Louisiana
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -7.6 291
Results Rating -8.0 292
Pace 60.0 360
Improvement +6.9 8

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D 313 D D- C F+ F
Defense C- 237 D+ C- B- F+ D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 27% 363 D- 51% 339 -8.8 364
2 Pt. Jumpers 50% 49 C 38% 173 +5.1 12
Three Pointers 39% 216 C+ 35% 148 -0.5 200
Shot Selection/Accuracy F -2.5 363 C- -1.7 233
1st FG Attempt D 0.94 309
Second Chance D+ 26.5% 295 F+ 0.87 349 D- 0.23 337
Turnovers C 17.0% 187
Freethrows F 0.23 362 D+ 70% 260 F+ 0.16 357
Total Offense D -5.5 313

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots F 31% 356 C- 11.5% 208
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D- 13% 338 B+ 2.4% 26
Three Pointers B- 88% 102 B+ 0.1% 11
Total F+ 45% 351 B+ 3.9% 25

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 47 C- 59% 210 +3.7 301
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% 300 B- 35% 86 -1.9 43
Three Pointers 39% 231 D- 38% 330 +1.4 255
Shot Selection/Accuracy D +0.9 327 D+ +2.2 266
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.08 288
Second Chance D+ 32.3% 265 C 1.04 201 C- 0.34 244
Turnovers B- 18.1% 99
Freethrows F+ 0.38 350 C- 73% 246 F+ 0.28 349
Total Defense C- -2.1 237

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 134 C+ 12.0% 129
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B+ 14% 9 C+ 5.8% 108
Three Pointers C- 85% 223 C+ 1.1% 121
Total C 55% 155 B- 6.7% 90

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 19.5 352 17.5 216
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.11 342 0.16 134
Improvement +6.6 #2 +0.3 #166

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 305 291 275
Results Rating Rank 304 298 271
Conference Record 7 - 11 7 - 11 8 - 10
Conference Finish 12 11 9
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 2% 16% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Troy (Away) - 15.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 10 - 4
Quad 32 - 92 - 13
Quad 48 - 810 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 313 @Ball St. L 64 - 75 45% -2  10% 0 - 1 F+ -17 D- -6 D- D C F -12 F D- C+
 Fri, Nov 7 287 SE Louisiana W 58 - 52 61% +9  99% 1 - 1 C- -4 D- -8 A- F D+ B +4 A- C C+
 Tue, Nov 11 162 Tulane L 62 - 66 34% -3  25% 1 - 2 D+ -7 F+ -9 F+ C A+ C+ +1 B- F+ C+
 Fri, Nov 14 81 @McNeese St. L 62 - 88 6% -18  0% 1 - 3 F+ -16 D -5 F C+ C- F -12 F A+ B+
 Tue, Nov 18 77 @Stanford L 66 - 93 6% -12  10% 1 - 4 F+ -16 D -5 B- F+ C- F -11 F+ B- D+
 Fri, Nov 21 42 @Santa Clara L 43 - 80 3% -20  0% 1 - 5 F -21 F -24 F F F C+ +1 A+ F D-
 Mon, Nov 24 177 @UC Davis L 56 - 77 18% -8  0% 1 - 6 F -19 F -14 F F D D- -7 F C- D
 Fri, Nov 28 337 Jackson St. L 45 - 51 76% -5  5% 1 - 7 F -21 F -33 F C F A+ +11 B B B
 Wed, Dec 3 216 @Lamar L 55 - 65 24% +2  53% 1 - 8 D -10 F -12 D C F C +0 C- B D-
 Sat, Dec 6 108 UNC Wilmington L 63 - 70 21% -3  10% 1 - 9 D+ -6 D -6 C- C- C C -1 C- C+ B
 Sat, Dec 13 215 @Louisiana Tech L 44 - 65 24% -11  6% 1 - 10 F -21 F -20 F+ F F D+ -5 C- F A+
 Thu, Dec 18 241 @Southern Miss L 54 - 62 27% -2  27% 1 - 11 0 - 1 D -9 F -18 F F B+ A +9 A+ A- F
 Sat, Dec 20 353 @Louisiana Monroe W 76 - 62 63% +12  99% 2 - 11 1 - 1 C+ +3 C +1 B F A+ B- +3 B- F+ A
 Sun, Dec 28 302 Norfolk St. W 63 - 54 64% +9  99% 3 - 11 C- -2 D -5 C+ F A+ B +4 A B D
 Wed, Dec 31 182 South Alabama L 58 - 63 38% -2  13% 3 - 12 1 - 2 D -9 D -4 D C B+ D -6 C- F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 241 Southern Miss L 67 - 74 49% -2  27% 3 - 13 1 - 3 D- -14 D- -8 D- A+ D- D- -7 F B A+
 Thu, Jan 8 353 Louisiana Monroe W 85 - 79 81% +3  68% 4 - 13 2 - 3 D -11 C- -2 C- B+ F F+ -9 F C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 10 152 Troy L 70 - 90 32% -16  0% 4 - 14 2 - 4 F -23 C +0 A F C+ F -25 F F A-
 Wed, Jan 14 237 @Texas St. L 54 - 59 27% -5  6% 4 - 15 2 - 5 D+ -6 F -13 F D- B- B+ +6 F A+ B
 Sat, Jan 17 182 @South Alabama W 59 - 56 19% +1  62% 5 - 15 3 - 5 C+ +5 C- -2 C- F+ A A- +7 B- F C+
 Thu, Jan 22 173 @Appalachian St. L 58 - 72 18% -1  45% 5 - 16 3 - 6 D- -12 D -4 F C+ A- F -10 F C A+
 Thu, Jan 29 289 Georgia St. W 82 - 72 61% +10  94% 6 - 16 4 - 6 C -1 A- +10 A B- C F -10 B+ D+ F
 Sat, Jan 31 266 Georgia Southern W 69 - 60 55% +6  93% 7 - 16 5 - 6 C +0 D+ -3 B F+ B B +5 B- C- A+
 Wed, Feb 4 201 @James Madison W 64 - 61 22% +1  56% 8 - 16 6 - 6 C+ +4 C+ +3 D+ C+ D+ C+ +1 D D C+
 Sat, Feb 7 270 Central Michigan W 85 - 80 56% -1  34% 9 - 16 C- -4 A +13 A+ D C- F -17 F F F+
 Thu, Feb 12 236 Coastal Carolina L 65 - 69 48% -5  0% 9 - 17 6 - 7 D -11 F -11 D D- D C -0 D+ D A+
 Mon, Feb 16 242 @Old Dominion L 72 - 83 28% -2  20% 9 - 18 6 - 8 D- -12 C +0 F+ C B+ F -13 F A F+
 Thu, Feb 19 143 Arkansas St. L 62 - 79 30% -1  42% 9 - 19 6 - 9 F -19 F -14 F F A+ D -5 F D+ A+
 Sat, Feb 21 237 Texas St. W 67 - 54 48% +11  99% 10 - 19 7 - 9 B- +6 C +1 B B F+ A- +7 A+ D A+
 Tue, Feb 24 152 @Troy L 61 - 72 15%
 Fri, Feb 27 143 @Arkansas St. L 67 - 78 14%
Totals 10 - 21 7 - 11 -8 D -6 A- C- F C- -2 C+ D+ F+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D D- C C+ C- 27% 50% 39% F D D+ F+ D- C F D+ F+ C- C- B- D- D+ 44% 17% 39% D D+ D+ C C- B- F+ C- F+
1.01 51% 38% 35% -2 -3 0.94 27% 0.9 .23 17% .23 70% .16 1.12 59% 35% 38% +2 +1 1.08 32% 1.0 .34 18% .38 73% .17
Nov
3		 Ball St. D- B- B+ F+ D+ 22% 31% 47% F D- F+ B D C F F F F D- A+ F F 58% 13% 30% F F D D- D- C+ F B- F
1.00 64% 44% 29% 0 -3 0.96 26% 1.1 .29 19% .17 56% .10 1.17 61% 0% 58% +8 +2 1.23 29% 1.0 .29 17% .53 68% .36
Nov
7		 SE Louisiana D- D+ A+ B+ A+ 22% 46% 32% F A- F F F D+ F F F B B- A+ A+ A+ 41% 8% 51% F A- D B C C+ F A+ F
1.00 56% 63% 38% +13 -4 1.20 16% 0.5 .08 21% .26 58% .15 0.89 53% 0% 21% -15 +2 0.76 31% 0.8 .26 19% .66 58% .38
Nov
11		 Tulane F+ A- C- F D 13% 31% 56% F F+ D+ B C A+ B+ F D+ C+ F A+ A+ B+ 54% 17% 29% F+ B- B- F F+ C+ F C- F
0.97 67% 36% 28% -5 -3 0.87 31% 1.1 .33 13% .38 52% .20 1.03 73% 0% 17% -6 +2 0.93 19% 1.8 .35 16% .50 78% .39
Nov
14		 McNeese St. D F F F F 31% 26% 43% D- F B+ D C+ C- A A+ A+ F D- F F F 44% 7% 49% F F B- A+ A+ B+ F C- F
0.93 46% 18% 22% -16 -1 0.67 41% 1.0 .41 25% .46 87% .40 1.32 67% 67% 50% +18 +2 1.41 32% 0.4 .12 16% .70 77% .54
Nov
18		 Stanford D C+ A F B- 48% 34% 18% C- B- F+ D+ F+ C- D F F F F B- C- F 29% 13% 58% A- F+ C B B- D+ F F F
0.93 58% 47% 22% 0 -1 1.00 18% 1.0 .18 20% .30 59% .17 1.30 86% 33% 36% +9 0 1.21 34% 0.9 .31 14% .57 80% .46
Nov
21		 Santa Clara F F F F F 55% 26% 18% C F D+ F F F A+ A A+ C+ D+ D A+ A+ 50% 4% 46% F A+ F C+ F D- F A+ D+
0.65 33% 20% 14% -24 0 0.55 27% 0.6 .15 27% .52 80% .41 1.20 65% 50% 17% -8 +3 0.92 50% 1.1 .55 12% .33 63% .21
Nov
24		 UC Davis F A- F D- F+ 12% 36% 52% F F D+ F F D F C F D- F F+ F F 35% 23% 43% C+ F B+ F C- D F A- F
0.86 67% 28% 31% -5 -4 0.84 29% 0.6 .17 21% .21 73% .16 1.18 71% 44% 41% +11 0 1.23 22% 1.3 .30 15% .58 69% .40
Nov
28		 Jackson St. F D- F F F 35% 14% 51% C F C C- C F C F F A+ B+ F+ A+ A- 38% 22% 40% D- B B B+ B B A+ D A+
0.73 53% 17% 14% -20 +1 0.63 37% 1.0 .37 26% .35 50% .17 0.82 47% 45% 20% -11 0 0.80 23% 0.9 .20 21% .10 80% .08
Dec
3		 Lamar F C- F B- D 27% 23% 50% D D D- A+ C F F B+ F C A F F B- 67% 22% 11% F C- C- A B D- F A F
0.90 58% 20% 36% -2 -1 0.95 24% 1.3 .31 28% .18 75% .14 1.06 43% 60% 40% -4 +2 0.98 35% 0.8 .26 13% .45 63% .28
Dec
6		 UNC Wilmington D F+ C C C- 27% 25% 48% C- C- D B C- C C- B- C- C B A+ F+ C+ 47% 12% 42% F C- C B- C+ B F C- F
0.99 50% 38% 32% -4 -1 0.92 22% 1.1 .25 14% .24 77% .18 1.10 50% 20% 39% -3 +2 1.00 33% 1.0 .33 17% .45 71% .32
Dec
13		 Louisiana Tech F F C- C D- 26% 26% 49% F+ F+ C+ F F F C- F F D+ D+ A+ A- C 52% 12% 36% F C- F F F A+ F F F
0.73 27% 36% 33% -9 -2 0.81 34% 0.3 .11 27% .29 54% .16 1.08 59% 20% 27% -6 +2 0.95 43% 1.0 .43 25% .42 84% .35
Dec
18		 Southern Miss F F C+ F F 20% 49% 31% F F F F F B+ F A F A A+ B+ D+ A+ 26% 31% 43% B A+ A+ F A- F F A F
0.80 36% 41% 24% -8 -5 0.76 13% 0.4 .05 15% .22 77% .17 0.91 9% 31% 33% -16 -2 0.67 18% 1.3 .23 12% .65 67% .43
Dec
20		 Louisiana Monroe C B C- A+ A- 30% 30% 40% F B F F F A+ B+ F C- B- A+ A F B- 36% 28% 36% B+ B- C+ F F+ A F F F
1.19 67% 40% 50% +13 -2 1.24 21% 0.7 .14 9% .31 56% .17 0.97 36% 27% 43% -6 -1 0.87 23% 1.4 .33 22% .67 79% .52
Dec
28		 Norfolk St. D D- B+ A+ B 24% 24% 52% F C+ F+ F F A+ F B- F+ B A+ A+ D- A+ 41% 18% 41% F+ A C A- B D C+ D+ C
1.07 55% 45% 42% +7 -1 1.13 26% 0.4 .10 12% .29 73% .21 0.92 33% 13% 39% -12 +1 0.80 30% 0.8 .24 17% .33 69% .23
Dec
31		 South Alabama D F B+ C- D+ 9% 20% 70% F D C C- C B+ F D+ F+ D C- B C+ C- 41% 16% 43% C C- F A- F+ A+ F F F
1.04 25% 44% 32% -4 -2 0.91 32% 1.1 .35 14% .15 71% .10 1.13 60% 33% 31% -2 +1 1.00 37% 1.0 .37 20% .45 85% .38
Jan
3		 Southern Miss D- C+ C- C C- 21% 44% 35% F D- C+ A+ A+ D- D- A- D+ D- F B- A F 49% 22% 29% F F D A+ B A+ F F F
0.99 60% 38% 35% +1 -4 0.96 29% 1.8 .52 21% .30 75% .22 1.09 80% 33% 25% +6 +1 1.15 35% 0.8 .26 25% .59 83% .49
Jan
8		 Louisiana Monroe C- C- A+ C- C 28% 22% 50% F+ C- A+ D B+ F C+ F D F+ C- A- F F 58% 15% 27% F F A+ F C+ C- D- C- D-
1.19 60% 67% 33% +6 -1 1.13 49% 1.1 .51 21% .27 53% .14 1.11 57% 29% 54% +6 +2 1.19 15% 1.5 .23 17% .37 73% .27
Jan
10		 Troy C A+ B- A+ A+ 26% 23% 51% D A F F F C+ D A- C- F B A+ F F 43% 15% 43% C+ F F F F A- A A+ A+
1.10 75% 45% 42% +12 -1 1.23 20% 0.3 .07 16% .24 77% .19 1.41 50% 14% 55% +6 +1 1.17 58% 1.7 .97 20% .22 45% .10
Jan
14		 Texas St. F F F A- F 37% 23% 40% D F F A D- B- B D C+ B+ D+ F F F 60% 23% 16% F F A- A+ A+ B A- A+ A+
0.89 44% 10% 41% -8 0 0.86 16% 1.2 .19 16% .37 68% .26 0.97 62% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.19 27% 0.3 .08 21% .21 60% .13
Jan
17		 South Alabama C- D+ F C C- 14% 8% 78% C- C- F A+ F+ A F F F A- B A+ F+ B- 48% 23% 30% C+ B- F C- F C+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 25% 33% -2 0 0.98 16% 1.6 .25 12% .08 50% .04 0.98 52% 20% 38% -5 0 0.93 31% 1.2 .38 14% .20 30% .06
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
22		 Appalachian St. D C+ D F F 24% 30% 46% F F F+ A+ C+ A- F A+ D- F C- F F F 25% 13% 63% C+ F F A+ C A+ C B C+
0.98 58% 33% 22% -10 -2 0.78 22% 1.4 .30 10% .17 89% .15 1.22 60% 80% 48% +19 0 1.40 38% 0.8 .31 22% .32 60% .19
Jan
29		 Georgia St. A- C+ B+ A+ A+ 23% 45% 32% F A A- D+ B- C A A+ A+ F A C+ A+ A- 33% 28% 40% D+ B+ F B+ D+ F F F F
1.27 60% 45% 57% +15 -4 1.23 41% 0.9 .38 17% .39 81% .32 1.11 43% 33% 24% -12 -1 0.74 34% 0.9 .32 9% .60 94% .56
Jan
31		 Georgia Southern D+ D+ B+ A+ A- 39% 28% 33% F B F B+ F+ B F D- F B A- A D+ B- 38% 21% 42% A- B- D B- C- A+ C+ F D
1.11 56% 46% 47% +8 -1 1.15 23% 1.2 .27 16% .27 71% .19 0.97 44% 30% 35% -6 0 0.90 30% 1.0 .30 23% .31 87% .27
Feb
4		 James Madison C+ C- F A C 23% 31% 46% F D+ A- F+ C+ D+ F A+ F C+ D- A+ C- D+ 50% 8% 43% F D F B- D C+ F A+ B
1.13 55% 20% 41% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 14% .18 89% .16 1.08 65% 0% 35% +1 +3 1.10 35% 1.0 .35 18% .41 42% .17
Feb
7		 Central Michigan A D A A+ A+ 28% 41% 30% F A+ A F D C- C+ A+ A- F B- F F F 34% 25% 41% C F B+ F F F+ F D+ F
1.33 54% 47% 64% +16 -3 1.28 45% 0.8 .34 17% .36 84% .30 1.25 53% 73% 44% +13 -1 1.27 24% 1.8 .43 14% .38 71% .27
Feb
12		 Coastal Carolina F B D- D- D+ 21% 44% 35% F D D F+ D- D A+ A A+ C A A- F D+ 37% 30% 33% C- D+ D D+ D A+ F F F
0.93 60% 33% 29% -4 -4 0.85 24% 0.9 .21 14% .42 80% .33 0.99 44% 31% 50% 0 -1 1.00 29% 1.0 .29 27% .45 87% .39
Feb
16		 Old Dominion C C D+ A- C- 20% 55% 25% F F+ B D- C B+ A C- B+ F F D+ F F 51% 28% 21% D- F A+ B A F+ F F F
1.08 60% 32% 38% -1 -6 0.88 36% 0.9 .31 12% .43 72% .31 1.25 75% 38% 40% +11 0 1.23 16% 1.0 .16 12% .44 81% .36
Feb
19		 Arkansas St. F F A- F+ F 27% 37% 36% F F C F F A+ F C F D F F A+ F 50% 17% 33% D F F B D+ A+ F B- F
0.90 31% 45% 29% -7 -3 0.81 27% 0.4 .12 4% .17 73% .12 1.15 71% 86% 21% +8 +1 1.21 45% 0.9 .41 26% .55 71% .39
Feb
21		 Texas St. C F C A+ A 28% 41% 31% F B C+ A- B F+ A- C+ A- A- B+ A A+ A+ 30% 43% 28% A+ A+ F B- D A+ F C- F
1.12 45% 38% 67% +11 -3 1.18 31% 1.1 .35 22% .41 74% .30 0.90 50% 29% 18% -13 -3 0.70 41% 0.9 .35 25% .40 78% .31



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.5 0.5 7th
8th 0.7 1.4 2.1 8th
9th 9.7 0.5 10.2 9th
10th 8.0 10.8 18.7 10th
11th 37.0 3.0 39.9 11th
12th 26.2 0.1 26.3 12th
13th 2.1 2.1 13th
14th 14th
Total 73.3 24.3 2.4 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 2.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 2.4
8-10 24.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.3
7-11 73.3% 73.3
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 16.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 73.3%