 - 12			-11.9	+6.0	-19.2
Jan 04, 2025	309	Jackson St.	W	69-68	51%
Jan 11, 2025	360	Alabama A&M	W	77-71	72%
Jan 13, 2025	291	Alabama St.	L	73-74	46%
Jan 18, 2025	299	@ Texas Southern	L	68-75	27%
Jan 20, 2025	340	@ Prairie View	L	77-80	40%
Jan 25, 2025	357	Florida A&M	W	73-67	70%
Jan 27, 2025	263	Bethune-Cookman	L	69-72	40%
Feb 01, 2025	240	@ Southern	L	65-75	19%
Feb 03, 2025	310	@ Grambling St.	L	66-72	30%
Feb 08, 2025	363	Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	84-75	80%
Feb 10, 2025	364	Mississippi Valley	W	73-59	91%
Feb 15, 2025	263	@ Bethune-Cookman	L	66-75	22%
Feb 17, 2025	357	@ Florida A&M	L	69-70	48%
Feb 22, 2025	309	@ Jackson St.	L	66-72	30%
Mar 01, 2025	340	Prairie View	W	80-77	62%
Mar 03, 2025	299	Texas Southern	L	71-72	48%
Mar 06, 2025	364	@ Mississippi Valley	W	70-62	78%
Mar 08, 2025	363	@ Arkansas Pine Bluff	W	81-78	62%
Projected Record						9 - 21	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	1.0	1.4	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0		4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.4	2.1	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0				6.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	2.7	3.9	1.3	0.1	0.0					8.4	3rd
4th									0.0	0.2	2.6	5.2	1.9	0.1	0.0						10.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.1	2.1	6.1	3.1	0.3	0.0							11.7	5th
6th								0.1	1.9	6.2	4.6	0.5	0.0								13.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.5	5.6	5.5	1.0	0.0									13.5	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.2	4.7	5.3	1.3	0.0										12.5	8th
9th					0.1	0.9	3.4	3.9	1.3	0.1											9.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.1	0.7	2.2	2.5	0.9	0.1	0.0											6.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0												3.3	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0														0.6	12th

Total		0.0	0.2	0.7	2.2	4.4	7.6	11.1	14.2	15.3	14.6	11.9	8.5	5.0	2.7	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0			Total

Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
16-2	96.4%	0.3		0.3	0.0
15-3	83.7%	0.9		0.6	0.3	0.0
14-4	53.2%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0
13-5	20.8%	1.0		0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0
12-6	2.9%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0					0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		1.8	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%																							0.0
17-1	0.1%		29.3%	29.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	0.1
16-2	0.3%		21.6%	21.6%		15.9																0.0	0.1	0.3
15-3	1.1%		12.9%	12.9%		16.0																0.0	0.1	0.9
14-4	2.7%		13.3%	13.3%		16.0																	0.4	2.3
13-5	5.0%		11.6%	11.6%		16.0																	0.6	4.4
12-6	8.5%		7.9%	7.9%		16.0																	0.7	7.8
11-7	11.9%		5.5%	5.5%		16.0																	0.7	11.2
10-8	14.6%		4.2%	4.2%		16.0																	0.6	14.0
9-9	15.3%		2.7%	2.7%		16.0																	0.4	14.9
8-10	14.2%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.2	14.0
7-11	11.1%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	11.1
6-12	7.6%																							7.6
5-13	4.4%																							4.4
4-14	2.2%																							2.2
3-15	0.7%																							0.7
2-16	0.2%																							0.2
1-17	0.0%																							0.0
0-18

Total	100%		3.7%	3.7%	0.0%	16.0																0.0	3.7	96.3		0.0%