George Mason
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.0 #92
Expected Predictive Rating +13.4 #38
Pace 63.2 #330
Improvement -3.7 #345

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #88 C+ C- B A+ C
Defense #101 C+ A C- B B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #140 1.29 #62 +3.3 #81
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #160 0.71 #232 -0.1 #181
Three Pointers 39% #219 1.02 #184 -1.0 #219
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #120 +2.2 #120
Freethrows 23.1 #7 72% #187 16.7 #12
Second Chance 31.2% #171 0.95 #286 0.30 #236
Turnovers 15.0% #83
Total Offense +3.5 #88

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #318 1.17 #184 +3.1 #79
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #63 0.63 #34 -0.2 #194
Three Pointers 42% #150 1.04 #215 -1.1 #221
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #118 +1.8 #120
Freethrows 13.8 #33 76% #309 10.4 #313
Second Chance 26.9% #65 0.85 #16 0.23 #19
Turnovers 16.0% #215
Total Defense +2.5 #101

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.0% #195 -1.9% #43
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.3% #118 -1.8% #146
Possession Length 18.3 #277 17.6 #244
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #225 0.14 #64
Improvement -1.2 #264 -2.5 #325

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.3% 9.8% 5.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 2.7% 0.8%
Average Seed 11.1 11.0 11.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 90.7% 96.3% 86.3%
Conference Champion 6.8% 11.4% 3.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four1.3% 2.1% 0.7%
First Round6.6% 8.6% 5.0%
Second Round1.4% 1.8% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Home) - 43.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 23 - 33 - 6
Quad 39 - 212 - 8
Quad 411 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 223 Wofford W 70 - 46 87%  +9  1 - 0 +18 -2 D+ C F +22 A+ A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 152 Winthrop W 96 - 90 80%  +0  2 - 0 +3 +11 A+ F D -8 D A+ F
 Sat, Nov 15 344 New Hampshire W 61 - 44 96%  +7  3 - 0 +2 -13 F C F +16 A+ C- A+
 Tue, Nov 18 328 Jacksonville W 79 - 57 95%  +12  4 - 0 +9 +7 A+ F F +4 C+ B A+
 Mon, Nov 24 170 Ohio W 92 - 69 75%  +20  5 - 0 +22 +22 A+ A- A+ +1 B- F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 106 Florida Atlantic W 74 - 65 56%  +11  6 - 0 +13 +17 A+ C A+ -1 C+ A+ D+
 Sat, Nov 29 204 James Madison W 82 - 66 86%  +1  7 - 0 +11 +9 A+ F D- +3 A- C+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 168 Cornell W 99 - 81 82%  +5  8 - 0 +14 +15 A+ F D+ -1 D A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 68 @Virginia Tech L 62 - 73 29%  -10  8 - 1 +1 +0 C- B+ F -0 D+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 250 Old Dominion W 73 - 61 90%  +10  9 - 1 +4 -5 D- F C- +9 B+ D+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 336 Loyola Maryland W 86 - 79 96%  -1  10 - 1 -7 +8 F C A+ -15 C- F F
 Sun, Dec 28 216 Penn W 83 - 79 87%  +3  11 - 1 -2 +7 C+ A A+ -9 F A+ F
 Wed, Dec 31 217 @La Salle W 80 - 75 72%  -5  12 - 1 1 - 0 +5 +16 F A+ A+ -11 C- B+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 141 Rhode Island W 61 - 50 78%  +4  13 - 1 2 - 0 +9 -4 C+ F A+ +14 A- A+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 203 @Fordham W 67 - 58 70%  +1  14 - 1 3 - 0 +10 +4 D+ D+ C +7 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 72 - 74 44% 
 Tue, Jan 13 251 @Loyola Chicago W 74 - 66 78% 
 Mon, Jan 19 70 George Washington W 77 - 76 53% 
 Sat, Jan 24 141 @Rhode Island W 69 - 67 57% 
 Wed, Jan 28 125 Davidson W 71 - 64 74% 
 Sat, Jan 31 119 @St. Bonaventure W 72 - 71 51% 
 Wed, Feb 4 129 Duquesne W 80 - 73 75% 
 Sat, Feb 7 185 Saint Joseph's W 75 - 64 84% 
 Tue, Feb 10 115 @Richmond L 73 - 74 48% 
 Fri, Feb 13 70 @George Washington L 74 - 79 31% 
 Wed, Feb 18 75 Dayton W 70 - 69 55% 
 Wed, Feb 25 185 @Saint Joseph's W 72 - 67 67% 
 Sat, Feb 28 119 St. Bonaventure W 74 - 68 72% 
 Tue, Mar 3 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 69 - 77 24% 
 Sat, Mar 7 29 Saint Louis L 73 - 78 31% 
Totals 22 - 8 11 - 7 +6 +4 C+ C- B +3 C+ A C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.8 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.0 6.8 1st
2nd 0.1 1.3 5.1 6.2 2.9 0.5 0.0 16.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 6.8 6.9 1.8 0.1 17.2 3rd
4th 0.0 1.5 6.7 7.4 1.8 0.0 17.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 5.4 7.3 1.8 0.1 15.4 5th
6th 0.3 3.3 5.7 1.8 0.1 11.1 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 3.9 1.6 0.1 7.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.3 0.1 0.0 4.3 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 1.0 0.1 2.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.2 1.3 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.4 5.6 9.4 14.3 17.5 17.2 14.3 9.8 5.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 99.0% 0.5    0.4 0.1
16-2 76.4% 1.6    1.1 0.5 0.0
15-3 46.8% 2.6    1.0 1.3 0.3 0.0
14-4 18.0% 1.8    0.3 0.8 0.6 0.1
13-5 2.6% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.8% 6.8 2.9 2.7 1.0 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.5% 57.3% 21.9% 35.4% 10.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 45.3%
16-2 2.1% 35.3% 17.3% 18.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.3 21.8%
15-3 5.5% 19.3% 11.7% 7.6% 10.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.1 4.5 8.6%
14-4 9.8% 13.2% 10.2% 3.0% 11.1 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.2 8.5 3.4%
13-5 14.3% 10.5% 9.6% 0.9% 11.2 0.0 1.2 0.3 12.8 1.0%
12-6 17.2% 7.0% 6.6% 0.4% 11.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 16.0 0.5%
11-7 17.5% 4.1% 3.9% 0.1% 11.6 0.3 0.4 0.0 16.8 0.1%
10-8 14.3% 2.3% 2.3% 0.1% 11.8 0.1 0.2 0.0 14.0 0.1%
9-9 9.4% 1.1% 1.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.3
8-10 5.6% 0.9% 0.9% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5
7-11 2.4% 0.6% 0.6% 12.7 0.0 0.0 2.4
6-12 1.1% 0.5% 0.5% 14.0 0.0 1.1
5-13 0.3% 0.3
4-14 0.1% 0.1
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 7.3% 5.8% 1.5% 11.1 92.7 1.6%