Louisiana
Sun Belt
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.4#305
Expected Predictive Rating-6.5#276
Pace66.0#234
Improvement+0.2#185

Offense
Total Offense-6.3#329
First Shot-4.4#298
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#294
Layup/Dunks-1.8#249
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#149
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#192
Freethrows-2.6#321
Improvement-4.2#341

Defense
Total Defense-2.1#232
First Shot+0.8#153
After Offensive Rebounds-2.9#346
Layups/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#83
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#41
Freethrows-3.0#350
Improvement+4.4#21
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 21 - 41 - 5
Quad 31 - 72 - 12
Quad 49 - 911 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 133   Kent St. L 66-70 24%     0 - 1 -5.1 -3.3 -1.9
  Nov 13, 2024 4   @ Houston L 45-91 0.5%    0 - 2 -20.4 -15.9 -3.4
  Nov 19, 2024 192   Rice L 61-83 35%     0 - 3 -26.6 -9.4 -19.1
  Nov 22, 2024 66   Liberty L 69-89 7%     0 - 4 -11.8 +7.1 -20.4
  Nov 23, 2024 116   George Washington L 74-83 14%     0 - 5 -5.7 +0.4 -5.6
  Nov 25, 2024 109   UAB L 86-98 13%     0 - 6 -8.3 +8.4 -16.5
  Nov 30, 2024 180   Nicholls St. L 75-76 33%     0 - 7 -4.9 +6.8 -11.8
  Dec 08, 2024 119   Louisiana Tech L 58-69 21%     0 - 8 -11.0 -10.8 -1.1
  Dec 11, 2024 218   SE Louisiana W 68-61 40%     1 - 8 +1.1 -6.0 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 176   Lamar L 45-74 33%     1 - 9 -32.8 -20.4 -16.2
  Dec 18, 2024 178   Appalachian St. W 68-62 33%     2 - 9 1 - 0 +2.1 +1.3 +1.2
  Dec 22, 2024 69   McNeese St. L 56-64 10%     2 - 10 -2.6 -8.3 +4.8
  Jan 02, 2025 317   @ Coastal Carolina W 71-68 43%     3 - 10 2 - 0 -3.6 +0.9 -4.3
  Jan 04, 2025 254   @ Georgia St. L 70-94 27%     3 - 11 2 - 1 -26.2 -9.1 -16.3
  Jan 09, 2025 277   Old Dominion L 60-71 53%     3 - 12 2 - 2 -20.3 -11.2 -10.1
  Jan 11, 2025 345   Louisiana Monroe W 71-68 74%     4 - 12 3 - 2 -12.1 -4.6 -7.4
  Jan 16, 2025 98   @ Arkansas St. L 63-83 7%     4 - 13 3 - 3 -12.3 -4.7 -8.0
  Jan 18, 2025 345   @ Louisiana Monroe W 65-60 55%     5 - 13 4 - 3 -4.6 -7.6 +3.3
  Jan 23, 2025 202   Texas St. L 74-89 38%     5 - 14 4 - 4 -20.2 -4.5 -15.6
  Jan 25, 2025 295   Southern Miss L 59-67 58%     5 - 15 4 - 5 -18.4 -13.7 -5.1
  Jan 30, 2025 202   @ Texas St. W 70-61 20%     6 - 15 5 - 5 +9.3 +0.2 +9.8
  Feb 01, 2025 132   South Alabama L 58-62 OT 24%     6 - 16 5 - 6 -4.9 -12.6 +7.5
  Feb 05, 2025 251   @ Georgia Southern L 82-83 27%     6 - 17 5 - 7 -3.1 +19.1 -22.4
  Feb 08, 2025 347   @ Northern Illinois W 66-64 55%     7 - 17 -7.7 -10.6 +2.8
  Feb 12, 2025 101   Troy L 56-74 17%     7 - 18 5 - 8 -16.4 -9.8 -8.1
  Feb 15, 2025 169   Marshall W 79-68 31%     8 - 18 6 - 8 +7.7 -1.0 +7.9
  Feb 20, 2025 101   @ Troy W 72-69 8%     9 - 18 7 - 8 +10.1 +4.1 +5.9
  Feb 22, 2025 295   @ Southern Miss W 62-60 37%     10 - 18 8 - 8 -2.9 -6.3 +3.5
  Feb 26, 2025 98   Arkansas St. L 64-83 16%     10 - 19 8 - 9 -16.8 -12.8 -2.4
  Feb 28, 2025 132   @ South Alabama L 42-65 12%     10 - 20 8 - 10 -18.4 -16.2 -8.5
  Mar 04, 2025 345   Louisiana Monroe W 73-69 OT 65%     11 - 20 -8.4 -2.0 -6.2
  Mar 05, 2025 277   Old Dominion L 49-67 43%     11 - 21 -24.5 -17.0 -10.9
Projected Record 11 - 21 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%