George Washington
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +7.0 82
Results Rating +2.1 129
Pace 72.1 85
Improvement -4.2 332

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 53 B+ B+ C- C+ A
Defense C 153 C C+ C+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 43% 75 B- 62% 86 +4.1 48
2 Pt. Jumpers 13% 362 A- 46% 23 -4.8 359
Three Pointers 51% 21 C+ 35% 128 +5.9 27
Shot Selection/Accuracy A +2.1 7 B- +2.9 86
1st FG Attempt B+ 1.12 48
Second Chance B+ 36.9% 29 B- 1.08 104 B+ 0.40 39
Turnovers C- 17.4% 220
Freethrows C 0.31 174 C+ 74% 142 C+ 0.23 148
Total Offense B +6.4 53

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 49% 163 B- 9.4% 96
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 206 C- 5.6% 227
Three Pointers D 79% 294 B- 0.6% 97
Total C+ 59% 116 B- 4.7% 77

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 187 D+ 61% 270 +1.2 218
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 161 B+ 33% 25 -0.9 114
Three Pointers 41% 192 C 34% 182 -0.2 172
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.0 156 C +0.1 184
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 182
Second Chance C+ 28.7% 108 C 1.03 193 C+ 0.30 137
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 126
Freethrows B- 0.28 97 B- 71% 93 B- 0.20 84
Total Defense C +0.7 153

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D 54% 302 C 11.0% 166
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 28% 236 C+ 6.1% 98
Three Pointers D 89% 316 C+ 1.1% 124
Total D+ 61% 302 C+ 6.0% 146

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.9 45 17.7 257
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 134 0.18 203
Improvement -3.0 #317 -1.2 #255

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 98 82 63
Results Rating Rank 144 118 94
Conference Record 7 - 11 9 - 9 10 - 8
Conference Finish 9 7 4
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 4% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.7 12.2
.500 or above 98% 100% 94%
.500 or above in Conference 74% 86% 40%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round4% 4% 3%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: La Salle (Away) - 72.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 42 - 8
Quad 38 - 49 - 12
Quad 49 - 218 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 343 Maine W 67 - 47 97% +7  89% 1 - 0 C+ +5 F+ -8 D B+ F A+ +14 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Nov 8 58 South Florida W 99 - 95 41% +1  53% 2 - 0 B+ +13 A- +10 A+ B F B- +3 A+ F D+
 Wed, Nov 12 253 American W 107 - 67 91% +20  97% 3 - 0 A+ +32 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- A +9 C A- A-
 Sat, Nov 15 242 Old Dominion W 96 - 73 91% +11  79% 4 - 0 A- +16 A +13 B- A A+ C+ +2 B- D+ A
 Wed, Nov 19 234 Maryland Baltimore Co. W 89 - 52 90% +24  97% 5 - 0 A+ +30 B+ +9 A+ F+ D A+ +20 A+ B+ A-
 Sun, Nov 23 81 McNeese St. L 86 - 92 50% -6  19% 5 - 1 C +1 A- +10 C A+ F F+ -8 C- F D
 Mon, Nov 24 167 Middle Tennessee W 92 - 79 76% +10  95% 6 - 1 B+ +13 A +14 A+ D- B+ C- -2 C- F A-
 Tue, Nov 25 123 Murray St. L 95 - 96 66% -1  30% 6 - 2 C+ +2 A+ +15 B+ C+ A+ F -13 D- F D
 Tue, Dec 2 338 @Army W 84 - 70 92% +5  82% 7 - 2 B- +5 B +6 D- A+ D+ C -1 F A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 136 William & Mary W 99 - 86 79% +4  72% 8 - 2 B+ +12 A +12 A- A A C- -2 C D C-
 Wed, Dec 10 265 Delaware L 58 - 70 92% -6  0% 8 - 3 F -21 F -21 F F F+ C -0 F+ F+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 4 Florida L 70 - 80 7% -8  6% 8 - 4 B+ +14 B- +5 B+ A- C A +8 D+ A+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 130 @Richmond W 99 - 85 58% +10  96% 9 - 4 1 - 0 A +19 A+ +31 A+ A+ B- F -11 F C D
 Sat, Jan 3 200 La Salle W 77 - 55 87% +6  86% 10 - 4 2 - 0 A- +17 B+ +8 B- A+ C A +11 B A+ D
 Tue, Jan 6 87 @Dayton L 72 - 79 40% +1  57% 10 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +3 C+ +3 A- A F C -1 A F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 282 Loyola Chicago W 101 - 66 93% +20  98% 11 - 5 3 - 1 A+ +25 A +12 A C- B A +10 D+ A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 14 113 Davidson L 79 - 84 75% -9  11% 11 - 6 3 - 2 D+ -5 B+ +8 D+ B+ A+ F -13 F F C
 Mon, Jan 19 105 @George Mason L 64 - 69 49% -1  35% 11 - 7 3 - 3 C+ +2 D -5 D+ C D+ A- +8 D+ C B+
 Sat, Jan 24 130 Richmond W 85 - 69 78% +16  99% 12 - 7 4 - 3 A- +15 A +12 A- A+ C B +4 B B B-
 Tue, Jan 27 23 @Saint Louis L 76 - 79 13% +5  83% 12 - 8 4 - 4 A- +16 B- +5 B+ C D A+ +12 A B B-
 Sat, Jan 31 155 Fordham L 65 - 79 82% -4  15% 12 - 9 4 - 5 F+ -17 D- -6 D B- D- F -11 D- F C
 Wed, Feb 4 133 @Saint Joseph's L 73 - 76 58% -4  17% 12 - 10 4 - 6 C+ +2 B- +4 C A- F C- -2 F A A-
 Sat, Feb 7 110 @Duquesne L 86 - 88 52% +0  38% 12 - 11 4 - 7 C+ +4 A+ +16 A A F F -12 D+ B- F
 Tue, Feb 10 124 Rhode Island W 75 - 70 76% +7  95% 13 - 11 5 - 7 C+ +5 B- +4 A C C- C+ +1 C+ B- C
 Fri, Feb 13 105 George Mason W 72 - 53 71% +7  93% 14 - 11 6 - 7 A +20 A- +11 A B- C+ A+ +13 A A- B
 Tue, Feb 17 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 24% -4  25% 14 - 12 6 - 8 C +0 B +7 B- B C+ D- -7 D+ C+ F+
 Tue, Feb 24 200 @La Salle W 76 - 70 72%
 Fri, Feb 27 87 Dayton W 79 - 76 62%
 Wed, Mar 4 142 St. Bonaventure W 85 - 76 80%
 Sat, Mar 7 282 @Loyola Chicago W 83 - 72 85%
Totals 17 - 13 9 - 9 +7 B +6 C- B- A C +1 C+ C+ C+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B- A- C+ B- 43% 13% 51% A B+ B+ B- B+ C- C C+ C+ C D+ B+ C C 38% 21% 41% C C C+ C C+ C+ B- B- B-
1.18 62% 46% 35% +3 +2 1.12 37% 1.1 .40 17% .31 74% .23 1.08 61% 33% 34% 0 0 1.02 29% 1.0 .30 18% .28 71% .22
Nov
3		 Maine F+ A D F F+ 54% 7% 39% A+ D A C- B+ F C+ D- C A+ A+ F A+ A+ 38% 17% 46% D+ A+ B+ A+ A+ B- A F C+
1.00 72% 33% 11% -6 +3 0.96 47% 1.0 .47 24% .33 65% .22 0.70 33% 50% 23% -15 0 0.73 14% 0.4 .06 22% .23 83% .19
Nov
8		 South Florida A- B A+ B+ A 53% 4% 43% A+ A+ B C+ B F A+ B A+ B- D B A+ A+ 46% 5% 49% C- A+ B- F F D+ F C+ F
1.16 62% 100% 38% +7 +3 1.22 34% 1.0 .34 25% .64 73% .47 1.12 62% 33% 14% -13 +3 0.81 36% 1.6 .57 14% .51 73% .37
Nov
12		 American A+ C- A+ A+ A+ 46% 6% 48% A A+ A+ A+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A F C+ A+ C- 34% 19% 47% B C A+ D A- A- A+ A+ A+
1.41 58% 67% 52% +15 +2 1.37 45% 1.4 .62 17% .53 79% .41 0.88 75% 36% 26% 0 0 1.02 13% 1.0 .13 21% .13 50% .07
Nov
15		 Old Dominion A B- A+ F C+ 51% 10% 39% A B- B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ A+ C+ A+ A F B 35% 24% 41% C- B- F A+ D+ A F B+ D-
1.31 65% 60% 25% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.3 .45 8% .58 72% .41 0.99 35% 25% 45% -4 -1 0.92 39% 0.8 .32 22% .38 68% .26
Nov
19		 Maryland Baltimore Co. B+ B+ F A+ A+ 47% 7% 47% A A+ D+ F F+ D D+ D D+ A+ D A+ A+ A+ 39% 20% 41% D+ A+ A C- B+ A- D A+ C+
1.25 67% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.33 26% 0.8 .19 15% .20 67% .13 0.73 63% 0% 20% -14 0 0.73 15% 1.0 .15 20% .32 61% .19
Nov
23		 McNeese St. A- D- A+ D- C 29% 7% 64% B- C A+ A+ A+ F A+ B+ A+ F+ D- A+ D C- 49% 25% 25% C+ C- D- F F D F F F
1.17 50% 100% 30% -2 +1 1.00 55% 1.4 .79 33% .60 80% .48 1.25 67% 21% 36% +1 0 1.04 39% 1.2 .47 11% .43 82% .35
Nov
24		 Middle Tennessee A A- F A+ A+ 51% 8% 42% A A+ F A- D- B+ B+ B- A- C- F+ B C+ C- 40% 24% 36% C- C- A+ F F A- F F F
1.28 67% 25% 50% +13 +3 1.34 15% 1.3 .19 13% .38 79% .30 1.10 70% 33% 33% +3 0 1.08 19% 2.2 .41 20% .40 78% .31
Nov
25		 Murray St. A+ C+ C+ B+ B 56% 10% 35% A+ B+ D+ A- C+ A+ A+ A- A+ F C F D- F 37% 27% 36% A- D- F B- F D B- C+ B-
1.31 59% 40% 39% +3 +3 1.13 29% 1.2 .35 10% .50 79% .40 1.33 59% 63% 38% +9 -1 1.19 44% 1.1 .47 14% .30 74% .22
Dec
2		 Army B C F D- F+ 28% 9% 63% B- D- B- A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ C C+ B+ F F 25% 8% 68% C+ F A+ D+ A D+ A+ B A+
1.24 62% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 35% 1.6 .58 16% .57 84% .48 1.04 54% 25% 42% +6 +1 1.15 15% 1.0 .15 16% .11 67% .07
Dec
6		 William & Mary A A A+ F B+ 56% 3% 41% A+ A- A B A A A- A A+ C- D A+ B C+ 52% 9% 40% D- C C- F D C- B D B-
1.27 73% 100% 25% +5 +3 1.19 40% 1.1 .46 14% .36 79% .28 1.11 67% 20% 30% +1 +3 1.09 27% 1.3 .36 17% .29 79% .23
Dec
10		 Delaware F F F F+ F 37% 14% 49% B+ F B+ F F F+ A+ F B- C B F F F 40% 17% 43% D F+ C+ F F+ A+ C- F D+
0.85 44% 14% 29% -12 +1 0.80 36% 0.4 .15 18% .39 64% .25 1.02 53% 63% 45% +9 +1 1.21 18% 1.5 .27 26% .26 85% .22
Dec
13		 Florida B- B F C B 35% 20% 44% B+ B+ A B+ A- C B F F A F F A+ D- 35% 12% 53% B+ D+ A A+ A+ B F A+ F
0.97 58% 27% 33% -3 0 0.96 30% 0.8 .25 17% .32 37% .12 1.11 94% 67% 23% +7 +1 1.18 35% 0.8 .26 18% .56 61% .34
Dec
31		 Richmond A+ B A+ A+ A+ 34% 8% 58% A+ A+ B A+ A+ B- D+ A+ B+ F D- C+ F F 32% 22% 46% D F F A+ C D D D D-
1.51 65% 100% 48% +20 +1 1.44 36% 1.9 .68 15% .27 93% .25 1.30 69% 36% 48% +13 -1 1.26 33% 0.8 .27 12% .36 81% .30
Jan
3		 La Salle B+ D A+ B- C+ 45% 6% 49% A B- A+ A+ A+ C D+ C D+ A B- A+ B A- 46% 20% 34% D- B A+ B A+ D B+ A+ A+
1.19 52% 67% 36% 0 +2 1.08 41% 1.4 .56 17% .22 67% .15 0.85 52% 20% 29% -9 +1 0.86 18% 0.9 .16 15% .27 53% .15
Jan
6		 Dayton C+ A+ D- B- A 24% 24% 52% D+ A- A+ D+ A F A+ F B C F A+ A- A 36% 26% 38% A+ A F+ F F C- F F F
1.04 90% 30% 36% +8 -1 1.14 45% 0.9 .42 32% .42 60% .25 1.14 76% 0% 28% -7 -1 0.87 34% 1.4 .47 16% .51 90% .46
Jan
10		 Loyola Chicago A B- A+ A A- 40% 5% 55% A A B F C- B C- A+ B+ A F B A D 32% 11% 57% B- D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A A+ A+
1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26 0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11
Jan
14		 Davidson B+ D+ A F D- 46% 11% 43% A+ D+ A+ D+ B+ A+ B F C- F B+ A+ F F 48% 10% 43% F F F D F C F A+ F
1.19 54% 50% 25% -6 +2 0.93 41% 0.9 .39 8% .34 57% .20 1.27 50% 0% 67% +14 +2 1.33 39% 1.2 .45 17% .49 52% .25
Jan
19		 George Mason D D F D F+ 50% 4% 46% A+ D+ D- A+ C D+ D- C+ D A- D+ F C C- 37% 17% 46% C- D+ A+ F C B+ C+ A B
0.95 52% 0% 30% -7 +3 0.94 20% 1.3 .26 18% .20 73% .14 1.02 65% 50% 33% +4 0 1.11 14% 2.3 .31 19% .37 65% .24
Jan
24		 Richmond A C F A B 37% 7% 56% A+ A- B- A+ A+ C D+ A+ C+ B A B- D- A- 41% 26% 33% D- B F A+ B B- A F C
1.27 60% 0% 40% +3 +2 1.11 34% 1.5 .53 16% .27 80% .21 1.03 50% 36% 39% -1 -1 0.98 32% 0.7 .22 16% .25 100% .25
Jan
27		 Saint Louis B- B+ A+ F B- 43% 7% 50% A+ B+ B- D C D B- F+ C- A+ B+ B+ C A+ 46% 6% 48% C A B- B- B B- D- A+ B+
1.00 61% 50% 26% -4 +2 0.98 29% 0.8 .22 18% .34 67% .23 1.04 54% 33% 36% -1 +2 1.06 30% 1.0 .30 18% .36 50% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Fordham D- F+ D- D F+ 32% 19% 49% B- D C- A+ B- D- D- F F+ F F A+ B+ F+ 38% 25% 38% B- D- F D F C D- F+ F+
0.96 47% 30% 31% -7 0 0.87 25% 1.3 .33 19% .22 58% .13 1.16 89% 17% 28% +3 -1 1.06 47% 1.1 .50 18% .30 76% .23
Feb
4		 Saint Joseph's B- F A+ C- C- 25% 7% 67% A- C A+ D+ A- F B- C+ B- C- D- F F+ F 35% 18% 47% B F B A+ A A- B F C
1.04 43% 50% 32% -5 +1 0.95 45% 0.9 .43 20% .25 71% .18 1.09 67% 44% 38% +7 0 1.16 29% 0.8 .21 21% .24 85% .20
Feb
7		 Duquesne A+ A- F A A 37% 8% 55% A A A+ F A F B- A+ A+ F D B- D D 51% 18% 31% C+ D+ D- A B- F F D- F
1.26 67% 25% 41% +8 +2 1.20 54% 0.8 .43 23% .36 89% .33 1.29 65% 33% 38% +5 +1 1.14 34% 0.8 .28 6% .47 77% .36
Feb
10		 Rhode Island B- A+ F C- A 43% 9% 48% B+ A A+ F C C- B- C C+ C+ F B- B+ C- 27% 29% 44% A+ C+ C B B- C B+ A+ A
1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27 1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18
Feb
13		 George Mason A- C+ A+ C+ A- 43% 7% 50% A+ A B- B- B- C+ B- A+ A A+ B+ A+ C A 33% 15% 52% C- A A C A- B A+ B+ A+
1.23 60% 100% 35% +5 +2 1.17 31% 1.0 .31 15% .28 86% .24 0.90 53% 14% 33% -6 0 0.91 23% 1.0 .23 19% .13 67% .08
Feb
17		 Virginia Commonwealth B C F C+ C+ 34% 6% 60% B+ B- B C+ B C+ C F+ D+ D- C- F D D 38% 17% 45% B D+ A+ F C+ F+ F C F
1.10 56% 0% 34% -3 +2 1.00 34% 1.0 .34 16% .30 65% .19 1.30 61% 50% 38% +6 0 1.15 25% 1.4 .36 12% .58 74% .43



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 1.1 1.1 3rd
4th 0.1 9.7 9.8 4th
5th 1.7 13.4 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 10.0 6.5 16.5 6th
7th 0.0 2.3 21.3 1.1 24.8 7th
8th 0.1 9.5 8.2 17.8 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 8.5 0.4 10.9 9th
10th 0.2 2.5 0.8 3.5 10th
11th 0.2 0.3 0.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 0.5 4.9 21.1 41.7 31.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 31.8% 5.1% 5.1% 11.5 0.9 0.7 0.0 30.2
9-9 41.7% 3.5% 3.5% 11.9 0.2 1.1 0.1 40.3
8-10 21.1% 2.5% 2.5% 12.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 20.6
7-11 4.9% 2.3% 2.3% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.8
6-12 0.5% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.5
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.7% 3.7% 0.0% 11.8 96.3 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.6% 100.0% 11.5 52.8 45.4 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.9%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.3%
Lose Out 0.2%