George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.3 #70
Expected Predictive Rating +5.1 #99
Pace 72.7 #86
Improvement -2.3 #298

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #36 A A- C B A+
Defense #140 C+ C C B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% #79 1.26 #73 +4.7 #46
2 Pt. Jumpers 8% #356 1.02 #6 -3.5 #337
Three Pointers 49% #35 1.10 #80 +6.2 #21
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #21 +7.4 #22
Freethrows 20.1 #57 71% #224 14.3 #82
Second Chance 35.9% #45 1.18 #47 0.42 #29
Turnovers 17.2% #216
Total Offense +7.8 #36

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #183 1.22 #267 -1.4 #234
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #192 0.65 #49 +1.2 #102
Three Pointers 41% #171 0.94 #98 +1.4 #131
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #142 +1.2 #141
Freethrows 14.9 #65 75% #266 11.1 #277
Second Chance 27.7% #82 1.20 #332 0.33 #211
Turnovers 17.0% #158
Total Defense +0.5 #140

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.8% #12 0.2% #180
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 10.3% #41 -2.5% #134
Possession Length 15.6 #43 17.8 #273
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #102 0.17 #154
Improvement -0.6 #227 -1.7 #289

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.0% 12.3% 6.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.9% 1.0% 0.4%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.4
.500 or above 99.4% 99.6% 97.5%
.500 or above in Conference 96.9% 97.4% 87.9%
Conference Champion 9.5% 10.0% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four0.7% 0.7% 0.3%
First Round11.6% 11.9% 6.8%
Second Round3.3% 3.4% 1.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 93.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 23 - 34 - 7
Quad 38 - 212 - 9
Quad 49 - 122 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 339 Maine W 67 - 47 97%  +7  1 - 0 +5 -5 D+ B+ F +11 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Nov 8 89 South Florida W 99 - 95 57%  +1  2 - 0 +11 +11 A+ B F -1 A+ F C-
 Wed, Nov 12 241 American W 107 - 67 92%  +20  3 - 0 +33 +23 A+ A+ C +7 B D- A
 Sat, Nov 15 250 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 93%  +11  4 - 0 +15 +15 B A- A+ -1 B- D A+
 Wed, Nov 19 267 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 94%  +24  5 - 0 +28 +9 A+ F D- +18 A+ A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 87 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 56%  -6  5 - 1 +1 +12 B- A+ F -11 C+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 123 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 72%  +10  6 - 1 +15 +18 A+ F A -3 C+ F A
 Tue, Nov 25 91 Murray St. L 95 - 96 58%  -1  6 - 2 +5 +20 A+ C+ A+ -14 D- F D+
 Tue, Dec 2 330 @Army W 84 - 70 92%  +5  7 - 2 +6 +10 D+ A+ F -3 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 6 127 William & Mary W 99 - 86 81%  +4  8 - 2 +12 +17 A+ A+ A+ -6 C D C-
 Wed, Dec 10 277 Delaware L 58 - 70 94%  -6  8 - 3 -22 -16 F F F -6 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 13 12 Florida L 70 - 80 17%  -8  8 - 4 +8 +5 B+ A- D+ +3 F A+ C+
 Wed, Dec 31 115 @Richmond W 99 - 85 56%  +10  9 - 4 1 - 0 +21 +34 A+ A+ B -13 F C- F
 Sat, Jan 3 217 La Salle W 77 - 55 90%  +6  10 - 4 2 - 0 +16 +7 B- A+ C +10 B+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 6 75 @Dayton L 72 - 79 40%  +1  10 - 5 2 - 1 +4 +7 A A+ F -3 A+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 251 Loyola Chicago W 86 - 70 94% 
 Wed, Jan 14 125 Davidson W 80 - 71 81% 
 Mon, Jan 19 92 @George Mason L 76 - 77 47% 
 Sat, Jan 24 115 Richmond W 86 - 78 76% 
 Tue, Jan 27 29 @Saint Louis L 80 - 89 19% 
 Sat, Jan 31 203 Fordham W 81 - 67 90% 
 Wed, Feb 4 185 @Saint Joseph's W 82 - 75 74% 
 Sat, Feb 7 129 @Duquesne W 87 - 84 62% 
 Tue, Feb 10 141 Rhode Island W 81 - 71 83% 
 Fri, Feb 13 92 George Mason W 79 - 74 69% 
 Tue, Feb 17 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 79 - 85 31% 
 Tue, Feb 24 217 @La Salle W 80 - 72 78% 
 Fri, Feb 27 75 Dayton W 79 - 75 64% 
 Wed, Mar 4 119 St. Bonaventure W 84 - 75 78% 
 Sat, Mar 7 251 @Loyola Chicago W 83 - 73 83% 
Totals 20 - 10 12 - 6 +8 +8 A A- C +1 C+ C C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.3 0.5 9.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.6 7.0 10.1 4.8 0.6 24.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.7 8.2 10.1 3.3 0.2 23.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 6.2 7.6 2.2 0.1 17.3 4th
5th 0.5 3.9 5.5 1.7 0.1 11.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 3.6 1.3 0.1 6.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 2.1 1.0 0.0 3.8 7th
8th 0.2 0.9 0.7 0.0 1.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.1 5.1 9.7 14.8 19.2 19.8 15.9 9.0 2.9 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.5    0.4 0.0
16-2 80.9% 2.3    1.6 0.7 0.0
15-3 43.8% 3.9    1.8 1.8 0.4 0.0
14-4 15.0% 2.4    0.5 1.1 0.7 0.1
13-5 1.9% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.5% 9.5 4.2 3.8 1.3 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.5% 62.2% 34.4% 27.8% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 42.4%
16-2 2.9% 35.6% 26.0% 9.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.0 1.9 12.9%
15-3 9.0% 22.1% 19.2% 2.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 0.1 7.0 3.6%
14-4 15.9% 17.1% 16.5% 0.6% 11.1 0.0 0.1 2.2 0.4 0.0 13.2 0.8%
13-5 19.8% 13.6% 13.3% 0.3% 11.3 0.0 1.9 0.7 0.0 17.1 0.3%
12-6 19.2% 8.8% 8.8% 0.1% 11.5 0.0 0.9 0.7 0.0 17.5 0.1%
11-7 14.8% 6.5% 6.5% 11.7 0.4 0.6 0.0 13.9
10-8 9.7% 4.4% 4.4% 11.9 0.1 0.3 0.0 9.2
9-9 5.1% 2.5% 2.5% 12.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 5.0
8-10 2.1% 1.7% 1.7% 12.3 0.0 0.0 2.0
7-11 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.7
6-12 0.3% 1.7% 1.7% 14.0 0.0 0.3
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 12.0% 11.1% 0.8% 11.1 88.0 0.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 6.4 3.2 25.8 25.8 29.0 12.9 3.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 52.2% 9.9 4.3 8.7 26.1 13.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 46.2% 9.6 3.8 15.4 23.1 3.8