Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.9 #129
Expected Predictive Rating -1.9 #198
Pace 76.3 #35
Improvement +0.5 #150

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #107 B C+ D C+ A-
Defense #197 C C+ C- F C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #109 1.29 #59 +4.3 #51
2 Pt. Jumpers 10% #343 0.71 #226 -4.0 #345
Three Pointers 49% #43 1.02 #179 +3.9 #59
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #71 +4.2 #70
Freethrows 18.7 #111 72% #213 13.4 #127
Second Chance 31.1% #176 1.11 #103 0.35 #126
Turnovers 18.5% #289
Total Offense +2.6 #107

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #120 1.19 #222 -1.9 #246
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #103 0.75 #171 -0.9 #246
Three Pointers 37% #294 1.01 #185 +2.2 #102
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #193 -0.6 #193
Freethrows 22.1 #344 74% #248 16.3 #18
Second Chance 27.8% #84 1.08 #229 0.30 #134
Turnovers 16.1% #213
Total Defense -0.7 #197

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.0% #24 -0.2% #149
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.1% #108 1.4% #208
Possession Length 15.4 #36 17.3 #202
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.25 #29 0.21 #310
Improvement +3.0 #29 -2.4 #322

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 13.0
.500 or above 36.1% 51.7% 25.9%
.500 or above in Conference 34.2% 49.8% 24.1%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 1.9% 6.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Home) - 39.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 22 - 52 - 9
Quad 34 - 56 - 15
Quad 48 - 214 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 354 Niagara W 83 - 63 95%  +17  1 - 0 +4 +1 A D+ F +2 B B A+
 Fri, Nov 7 285 Sacred Heart W 92 - 80 86%  +7  2 - 0 +2 +7 F B+ A+ -5 B- B- F
 Tue, Nov 11 207 Queens W 87 - 81 OT 76%  +9  3 - 0 +0 -10 D F F +9 A A+ B
 Sat, Nov 15 31 @Villanova L 77 - 87 8%  -6  3 - 1 +7 +13 A+ D F -5 A+ F A-
 Wed, Nov 19 336 Loyola Maryland W 92 - 78 92%  +12  4 - 1 -0 +4 C+ A F -5 D- B F
 Sat, Nov 22 233 Northeastern L 86 - 93 71%  -3  4 - 2 -11 -6 B F F -4 F A A+
 Tue, Dec 2 127 William & Mary L 79 - 83 61%  -8  4 - 3 -5 -1 D A+ F -4 F A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 276 Stony Brook W 84 - 75 86%  +8  5 - 3 -1 +9 A+ F C -10 C D- F
 Wed, Dec 10 63 @Boise St. L 64 - 86 17%  -12  5 - 4 -10 -1 D- B+ C -9 D+ D- F
 Sat, Dec 13 90 @Nevada L 75 - 78 24%  -5  5 - 5 +6 +9 C B+ D+ -3 B- D C-
 Mon, Dec 22 331 Canisius W 103 - 59 92%  +22  6 - 5 +30 +21 A+ C+ C- +8 C- B A+
 Tue, Dec 30 125 @Davidson W 89 - 83 2OT 38%  -3  7 - 5 1 - 0 +11 +11 C A- B+ -0 A+ A F
 Sat, Jan 3 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 80 - 93 28%  -7  7 - 6 1 - 1 -5 +9 A+ F C -14 C F B-
 Wed, Jan 7 185 @Saint Joseph's L 90 - 97 OT 53%  +0  7 - 7 1 - 2 -6 +8 B+ C+ F -12 F B- D-
 Tue, Jan 13 75 Dayton L 76 - 79 39% 
 Sat, Jan 17 203 @Fordham W 74 - 73 55% 
 Tue, Jan 20 29 Saint Louis L 80 - 89 18% 
 Sat, Jan 24 251 @Loyola Chicago W 80 - 76 64% 
 Wed, Jan 28 119 St. Bonaventure W 80 - 78 58% 
 Sun, Feb 1 141 Rhode Island W 78 - 74 64% 
 Wed, Feb 4 92 @George Mason L 73 - 80 25% 
 Sat, Feb 7 70 George Washington L 84 - 87 38% 
 Sat, Feb 14 119 @St. Bonaventure L 77 - 81 36% 
 Wed, Feb 18 217 La Salle W 80 - 72 77% 
 Sat, Feb 21 75 @Dayton L 73 - 82 21% 
 Wed, Feb 25 125 Davidson W 77 - 74 61% 
 Sat, Feb 28 29 @Saint Louis L 77 - 92 7% 
 Wed, Mar 4 141 @Rhode Island L 75 - 77 42% 
 Sat, Mar 7 115 Richmond W 82 - 81 54% 
Totals 14 - 15 8 - 10 +2 +3 B C+ D -1 C C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.2 1.1 0.1 4.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 3.1 2.4 0.3 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 4.2 4.2 0.8 0.0 9.8 6th
7th 0.5 4.4 6.3 1.7 0.0 12.9 7th
8th 0.2 3.8 7.6 3.0 0.2 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 7.3 3.8 0.4 14.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 5.9 4.8 0.6 12.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 10.1 11th
12th 0.2 1.9 3.3 1.0 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.1 0.9 0.0 4.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.5 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.1 0.5 2.0 5.1 9.5 14.2 17.4 17.0 14.7 9.9 5.9 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 77.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 17.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.3% 3.8% 3.8% 11.0 0.0 0.3
13-5 0.9% 6.7% 6.7% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 2.6% 5.7% 5.7% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.4
11-7 5.9% 3.1% 3.1% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.8
10-8 9.9% 1.4% 1.4% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.7
9-9 14.7% 1.0% 1.0% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.5
8-10 17.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.9
7-11 17.4% 0.3% 0.3% 14.8 0.0 0.1 17.3
6-12 14.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.2
5-13 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 9.5
4-14 5.1% 5.1
3-15 2.0% 2.0
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 12.6 99.1 0.0%