Hofstra
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.6#174
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#167
Pace62.2#338
Improvement-0.9#236

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#295
First Shot-0.8#204
After Offensive Rebound-3.7#347
Layup/Dunks-1.1#223
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#106
Freethrows-1.1#254
Improvement-1.0#249

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#73
First Shot+3.5#77
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#133
Layups/Dunks+2.5#84
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#261
Freethrows+0.1#180
Improvement+0.1#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.5% 7.4% 4.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.2 14.7
.500 or above 80.8% 88.9% 64.1%
.500 or above in Conference 77.2% 86.7% 58.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round6.5% 7.3% 4.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.4% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northeastern (Home) - 67.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 37 - 79 - 9
Quad 48 - 517 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 256   Iona W 90-76 76%     1 - 0 +6.0 +12.8 -7.3
  Nov 13, 2024 147   Seton Hall W 49-48 44%     2 - 0 +2.0 -11.3 +13.4
  Nov 16, 2024 152   @ Massachusetts W 75-71 OT 36%     3 - 0 +7.2 +2.7 +4.4
  Nov 19, 2024 82   @ Florida St. L 61-79 17%     3 - 1 -8.2 -5.5 -3.0
  Nov 22, 2024 3   @ Houston L 44-80 2%     3 - 2 -10.8 -10.6 -4.2
  Nov 29, 2024 192   Rice W 68-63 OT 54%     4 - 2 +3.5 -9.1 +12.4
  Nov 30, 2024 247   Tarleton St. L 59-61 67%     4 - 3 -7.1 -3.7 -3.7
  Dec 01, 2024 93   Arkansas St. W 68-66 27%     5 - 3 +7.9 +1.9 +6.1
  Dec 09, 2024 185   @ Norfolk St. W 80-67 43%     6 - 3 +14.2 +13.7 +1.6
  Dec 15, 2024 125   Temple L 42-60 49%     6 - 4 -18.4 -29.2 +9.4
  Dec 29, 2024 187   @ Quinnipiac L 69-75 OT 43%     6 - 5 -4.8 -8.4 +4.2
  Jan 02, 2025 208   William & Mary L 56-74 66%     6 - 6 0 - 1 -22.9 -19.4 -4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 206   @ Northeastern W 55-37 47%     7 - 6 1 - 1 +18.2 -12.8 +32.4
  Jan 09, 2025 131   College of Charleston L 61-67 51%     7 - 7 1 - 2 -6.8 -13.8 +7.0
  Jan 11, 2025 117   UNC Wilmington W 66-63 47%     8 - 7 2 - 2 +3.3 +1.3 +2.4
  Jan 16, 2025 160   @ Towson L 60-65 37%     8 - 8 2 - 3 -2.1 +0.3 -3.2
  Jan 20, 2025 195   @ Drexel L 55-60 44%     8 - 9 2 - 4 -4.1 -8.8 +4.0
  Jan 23, 2025 232   Delaware W 93-68 72%     9 - 9 3 - 4 +18.4 +19.1 +0.8
  Jan 25, 2025 178   Campbell L 67-69 OT 61%     9 - 10 3 - 5 -5.3 -2.9 -2.5
  Jan 30, 2025 175   @ Elon W 74-63 41%     10 - 10 4 - 5 +12.8 +6.0 +7.5
  Feb 01, 2025 178   @ Campbell L 52-75 41%     10 - 11 4 - 6 -21.3 -10.4 -14.2
  Feb 06, 2025 206   Northeastern W 67-63 67%    
  Feb 08, 2025 318   Stony Brook W 70-59 87%    
  Feb 13, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 287   @ Hampton W 65-61 63%    
  Feb 20, 2025 253   Monmouth W 69-62 76%    
  Feb 22, 2025 232   @ Delaware W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 27, 2025 318   @ Stony Brook W 67-61 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 333   N.C. A&T W 76-63 89%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.0 2.5 3.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 5.6 2.4 8.7 4th
5th 0.2 5.4 8.0 0.5 14.0 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 13.3 3.4 0.1 20.1 6th
7th 1.2 10.6 8.0 0.3 20.1 7th
8th 0.2 4.7 8.1 0.9 13.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 6.0 2.4 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.3 2.7 2.5 0.2 5.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 1.6 0.4 3.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 1.6 6.0 14.9 24.8 28.3 18.3 5.9 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 5.9% 12.6% 12.6% 13.1 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.1
11-7 18.3% 8.8% 8.8% 13.9 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 16.7
10-8 28.3% 7.4% 7.4% 14.4 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.0 26.2
9-9 24.8% 5.6% 5.6% 14.8 0.4 0.9 0.1 23.4
8-10 14.9% 3.5% 3.5% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.1 14.4
7-11 6.0% 2.7% 2.7% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.9
6-12 1.6% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 1.6
5-13 0.2% 0.0 0.2
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 6.5% 6.5% 0.0% 14.3 0.1 1.0 2.4 2.6 0.4 93.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 13.1 16.2 54.1 29.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.6%