Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -2.2 199
Results Rating -2.4 203
Pace 67.8 196
Improvement +2.7 83

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C- 247 D+ C C- C D+
Defense C 151 C- C B- C+ D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 223 D+ 54% 277 -2.2 265
2 Pt. Jumpers 48% 72 C- 36% 243 +1.6 93
Three Pointers 37% 272 C 34% 162 -2.0 249
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.8 293 C- -1.7 237
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 259
Second Chance C+ 31.3% 159 C- 0.99 242 C 0.31 179
Turnovers C- 17.5% 230
Freethrows C 0.30 201 C+ 74% 127 C 0.22 168
Total Offense C- -2.9 247

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B- 55% 79 D 13.8% 325
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 34% 66 C+ 4.6% 151
Three Pointers C 84% 192 C 1.0% 214
Total C+ 59% 111 D+ 6.7% 294

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 113 C 58% 172 +1.4 222
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 262 B- 36% 90 -1.4 76
Three Pointers 41% 186 D+ 36% 273 +1.1 237
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 267 C +0.6 202
1st FG Attempt C- 1.04 221
Second Chance C- 32.1% 257 B- 0.97 98 C 0.31 186
Turnovers B- 18.8% 68
Freethrows C+ 0.29 147 C 73% 209 C+ 0.21 146
Total Defense C +0.7 151

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 46% 138 C 11.7% 143
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 19% 59 B 7.8% 50
Three Pointers C 84% 175 A+ 2.8% 11
Total C 55% 165 B 7.4% 58

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.4 178 17.5 221
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 102 0.18 223
Improvement +0.6 #151 +2.1 #70

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 226 196 168
Results Rating Rank 232 202 165
Conference Record 8 - 10 10 - 8 11 - 7
Conference Finish 7 4 3
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5% 6% 3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.8 14.7 15.1
.500 or above 54% 68% 27%
.500 or above in Conference 94% 100% 84%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round5% 6% 3%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 64.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 36 - 56 - 9
Quad 410 - 716 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Sat, Nov 8 200 @La Salle L 60 - 73 39% -3  14% 0 - 1 D- -12 F+ -9 D- C+ F D+ -4 D+ C+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 54 @Seton Hall L 58 - 70 9% -2  39% 0 - 2 C +1 D+ -3 F A+ F B- +3 B- A+ F+
 Tue, Nov 18 73 @Syracuse L 73 - 78 12% -5  13% 0 - 3 B- +6 C +2 C+ D B B +4 B- C+ B-
 Sun, Nov 23 179 Robert Morris W 71 - 70 OT 58% -1  42% 1 - 3 C- -3 D- -6 F A- C B- +3 B C+ C-
 Fri, Nov 28 313 Ball St. W 80 - 73 75% +4  72% 2 - 3 C- -2 B +7 C+ B+ A F+ -9 F B D+
 Sat, Nov 29 300 Le Moyne L 79 - 83 72% -1  27% 2 - 4 D- -12 C+ +2 F A+ B F -15 F D- C
 Sun, Nov 30 322 @Lafayette W 88 - 74 69% +13  92% 3 - 4 B- +7 A- +10 A+ F D+ C- -3 D+ C+ C
 Wed, Dec 3 254 Princeton W 63 - 58 71% +3  80% 4 - 4 C- -3 F -14 F+ F C A+ +12 C- A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 140 @Georgia Tech L 67 - 79 27% -2  18% 4 - 5 D+ -8 D -6 F+ C+ A+ C- -2 D+ B+ B+
 Sun, Dec 14 264 @Fairfield L 65 - 73 53% -0  52% 4 - 6 D -11 D- -6 D D- C- D -5 F+ D- D+
 Wed, Dec 17 192 Quinnipiac L 75 - 85 61% -15  0% 4 - 7 F+ -15 C- -2 C- F C- F -13 F D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 21 307 Lehigh W 76 - 62 81% +7  95% 5 - 7 C+ +2 C- -1 A F+ F B +4 F B- A+
 Wed, Dec 31 197 Campbell L 65 - 68 61% +2  72% 5 - 8 0 - 1 D -8 F+ -9 F C- A+ C+ +1 A F A
 Sat, Jan 3 170 @Towson W 62 - 48 33% +7  85% 6 - 8 1 - 1 A- +16 D+ -3 C- C+ F A+ +21 A A+ C
 Thu, Jan 8 136 William & Mary W 81 - 70 47% +3  69% 7 - 8 2 - 1 B +10 C +2 C A- B+ A- +8 B+ F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 106 @Hofstra L 64 - 67 OT 19% +1  38% 7 - 9 2 - 2 C+ +4 F+ -10 F D D A+ +14 A+ A C+
 Thu, Jan 15 221 Drexel L 51 - 73 66% -14  1% 7 - 10 2 - 3 F -28 F -16 F C- F F -16 F F B
 Mon, Jan 19 292 Northeastern W 81 - 68 79% +1  44% 8 - 10 3 - 3 C+ +2 D+ -4 D B A B+ +6 C- A+ A+
 Thu, Jan 22 259 @Hampton L 63 - 65 51% -3  16% 8 - 11 3 - 4 C- -5 D -6 D+ B+ F C+ +1 B- D- C
 Sat, Jan 24 197 @Campbell W 88 - 73 38% +5  80% 9 - 11 4 - 4 A- +16 B+ +9 A A+ F B+ +6 B+ A F
 Thu, Jan 29 273 N.C. A&T W 83 - 81 OT 75% -2  22% 10 - 11 5 - 4 D+ -7 D+ -3 F C B+ D+ -5 B- F B
 Sat, Jan 31 106 Hofstra L 57 - 73 37% -10  0% 10 - 12 5 - 5 F+ -15 F -14 D- F A C- -2 F+ F A+
 Thu, Feb 5 214 @Stony Brook W 76 - 75 42% +8  98% 11 - 12 6 - 5 C +1 C- -1 D+ D- B C+ +2 D D+ A+
 Thu, Feb 12 221 @Drexel W 93 - 73 43% +16  91% 12 - 12 7 - 5 A +20 A+ +18 A A- B- C+ +1 D- A B-
 Sun, Feb 15 170 Towson W 72 - 71 55% -3  18% 13 - 12 8 - 5 C- -3 C+ +3 C+ D A D -5 F F A+
 Thu, Feb 19 108 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 79 20% +0  40% 13 - 13 8 - 6 C- -3 D -5 C F F B- +2 B+ B F+
 Sat, Feb 21 149 @College of Charleston L 63 - 74 29% -4  13% 13 - 14 8 - 7 D+ -8 D- -7 C+ F+ F C -1 B- D F
 Thu, Feb 26 214 Stony Brook W 71 - 67 64%
 Sat, Feb 28 227 Elon W 78 - 73 67%
 Tue, Mar 3 292 @Northeastern W 77 - 75 59%
Totals 15 - 15 10 - 8 -2 C- -3 A+ C- D+ C +1 C C+ C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C- D+ C- C C- 37% 48% 37% D+ D+ C+ C- C C- C C+ C C C B- D+ C 41% 18% 41% D+ C- C- B- C B- C+ C C+
1.05 54% 36% 34% -2 -1 0.97 31% 1.0 .31 18% .30 74% .22 1.08 58% 36% 36% +1 +1 1.04 32% 1.0 .31 19% .29 73% .22
Nov
8		 La Salle F+ C- A+ F F+ 43% 12% 45% B+ D- B- C- C+ F A D+ B+ D+ B- A+ F C- 54% 20% 26% F D+ F A+ C+ C F D F
0.91 56% 60% 21% -7 +1 0.90 32% 1.1 .35 24% .34 65% .22 1.10 52% 11% 50% -2 +1 1.00 45% 0.7 .30 18% .52 75% .39
Nov
13		 Seton Hall D+ F A- F F 51% 19% 30% B F C A+ A+ F A+ A A+ B- A+ F D- B+ 51% 12% 37% F B- C- A+ A+ F+ F F+ F
0.87 26% 43% 27% -18 +1 0.68 30% 1.7 .50 30% .58 78% .45 1.05 38% 50% 37% -7 +2 0.92 37% 0.6 .21 12% .46 78% .36
Nov
18		 Syracuse C F D B+ C 37% 14% 49% B- C+ D+ D- D B A+ A A+ B C A+ F+ B+ 53% 12% 35% F B- A- F C+ B- F A F
1.03 39% 29% 38% -6 +1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 17% .43 80% .34 1.10 61% 0% 40% 0 +2 1.07 26% 1.2 .32 17% .56 58% .32
Nov
23		 Robert Morris D- F C+ D- F+ 30% 33% 37% F F B+ B A- C A+ C+ A+ B- C F A+ B- 29% 36% 36% A+ B F+ A C+ C- A A+ A+
1.03 43% 40% 29% -7 -2 0.85 36% 1.1 .39 16% .54 77% .42 1.02 56% 55% 20% -2 -3 0.93 42% 0.9 .37 17% .14 25% .04
Nov
28		 Ball St. B D- C+ A+ B- 39% 27% 35% D+ C+ B- A- B+ A B+ F C F+ D- C- F F 33% 20% 47% B- F C+ A B D+ A+ B A+
1.20 53% 38% 47% +5 -1 1.10 38% 1.2 .44 14% .33 68% .23 1.10 61% 36% 42% +7 0 1.15 24% 0.7 .16 15% .11 67% .07
Nov
29		 Le Moyne C+ D- C F F 38% 28% 34% D- F B+ A+ A+ B B+ B B+ F F F D F 40% 9% 51% D- F C F D- C F F F
1.16 50% 33% 22% -10 -1 0.79 38% 1.7 .63 12% .36 77% .28 1.21 71% 50% 36% +8 +2 1.21 25% 1.3 .32 20% .51 79% .40
Nov
30		 Lafayette A- A B A+ A+ 38% 33% 29% D- A+ F F F D+ A+ D+ A+ C- D+ B- F+ F+ 29% 31% 40% A+ D+ B D C+ C F F F
1.25 72% 44% 57% +17 -2 1.33 23% 0.8 .18 16% .52 71% .37 1.05 60% 31% 38% +1 -2 1.00 22% 1.0 .22 17% .38 77% .29
Dec
3		 Princeton F C+ F F F+ 43% 31% 27% D- F+ F D F C B- A+ A- A+ D A+ B C+ 48% 4% 48% F C- A A+ A+ A+ A+ A A+
0.94 62% 27% 23% -6 -1 0.88 18% 1.0 .18 13% .33 84% .28 0.86 61% 0% 30% -3 +3 1.02 20% 0.5 .10 28% .19 67% .12
Dec
6		 Georgia Tech D F D- C- F 38% 28% 34% C- F+ B D+ C+ A+ D- D- D- C- C F D D+ 48% 24% 28% D+ D+ C- A+ B+ B+ F F F
0.95 39% 29% 33% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.0 .33 8% .23 67% .15 1.12 59% 45% 38% +4 0 1.11 33% 0.9 .30 21% .47 81% .38
Dec
14		 Fairfield D- C- F F+ F+ 56% 13% 31% B D D+ F+ D- C- F B+ F D B C+ F F+ 51% 21% 28% D- F+ F C+ D- D+ A+ A+ A+
1.03 57% 29% 29% -4 +2 0.98 27% 0.9 .24 16% .09 80% .07 1.15 48% 36% 53% +3 +1 1.09 42% 0.9 .37 14% .09 20% .02
Dec
17		 Quinnipiac C- A F F D+ 57% 18% 24% B C- B- F F C- A A+ A+ F F A D F 44% 22% 35% D F D C+ D+ D+ C- B- C
1.04 68% 11% 25% -3 +2 1.00 36% 0.5 .19 18% .37 86% .32 1.18 75% 25% 37% +6 0 1.15 35% 1.0 .35 15% .30 67% .20
Dec
21		 Lehigh C- C B- A+ A+ 40% 35% 25% F+ A C F F+ F F F F B D+ F D F 32% 17% 51% D F F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+
1.13 57% 44% 62% +12 -2 1.23 34% 0.6 .22 21% .19 60% .11 0.92 60% 63% 38% +7 0 1.17 31% 0.6 .17 30% .08 50% .04
Dec
31		 Campbell F+ D F F F 47% 26% 28% C F D+ C+ C- A+ A+ F A C+ A+ A+ C A+ 58% 7% 35% F A D- F F A F C- F
1.00 55% 25% 23% -10 0 0.83 28% 1.2 .33 11% .45 65% .29 1.05 40% 0% 33% -14 +3 0.81 38% 1.2 .46 23% .60 73% .44
Jan
3		 Towson D+ F A+ D- C+ 28% 38% 35% F C- C+ C C+ F A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ 35% 17% 48% F A B- A+ A+ C A+ F A+
0.98 45% 53% 29% -1 -3 0.95 29% 1.0 .29 24% .39 84% .33 0.76 39% 22% 28% -14 0 0.75 34% 0.4 .13 17% .11 83% .10
Jan
8		 William & Mary C B+ F A- C+ 34% 23% 43% D C C+ A+ A- B+ C- F+ D+ A- C D A B 40% 24% 36% A B+ F C F+ A+ A- A+ A+
1.12 67% 17% 39% +1 -1 1.04 32% 1.3 .43 15% .28 65% .18 0.97 60% 42% 28% -2 0 0.98 33% 1.2 .38 24% .27 47% .13
Jan
10		 Hofstra F+ F F D+ F 29% 29% 42% D F F A D D A A- A+ A+ A+ B A+ A+ 27% 27% 46% B- A+ C- A+ A C+ F F F
0.90 40% 20% 32% -12 -2 0.75 20% 1.3 .24 17% .39 78% .30 0.94 31% 31% 23% -17 -2 0.65 35% 0.8 .26 17% .56 88% .49
Jan
15		 Drexel F B F F F 40% 33% 28% D F A F C- F A C+ A F A F F F 27% 20% 54% B F F D- F B F A+ C
0.86 63% 23% 18% -10 -1 0.80 42% 0.7 .31 23% .39 78% .31 1.23 45% 50% 55% +15 -1 1.32 42% 1.0 .42 22% .34 50% .17
Jan
19		 Northeastern D+ F+ B- B- D 36% 19% 46% D+ D C+ B+ B A F F F B+ F F A+ C- 47% 15% 38% D C- F A+ A+ A+ C+ D+ C
1.13 52% 45% 37% +1 0 1.05 34% 1.1 .39 13% .19 58% .11 0.95 72% 50% 20% 0 +1 1.06 35% 0.2 .05 25% .26 71% .19
Jan
22		 Hampton D B- F B C- 33% 26% 41% D- D+ B+ B- B+ F F F F C+ A+ A+ F B- 35% 28% 37% C B- B F D- C F D- F
0.98 67% 25% 37% +1 -1 1.02 34% 1.1 .38 25% .25 42% .10 1.01 40% 17% 44% -7 -1 0.86 29% 1.3 .38 19% .42 77% .32
Jan
24		 Campbell B+ A D A+ A+ 46% 26% 28% C- A A- A A+ F A+ F A B+ B A+ B+ A- 47% 9% 44% D B+ A+ B+ A F D+ B- C
1.22 71% 33% 54% +13 0 1.28 39% 1.4 .54 24% .45 64% .29 1.01 50% 20% 29% -9 +2 0.89 24% 0.9 .21 11% .41 69% .28
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 N.C. A&T D+ D A- F F 44% 26% 30% C- F C+ C- C B+ A- A+ A+ D+ C C A+ B+ 51% 27% 22% F+ B- F F F B D+ F F
1.12 52% 47% 24% -5 0 0.91 29% 1.0 .29 11% .38 84% .32 1.09 56% 38% 18% -6 0 0.90 41% 1.8 .72 22% .39 87% .34
Jan
31		 Hofstra F F+ A F D+ 25% 45% 30% F D- F F+ F A F C+ F C- C- F F F 23% 27% 50% B+ F+ F+ F F A+ A- D B+
0.88 46% 46% 19% -6 -4 0.81 19% 0.9 .16 9% .19 73% .14 1.12 60% 50% 41% +9 -2 1.16 40% 1.6 .64 29% .22 80% .17
Feb
5		 Stony Brook C- C+ F B- C- 35% 23% 42% D+ D+ C- F D- B A B+ A C+ F+ A+ D- D 34% 10% 56% D D D C D+ A+ D+ F F
1.06 61% 25% 36% 0 -1 1.00 30% 0.6 .19 14% .37 78% .29 1.05 65% 0% 39% +3 +1 1.10 31% 0.9 .29 24% .29 88% .26
Feb
12		 Drexel A+ F+ A+ A+ A 41% 20% 39% B- A A- B A- B- A A A+ C+ F A+ B- D 53% 10% 37% F D- A+ A A B- F+ F F
1.30 48% 60% 45% +6 0 1.16 39% 1.1 .44 14% .39 83% .32 1.02 69% 20% 33% +4 +2 1.14 20% 0.7 .13 21% .34 79% .26
Feb
15		 Towson C+ F D- A+ B- 28% 24% 48% D C+ A+ F D A B F C D D D+ F F 30% 32% 39% B- F D F F A+ F A+ B-
1.11 36% 33% 46% +1 -1 1.02 43% 0.5 .20 11% .31 61% .19 1.09 62% 43% 41% +7 -2 1.11 40% 1.3 .53 25% .37 44% .16
Feb
19		 UNC Wilmington D A+ F+ C- B 22% 43% 35% F C B- F F F A+ A+ A+ B- A- A+ F+ A 45% 20% 35% F+ B+ A+ F+ B F+ F F F
0.96 90% 30% 31% +2 -4 0.98 30% 0.5 .15 25% .41 86% .35 1.10 48% 0% 39% -9 +1 0.84 24% 1.2 .30 11% .55 80% .44
Feb
21		 College of Charleston D- D A C B- 25% 33% 41% F+ C+ F D F+ F F+ A D C C+ B+ A+ B+ 53% 20% 27% F B- B+ F D F D+ A- C+
0.94 54% 47% 33% +2 -3 1.00 21% 0.9 .18 19% .17 78% .13 1.10 59% 30% 21% -6 +1 0.92 24% 1.6 .38 12% .37 68% .25



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.2 7.7 7.9 3rd
4th 0.6 30.7 18.9 50.2 4th
5th 6.7 11.1 17.9 5th
6th 0.2 11.7 0.3 12.1 6th
7th 1.5 6.3 7.8 7th
8th 3.2 0.3 3.4 8th
9th 0.7 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 5.5 25.5 42.4 26.6 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 26.6% 6.8% 6.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 1.1 0.5 0.0 24.8
10-8 42.4% 5.9% 5.9% 15.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 0.3 39.9
9-9 25.5% 2.3% 2.3% 15.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 24.9
8-10 5.5% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.0% 5.0% 0.0% 14.8 95.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 14.2 0.4 10.7 58.3 30.1 0.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 3.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 8.5%
Lose Out 3.1%