Elon
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.6#206
Expected Predictive Rating-2.6#203
Pace63.5#301
Improvement-6.0#350

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#170
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#18
Layup/Dunks-3.0#288
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#284
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#163
Freethrows+0.9#120
Improvement-1.5#260

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#260
First Shot+0.9#151
After Offensive Rebounds-3.6#356
Layups/Dunks+2.7#80
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#218
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#313
Freethrows+1.9#59
Improvement-4.5#345
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 22 - 02 - 1
Quad 34 - 86 - 9
Quad 49 - 615 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 34   @ North Carolina L 76-90 5%     0 - 1 +2.4 +4.7 -1.4
  Nov 15, 2024 272   @ Gardner-Webb L 79-80 53%     0 - 2 -4.5 +9.0 -13.5
  Nov 20, 2024 347   @ Northern Illinois W 75-48 75%     1 - 2 +17.3 +2.4 +15.9
  Nov 22, 2024 95   @ Notre Dame W 84-77 16%     2 - 2 +15.0 +22.4 -6.8
  Nov 29, 2024 209   Maine L 56-69 51%     2 - 3 -15.7 -10.6 -6.2
  Nov 30, 2024 271   Navy W 69-63 64%     3 - 3 -0.2 -4.7 +4.7
  Dec 01, 2024 281   @ Penn W 68-53 56%     4 - 3 +11.0 +2.2 +11.3
  Dec 07, 2024 129   Wofford W 79-56 43%     5 - 3 +22.2 +7.8 +15.9
  Dec 18, 2024 154   @ East Tennessee St. L 58-84 29%     5 - 4 -22.9 -8.2 -16.6
  Dec 21, 2024 158   UNC Greensboro W 73-69 50%     6 - 4 +1.5 +7.3 -5.4
  Dec 28, 2024 169   Marshall W 73-59 53%     7 - 4 +10.7 -0.1 +11.1
  Jan 02, 2025 329   @ N.C. A&T W 75-67 69%     8 - 4 1 - 0 +0.2 +8.2 -7.1
  Jan 04, 2025 213   Hampton W 70-62 62%     9 - 4 2 - 0 +2.3 -0.2 +3.1
  Jan 09, 2025 234   @ William & Mary L 65-78 45%     9 - 5 2 - 1 -14.2 -1.3 -14.6
  Jan 13, 2025 220   Campbell W 81-68 63%     10 - 5 3 - 1 +7.0 +14.0 -5.9
  Jan 16, 2025 181   @ Drexel W 65-54 35%     11 - 5 4 - 1 +12.4 +8.1 +6.7
  Jan 18, 2025 228   @ Delaware L 77-79 43%     11 - 6 4 - 2 -2.8 -1.7 -1.1
  Jan 23, 2025 249   Monmouth W 83-71 68%     12 - 6 5 - 2 +4.5 +2.3 +1.7
  Jan 25, 2025 147   College of Charleston L 62-76 48%     12 - 7 5 - 3 -15.9 -4.1 -13.4
  Jan 30, 2025 217   Hofstra L 63-74 62%     12 - 8 5 - 4 -16.8 -4.3 -13.2
  Feb 01, 2025 210   Northeastern W 71-60 61%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +5.5 +4.8 +2.0
  Feb 06, 2025 220   @ Campbell L 58-76 42%     13 - 9 6 - 5 -18.5 -8.9 -10.9
  Feb 08, 2025 147   @ College of Charleston L 83-88 OT 28%     13 - 10 6 - 6 -1.4 +2.4 -3.2
  Feb 13, 2025 329   N.C. A&T L 59-60 84%     13 - 11 6 - 7 -14.3 -12.9 -1.5
  Feb 15, 2025 112   @ UNC Wilmington W 81-70 20%     14 - 11 7 - 7 +17.2 +24.0 -4.8
  Feb 20, 2025 150   Towson W 69-63 49%     15 - 11 8 - 7 +3.8 -3.6 +7.5
  Feb 22, 2025 234   William & Mary L 70-79 66%     15 - 12 8 - 8 -15.7 -5.3 -10.7
  Feb 27, 2025 249   @ Monmouth L 76-79 48%     15 - 13 8 - 9 -5.0 +6.9 -12.1
  Mar 01, 2025 324   @ Stony Brook L 66-71 67%     15 - 14 8 - 10 -12.0 -5.8 -6.7
  Mar 08, 2025 181   Drexel L 74-91 45%     15 - 15 -18.3 +13.2 -34.1
Projected Record 15 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%